Metals
USD/JPY : Another Bearish Move Ahead ? (READ CAPTION)The USD/JPY daily chart confirms that the price followed our analysis precisely, dropping from the expected zone and completing a 500+ pip correction, hitting all three targets: 152.70, 151.70, and 151, before reaching 148.00.
I anticipate a short upward move before another potential decline. The next probable target for USD/JPY is 148.65. Keep an eye on price action for confirmation!
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SILVER INTRADAY previous breakout level retest?The Silver (XAGUSD) price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The price action creates a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. The recent consolidation appears to be a breakout and a corrective pullback towards the previous support zone.
The key trading level is at 3166, which is the previous consolidation range. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 3166 level could target the upside resistance at 3253 followed by the 3316 and 3340 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 3166 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 3125 support level followed by 3100.
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HelenP. I Gold may enter to resistance zone and then start fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Not long ago, the price climbed into the support zone before making a corrective move down to the trend line. After that, it reversed and began rising within a wedge pattern, eventually reaching the support level, breaking through it, and continuing to move higher. Later, Gold surged into the resistance zone but soon faced a sharp correction back to the trend line. However, in a short time, it rebounded and returned to the resistance level. After another drop to the trend line, the price once again started climbing. Soon, Gold reached the resistance level and consolidated below it for some time before finally breaking through and touching the wedge’s resistance line. Following this movement, the price reversed and started declining. It attempted to recover but is currently trading below the resistance level. From my perspective, XAUUSD is likely to enter the resistance zone again before reversing and falling back to the trend line, which also acts as the wedge’s support. Given this outlook, I’ve set my target at 2915, close to the trend line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTC/USD: From $95K Surge to Critical $89K Support – What’s Next?Bitcoin's 6-hour chart shows that after our last analysis, the price successfully rallied from $95,000, reaching all three targets: $96,200, $97,600, and $101,700, yielding over 8% return.
Today, Bitcoin finally broke the $90,000 support after holding for several days, dropping to $86,000 before recovering to the $89,000 range. If the price stabilizes above $89,000 in the next two days, we could expect an upward move towards the next targets at $90,800, $93,800, and $98,000.
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GOLD (XAUUSD) | Key Pivot Holding – Breakout or Rejection?GOLD (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis – February 24, 2025
Bullish Consolidation Continues Near ATH Zone
Gold is maintaining stability above the key pivot zone at $2,935, indicating a potential breakout scenario. The price is currently consolidating within a narrow range, awaiting confirmation of the next move.
🔹 Bullish Scenario: A 4H close above $2,946 will strengthen the bullish case, with upside targets at $2,954 and $2,968. A further breakout above $2,974 could push the price toward the $3,000 psychological level.
🔹 Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold above $2,935 may trigger a pullback toward $2,918, with deeper support at $2,895 and $2,873.
Key Levels to Watch:
🔸 Resistance: $2,946 | $2,954 | $2,974
🔸 Pivot Zone: $2,935
🔸 Support: $2,918 | $2,895 | $2,873
⚠️ Directional Bias: As long as Gold remains above $2,935, the bullish momentum remains intact. However, a break below this level could shift sentiment bearish.
📊 Keep an eye on upcoming economic data and market sentiment for additional momentum.
SILVER Is Going Down! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 32.267.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 30.865 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Gold's Resilience: A Bounce Back from Key Support Demand ZoneGold has rallied off a key demand area of support as the US Dollar peaked and then retraced. This precious metal is currently navigating challenges stemming from forecasts regarding US interest rates and ongoing economic policies tied to the Trump administration.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell has indicated that the US economy is in "remarkably good" shape, which has bolstered the Dollar while putting downward pressure on Gold. However, analysis of the Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals that smart money remains positioned on the long side, suggesting that there is still potential for upward movement in Gold.
Despite its recent performance, Gold appears to be in a relatively oversold position, supported by favorable seasonal trends that could lead to a bullish outlook. The current demand area presents a crucial opportunity for Gold to retrace and gain momentum once again, making it an interesting point of observation for traders looking to capitalize on potential price recovery.
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Potential bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) is reacting off the pivot which lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as an overlap support.
Pivot: 2,953.33
1st Support: 2,882.38
1st Resistance: 2,979.66
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+200 pips Best Level to Short EURUSD from Resistance🔸Hello traders, let's review the H4 chart for EURUSD today. Trading
near premium prices of the multiweek range, closing in on heavy S/R
Currently risk/reward is shifting in bears favor, so it's recommended
to look for sell side setups in EURUSD.
🔸Premium prices at 0500/0535, below at 0225/0190. range highs 0470
and range lows set at 0250. trading near premium prices.
