SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-27-25 : Breakaway PatternToday's Breakaway pattern suggests the markets will continue to melt downward (possibly attempting to fill the Gap from March 24).
I strongly believe the SPY/QQQ are completing the "rolling top" pattern I suggested would happen near or after the March 21-24 TOP pattern my deeper cycle research suggested was likely.
At this point, things are just starting to line up for a broader market decline while the current EPP pattern plays out as a Breakdown of the EPP Flagging formation (moving into consolidation).
Gold and Silver are RIPPING higher. Yes, I do expect a little bit of volatility near these recent highs. But, I also expect metals to continue to rally higher from these levels over the next 10-15+ days. Watch the video.
Bitcoin is stalling/topping - just as I suggested it would months ago.
Now we see how the market move into this new trending phase and how far this current trend will drive price trends. I believe the SPY/QQQ/Bitcoin will all continue to move downward while Gold/Silver move (RIP) higher on this breakaway move.
This is a PERFECT trader's market.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Metals
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis - March 27, 2025Chart Insights
Timeframe: 30-minute chart
Current Price: $3,051.595
High: $3,054.630
Low: $3,050.970
Volume: 1.65K ticks
Trade Setup
Resistance Level (~$3,056):
Price spiked up but rejected at this level.
Potential reversal point if price fails to break higher.
Support Levels:
First Support (~$3,048): If price pulls back, this level might hold as short-term support.
Second Support (~$3,040): If selling pressure increases, price may test this zone.
Possible Scenarios
Bearish Reversal Setup:
If price fails to break the resistance and forms a bearish rejection pattern, a short entry can be considered.
Target: First support at $3,048, second support at $3,040.
Break & Retest Bullish Setup:
If price breaks and holds above $3,056, it could turn into support, leading to further upside movement.
Conclusion:
Watching for a bearish rejection near resistance to enter short.
If resistance breaks, a bullish continuation can occur.
Confirmation with candlestick patterns and volume is key before entering trades.
Would you like stop-loss and risk management details included?
GDP Data in Focus – Gold Traders Prepare for Volatility⚠️ GDP Data in Focus – Gold Traders Prepare for Volatility
🟡 Market Brief – 27/03/2025
📰 Trump’s Latest Tariff Remarks Leave Markets Unshaken
Earlier this morning (end of US session), Donald Trump made new comments on tariff policy.
However, unlike previous occasions, his speech did not trigger significant market volatility.
He stated:
“Reciprocal tariffs will be eased, broadly applied to all countries, but not harshly.”
🔹 A 25% import tariff on cars will take effect from April 2
🔹 No additional tariffs for now on semiconductors or pharmaceuticals
→ It appears the market had already priced in this announcement, resulting in a muted reaction.
📊 Today’s Spotlight – Final US GDP (q/q)
This is the broadest measure of inflation, reflecting price changes for all goods and services included in GDP.
Given the weakness in recent US inflation indicators (CPI & PPI),
AD anticipates today’s GDP may also come in weaker than expected.
⚠️ However, market reaction might remain limited (≈30 pts),
as Core PCE data tomorrow is expected to be the true driver of weekly volatility.
🟡 Gold Strategy – Intraday Setup
Gold may retest resistance levels or recent highs,
before a potential strong move to the downside – the BIG SHORT scenario AD has been tracking.
📌 Plan for Today:
Look for intraday BUY opportunities during the Asian and European sessions,
especially near key support levels marked on the chart.
🧭 Key Technical Levels:
🔻 Support: 3019 – 3011 – 3002 – 2988
🔺 Resistance: 3036 – 3046 – 3056
🎯 Trade Zones – 27/03:
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3002 – 3000
SL: 2996
TPs: 3006 – 3010 – 3014 – 3018 – 3022 – 3026 – 3030
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3055 – 3057
SL: 3061
TPs: 3051 – 3047 – 3042 – 3038 – 3034 – 3030
🧠 Final Note:
This week’s volatility hinges on two major macro releases:
✅ Today’s Final GDP report
✅ Tomorrow’s Core PCE data
→ During Asia & London sessions: respect the levels and trade reactively
→ For New York session: stay alert — AD will update instantly if needed
Good luck, trade safe, and stay disciplined.
— AD | Money Market Flow
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis - March 27, 2025 Chart InsightChart Insights
Timeframe: 30-minute chart
Current Price: $3,052.005
High: $3,052.060
Low: $3,039.910
Volume: 8.98K ticks
Trade Setup
Entry Criteria: A bearish candle formation on the 15-minute chart is required for entry.
