SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 4-23 : Rally-111 PatternToday's pattern really showed up pre-market.
Where was the rally today? It happened before the US markets opened for business.
The SPY/QQQ had already moved up into my upper resistance area on strong buying overnight.
I knew I had to run my father around most of the day, so I booked my profits this morning and tried to catch one little SPY rally (that didn't work out).
So, I started taking some positions for next week's potential downtrend, and I thought, "How much risk am I taking on these trades if the markets continue to move upward?"
I realized I would be taking about $1000 to $1400 in total risk, but my expiration date is near May 16. So my target for any profit really needs to be before May 10th or so.
If the markets do what I expect, I'll be sitting back, watching my profits grow as the markets trend downward into my May 2 Major Bottom (I hope).
I created this video to highlight the now partially confirmed inverted EPP pattern that setup the Ultimate High in early trading today.
Now that we've completed the inverted EPP pattern, we should be looking for the ES/SPY/QQQ to move downward, shift into a sideways/upward price flag. Then, break down into the new Consolidation phase.
Essentially, if my EPP patterns play out well, I timed my move away from longs/calls and into shorts/puts almost perfectly. Now, I just need to sit back and wait for the markets to make a move.
This is what trading is all about. You can't kick the markets to do what you want them to do. You have to learn to take what the markets give you and fall in line with market trends.
When you do that well, profits start to fall into your lap (if you are patient).
Follow along as I break down these market trends and learn how to develop your own skills.
GET SOME.
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Metals
Gold Drops $200 in Hours – Panic or Opportunity? 📌 Gold Plunges $200 – Volatility Surges Amid Fed Signals and Market Panic 🔥📉
📰 What Just Happened?
Yesterday, gold (XAU/USD) experienced one of its sharpest intraday drops in recent months, tumbling from the all-time high around $3,500 to as low as $3,318, losing nearly $200 in just a few hours.
This marked a significant correction following an extended bullish trend.
🔍 Key Drivers Behind the Crash
Fed-related commentary spurred aggressive profit-taking across the market.
The USD staged a technical rebound, exerting downward pressure on gold.
Rapid sentiment shifts triggered panic selling and liquidation flows.
🧭 What’s Next for Gold?
The $3,300–3,320 zone is now a crucial support — if this level holds, a technical recovery could unfold.
However, a break below $3,300 may expose gold to deeper downside targets near $3,250.
⚠️ Strategic Considerations
This is a high-volatility environment — flexibility and strict risk management are key.
Current sentiment is fragile. Unpredictable political headlines and mixed Fed signals are adding to the uncertainty.
In the latest development, Trump clarified he has no intention to fire the Fed Chair and hinted that China’s tariffs could be eased slightly — but not eliminated. These mixed messages continue to create sharp swings in price.
📊 Trade Plan
🔻 SELL ZONE #1:
Entry: 3,378 – 3,380
Stop Loss: 3,384
Take Profits: 3,374 → 3,370 → 3,366 → 3,362 → 3,358 → 3,350
🔻 SELL ZONE #2:
Entry: 3,408 – 3,410
Stop Loss: 3,414
Take Profits: 3,404 → 3,400 → 3,396 → 3,392 → 3,386 → 3,380
🟢 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3,292 – 3,290
Stop Loss: 3,286
Take Profits: 3,296 → 3,300 → 3,304 → 3,308 → 3,312 → 3,316 → 3,320
The priority remains to sell into rallies near resistance while the downtrend unfolds. All trades should be protected with tight stop-losses, given the current unpredictability.
🧠 Key Takeaways
This is not a market for guessing — wait for price confirmation at key zones.
Focus on reaction zones, not forecasts.
Stay light, stay nimble, and manage risk carefully — news-driven volatility is at its peak.