🔸Recommended strategy for EURUSD traders: focus on short selling any rips/rallies or short sell at market price EURUSD is currently trading near premium levels and is almost maxed out already, limited upside. TP1 bears +100 TP2 bears +200 pips final exit 0225 keep in mind this is a swing trade setup so naturally will take more time to complete / hit both targets. good luck traders!
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GOLD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GOLD pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 12H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 2,849.355 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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XAUUSD: 25/2 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3000, support below 2892.
Four-hour chart resistance 3000, support below 2921.
Gold operation suggestions: Gold fell first and then rose yesterday, ushering in a strong bull bottoming out and breaking through the high. The US market accelerated to break through the 2956 mark and was suppressed and fell back. It quickly fell and once broke through the 2940 mark to reach around 2930, stabilized and rebounded, and finally returned to 2950 and closed.
From the current 4-hour analysis, the support below continues to focus on the vicinity of 2921, and the short-term pressure above focuses on the 2950-55 line. Continue to sell high and buy low in this range, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Buy: 2930near. SL: 2925
Buy: 2921near. SL: 2915
Buy: 2892near. SL: 2888
Use small size, control risk
Gold H1 | Falling towards a multi-swing-low supportGold (XAU/USD) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 2,923.75 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss is at 2,914.00 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 2,946.51 which is an overlap resistance.
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Analysis of the latest trend of gold market on 2.24:
Analysis of gold news: On Monday, the international gold price continued to rise strongly driven by many uncertain factors, and once again set a new historical high. Although the minutes of the Federal Reserve's January meeting emphasized that the US economy is still facing inflationary pressure, the gold price has not been suppressed. Trump plans to impose a 25% tariff on imported cars and drugs, which will further increase the risk of trade friction and the market's risk aversion sentiment is high. On the whole, gold still has the potential to rise, but the short-term increase has been large, and investors need to be wary of the risk of large fluctuations at high levels. The market fundamentals were flat on Monday, and the US economic indicators had limited impact on the gold price. The market will continue to pay attention to tariff policies and geopolitical situations, and the interest rate decision in March is also approaching.
Analysis of gold technical aspects: After the gold price bottomed out during the day, it once again strongly broke through the 2930 line and stood firmly above this position. At present, the short-term moving average is arranged in a bullish pattern, which clearly shows that the bulls have a dominant advantage. The bulls maintain an upward trend of shocks, the Bollinger Bands open upward, and various indicators are running at high levels. From the perspective of short-term indicators, the gold price still has the momentum to rise.
However, it should be noted that the daily line has been oscillating in a high range for 4 consecutive trading days. This oscillating trend has both advantages and disadvantages for both long and short parties, and it is very likely to be a signal that the bulls have reached their peak. However, given that the gold price continued to rise after several pullbacks last week, there is also the possibility of a bull correction pattern. Therefore, it is recommended to start with the range shocks during the day, and once the market breaks through, it is necessary to leave the market in time. At present, the upper pressure level of gold is maintained at 2955, which can be regarded as the key suppression point of the short term; the lower support level is at 2920. Taken together, in terms of gold's short-term operation today, our professional and senior gold analyst team recommends to focus on longs on callbacks, supplemented by shorts on rebounds. The top short-term focus will be on the 2955-2960 first-line resistance, and the bottom short-term focus will be on the 2925-2920 first-line support.
2.24 Gold operation strategy reference:
Long order strategy:
Strategy 1: Go long (buy up) when gold pulls back to around 2920-2925, stop loss 2915, target around 2935-2945, break to see 2955 line;
Gold is due for a fallGold is due to retest 2914 late this week. Macro drivers have subsided. As of yet, there have been no tangible effects of the Trump tariffs or government reductions in the real economy. As for the dollar, while it is still strong, volatility is down. Markets are settling in to wait and see the effects of the Trump presidency. For this week, given the relatively light macro docket this, gold bulls are going to be less aggressive, while bears will see an opportunity to push prices lower. Also gold has been in a range for the last two weeks and sits in the upper part of that range. And the average range of Gold has been falling for the last five sessions. Price will retest the lower part of this range down to 2914.
Gold will touch $3000In a comment to Kitco News, Chris Mancini - Portfolio Manager of Gabelli Gold Fund (GOLDX) - said that Western investors are pouring into gold ETFs to hedge against economic or inflation risks due to the impact of tariffs. He also emphasized that investment demand still has room to continue to increase.
"Gold is acting as a hedge against the devaluation of the USD and other currencies," he said. “Tariff measures could accelerate this process as global commodity prices rise. In addition, if global central banks (including the US Federal Reserve - FED) reduce interest rates or pump money to combat economic weakness, prices will tend to increase, making gold more attractive to investors.
"The buyers still show no signs of slowing down and this week continues to be a strong candle on the weekly chart. I think there is a high possibility that gold will reach the 3,000 USD/ounce mark in the near future, but there can also be big fluctuations around that level."
Trade Idea : XAUUSD Long ( BUY LIMIT )Technical Analysis:
• Daily Chart:
• Strong uptrend with price near all-time highs.
• MACD is bullish with strong momentum.
• RSI at 71.76, slightly overbought, but trend continuation is likely.
• 15-Minute Chart:
• Bullish structure, price making higher highs and higher lows.
• MACD is positive, confirming upward momentum.
• RSI at 51.04, showing room for further upside.
• 3-Minute Chart:
• Short-term retracement but price is stabilizing.
• MACD is negative, indicating a possible dip before continuation.
• RSI at 41.60, approaching oversold levels, signaling a possible rebound.
Fundamental Analysis:
• Gold remains bullish due to:
• Market uncertainty (global economic instability).
• Strong demand for safe-haven assets.
• Weakening USD amid potential Fed rate cuts.
Entry: 2946 (Wait for price to stabilize after the short-term pullback on M3)
Stop Loss (SL): 2936 (Below recent support)
Take Profit (TP): 2966 (Near previous resistance)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 2:1
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower following news that Microsoft is reducing its data center leasing. This week, the weekly chart suggests strong selling pressure, meaning long positions should be approached with caution.
On the daily chart, yesterday’s bearish candle confirmed the MACD sell signal, though the signal line remains above the zero line. In a broader context, a potential bounce could occur near key technical levels, including the lower Bollinger Band, 120-day moving average, and previous resistance zones.
Two days ago, a large bearish candle formed, and yesterday’s price action provided an opportunity to sell at the 3-day moving average. However, the market failed to test the 3-day MA during pre-market, leading to a false impression that the daily close was rejected at resistance. This illustrates how a daily close can sometimes be misleading, reinforcing the need to plan for alternative scenarios.
Since selling was executed at the 3-day MA yesterday, today’s key resistance level shifts to the 5-day moving average. Given the wide gap between price and the 5-day MA, a short-term rebound toward this level is possible.
On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and signal line have moved below the zero line, confirming continued selling pressure. However, since the Nasdaq has now entered a key support zone from a previous range, a short-term bounce toward the 5-day MA is possible. Traders should be cautious with short positions and focus on range-bound strategies rather than chasing downside momentum.
Crude Oil
Crude oil gapped down but managed to close higher. Despite the ongoing MACD sell signal on the daily chart, oil held above the key $70 support level.
This week’s weekly close is critical—if oil can end the week with a bullish candle, it could set the stage for a potential reversal. Holding above $70 remains the key technical factor, as a breakdown below this level would signal further downside.
On the daily chart, if the market fails to extend lower and instead rebounds, a MACD double-bottom pattern could develop, reinforcing potential upside momentum. However, since market flows remain mixed, it is best to treat oil as range-bound until a decisive break occurs.
On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and signal line are below the zero line, but price action is attempting a temporary rebound. While selling into rallies remains the preferred approach, traders should be cautious of event-driven volatility, as news developments could trigger sudden moves.
The $70 level remains the key downside level to monitor—if it breaks, selling pressure could intensify. Risk management is crucial when taking long positions.
Gold
Gold briefly made new highs before closing flat within its range. On the daily chart, the buy signal remains intact, but today’s session will be crucial in determining whether gold can sustain its momentum or enter a consolidation phase.
The key factor to watch is whether gold finds support at the signal line and continues higher or if a bearish crossover forms, leading to a range-bound correction.
On the 240-minute chart, a bullish MACD crossover has occurred, but for the uptrend to be confirmed, a strong breakout candle is needed. Without a significant bullish move, gold risks forming a bearish divergence, meaning that even if price breaks to new highs, the MACD may fail to confirm the move.
Since market flows remain mixed, a range-trading approach remains most effective, with a focus on buying at strong support levels and avoiding breakout trades. Traders should remain flexible and manage risk carefully, as both upside and downside scenarios remain open.
Looking at VIX futures, a strong buy signal has emerged at the zero level. Historically, VIX buy signals near zero tend to generate large price swings, suggesting that Nasdaq volatility may increase significantly. This increases the likelihood of a sharp correction, making risk management a top priority.
Stay disciplined, manage risk carefully, and wishing you a successful trading day! 🚀
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