Direction: Short (Sell) trade setup
Stop-Loss (SL): Around $3,053.421 (above resistance zone)
Take Profit (TP) Targets:
Target 1: ~$3,040 (previous support level)
Target 2: ~$3,026.486 (next major support)
Key Technical Factors
Strong Resistance Zone (~$3,048 - $3,053):
Price had a strong bullish rally but hit resistance.
A potential reversal zone if sellers gain control.
Bearish Confirmation Needed:
Waiting for a bearish candlestick (like a rejection wick, engulfing, or shooting star) on the 15-min chart for confirmation.
Volume Spike:
High buying pressure is observed, but if it weakens, a reversal could happen.
Conclusion:
If a bearish pattern forms, shorting gold with Targets at $3,040 and $3,026 is a viable plan.
If price breaks above $3,053 with strength, the bearish setup becomes invalid.
Would you like me to add further risk management details?
Long Ahead of U.S. GDP AnnouncementGold could see bullish momentum as the U.S. GDP Growth Rate (QoQ Final) is set to be announced on March 27, 2025. The U.S. economy showed signs of slowing down in Q4 2024, with GDP growth dropping from 3.1% to 2.3%. If this downward trend continues due to actual recession fears and given the market conditions up to today, the report is unlikely to be a major downside surprise. However, it could still fuel expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, making gold a more attractive asset.
🔥 Why is this bullish for Gold?
✅ Potential Fed Rate Cuts:
A weaker-than-expected GDP reading would increase expectations for Fed rate cuts in the coming months.
Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, making it more attractive.
✅ Falling Real Yields:
Inflation remains at 2.3%, slightly above the Fed’s target.
If the Fed moves towards rate cuts, real yields (nominal rates minus inflation) will decline – a strong bullish factor for gold.
✅ Weaker U.S. Dollar Potential:
A weaker GDP print could weaken the U.S. dollar as traders price in lower rates.
Gold has an inverse correlation with the dollar: a weaker USD typically pushes gold higher.
✅ Safe-Haven Demand:
If economic growth continues to slow, investors may hedge with gold.
Increased demand as a safe-haven asset would further support gold prices.
A stronger-than-expected GDP report could delay Fed rate cuts, pressuring gold.
A strong U.S. dollar due to global risk-off sentiment could weigh on gold.
Short-term technical corrections could trigger temporary pullbacks.
Conclusion: Bullish Outlook for Gold Ahead of GDP Data
With slowing U.S. growth, potential rate cuts, and weaker real yields, gold remains a strong long opportunity ahead of the March 27 GDP announcement. Fundamental data supports an upward move, and the technical setup provides a clear entry strategy.
🎯 Gold remains in a uptrend – dips could offer buying opportunities!
🔎 Key Events to Watch:
U.S. GDP Growth Rate (QoQ Final) – March 27, 2025
Fed policy statements & economic projections
U.S. Dollar Index reaction to GDP data
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
GOLD H1 Market Update: Bear Trap / liquidity sweep BUY DIPS📊 Technical Outlook update
🔸Bullish OUTLOOK
🔸3050 USD Resistance Heavy
🔸3000/3040 Trading Range
🔸2990 potential Bear Trap
🔸Price Target BULLS: 3100 USD - 3150 USD
🔸Recommended Strategy: BUY DIPS 2990
📊 Gold Market Summary – This Week
💰Gold Price Surge: Gold prices soared above $3,000, prompting Bank of America to raise its price target.
💸Profit-Taking Pressure: After the surge, mild profit-taking caused a slight price correction.
🛡️Safe-Haven Demand: Gold continues to show strength, supported by safe-haven flows amid economic uncertainty.
📅 Economic Data Impact: U.S. economic data (e.g., 0.9% rise in durable goods orders) is influencing gold prices, pushing them to session highs.
🔄Consolidation with Bullish Outlook: Gold is consolidating but remains bullish due to favorable U.S. dollar performance and Federal Reserve policies.
🌍Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and U.S.-Russia tensions continue to support gold’s status as a safe-haven asset.
💎 Summary:
Gold remains resilient with strong demand, positive economic indicators, and geopolitical tensions supporting its value, despite minor price corrections.
DeGRAM | GOLD ready to continue the correctionGOLD is above the descending channel between the trend lines.
The price has already reached the dynamic resistance.
The chart has held under the upper trend line.