💬 How are you positioning in this volatile gold market? Waiting for the bounce or selling the rallies? Let us know below! 👇👇👇
Gold: Correction Before Another ATH?Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 3220 zone, Gold is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 3220 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
XAUUSD Market Update – April 23, 2025“Bulls Are Alive, But Not Rushing – Gold Builds in Discount Trenches 🏗️🟢”
🔍 Macro + Context
HTF Bias: Still bullish. Daily candle shows strong rejection wick from below 3280 → bulls defending structure.
LTF Flow: Bearish → Clean CHoCH + BOS chain (H1–M15) from 3455 ATH zone → currently building base.
Current Price: ~3294
RSI: Starting to climb from oversold on M15–M30 → first hints of a potential shift.
📈 Confirmed Structural Updates
🔻 Sell Zones (Premium)
Zone Range Type Confluences
🔴 3450–3455 ATH Supply HTF OB + 1.618 Fibo Liquidity + Rejection Block
🔴 3414–3422 NY Session OB Retest Zone M30 OB + Last Reaction High
🟠 3380–3395 Flip Zone H1–M30 Rejection Block EMA Lock + FVG + CHoCH
🟢 Buy Zones (Discount)
Zone Range Type Confluences
🟢 3280–3288 LTF Demand Reentry Zone M5-M15 OB + Recent Wick Defense
💚 3220–3235 HTF Demand Stronger Demand Zone H4 OB + D1 EQ zone + Weekly Pivot
🔵 3170–3190 Extreme Discount Long-Term Zone Untapped FVG + D1 OB
⚙️ Current Price Action
📍Price rejected perfectly from the 3260s → defended with strong wick, now reclaiming M15 internal CHoCH.
🟣 M5 showing micro BOS + reclaim of 9EMA → potential for bullish continuation toward 3320–3333.
⚠️ Flip Zone at 3380–3395 remains a major short-term decision level. If price breaks above it, we’ll be in recovery mode toward 3415.
🎯 Session Outlook
Buyers in control short-term if price holds above 3280.
Next key reaction expected at 3320–3333 minor resistance → if broken, bulls might retest 3385+.
Sellers may reengage hard at 3380–3395 or above (3422, 3455).
🧠 Smart Money Snapshot
🟢 Liquidity swept below 3280 = engineered low
🟠 Internal CHoCH on M5 confirmed → LTF bullish short-term
🔴 Next sell interest likely around 3385 or 3415 unless HTF flips bullish again
XAUUSD – News & Risk Preview for April 24, 2025
Claims & Chaos?🧨📉📈
🔍 What’s Coming:
🧾 Unemployment Claims (USD) – 14:30 UTC+2
➤ Expected spike in volatility. Watch for algo-driven whipsaws if numbers surprise (especially under 200k or above 250k).
➤ Low claims = strong USD = potential XAU drop.
🧠 Tactical Advice for Thursday:
Avoid full-size entries→ spikes can violate structure briefly before returning.
Focus on reaction-based trades: let price show direction after the event, then join.
Best plan: pre-mark levels now, react later.
🗣️ Final Note
This market update reflects structure-only precision, no emotional bias. If bulls want back in, 3280–3290 is the launchpad. If not, sellers are watching 3385+ like hawks. 🦅
$BTC Tracks $GOLD Very Closely With 12-Week LeadCould it really be this simple?
Maybe we can just throw Global M2 out the window and track TVC:GOLD with a 12-Week Lead.
Someone pointed this out to me yesterday when I posted Gold's near 1/1 tracking with Global M2.
*Note the deviation in CRYPTOCAP:BTC PA from the ETF hype.
XAUUSD Gold Possible Move 23.04.2025Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis – April 23, 2025
The market is currently showing bearish momentum following a retracement from the recent highs near the 3,500 mark. Price is now approaching key Fibonacci levels, presenting potential shorting opportunities for intraday and swing traders.
Key Levels to Watch:
📉 Short Opportunity 1:
Zone: 3400-3410 USD (Fibonacci 0.5 to 0.618)
Analysis: This is a premium supply zone and a retracement area aligning with the Fibonacci golden pocket. If the price revisits this region and shows bearish confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, rejections, or lower timeframe structure break), it's a high-probability short entry zone.
Signal: Look for price rejection patterns in this zone to initiate a short position.
Stop-Loss: 3,430
Target: 3,292 initially, then lower if structure breaks
📉 Short Opportunity 2 (Breakout Trade):
Zone: 3,292 – 3,300 USD (Major Support)
Analysis: This is a major support zone. A clean break below and successful retest from underneath would signal continuation to the downside.
Signal: Wait for a break and retest below 3,292 for confirmation before entering short.
Stop-Loss: Above 3,300 on retest
Target: 3,240 and potentially 3,215 – 3,220 zone
Overall Bias:
Bearish below 3,396. Price action confirms lower highs and lower lows. Structure supports selling rallies or breakdowns.
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone,
After updating our 1H and 4h chart idea last two days, please see update on our daily chart idea also playing out perfectly.
On our last update we stated that we were seeing price break out of the channel but will need ema5 to lock outside of the channel to confirm the breakout into the next level.
We got the candle body above 3297 and ema5 lock opening 3433 - This was hit perfectly completing this target. No further close above this level confirmed the rejection.
We are now looking for support above the channel top for a continuation or a ema5 lock inside the channel will see price play back into the channel levels.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops from rejections, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Analysis of the latest gold trend and trading layoutThe uncertainty of the current tariff policy remains the focus of market attention. Gold has shown signs of easing recently, but a specific agreement has not yet been implemented, and market concerns about potential risks remain. This uncertainty puts pressure on the US dollar, and as a safe-haven asset, the price of gold may face correction pressure when risk appetite rebounds. From a technical point of view, the 4-hour trend of gold shows a volatile downward trend, and the price rebounded only after hitting the previous support level, indicating that short-term short forces are still dominant. In terms of hourly trend, the price of gold maintains a low and narrow range of fluctuations and lacks rebound momentum. The upper resistance is currently at 3295-3300, and the lower support is at 3250-3245. In terms of operation, it is recommended to do long callbacks in late trading, supplemented by rebounds from high altitudes.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to go long in the callback of 3233-3227, stop loss 3220, and the target is 3260-3285.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to go short in the rebound of 3315-3320, stop loss 3327, and the target is 3290-3260.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
$GLD short term top in $260-148 target on the downsideAMEX:GLD looks a bit extended here. I could see the possibility of GLD falling back to the $260 support at a minimum and maximum all the way down to $148
The $209 support would be the 50% retracement of the recent run. I like that as a level for a bounce.
Let's see where we end up.
Silver Update – April Rollercoaster Ends in Bullish Setup?What a month it has been for Silver also!
In early April, the metal broke down from a rising wedge pattern, triggering a waterfall drop of around 6,000 pips. The plunge took us right into the 28 zone, but the reversal that followed was nothing short of spectacular.
In just two trading days, Silver rocketed back above the key 30 level, and the rally didn’t stop there. By mid-month, it reclaimed the 32 support – a level previously broken during the drop.
📉 Last week, however, price action turned quiet compared to the volatility in Gold, with Silver entering a tight consolidation.
But here’s the key point:
➡️ Despite the sharp early-month drop, the structure is now bullish again and remains so as long as 32 holds.
💡 Trading Plan:
I'm looking to buy dips near 32 in anticipation of a breakout above 33.15 – the upper boundary of the recent consolidation.
If that level gives way, Silver could accelerate its gains and make a new attempt toward 35.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
$SLV pullback before the real bull trend starts?Silver looks to be trading in a large rising wedge, I could see the possibility of a pretty substantial pullback should price break down from the pattern.
We have the potential to fall between 30-60% from here should price break the pattern. The level to look for is a break of $22 on the downside, that will be the confirmation that we're moving lower.
I've marked off important support levels on the downside if we break down. A break of the upper resistance would invalidate the idea.
eurusd h1 best level to buy/hold +140 pips🏆 EURUSD Market Update
📊 Technical Outlook
🔸Short-term: BEARS 1280
🔸Mid-term: BULLS 1420
🔸Status: REVERSAL from S/R
🔸pullback in progress right now
🔸expecting bounce at key s/r
🔸Price Target Bears: 1280
🔸Price Target BULLS: 1420
🔸strategy: BUY LOW exit 1420
🔸+140 pips on BUY side
Gold extends slump as risk assets rallyGold has extended its slump, now off by more than $230 (-6.5%) from yesterday's record high of $3.5K. Unwinding of "Sell America" trades continue as risk assets rally on Trump's trade optimism.
Key levels to watch
With short-term support broken at $3,342, this level has already turned into resistance.
The next support was at $3,284. This level has just been taken out. Therefore, we could this level turn into resistance in the next few hours.
Untested old resistance at $3,245 is now the next downside objective. Below that $3,200 and then $3,167 (old resistance).
How to trade gold?
Trade gold from level to level, as it unwinds from significantly overbought levels. Could be a while before it starts trending higher again. Equally, given the long-term bullish trend, the bears should be looking to book profit some profit at every potentially key support.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
GOLD - $6,200+ BULL RUN?! (MONTHLY TF)I believe we’re in for another huge bull run towards Wave 5 ($6,200), after a Wave 4 correction towards $2,800. Waiting on a final move down to liquidate late buyers.
Confluences👇
⭕️Wave 3 Peaked at Psychological Number of $2,500 (LQ Point).
⭕️Wave 4 & 5 Pending.
⭕️Overbought Market Conditions.
Hanzo | Gold15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Gold – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
———————
💯 Main Focus: Bearish after Breakout at 3290
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
💯 Main Focus: Bullish after Breakout at 3360
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
———
🩸 15M Time Frame Analysis
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab
—
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 3440
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 3470
Strong Rejection from 3100 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 3240 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 3200 – The Ultimate Pivot
🔥Key Level / Equal Area
—
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 3195
Key Level / Equal High Formation - 3245
X6 Retest Valid Key level - 3239
X6 Retest Valid Key level - 3212
👌 The Market Has Spoken – Are You Ready to Strike?
Gold Eiffel Tower The GOLD GTFO is still in play.
What saved Gold was the stopping for the market crash when Trumnpchenko manipulated the markets. Had the crash continued Gold would have crashed with it. As it is the last safe haven for money to pile into and people just give up and sell everything in sight.
If you were an early buyer of gold and sold above $3,000 then you have a nice 50% gain.
Take your money and RUN! All the way to the bank! Don't be a dick for a tick. If you are then you will ride it all the way back down.
When will it top no one can know. But what pros do is take their money and RUN! So be a pro! ;)
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GOLD - $6,200+ BULL RUN?! (MONTHLY TF)I believe we’re in for another huge bull run towards Wave 5 ($6,200), after a Wave 4 correction towards $2,800. Waiting on a final move down to liquidate late buyers.
Confluences👇
⭕️Wave 3 Peaked at Psychological Number of $2,500 (LQ Point).
⭕️Wave 4 & 5 Pending.
⭕️Overbought Market Conditions.
XAUUSD: 23/4 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
The resistance level of the four-hour chart is 3400, and the support level is 3285
The resistance level of the one-hour chart is 3371, and the support level is 3300
The resistance level of the 30-minute chart is 3350, and the support level is 3300.
The current gold price is short-term bearish.
The Asian session continued to break through 3300, falling to 3291.8, and then rebounded quickly. If the price falls below the 3300 integer mark again, it may further fall to 3285. After breaking the support of 3285, it will continue to test 3245.
If the price rebounds and breaks through the previous high resistance level of 3350 US dollars, the short-term trend may turn bullish.
Sell: 3350near SL:3355
Sell: 3285near SL:3290
Buy: 3300near SL:3295