GOLD Continues Higher as Economic Policies Uncertainty As you can see in the chart, GOLD still climbs higher and higher. Now, i see 2753-2757 as resistance for safe haven commodities. I think gold price now just overbought and have some potential correction movement to 2732.xx
Traders and investor may look at the end of January when the FED give speeches about their outlook. If the say they wouldn't cut interest rate in next few month the gold price probably could fall down due to FED's high interest rate.
Metals
Silver's Bullish Momentum: Can It Rally Another +12.14%?Hey Realistic Traders, A lot of uncertainty looms after Donald Trump was officially sworn in as President. Will Safe Haven Assets, such as OANDA:XAGUSD Rise Again?
Let's dive into the analysis...
Silver has tested the EMA-200 line more than twice in the past year. This retracement often signals a strong bullish trend.
On the daily chart, Silver has formed a falling wedge pattern, followed by a breakout. The breakout, combined with a bullish MACD crossover, suggests the trend is likely to continue upward.
Based on these technical indicators, the price is projected to rise toward Target 1 at $33.0811 or potentially Target 2 at $34.5649, as long as it stays above the critical stop-loss level of $28.7040
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"Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Silver".
XAUUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 2,757.98, which aligns with a strong resistance level and the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. This level is expected to act as a potential reversal point in the bearish setup.
Our take profit is set at 2,727.65, a key support level where price may find buying interest.
The stop loss is placed at 2,788.49, above the previous swing high, providing room for price fluctuations while ensuring the bearish setup remains valid.
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Approaching 2,750 USD, the prospect of a new bull cycleInfluenced by Trump's tariff threats, investors flocked to the safe-haven asset gold. Gold prices soared to their highest level in more than two months. As of the time of writing, spot gold was trading at 2,749 USD/oz, an increase equivalent to 0.17% on the day and close to the target level of 2,750 USD.
US President Trump said he is considering imposing 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada: "I think we will do this on February 1."
According to Reuters, Trump confirmed that general tariffs on all US imports are also being considered and will be implemented at a later stage. During Trump's election campaign, he proposed a "comprehensive tariff" of 10% to 20% on all imported goods.
Trump also threatened to impose tariffs on the continent soon, saying he would "resolve the deficit with the EU by imposing tariffs or asking the EU to buy our oil and gas".
Trump's sweeping trade tariffs are expected to spur further inflation and spark a trade war, which could increase gold's safe-haven appeal.
Looking back at history in 2017, the first year of Trump's final term in the White House, gold prices rose 13%, marking the best year in seven years.
In addition, the US Dollar index fell sharply from its peak on Tuesday and only recovered slightly at the beginning of today's Asian trading session Wednesday, January 22 which is also considered a favorable condition for prices. Yellow.
In the Middle East, the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas stalled when Israeli forces began operations in the West Bank city of Jenin. In response, Hamas called for an escalation of fighting against Israel.
Gold is considered a safe investment in times of economic and geopolitical instability, and this Middle East factor is also seen as a supportive factor for gold prices in the current context.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold achieved a target gain at $2,730 then broke out and approached the next target loss at $2,750.
In the short term, if gold continues to break above $2,750 it is likely to continue its uptrend with a target that could be an all-time high.
In terms of conditions, gold still has the main prospect of rising prices with the green price channel as the main trend, main support from EMA21 and the Relative Strength Index RSI showing that there is still wide room for growth in the market. front.
During the day, as long as gold remains above the green price channel, it remains bullish with expectations for a new bull run once $2,750 is broken and notable levels will be listed again as follows.
Support: 2,730 – 2,725USD
Resistance: 2,750 – 2,790USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2773 - 2771⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2777
→Take Profit 1 2766
↨
→Take Profit 2 2761
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2708 - 2710⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2704
→Take Profit 1 2715
↨
→Take Profit 2 2720
Gold hits key resistanceMarkets are focused on the policies of US President Donald Trump, who took office on Monday. Bloomberg reported: “Trump’s policies have caused volatility in markets, traders are heeding warnings about currencies...
Trump announced plans to impose tariffs of up to 25% on products imported from Mexico and Canada by February 1. He also promised to accelerate US energy development and lift restrictions on oil drilling in most of the US coast.