We expect a pullback after retesting the resistance level and consolidating under the 62% retracement level.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Copper's Grip: Stronger Than Oil's?Is the U.S. economy poised for a red metal revolution? The escalating demand for copper, fueled by the global transition to clean energy, the proliferation of electric vehicles, and the modernization of critical infrastructure, suggests a shifting economic landscape where copper's significance may soon eclipse oil. This vital metal, essential for everything from renewable power systems to advanced electronics, is becoming increasingly central to U.S. economic prosperity. Its unique properties and expanding applications in high-growth sectors position it as a linchpin for future development, potentially rendering it more crucial than traditional energy sources in the years to come. This sentiment is echoed by recent market activity, with copper prices hitting a new record high, reaching $5.3740 per lb. on the COMEX. This surge has widened the price gap between New York and London to approximately $1,700 a tonne, signaling strong U.S. demand.
However, this burgeoning importance faces a looming threat: the potential imposition of U.S. tariffs on copper imports. Framed under the guise of national security concerns, these tariffs could trigger significant economic repercussions. By increasing the cost of imported copper, a vital component for numerous domestic industries, tariffs risk inflating production costs, raising consumer prices, and straining international trade relationships. The anticipation of these tariffs has already caused market volatility, with major traders at a Financial Times commodities summit in Switzerland predicting copper could reach $12,000 a tonne this year. Kostas Bintas from Mercuria noted the current "tightness" in the copper market due to substantial imports heading to the U.S. in anticipation of tariffs, which some analysts expect sooner than previously anticipated.
Ultimately, the future trajectory of the U.S. economy will be heavily influenced by the availability and affordability of copper. Current market trends reveal surging prices driven by robust global demand and constrained supply, a situation that could be further exacerbated by trade barriers. Traders are also anticipating increased industrial demand as major economies like the U.S. and EU upgrade their electricity grids, further supporting the bullish outlook. Aline Carnizelo of Frontier Commodities is among the experts forecasting a $12,000 price target. However, Graeme Train from Trafigura cautioned that the global economy remains "a little fragile," highlighting potential risks to sustained high demand. As the world continues its march towards electrification and technological advancement, copper's role will only intensify. Whether the U.S. navigates this new era with policies that ensure a smooth and cost-effective supply of this essential metal or whether protectionist measures inadvertently hinder progress remains a critical question for the nation's economic future.
GOLD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,037.48
Target Level: 2,814.61
Stop Loss: 3,185.84
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Gold Tests Trendline, 3000 Target Still in SightGold’s horizontal move ended on Friday with the breakdown of the short-term support at 3025. Since then, the critical 3000 level has been tested twice but is still holding for now. The short-term trend has turned bearish, leaving gold prices stuck between the downward pressure from above and key supports at 3000 and the 200-hour moving average.
Trump's recent softer messaging regarding the April 2 tariffs has temporarily eased upward pressure. Today's consumer confidence data will be significant, especially ahead of Friday's PCE release.
If the short-term downtrend channel holds, another attempt at the 3000 level could occur today, and a break below 3000 might intensify downward momentum.
On the upside, the immediate resistance levels to watch are the short-term downtrend line and 3030, both very close to the current price. A breakout above these levels could signal a continuation of flat move above 3000 until key economic data arrives later this week.
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower, facing resistance at the 240-day moving average on the daily chart. With a significant gap between the price and the 5-day moving average, a pullback toward the 5-day MA was anticipated. The index did find support at the 5-day MA, closing with a lower wick. The key question now is whether the current correction wave will fill the gap created on Monday, as it faced resistance at the 240-day line. If you’re looking to buy on dips, it’s best to focus on the gap area as a potential support zone. The MACD remains in a golden cross, and with a noticeable spread from the signal line, the market is likely to stay range-bound unless a bearish crossover occurs.
On the 240-minute chart, a bearish crossover (death cross) has formed, suggesting the potential for further downside. However, the price is approaching a strong support zone where buying interest previously emerged. Thus, buying on dips in lower zones may be favorable. In the short term, both the MACD and the signal line remain above the zero line, indicating a possible short-term rebound. Be cautious with chasing short positions and monitor lower time frames.
Also, don’t forget: Today’s GDP release may influence market direction.
Crude Oil
Oil closed higher, reaching $70 on the daily chart. Since the $70–71 range is a major resistance zone, it’s likely the trend may consolidate in this area. The daily MACD is rising sharply, and buying pressure appears strong and one-sided. Despite the resistance at $70–71, if oil gaps up over the weekend, there’s a chance this resistance could be broken by a gap-up move on Monday. Keep an open mind to this possibility, but also be cautious over the weekend (over-the-weekend risk).
