XAUUSD 1H, 11/03/2025, 02:00PMAs i explained this Gold setup its going up. SL below entry candle, Target as mentioned.
Metals
Trade Uncertainty and Fed Stance Keep Silver Prices ElevatedSilver held at $32.50 per ounce after a 4.4% weekly gain, as trade tensions and U.S. inflation data kept investors cautious. Uncertainty grew after Trump warned of new tariffs on Canadian dairy and lumber, following a U.S. delay on 25% tariffs for Canadian and Mexican goods. Canada upheld retaliatory measures, while China’s tariffs on U.S. agriculture took effect. Concerns deepened after Trump avoided recession and inflation questions in a Fox News interview. Fed Chair Powell signaled no rush for rate cuts despite rising economic risks.
If silver breaks above $32.75, the next resistance levels are $33.15 and $33.80. On the downside, support is at $31.00, with further levels at $30.20 and $29.75 if selling pressure increases.
GOLD MARKET OUTLOOK – MORE DOWNSIDE BEFORE A MAJOR MOVE?🔥 GOLD BREAKS SUPPORT – IS A FURTHER DROP COMING? 🔥
📌 Market Overview
As expected in our previous analysis, Gold has broken below its key range, confirming a bearish momentum. The current price action suggests another potential drop toward the 285X zone, before any major rebound. For now, the focus remains on SELL setups as long as this breakdown holds.
👉 Market sentiment remains cautious as investors take profits and reduce risk exposure ahead of crucial U.S. inflation data.
📊 FUNDAMENTAL FACTORS DRIVING GOLD
💡 Trump’s Tariff Policies & Market Uncertainty
U.S. President Donald Trump introduced a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico & Canada on March 4th, along with additional tariffs on Chinese goods.
Just two days later, he partially reversed his decision, suspending tariffs on Mexican imports and select Canadian products for one month.
This inconsistency in policy is adding uncertainty to the markets, reinforcing Gold as a safe-haven asset.
💡 Investors Awaiting U.S. Inflation Data
Traders are holding back from taking aggressive positions before the release of key U.S. inflation figures.
Higher-than-expected inflation would strengthen the USD, pushing Gold lower.
Weaker inflation data could trigger renewed bullish momentum in Gold, potentially driving it toward new all-time highs.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
🔹 Major Resistance Levels:
2,905 - 2,912 - 2,919 - 2,927
🔻 Major Support Levels:
2,866 - 2,858 - 2,845 - 2,825
🎯 TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY
🔵 BUY ZONE: 2,846 - 2,844
📍 SL: 2,840
🎯 TP: 2,850 - 2,854 - 2,858 - 2,862 - 2,866
🔴 SELL ZONE: 2,825 - 2,827
📍 SL: 2,830
🎯 TP: 2,820 - 2,816 - 2,812 - 2,808 - 2,800
⚡️ CONCLUSION
📌 Gold remains in a downtrend after breaking key support – watch for further downside before a potential bounce.
📌 Investors remain cautious ahead of inflation data, while Trump’s trade policies add more volatility to the markets.
📌 Stick to TP/SL strategies to manage risk and protect your capital!
📢 Do you think Gold will drop further before a rebound? Share your thoughts below! 🚀🔥
XAUUSD:11/3 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 2892, support below 2800
Four-hour chart resistance 2911, support below 2865
One-hour chart resistance 2900, support below 2880
Gold news analysis: Gold prices fell slightly on Monday (March 10) as some investors took profits, while the safe-haven demand brought about by geopolitical uncertainty provided some support for gold prices. At the same time, the market focused on the upcoming US inflation data to judge the outlook for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Spot gold fell 0.22% to $2,883.06 per ounce. Gold prices fell slightly due to profit-taking by some investors and weak stock markets. However, it may be supported by safe-haven buying in the future. U.S. stock index futures fell as the market continued to worry that retaliatory tariffs could affect the growth prospects of the world's largest economy, the United States. U.S. President Donald Trump imposed a 25% tariff on Mexican and Canadian imports last Tuesday and implemented a new round of tariffs on Chinese imports. But just two days later, the Trump administration announced a one-month tariff exemption for most Mexican imports and some Canadian goods, making the market more uncertain. The escalation of the trade war and the risk of a global recession are good news for gold, and gold prices are expected to hit a new record high. If the upcoming US economic data is weak, the gold market will be further supported.
Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday, gold fluctuated repeatedly in the Asian and European sessions and was under pressure at the 2918 mark, and then fell back and fell down. The European session fell back and broke through the 2900 mark and continued to fall. It rebounded twice during the session and was under pressure at the 2900 mark. In the US session, it accelerated downward and broke a new low, and finally closed at around 2885. The daily level fell below the 5-day moving average and completely turned into a bearish downward channel.
From the current trend analysis, we focus on the one-hour level 2900 and the four-hour level 2911 pressure line on the top, and the 2980-2850 support line on the bottom. In terms of operation, we still sell at highs. The downward channel has been opened, and we wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Sell: 2900near SL: 2905
Sell: 2892near SL: 2897
Sell: 2880near SL: 2885
Could the Gold drop from here?The price is reacting off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 2,900.98
1st Support: 2,863.32
1st Resistance: 2,926.83
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Gold seems to have found support for the week✈️ As we see the bullish imbalances print on the hourly chart, we will attempt to use these as support for higher targeting 🎯 Clear targets right above the range and clear support levels make for great long opportunities.
My bias is still remaining bearish for the moment as you all know we only change bias when we get a close to the other side. We have yet to have the opportunity to close bullish on the daily (our bias time frame), so we play our targets close since these bullish targets are technically counter trend.
Share with a friend in need of great levels 🔑
GOLD, massive rise awaits here... Seed at 2880 level, 3k next.TRADE SEED Signal:
BUY GOLD / XAUUSD.
After our successful trade on GOLD short yesterday registering a whopping 300 pips gain, we are now looking to be on the other side -- as initial shift in behavior has been spotted.
We are now at a higher pre basing zone area. Expect some weighty rise from here on target ATH levels anew with a possible break/
LONG at 2880
Target 3000.
TAYOR.
Trade safely.
XAUUSD H4 | Bearish ContinuationBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 2904.48, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 2871.29, a pullback support
The stop loss is placed at 2930.95, an overlap resistance.
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XAUUSD 1H, 11/03/2025. 08:00 IST. Gold is in sideways condition in this situation we should take entry as per market shows the direction, I have clearly mentioned how to take entry where to take entry and where should be the target but SL should be at the opening of entry candle.
Waiting for GOLD to Act right!Looking for a bullish play but waiting for price to get the shakes out. It is stuck inside of rotational value on a much larger scale. Need to see it break outside of that Value.
Trade Idea: XAUUSD Short ( SELL STOP )Technical Analysis:
1. Trend:
• All three timeframes (H1, M15, M3) show a clear downtrend.
• Price has broken key support levels and continues to make lower highs and lower lows.
2. Indicators:
• MACD: Bearish momentum is strong across all timeframes.
• RSI: All readings are below 40, signaling bearish momentum with room for further downside.
• OBV: Declining, suggesting distribution and strong selling pressure.
3. Key Levels:
• Support: 2868
• Resistance: 2900 (recent swing high)
⸻
Fundamental Analysis:
• US Dollar Strength:
• Higher probability of hawkish Fed rhetoric or strong NFP data leading to more downside in gold.
• Rising Treasury yields could put further pressure on gold prices.
• Risk Sentiment:
• Stronger risk appetite (equities rallying) often leads to gold weakness.
⸻
Trade Setup (Short Position):
• Entry: 2885
• Stop Loss (SL): 2905 (Above resistance)
• Take Profit (TP): 2845 (Next major support)
• Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 2:1
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
Gold (XAU/USD) – Bearish Momentum Towards Key SupportGold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – 1H Chart 🏆📉
🔹 Overview:
The chart shows Gold (XAU/USD) in a downtrend after failing to break above resistance.
Key zones are marked: Resistance (~$2,920 - $2,960) and Support (~$2,840 - $2,860).
A potential bearish move is suggested towards the support area.
📌 Resistance Zone (~$2,920 - $2,960) 🚧
Price has struggled to break this level multiple times, leading to rejection.
Sellers are likely in control, pushing the price lower.
📌 Support Zone (~$2,840 - $2,860) 🛡️
This area has historically acted as a strong demand zone.
Possible price reaction here, with a bounce back up if buyers step in.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
A retest of minor resistance (~$2,900) before continuing downward.
If price reaches support, a reversal or further breakdown could occur.
📈 Bullish Recovery?
Only a strong breakout above $2,920 would shift momentum to bullish.
🔥 Conclusion:
Short-term bias: Bearish 📉
Key watch: Price action at support (~$2,840) for possible bounce 📊
XAUUSD 4H Analysis: Rejection at Resistance – Drop to $2,850?📉 XAUUSD (Gold) 4H Analysis – March 5, 2025
Key Levels:
Resistance: Around $2,920 - $2,940 (price is testing this zone)
Support: Around $2,850 - $2,860 (marked as a demand zone)
Market Structure & Projection:
Gold is currently at a resistance level, which has previously acted as a strong supply zone.
The price is showing signs of rejection at resistance, indicating a potential bearish move.
The chart suggests a drop towards the $2,850 support level if price fails to break above resistance.
Indicators & Confluence:
200 EMA (Red Line): Located below the price, showing an overall bullish trend, but short-term correction is possible.
Bearish Structure: The recent push to resistance followed by rejection hints at a potential sell-off.
Liquidity Grab? If price briefly spikes above resistance and then reverses, a deeper drop could be confirmed.
Trading Bias & Strategy:
📉 Bearish Scenario: If rejection at resistance holds, price could head towards $2,850 support.
📈 Bullish Breakout?: If price breaks & closes above resistance with strong volume, upside continuation could be possible.
⚠ Watch for price action at resistance before taking trades. A breakout or rejection confirmation is key.
🔥 What’s Your Take? Bullish or Bearish? Let me know! 🚀📊
GOLD Daily Analysis: Is This the Start of a Deeper Correction?OANDA:XAUUSD is moving inside a clear ascending channel, with the upper boundary acting as long-term resistance and the lower boundary providing dynamic support. Price has been respecting this channel, with multiple touches on both the upper and lower boundaries, reinforcing its structure. Recently, the price formed a double top near the upper boundary, a classic reversal signal suggesting bullish exhaustion.
If the price continues to hold below this level, it could lead to further downside. The next major support is around 2,780 , which aligns with a previous support level and also falls within the golden pocket on the Fibonacci retracement, making it a significant area for a potential reaction.
However, if the price reclaims the double-top region and pushes above recent highs, it would invalidate the bearish outlook and suggest another attempt to break the channel’s upper boundary. For now, the structure remains bearish, with 2,780 as the main downside target.
Don’t forget: US also faces a government showdown With markets in turmoil, it's easy to overlook the growing risk of a U.S. government shutdown.
A three-week market sell-off intensified today as investors worry that unpredictable policies from the Trump administration are pushing the economy into recession.
The S&P 500 is down 9.1% from its February high, the Nasdaq 14%, and the Russell 2000 18%. A 10% decline is considered a correction.
Bitcoin also dropped below $80,000, while the USD and gold are seeing some weakness.
Meanwhile, Lawmakers have until Friday, March 14, to pass a funding bill. But House Republicans must secure near-unanimous support.
The longest shutdown in history lasted 34 days in 2018 over Trump border wall funding. Now, Democrats again hold key leverage. While Republicans have a House majority, they need Democratic support in the Senate to pass funding. Some see this as a rare chance for Senate Democrats to challenge Trump’s/ Elon Musk’s cuts via the Department of Government Efficiency, though it’s unclear if they will take that risk.
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE > READ THE CHAPTIANBuddy'S dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 Gold Traders Gold 3 time frame 🖼️ looking FVG rejected point below 👇 2929+ 29209. Technical patterns). Weekly basis setup. )
Key Resistance level 2929 + 2957
Key Support level 2891 - 2848
2832
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci support?COPPER is falling toward the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 4.5711
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 4.4640
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 4.6871
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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GOLD Risky Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD made a bearish
Breakout of the key
Horizontal level of 2900$
And the breakout is confirmed
So we are locally bearish
Biased and we will be
Expecting a further move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete?! (4H UPDATE)Gold has started the week extremely bearish. Will we see a continuation throughout the week?
Dollar Index has also found support.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
We started the week with our Bearish target hit first at 2901, which gave multiple weighted level bounces of 30 pips plus. We were able to capitalise on these bounces, inline with our plans to buy dips.
We are now seeing price breakout of the 2901 Goldturn level and ema5 is about to lock. We will wait to confirm a lock for the continuation into the retracement level for further weighted level bounces. Failure to lock below 2901 will see a re-test back into the upper Goldturn.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2922
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2922 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2947
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2947 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2968
BEARISH TARGETS
2901 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2901 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING RETRACEMENT RANGE
2878 - 2851
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2851 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2820 - 2796
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
CHINA FIN MARKETS | Investing in China & AIChina's market resurgence might pose some great opportunities for investors, especially after a long bearish cycle for the global Chinese financial markets.
February 2025 saw a significant shake-up in global markets, with China emerging as a key player driving investor sentiment. The MSCI China Index surged by 11.2% for the month, vastly outperforming the MSCI US Index:
One of the biggest catalysts behind China’s recent rally has been its advancements in Artificial Intelligence (DeepSeekAI being one of the key drivers).
By operating at a fraction of the cost of their US counterparts, such as OpenAI and Meta, DeepSeek's competitive advantage has given China an edge in the AI space, which can be seen in the market confidence.
XIAOMI has been one of the top gainers, largely as they are expanding their market penetration:
Chinese markets in February saw a boost when President Xi Jinping was warmly received by tech industry leaders. A handshake between Xi and Alibaba’s Jack Ma who previously stepped back from the public eye following regulatory crackdowns, was seen as a major gesture of reconciliation between the government and the private sector. This renewed support for private enterprises.
China’s long-term strategy has been paying dividends in high-tech industries. China has increased its global market share in nearly all industries and is outperforming competitors in cost-efficiency, particularly in sectors like copper smelting.
Despite recent gains, China’s stock market has yet to fully recover from its underperformance over the past decade. While the MSCI China Index has risen 34.6% over the past year, long-term returns still lag behind global markets. A US$100 investment in an MSCI World Index tracker in 2010 would have grown to US$480 by early 2024, whereas the same amount invested in an MSCI China Index fund would have only reached US$175.
China’s resurgence has brought a renewed sense of optimism, but investors remain cautious. While AI advancements and low cost of labor have positioned China as a competitive force, historical challenges like regulatory intervention, tariffs and economic instability still loom.
_________________________
GOLD Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GOLD is below:
The market is trading on 2604.7 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 2617.6
Recommended Stop Loss - 2897.7
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 2870 zone, Gold is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 2870 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