Asian and European stock markets traded mixed overnight. US stock indexes are expected to open higher and hit two-week highs when trading in New York begins.
In key overseas markets, Nymex crude oil futures fell sharply, trading around $76.00 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury note is currently at 4.582%. There is no major US economic data due on Tuesday.
Technically, the February gold futures are tilted to the upside, giving the short-term bulls an advantage. The buyers’ objective is to push the price above the key resistance at the December high of $2,761.30. Conversely, the sellers want to push the price below the strong support at $2,650.00.
Gold---> Change in fundamentals. Strong resistanceDear friends, what are your thoughts on gold?
Overall, gold has seen a significant increase yesterday, with a price rise surpassing the 2720 level. It is currently trading at a new high of 2728, showing strong gains for the day. So what reasons and factors have driven this?
Regarding the influencing factors: Safe-haven money flows have strengthened following statements about tariff policies from former President Trump, along with expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will continue to cut interest rates. These factors have put pressure on US Treasury yields, creating positive momentum for gold. However, risks from the mild recovery of the USD and optimistic risk sentiment in the market are somewhat restraining stronger upward momentum.
Regarding new prospects for gold: On the H4 chart, according to Joe's personal view, gold is currently receiving strong support at 2620. Breaking below this level would lead to price decreases, while maintaining it would result in price increases. Upon careful observation, it's noteworthy that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trending downward in the bullish zone, indicating potential momentum changes and the revival of correction possibilities. If a correction occurs, we cannot rule out the possibility that gold will utilize short-term momentum to test the area of interest at the upper boundary within the bullish channel, from which a decline may occur.
Best regards, Joegoldwave!
GOLD → A very strong uptrend may get its continuationOANDA:XAUUSD is rising due to heightened geopolitical and political risks. A strong bullish trend is forming, where the price is testing the strong resistance level of 2726 and creating a false breakout of this resistance.
The upward movement is gaining momentum following threats of tariffs by Trump, which have added to the negative market sentiment regarding risk. Trump has proposed imposing tariffs on Mexico and Canada, as well as the EU and China, if trade agreements are not reached. These threats are supporting the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. However, the strengthening U.S. dollar and expectations of a Fed rate cut are limiting gold's further upward momentum. Trading in the coming days will depend on the overall market sentiment and Trump's tariff discussions.
From a technical perspective, the false breakout of such a strong resistance level could temporarily slow the growth rate and lead to price consolidation or correction. However, there are technical nuances to consider.
Currently, it's important to note the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (2716) and the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level (2711). These are significant liquidity zones that could prevent a deeper correction and push gold back into its bullish trend. A retest of the local highs at 2726 - 2732 would signal that the metal is ready for further upward movement.
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ
The NASDAQ closed higher, combining two days of movement into one candle. As anticipated, it rose during the pre-market session but declined during the main session. The daily chart formed a bullish candle, confirming yesterday's buy signal. The bullish trend on the daily chart is likely to continue, but with the current significant gap between the 3-day and 5-day moving averages, a pullback followed by renewed buying pressure is expected.
It is essential to focus on dip-buying rather than chasing prices. However, keep in mind that the weekly chart still shows a sell signal, and both the MACD and signal line on the daily chart remain below the zero line, indicating the possibility of a reversal to a bearish wave at any time.
On the 240-minute chart, the buy signal is intact, and the upward trend continues. However, there is no significant improvement in market liquidity. A strong bullish candle that breaks the box range is needed, but such a move has not yet materialized. Therefore, pre-market sessions may show mixed movements. Selling at resistance levels for box-range trading is advisable. Be mindful of potential volatility due to executive orders from President Trump, which could lead to sharp price swings.
CRUDE OIL
Crude oil closed lower, finding support at the $75 level. As mentioned previously, the $74–$75 range aligns with the 5-day moving average on the weekly chart and serves as a critical support zone, making it a favorable area for dip-buying.
With a 400-tick drop from the $79 high and no dead cross between the MACD and signal line on the daily chart, there is a high probability that oil will rebound as the MACD supports the signal line. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD and signal line have dipped below the zero line, which could accelerate selling momentum. However, the 60-period moving average on the 240-minute chart continues to slope upward, suggesting that selling should be avoided and buying at key support levels is a better approach.
GOLD
Gold closed higher, leaving a lower wick near key support levels. On the weekly chart, resistance remains overhead, but the daily chart indicates that the trend could continue upward, making dip-buying a favorable strategy.
The MACD and signal line on the daily chart remain in an upward trajectory, and a breakout above the 2760 resistance level could open the way to 2780. On shorter timeframes, consolidation followed by a golden cross of the MACD and signal line is evident, while the 240-minute chart has also confirmed a golden cross.
Although further upside is likely, the significant divergence between the MACD and its previous peaks on the 240-minute chart increases the probability of divergence after a substantial rally. Therefore, refrain from chasing prices after a sharp rise and instead focus on buying dips near key support levels while monitoring the breakout above 2760.
Market volatility is intensifying due to President Trump’s remarks. Similar patterns were observed during his first term, as his statements, often made via social media, caused significant fluctuations in the futures markets. Ensure proper stop-loss levels and manage risks carefully in this volatile environment.
■Trading Strategies for Today
NASDAQ - Range-bound Market
-Buy: 21770 / 21710 / 21630 / 21590 / 21530
-Sell: 21880 / 21940 / 22040 / 22110
Crude Oil - Bullish Market
-Buy: 75.10 / 74.60 / 73.60 / 73.00
-Sell: 76.30 / 76.70 / 77.10 / 77.50
Gold - Bullish Market
-Buy: 2751 / 2743 / 2738 / 2731
-Sell: 2767 / 2777 / 2782 / 2787
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
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Gold and Silver Are Gearing Up For Higher PricesKicking off my 2025 posts with a positive outlook on Silver and Gold prices! 😊
Over the past three months, I’ve highlighted the "Nice areas" that have held prices well for both gold and silver. Hopefully, you’ve found those levels useful so far.
So, what’s next? 🤷🏻
In this post, I’ll focus more on technical analysis.
If gold closes above $2,740 this week, I’d expect its movement to follow the orange line I’ve drawn on the chart. My target is $2,850 to $2,900, which I hope to see reached within the next three months. However, I’d also like to see a brief revisit to the area below $2,700 before that move.
For silver, I’m looking for a strong close above $32.30. Only if that happens, I’d view any corrections as a great opportunity to add to my position, targeting $36. Ideally, I’d love to see this happen by the first week of March.
Note: Never try to time the market. The timeframes I mention are based on the seasonality patterns of Gold and Silver and don’t hold significant weight in my analysis.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 1-21-25 : Cycle Top FormationThis video highlights my cycle research and why I believe the US markets are very close to a market top right now.
My research suggests the US markets would rally into the Inauguration and reach a peak near Jan 20-22. I believe the markets are very close to a market top right now, and there is limited opportunity to the upside currently.
I believe there is a bigger opportunity for a pullback in the SPY target 578 to 585 (roughly), where I believe the SPY will find support.
Gold & Silver should continue to price in additional risks and rally over the next 3+ weeks. I believe Gold will target $2880, then stall a bit before rallying up above $3000. Silver should target $33.50 to $34.25 at the same time.
Bitcoin continues to be range-bound. At this time, I believe the most logical outcome for BTCUSD is a breakdown attempt until the US settles on deregulation policies.
Let's see how this plays out over the next few days/weeks.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
PALLADIUM - Key zone to Watch for the Next MoveOANDA:XPDUSD is present in a key resistance zone, a level that has previously acted as a turning point for strong bearish reversals. The recent upward momentum leading into this zone increases the probability of heightened selling interest.
This could set the stage for a potential decline toward the 957.900 level. But If the resistance is decisively broken, it could mean further bullish advances, suggesting a continuation of the upward trend.
In other words, XPD/USD is at a critical point, with the resistance zone likely to determine the market's next direction.
-Price to watch 957.900,
-A breakout would indicate further bullish continuation.
Remain disciplined, wait for definitive confirmation before entering positions. This shows the importance of careful analysis and adherence to trading plans.