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is bouncing off the signal line, with strong renewed buying pressure. However, if oil fails to break higher, a MACD divergence could develop, so avoid chasing longs at elevated levels. Overall, it’s safer to treat the $71 level as the upper boundary of a range, favoring short-term selling strategies. Watch the lower timeframes for signs of trend reversal.
Gold
Gold ended the day flat within a narrow range, forming a small consolidation box ahead of today’s GDP release and tomorrow’s PCE data. The daily MACD is converging with the signal line, suggesting we are approaching a turning point — either a new leg up or a bearish crossover. Both bullish and bearish scenarios remain open, so it’s important to monitor how the market reacts to upcoming data. If gold fails to push higher, a bearish divergence may form, opening the door to a pullback toward the 5-week MA on the weekly chart.
On the 240-minute chart, both MACD and the signal line are hovering near the zero line, indicating sideways movement. Since the signal line remains above zero, the buy side still holds a slight edge, but confirmation via a strong bullish or bearish candle is needed to establish a trend. Any MACD signal triggered at the zero line could lead to a larger directional move, so keep that in mind. Until data is released, continue range-bound trading, and avoid premature long or short positions, as today’s trend may remain undecided.
March is coming to an end. Make sure to keep a close eye on today and tomorrow's data releases and aim to close the month with solid results.
Wishing you a successful trading day!
If you like my analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
For additional strategies for today, check out my profile. Thank you!
GOLD holds above $3,000, aiming for weekly targetOANDA:XAUUSD continues to recover and maintain an upward trend, as uncertainty over the Trump administration's tariff policy has boosted safe-haven demand. Meanwhile, the market is focusing on US inflation data due this week to further determine the path of interest rates.
Tariff and inflation concerns have fueled safe-haven buying, with gold up more than 15% this year
US President Donald Trump said on Monday that tariffs on imported cars were coming, but hinted that not all of the threatened tariffs would take effect on April 2 and that some countries could be exempted.
This is sure to raise concerns that if the tariffs are officially implemented, they could push up inflation and stifle economic growth, so investment flows in the market have shifted to traditional safe-haven assets such as gold for allocation.
Gold has always been considered a hedge against inflation and macroeconomic instability. Since the beginning of the year, the price of gold has increased by more than 15% and reached an all-time high of $ 3,057.21 / ounce on March 20.
Market Focuses on PCE Inflation Data, Fed Maintains Dovish Expectations
The market is now paying attention to the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, which will be released on Friday. This index is considered the core data for the Federal Reserve to assess inflation trends and may provide further material for assessing the path of interest rate cuts this year.
If the PCE inflation index does not show any unusual changes, it will further strengthen the Fed's dovish stance and continue to push gold prices up. More detailed assessments will be sent to readers in later publications.
Last week, the Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged but signaled it could start cutting rates later this year. Since gold does not yield interest, it is often more attractive in a low-interest-rate environment.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold continues to rally since receiving support from the $3,000 raw price level, which was a key support noted by readers in previous issues.
The current position above the 0.50% Fibonacci extension level is a positive signal for gold to target the initial upside target in the weekly issue at $3,051 in the short term, more likely an all-time high.
The relative strength index (RSI) is also bent upwards, which should be considered a corrective signal due to the weakening/ending profit-taking momentum.
Going forward, the technical structure remains unchanged with the daily chart dominated by the bullish trend with the price channel as the main trend and the EMA21 as the main support.
As long as gold remains above the EMA21, it still has a bullish outlook in the medium term, along with that, the notable positions for this trading day will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,021 – 3,000 USD
Resistance: 3,051 – 3,057 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3062 - 3060⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3066
→Take Profit 1 3054
↨
→Take Profit 2 3048
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2989 - 2991⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2985
→Take Profit 1 2997
↨
→Take Profit 2 3003
Be the Choosy trader on Gold!Price is dragging on dropping. being very indecisive. Looks like the entire market is waiting on News to help give it a push. I need to see price break out of value before I can get a read on a sold move. in the mean time this is sclaping conditions. You can hold trades. Have to cut them short quick with this price action. Since we have some USD news tomorrow that indicates that the market might be waiting for that before proceeding on any decisions. Patience is key!
