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Unstoppable, GOLD could rise in Big Data WeekOANDA:XAUUSD markets maintained solid gains in the initial reaction to higher-than-expected inflation data, with OANDA:XAUUSD surging to a record high as investors flocked to the safe-haven asset amid concerns that US President Donald Trump’s latest tariffs will spark a global trade war. It is now up more than 17% for the quarter, which would be its best quarterly performance since 1986. PCE data slightly exceeds expectations, but has limited impact on rate cut expectations Data showed that the US personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose 0.4% month-on-month in February, above market expectations of 0.3% and in line with January. While inflation data was somewhat upbeat, it was not enough to significantly change market expectations for a Fed rate cut. The Fed has yet to adjust its policy rate this year, having previously cut rates three times through 2024. Markets now expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates by a total of 63 basis points starting in July this year, and could start cutting rates by 50 basis points by mid-year. Gold is traditionally a safe-haven asset that performs well in an environment of political and economic risk and low interest rate expectations. Trump is about to announce "reciprocal tariffs", and the market is very wary of inflation and growth risks The market is closely watching the Trump administration's plan to announce "reciprocal tariffs" on April 2. Trump's policies have the effect of promoting inflation, not only increasing the risk of economic recession, but also may exacerbate global trade tensions. This is beneficial for gold prices! Looking ahead to next week, in addition to the technical upside and current support for gold, gold prices remain well supported as US economic data continues to highlight slowing growth. Next week’s jobs data is expected to be a significant mover. Any weakness in the labor market could weigh on equities and boost safe-haven demand for gold. Therefore, as usual, the employment data will be the focus of the economic calendar next week, and more detailed analysis will be sent to readers in the next editions. In particular, along with the economic data, traders also need to monitor how the world reacts to the implementation of US trade tariffs, which are expected to take effect on April 2. This will deeply affect the US Dollar and the price of gold, any risk of escalating tariff conflicts will cause gold prices to increase immediately. Economic Data to Watch Next Week Tuesday: US ISM Manufacturing PMI, JOLTS Jobs Open Wednesday: US Global Tariffs, ADP Nonfarm Payrolls Thursday: US Weekly Jobless Claims, ISM Services PMI Friday: US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP)
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
GOLD - XAUUSDLocally, the XAUUSD price broke through the downtrend lines. Now we are near the first resistance of 1900. The next liquidity level is near 1950. Many experts believe that the price will move sideways until geopolitical tensions subside or until the FED raises interest rates. However, even if rates start to rise with high inflation - the real interest rates are likely to be negative. Therefore, they believe that gold will remain attractive as a defensive asset. Rising gold = a traditional harbinger of crises and slight shocks in the stock and crypto markets. Gold is an excellent choice for those who don't particularly want to go into cash inflation but don't want to be present in dive markets. Best regards, EXCAVO
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by EXCAVO
28
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-28-25 EOD Review : Brutal SellingI sure hope all of you were able to profit from this big selling trend today. And I also hope you didn't get trapped in the potential for a base/bottom rally off the recent lows. This move downward reminds me of the 2022-2023 downward trending pattern when the Fed was raising rates. What Trump is doing with tariffs is very similar. It is slowing the economy in a way that will not break it - but it will result in slower, more costly, economic function. Watch this video and I sure hope all of you have great (profitable) stories to share with me today. I know I do. And, I'm positioned for the weekend. Ready to profit no matter what the markets do. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
20
Weak US Economic Data Could Drive Prices Higher - 28.03.2025Gold prices have been on a strong upward trend, reaching a high of $3,059. The upcoming US economic data release on March 28, 2025, could provide new momentum for gold, particularly with the following key indicators in focus: - Core PCE Price Index (MoM) - Personal Spending (MoM) - Personal Income (MoM) Current forecasts suggest a slowdown in inflation and weaker economic activity, which could create a bullish environment for gold. Economic Data Expectations and Market Implications The Core PCE Price Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, is expected to rise by 0.2%, down from the previous 0.3%. This signals a slowdown in price pressures, increasing the likelihood of the Fed adopting a more dovish stance in the coming months. If inflation continues to decline, expectations for rate cuts could strengthen, which would be supportive of gold prices. Personal spending is forecasted to increase by 0.3% - 0.5%, a modest recovery from the previous decline of -0.2%. However, this remains a weak rebound, suggesting that consumers are still cautious. Slower spending means less inflationary pressure, which could further encourage the Fed to ease monetary policy. Personal income is expected to rise by 0.3% - 0.4%, significantly lower than the previous 0.9% increase. A slowdown in income growth could weigh on consumer spending and overall economic activity, reinforcing the case for lower interest rates. Impact on Gold Prices The combination of declining inflation, weak spending, and slower income growth increases the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates sooner rather than later. Gold, which tends to perform well in a lower interest rate environment, could see further gains as a result. Key bullish factors for gold include: Lower inflation expectations: A weaker Core PCE Price Index supports a more accommodative Fed stance. Sluggish consumer spending: Less inflationary pressure gives the Fed room to cut rates. Slower income growth: Weaker earnings could further dampen economic momentum, increasing demand for safe-haven assets like gold. The main risk to gold prices would be a surprise shift in market sentiment. If the Fed remains cautious and delays rate cuts, gold could face short-term resistance. However, given the current data outlook, the overall trend remains positive. Trading Idea: Long Position on Gold (XAU/USD) Given the softer economic data, gold prices could continue their bullish momentum. If inflation shows signs of easing and economic activity slows, traders may start pricing in Fed rate cuts more aggressively, pushing gold higher. A potential long trade setup could be to enter a buy position around $3,050 - $3,065, targeting $3,080, with an extended upside potential. To manage risk, a stop-loss below could be placed to account for potential short-term pullbacks. Conclusion The upcoming US economic data release suggests a cooling economy, which could lead to increased expectations of Fed rate cuts. This would be a bullish catalyst for gold, reinforcing its role as a hedge against monetary easing. A long position on gold around $3,065, with targets at $3,080, could be an attractive setup in the short term. Risk management remains key, with a stop-loss set close below. If economic data confirms a weakening trend, gold could soon test new highs. Stay alert to market reactions and Fed commentary! 🚀 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Wick-Sniper
1
Gold’s Last Bull Run? Bitcoin’s Big Move Is Coming!Strong institutional money is flowing into gold and precious stones. Historically, this has been a sign of a prolonged bear market in traditional markets. In other words, strong hands have sold stocks at high prices, securing significant profits, and are now moving to the ultimate safe haven: gold, which has been considered a store of value since ancient Egypt. However, in my opinion, Bitcoin still has hope. When the Buy Climax happens in gold, Bitcoin will rise quickly. I believe this will take a few weeks or months to unfold. In other words, Bitcoin needs to consolidate first and accumulate enough while they sell their gold bars—especially the Chinese. Gold is likely in its last bull run of the century. I believe that by the end of April or beginning of May, gold should form a top, although I'm not certain. And since Bitcoin typically shines after gold finishes its distribution, Bitcoin is likely in its last bull run of the decade.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by joaowedsonf
Gold: How much higher will XAU go?Gold continues to find support amid haven flows as equities tumble on trade war concerns. But how much further can gold rise? Well I think a lot of people had $3K+ pencilled in as their target. We are obviously well above the $3K level now at $3085, which may trigger some profit taking. While dip buyers are lurking, a rug pull is becoming increasingly likely at these levels in my view. When risk appetite turns sour and stocks start falling, people tend to liquidate their profitable long gold positions to free up margin. Could we see something similar? For me, the short term trigger could be a potential break below recent low and support around $3057-$3066, while in the slightly longer term view, a potential move below $3,000 is needed to trigger a more meaningful drop. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another awesome finish to the week with our charts idea playing out to perfection!!! After completing our 3050 target yesterday, we got our cross and lock above 3050 opening 3065, followed with a further cross and lock above 3065 opening 3080, Both 3065 and 3080 were completed today for a perfect finish. We will now need a cross and lock above 3080 for a continuation into the next Goldturn or failure to lock will see rejections into the lower Goldturns. BULLISH TARGET 3032 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3032 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3050 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3050 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3065 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3065 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3080 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3080 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3097 BEARISH TARGETS 3015 - DONE We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead and also a new Daily chart long term chart idea, now that this one is complete. Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
17
Gold short-term market analysisTechnically, the gold daily chart remains strong and hits a new record high to close. The price continues to run above MA10 and 5 days. The daily moving average keeps opening upward, and the bulls usher in a second large-scale rise. The short-term four-hour chart Bollinger band opens upward, the price runs along the upper track of the Bollinger band, the MA10/7-day moving average keeps opening upward, the hourly chart remains consistent, the price is running in the middle and upper track of the Bollinger band, and the moving average opens upward. Yesterday's 3017 low rose to the current 3075, and it was another unilateral bullish surge of 60 US dollars. Today's trading ideas continue to maintain low-multiple participation during the day, and pay attention to the historical high selling participation opportunities during the European and American trading hours. Stimulated by risk aversion, gold has been rising all the way, strongly pulling bulls back, and then gold adjusted, but the previous box was shaken and broken. Last night, gold fell back and still got support on the upper edge of the box. Bulls once again made efforts to attack, and prices continued to sprint to new highs. After the daily cycle was corrected for five trading days, bulls launched another fierce attack. Since gold has chosen to break upward in the shock, it is still necessary to follow the trend and go long. The reason for the intraday gold breakout and shock upward is risk aversion and technical breakthrough. The 1-hour moving average of gold has now begun to cross upward bullish divergence. After gold fell back in the US market to confirm the support of 3033, the bulls continued to exert their strength. So gold can continue to buy on dips above 3033 today. If it falls below 3033, the short-term bullish strength of gold may be suppressed, and then gold is likely to start to fluctuate again. . Key points: First support: 3055, second support: 3048, third support: 3040 First resistance: 3077, second resistance: 3086, third resistance: 3097 Operation ideas: Buy: 3048-3051, SL: 3039, TP: 3080-3090; Sell: 3085-3088, SL: 3097, TP: 3060-3050;
TVC:GOLDLong
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
Hanzo | Gold 15 min Bearish Breaks – Confirm the Next Move🆚 GOLD – The Way of the Silent Blade 🩸 market is a battlefield where hesitation means death. The untrained fall into traps, chasing shadows, believing in illusions. But we are not the crowd. We follow no signal but the one left behind by Smart Money. Their footprints are our way forward. 🩸 Bearish Structure Shatters Key Break Confirms the Path – 3068 Zone our reversal always at key level even a reversal area is well studded reasons Liquidity Swwep liquidity / choch key level / multi retest before weekly / monthly zone 🔻 This is the threshold where the tides shift. If price pierces this level with authority, it is no accident—it is designed. The liquidity pool above has been set, and the institutions will claim their prize. Volume must confirm the strike. A clean break, a strong push, and the path is set. Watch the volume. Watch the momentum. Strike without doubt
TVC:GOLDShort
by Path_Of_Hanzo
SILVER Set To Grow! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for SILVER is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3303.8 Bias -Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 3354.4 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAGUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
3
XAU/USD: Possible Fall Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that, as expected, the price continued its bullish movement and climbed close to its all-time high of $3057, reaching $3056 today. Since this level acted as a Bearish Rejection Block, we’re now seeing a price correction from that area, with gold currently trading around $3049. If the price stabilizes below the $3050 mark, we may see further downside. Potential bearish targets are $3045, $3040, and $3035, respectively. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
24
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-28-25 : Carryover in Counter TrendToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to move downward in early trading. The SPY may possibly target the 564-565 level before finding support. The QQQ may possibly attempt to target the 475-476 level before finding support. Overall, the downward trend is still dominant. I believe the SPY/QQQ may find some support before the end of trading today and attempt to BOUNCE (squeeze) into the close of trading. Gold and Silver are RIPPING higher. Here we go. Remember, I've been telling you of the opportunities in Gold/Silver and other market for more than 5+ months (actually more than 3+ years). This is the BIG MOVE starting - the BIG PARABOLIC price rally. BTCUSD has rolled downward off the FWB:88K level - just like I predicted. Now we start the move down to the $78k level, then break downward into the $58-62k level looking for support. Love hearing all of your success stories/comments. GET SOME. Happy Friday. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
7
SILVER bullish and overbought at the new ATH SILVER bullish and overbought at the new ATH Trend Overview: Silver remains in a bullish trend, supported by an ongoing uptrend. However, a corrective pullback could present potential buying opportunities at key support levels. Key Levels: Support: 3400 (critical level), 3332, 3240 Resistance: 3440, 3488, 3555 Bullish Scenario: A pullback to 3400 followed by a strong bounce could confirm support and drive prices towards 3440, with extended targets at 3488 and 3555 over the longer term. Bearish Scenario: A daily close below 3400 would invalidate the bullish outlook, signaling further downside towards 3332 and possibly 3240 in an extended correction. Conclusion: The bullish trend remains intact, but 3400 is the key level to watch. Holding above it supports further upside, while a break below could trigger a deeper retracement. Traders should watch for price action confirmation at support and resistance levels for trade setups. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:XAGUSD
by TradeNation
GOLD INTRADAY Bullish and overbought at the new ATHTrend Analysis: Gold price action exhibits a bullish sentiment, underpinned by the prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday movement appears to be a corrective sideways consolidation, suggesting that the bullish momentum remains intact despite short-term profit-taking and consolidation. Key Level (3020): The critical trading level to watch is 3020, which marks the previous consolidation price range. A corrective pullback toward this level, followed by a bullish bounce, would reaffirm the strength of the uptrend and could trigger further buying interest. Resistance Levels: If the bullish sentiment prevails and the price bounces back from the 3020 level, the upside targets include: 3060 - Immediate resistance level. 3086 - Secondary resistance level. 3100 - Long-term bullish target. Bearish Scenario: Conversely, a confirmed loss of the 3020 support level, accompanied by a daily close below it, would negate the bullish outlook. This breakdown could pave the way for a deeper retracement, targeting: 2984 - Initial downside support. 2946 - Major support zone. Conclusion: The Gold market remains bullish amid the prevailing uptrend, with the 3020 level acting as a critical support. Traders should closely monitor price action around the 3020 mark to gauge the next directional move. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by TradeNation
GOLD’s Next Big Play – Don’t Miss This $3000+ Setup!Gold has been following my analysis perfectly over the last two weeks and remains in a strong uptrend! 📈 For this week, the plan is to look for buying opportunities—but only at the right price. I don’t believe the bull run is over just yet. Despite Friday’s drop, gold recovered strongly and held above $3,000, signaling that buyers are still in control. ⚠ Caution for sellers: While there may be shorting opportunities if gold overextends, it’s risky to bet against this trend too soon. If I see a high-probability short setup, I’ll make a separate post about it. Let’s stay patient and trade smart! 💡💰 Traders, if you found this analysis valuable 🎓, feel free to give it a boost 🚀 and share your thoughts in the comments 📣. Let’s discuss!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by omz_zz
3
CADCHF Bullissh or Bearish ??? Detailed analysisCAD/CHF is currently trading at approximately 0.6150, forming a bearish flag pattern—a continuation signal that typically precedes further downward movement. This pattern emerges after a sharp price decline, followed by a consolidation phase characterized by parallel trendlines. A breakout below the flag's lower boundary could potentially lead to a decline of over 100 pips, aligning with the target price of 0.6000. Fundamental factors support this bearish outlook. The Bank of Canada (BoC) recently implemented a 25 basis point rate cut, reducing the benchmark rate to 2.75%. This move, aimed at stimulating economic growth amid trade tensions and weakened consumer confidence, has exerted downward pressure on the Canadian dollar. Conversely, the Swiss franc continues to benefit from its safe-haven status, attracting investors during periods of global uncertainty. Additionally, Switzerland's robust economic data, including a manufacturing PMI of 51.5 and a 4.0% rise in exports, further bolsters the franc's strength. Technical analysis further reinforces the bearish sentiment. The CAD/CHF pair has been in a steady downtrend, with minor retracements occasionally. Currently, the price is preparing for another retracement aimed at retesting the immediate supply zone. The 4-hour timeframe chart shows that the supply zone falls perfectly between the 76% and 88% Fibonacci retracement levels. The presence of a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and inducement contribute to the bearish leaning of the market sentiment. Analysts have set a target of 0.6051, with an invalidation point at 0.6231. Given these technical and fundamental factors, the CAD/CHF pair appears poised for a bearish breakout from the flag pattern. Traders should monitor key support levels and employ robust risk management strategies, such as setting appropriate stop-loss orders, to navigate potential market volatility. Staying informed about upcoming economic data releases and central bank communications will also be crucial in effectively capitalizing on this trading opportunity.
Short
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
1