GOLD Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD broke the key
Horizontal level of 2726$
While trading in an uptrend
And the breakout is confirmed
So we are bullish biased and
After a potential correction
And a retest of the new support
We will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
XAUUSD: Channel Up in need of a pullback.Gold is on an excellent bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 65.521, MACD = 20.810, ADX = 45.124) that highlights the uptrend provided by the Channel Up pattern since the start of the year. Having the 4H MA50 as the first support level, every time the price hit the pattern's top for a HH, it pulled back for 3 days to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. Consequently, our aim is that level (TP = 2,720) but we will take profit earlier if the 4H RSI hits its HL trendline first.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Gold at the Top of the ascending channel,a price correction?!As you can see in the gold chart, the price has reached the top of the ascending channel and at this point in the past of the market there is also a very important static resistance (around $2750) which can correct the price of gold in the short term.
Potential bullish rise?COPPER has reacted off the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 4.2584
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 4.1845
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 4.4151
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GOLD BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅GOLD is trading in an
Uptrend and the price broke
A strong key horizontal level
Of 2720$ and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
After a potential local pullback
LONG🚀
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GOLD → A very strong uptrend may get its continuationFX:XAUUSD is rising due to high geopolitical and political risks. A strong bullish trend is forming, within which the price tests the strong resistance 2726 and draws a false break of the resistance...
The rise is shaping up more on the back of Trump's threats on tariffs, adding to the risk-negative sentiment in the markets. Trump has proposed imposing tariffs on Mexico and Canada, as well as the EU and China, if a trade agreement is not reached. These threats are supporting demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. However, the strengthening dollar and expectations of Fed rate cuts are limiting further upside for gold. Trading in the coming days will depend on the general market atmosphere and Trump's tariff discussions.
Technically, a false break of such a strong resistance could temporarily slow the growth and move the price into correction or consolidation, but there are nuances of technical...
Resistance levels: 2721, 2726, 2761
Support levels: 2703, 2697, 2690
At the moment it is worth paying attention to 0.5 fibo (2717) and 0.7-0.79 fibo. These are quite strong and important liquidity zones that can stop the correction and bring gold back to the uptrend. A retest of the local high of 2726 - 2732 will hint at the readiness of the metal to go even higher.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Once again a PIPTASTIC day on the markets with our analysis playing out perfectly!! Clean calls, clean setups and clean finish!!!
Yesterday after completing the bearish target, we stated that no lock below confirmed the rejection and bounce and that we were heading towards our Bullish target at 2717.
- This played out perfectly with 2717 being hit during Tokyo session. We then got ema5 lock above 2717 opening 2737, which was also hit completing the target. We will now look for ema5 lock above 2737 for a continuation or failure to lock will follow with a rejection into lower Goldturns for support.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2717 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2717 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2737 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2737 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2753
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2753 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2768
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2768 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2786
BEARISH TARGETS
2696 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2696 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2675
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2675 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2661 - 2647
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2647 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2632 - 2618
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD (XAUUSD) Extraordinary SELL ComingGold (XAU/USD) Trading Signal and Analysis
Current Price: 2,743 USD
Sentiment: Bullish momentum continues despite potential volatility linked to macroeconomic factors, including Trump's return and increased demand for safe-haven assets by financial institutions.
Technical Outlook:
The price is currently testing a high zone between 2,743 and 2,751, approaching the upper boundary of its recent bullish range.
A retracement is anticipated, targeting at least 30% of Fibonacci retracement, aligning with a move toward the lower band of the Bollinger Band.
Signal:
Sell Zone: Enter short positions between 2,743 and 2,751.
Target: Aim for a price level near 2,670 on higher timeframes.
Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss according to your portfolio risk tolerance. Position it slightly above 2,760 to account for potential breakouts.
Analysis and Strategy:
Macro Factors: Bullish pressure is driven by demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. However, retracement is expected due to market corrections and profit-taking.
Technical Indicators:
Anticipated correction aligns with Fibonacci 30% retracement.
Bollinger Bands suggest a possible pullback towards the lower band as price reverts to the mean.
Support:
Support Zones: 2,670, with a minor level at 2,680.
Resistance Zones: 2,751–2,760.
Recommendation: Use position sizing and stop-loss placement that align with your portfolio's risk management strategy. Adjust take-profit targets if momentum extends the retracement.
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