Mid-Week Analysis March 27-28: USD FX Majors Stock Indices, ...In this video, we look back on the forecasts from this past weekend, and check how they are playing out to this point in the week.
USD Index, S&P500, Nasdaq ,Dow Jones, Gold, Silver, Platinum, Copper, EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD, CAD, CHF, JPY.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Copper Bounce? $HG1! at Key Demand Zone!Back at a strong demand level on COMEX:HG1! (Copper futures). The key invalidation is a 4-hour close below 3.92, so I'll be watching closely to manually close.
I'm looking for a potential bounce from here, and if the weekly candle closes bullish, I may consider this a reversal setup. The confluence between the weekly support and the current demand zone gives me confidence to take the trade.
If the move fails, my next level to watch is 3.7 for another potential entry.
Let’s see if COMEX:HG1! behaves this time.
Bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support level.
Pivot: 3,032.57
1st Support: 2,998.40
1st Resistance: 3,047.35
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Dollar Index Bullish to $111.350 (VIDEO UPDATE)If you remember on the last update, I showed the possibility of the previous Wave 4 low getting taken out, which did happen. I’ve now re-counted the waves, as analysed on the video above.
⭕️3 Sub-Wave Correction (A,B,C) relabelled.
⭕️Wave 4 Low relabelled.
⭕️Main Supply Zone highlighted.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the markets today, allowing us to bounce between the Goldturns, inline with our plans to buy dips. Not much to report as we are seeing Gold range sideways consolidating ready for a breakout.
We still have the gap left open at 2999, which fell short by a few pips. We will continue to use the lower Goldturns to buy dips until we see the weighted levels cross and lock to confirm the next range. Failure to break 3032 will keep seeing rejections into the lower Goldturns for the bounces.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3032 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3032 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3050
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3050 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3065
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3065 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3080
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3080 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3097
BEARISH TARGETS
3015 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3015 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2999
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2999 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2978
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2978 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2950 - 2927
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Short Position Targeting Below $3,000🔍 Market Analysis After Durable Goods Orders Release
The latest Durable Goods Orders (MoM) for February 2025 were released today, showing a surprising 0.9% increase, while economists had expected a 1.0% decline. However, core capital goods orders fell by 0.3%, indicating weaker business investment.
These mixed figures create uncertainty in the markets. The strong durable goods orders support the U.S. dollar, while the drop in business investment may signal economic concerns. In the short term, the expectation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will not rush to cut interest rates could put pressure on gold prices.
📉 Trading Idea: Short Gold from $3,025 to Below $3,000
Entry: $3,025 (already opened)
Gold is currently trading around $3,025, showing signs of weakness near resistance levels.
Why This Short Trade Makes Sense:
1️⃣ U.S. Economic Data Supports the Dollar
The unexpected rise in durable goods orders suggests economic resilience.
A stronger U.S. dollar typically weighs on gold prices.
2️⃣ Lower Expectations for Fed Rate Cuts
These data points may reduce expectations for imminent Fed rate cuts.
Higher rates increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, which is bearish for gold.
3️⃣ Technical Resistance & Downward Momentum
Gold has struggled to break above $3,025 - $3,035 multiple times.
If this level holds, we could see a drop below $3,000 soon.
📊 Price Targets & Stop-Loss
🎯 First Target: $3,000 (psychological support level)
🎯 Second Target: $2,985 - $2,975 (next key technical support zone)
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):
Entry: $3,025
Target: at least $3,000
RRR = 1.66 : 1 – a solid setup for a short-term trade.
🧐 Potential Risks to the Trade
⚠ If the U.S. Dollar Weakens:
If markets interpret weak core capital goods orders as a sign of economic slowdown, the Fed might shift to a more dovish stance, weakening the dollar and boosting gold.
⚠ If Geopolitical Tensions Increase:
Rising geopolitical risks (e.g., China, Middle East) could drive safe-haven demand for gold, pushing prices higher.
📌 Conclusion: Bearish Setup for Gold
Today’s Durable Goods Orders release supports a stronger U.S. dollar, while gold is struggling to break resistance at $3,025 - $3,035. As long as this zone holds, the probability of a correction below $3,000 remains high.
🟢 Plan:
Short at $3,025 is active.
Target: Below $3,000.
Gold remains volatile – keep an eye on the U.S. dollar, Fed policy, and market sentiment for further confirmation! 🔥🚀
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
GOLD On The Rise! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GOLD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 3007.8
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 3020.9
My Stop Loss - 3000.6
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK