SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-19 : Top PatternToday, we should expect the SPY/QQQ to move a bit higher - trying to form a short-term top before price rolls downward again.
I urge traders to stay very cautious of early trending and look for a bigger opportunity later in the day as price rolls downward.
Gold and Silver are struggling. I still believe Gold and Silver will rally higher as fear elevates. But right now - that is not happening.
I need to see Gold and Silver move away from this panic selling before I can become move convinced of a trend.
Stay cautious if you are trying to trade Gold and Silver right now.
Bitcoin is moving through an EPP pattern very cleanly - actually a DUAL EPP pattern.
$95-$99k should be the downside price target throughout this move.
Get some.
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Metals
XAUUSDXAUUSD is in a correction phase at the resistance zone of 2621-2631. If the price cannot break through the 2631 level, it is expected that the price will drop. Consider selling in the red zone.
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Gold Drops $65 as Bearish Momentum Dominates Post-Fed DecisionGold Technical Analysis
Gold prices dropped approximately $65 yesterday following the Federal Reserve's rate decision. The market continues to exhibit bearish momentum as long as it trades below 2623 and 2612, targeting 2585. A break below 2585, confirmed by a 1-hour or 4-hour candle close, could push the price further down to 2558.
The gold market is expected to remain volatile, with the upcoming GDP report playing a crucial role:
If GDP comes in below the expected 2.8%, this could support a bullish move.
If GDP exceeds 2.8%, this could reinforce the bearish trend.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 2612
Resistance Levels: 2623, 2638, 2653
Support Levels: 2585, 2572, 2558
Trend Outlook
Bearish below 2623 and 2612
Bullish above 2623
Gold - TRIO RETEST!Dear TradingView community and fellow traders,
I find the daily chart for Gold to be interesting as it appears to be forming one of my favorite patterns. What I call TRIO RETEST
Here is why the blue circle is a strong zone to keep an eye on:
1️⃣ => Overall Trend
Gold has been bullish long-term trading inside the rising broadening wedge in blue and now approaching the lower blue bound / trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
2️⃣ => Round Number
The $2,500 marked in green is a strong round number.
3️⃣ => Oversold Zone
Gold is bearish short-term trading inside the falling channel in red and now approaching the lower red trendline which I consider an oversold zone.
As per my trading style:
As Gold approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break, and so on...)
📚 Hope you find this post useful. It's important to always adhere to your trading plan, including entry points, risk management strategies, and trade management techniques.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard
Disclaimer: The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. It is important to do your own research and make informed decisions before entering any trades. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always be aware of the potential for losses, and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
GOLD: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
GOLD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry Point - 2619.7
Stop Loss - 2595.8
Take Profit - 2662.4
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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THE KOG REPORT - FOMC THE KOG REPORT – FOMC
This is our view for FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price.
For this FOMC we have the following key levels which need to be monitored and can be used for potential spikes. 2630-25 support, which is too close to target from here could give us that push upside into the higher levels of 2650-55 and above that 2660-65. It’s that higher region we will want to be watching closely for a potential RIP and opportunity to then short back down as shown on the chart. Immediate levels are no good to us here if there is exaggerated volume in the markets on the release, or the press conference 30mins after.
On the flip, if we continue the move downside breaking through the 2630 level we will be looking lower, 2610 as the point of interest but the extension of the move into the 2590-95 region is where we will want to be to waiting for the RIP and potential opportunities to then long back up.
Simple one this time, if we don’t get the levels, we want we’ll stay out of it and come back tomorrow to look for a decent set up.
Our bias target at 2667 still remains so please play caution.
RED BOXES:
Break above 2640 for 2650, 2660 and above that 2668
Break below 2625 for 2610, 2596
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD: Assessing Recent Market Shifts and Future OutlookFollowing a significant drop triggered by the recent USD economic news, gold prices have begun an intraday recovery from a one-month low of approximately $2,602 as I write this article. The global risk sentiment has notably deteriorated in response to the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance announced on Wednesday. Geopolitical uncertainties and concerns regarding trade conflicts have also contributed to heightened demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
From a technical perspective, the bearish momentum does not appear to be over. There exists the possibility that gold prices could experience a pullback, potentially retesting a previous demand zone that may provide some support.
Furthermore, the Fed’s indication to decelerate the pace of interest rate cuts has resulted in rising yields on US Treasury bonds, which typically strengthens the US dollar. This dynamic may serve to limit any further upward movement for gold, which does not yield interest, making it less attractive in comparison to interest-bearing assets. As a result, traders with bullish positions should exercise caution as the market navigates these complex influences.
Previous Forecast :
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Gold Long 4HThis is a Trade Idea Based on Pullback Levels and Golden zone of Fib, I'm looking for a buy opportunity around the 2633-2630 range on the 4-hour chart. To enter this trade, confirmation is essential. I'm looking for confirmation on a lower time frame, such as the 30-minute chart. An ideal confirmation would form a 'W' pattern, preferably with a higher low in the second leg.
GOLD BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
GOLD downtrend evident from the last 1W red candle makes longs trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 2,698.246 area still presents a good opportunity for us to buy the pair because the support line is nearby and the BB lower band is close which indicates the oversold state of the GOLD pair.
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Silver H4 | Rising into pullback resistanceSilver (XAG/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 29.79 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 30.90 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 28.86 which is an overlap support.
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Could the price reverse from here?The Gold (XAU/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 2,627.26
1st Support: 2,585.13
1st Resistance: 2,664.57
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GOLD: Technical Trends and Fed Meeting Impact AheadGold remains relatively stable, hovering around $2,644 on Wednesday as I draft this article. This follows a rebound from a one-week low reached on Tuesday. The precious metal is currently under some pressure as investors anticipate the results of the final Federal Reserve meeting of the year.
From a technical standpoint, gold has already tested a significant daily demand zone, subsequently retreating from a high of $2,720. Now, the metal appears poised for a potential bearish trend as the US dollar continues to gain strength. Retail traders are predominantly holding long positions, whereas commercial traders seem to be reducing their long exposure, which could suggest a shift in market sentiment.
Looking ahead, the upcoming economic data from the US, including the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting today and the unemployment claims report tomorrow, could provide further support to the dollar. If these reports indicate stronger economic conditions, it may exacerbate a bearish trend for gold prices.
As the market assesses the Fed's policy direction and its implications for interest rates and the dollar, gold will likely remain on the defensive. Investors should monitor these developments closely, as they could significantly influence gold's price movements in the near term. The combination of potential dollar strength and a shift in positioning among traders adds to the likelihood of continued bearish pressure on gold.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Massive Breakout
FED rate decision and FOMC made Gold very bearish yesterday.
The price violated a support line of a wide horizontal range on a daily.
Its breakout signifies a strong bearish pressure.
It opens a potential for more price depreciation.
Next support - 2563
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Gold 1h analysis, I'm personally looking for a sellAccording to the 1h analysis, I'm personally looking for a selling opportunity from the resistance area near 2653.00 & 2656.00
Targets:- 2625.00 / 2614.00 / 2605.00
Don't place any advance orders for now. Use good bearish confirmation for the entry.
Remember one thing if the price successfully closes above 2665.00, then stay away from selling. CAPITALCOM:GOLD
XAUUSD: Double Top PatternHello everyone!
Currently, after a false breakout at the key level of $2721, the price has quickly reverted to a bearish trend. This development bears significant resemblance to the double top pattern, a technical formation that often signals an impending downtrend.
Given the current situation, the outlook leans in favor of the bears. If this scenario materializes, we can expect the price to continue moving towards lower support zones. To project potential downside targets, we are utilizing the Fibonacci extension tool, a powerful method for analyzing price momentum.
Based on our calculations, two critical levels to watch are $2609 and $2557. These are areas where buying pressure may emerge, potentially testing the trend's continuation. Stay tuned for further updates to fine-tune your trading strategies!
Gold Is Nearing The Daily Support That Intersects With The TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 2620 zone, Gold is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 2620 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
XAUUSD H4 | Bearish Continuation?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 2618.36, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit will be at 2577, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be at 2665.40, an overlap resistance close to the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GOLD -- Fell below 2650 with negative fundamental driversOANDA:XAUUSD continued its downward trajectory, dipping to $2,648, underpinned by adverse fundamental drivers. The key question now is whether a retracement is on the horizon or if the decline will deepen further.
Optimism about Chinese stimulus faded due to growing concerns over the U.S.-China trade war. In a closed report, the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) stated that China has begun retaliating against President-elect Donald Trump’s upcoming tariffs by implementing non-tariff measures.
The market now believes that the Fed might send a hawkish signal by indicating a pause in January after the anticipated 25 basis points (bps) rate cut at the December 17-18 policy meeting, especially following the release of higher-than-expected U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data.
Technically, gold remains confined within its current channel, with the consolidation phase still intact. The primary focus lies on the key support zone between 2636 and 2634, below which a large liquidity cluster could serve as a potential target for prices.
The 2636 support level could trigger a retracement, depending on forthcoming market developments. If the retracement appears shallow and prices quickly return to this level, the likelihood of a break below support increases, potentially driving prices down to levels like 2612 and 2580. However, if gold can stabilize above 2682 and consolidate above local highs, it could pave the way for a retest of higher levels.
Regards Bentradegold!
Gold --> Bear Market Intensifies, Key Resistance LoomsHello, dear friends! This is Ben.
Gold prices rose after a false breakout at 2,650. Fundamentally, the situation remains complex, and technically...
The metal's price is being influenced by geopolitical tensions, weaker U.S. bond yields, and a softer USD, which supports the safe-haven appeal of XAU/USD. However, bets on a less dovish Fed warrant caution for bullish markets ahead of this week's FOMC meeting.
Theoretically, additional gold price gains could be limited by concerns about China's economy after its industrial production posted a modest rise in November, while retail sales disappointed. Widening gold discounts in India amid subdued wedding season demand due to higher prices may also act as a drag on the metal. China and India remain the largest gold consumers globally.
Looking ahead, U.S. PMI data also warrants attention for fresh insights into the Fed's rate trajectory next year, which could heavily influence gold prices—given gold's sensitivity to the USD.
From a technical perspective, gold is attempting to break out of a major range, testing critical support. Since the opening of the session, the price has increased quite strongly, which increases the possibility of resistance to stop this increase. If there is a false breakout around the 2,655 level, a minor correction toward resistance could form. However, with prices testing strong support, we may witness a false breakout followed by a corrective move to the 2,660–2,675 region (0.618 Fib retracement) before resuming the downtrend.
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