Metaplatforms
Meta Platforms Stock Soars Despite Weak Business PerformanceCan you believe it? Meta Platforms stock has risen by over 70% this year, outpacing the S&P 500's 7.5% growth over the same period. At first glance, it might seem like everything is going great for Meta, right? However, the reality is a bit different. In the fourth quarter, Meta reported a 4% decline in year-over-year earnings, and analysts predict that there will be another decline in the first quarter (which we'll find out on Wednesday). So, why is the stock rising so quickly despite the weak business performance?
Well, there are a couple of reasons. First, at the beginning of the year, the stock had a very low valuation, with a price-to-earnings ratio of about 10. Analysts expected the company to have double-digit growth in earnings per share over the next five years, but the low valuation didn't reflect this. The recent surge in the stock price has brought it more in line with analysts' expectations, so you could say that the stock has adjusted to a more rational valuation.
The second reason for the stock's growth is the cost-cutting efforts by Facebook, Meta's parent company. Mark Zuckerberg has made "a year of efficiency" his top management theme for 2023, and the cost reductions are expected to lead to significant earnings growth during the year, which investors believe will boost profits and support the stock's current valuation.
However, it's worth noting that Meta has continued to post disappointing results since 2021, and the stock is still down from its all-time highs. Meta's business is still facing considerable uncertainty, and there are questions about the company's long-term margin profile and sustainability. The volatility of the social media company's cost structure over the past few years also makes it difficult to predict earnings changes over the long term.
While the recent stock price increase is good news for Meta shareholders, it also means that the stakes are higher for the company to do exceptionally well going forward. Investors will be looking for more information about the company's long-term margin profile and the sustainability of its business when Meta presents its first-quarter results on Wednesday.
Meta Platforms:Overcoming Challenges and Embracing OpportunitiesMeta Platforms, formerly known as Facebook, has undergone significant changes in recent years, with a tarnished reputation due to numerous data breaches. However, the company has made efforts to address these issues, and now faces new challenges. One such challenge is the impact of the economic downturn on its primary source of revenue - online advertising. This has led to a decline in revenue, with profits falling for the first time in a while. Nonetheless, the online advertising market is expected to grow at an average annual rate of 14.7% through 2027, providing an opportunity for Meta Platforms to recover.
One advantage of Meta Platforms is its vast user base of 3.74 billion monthly active users, providing an ecosystem too large to ignore. Moreover, the company is making strides to monetize some of its apps such as WhatsApp, with paid messaging services gaining momentum. Additionally, Facebook Reels and e-commerce markets provide significant long-term opportunities for the company to generate revenue.
Despite its recent struggles, Meta Platforms is implementing cost-cutting initiatives and restructuring efforts to improve its financial performance. While the company's investment in the metaverse, a potential HKEX:1 trillion opportunity, is yet to yield results, it is expected to pay off in the long term.
In conclusion, Meta Platforms' revenue is expected to increase in the next few years, making it a worthwhile investment.
Meta PlatformsNASDAQ:META has had a great Q1 2023 performance, among the top 10 best performing stocks in the US. NASDAQ:META is now at a potential overhead resistance level, hopefully there are enough buyers, and reasons to buy, to push the share price further up. As with many other US companies, there are job cuts and other cost containment measure in the Zuckerberg world.
We remain bullish until the market proves otherwise.
WILL META STOCK CONTINUE TO RISE?Looking at the position of this asset, I will say that if the TL is strong enough to hold as support, then I will target $200 as my first buy TP.
Note: $200 zone is also the FIB38.2 zone making it a significant area to watch out for.
However, if the Trendline fails, we may be heading downwards $150 to fill the gap.
I hope fundamental favours META
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Facebook - Bearish SentimentMeta Platforms is showing heavy bearish signs. Price hit my 178.00 block. It is now testing the 174.14 zone ( a 5min zone). We have EQUAL LOWS around that region which have to be taken out. Once price breaks those lows, it will be headed for the 170.00 Pontential Bearish BOS. That's where price will break structure and fall further.
We remain BEARISH!!!!!!!
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Patience pays!!!
META: FUNDAMENTALS + NEXT TARGETUnlike most major technology companies, Meta Platforms' stock has risen in response to its recent earnings report.
Facebook's parent company did not report particularly impressive results. Revenue fell 4% to $32.2 billion for the quarter, and earnings per share fell 52% to $1.76, though when adjusted for restructuring costs, earnings per share fell 18% to $3, which was better than expected.
Looking ahead to the first quarter, the company anticipates another modest drop in revenue, owing to macroeconomic headwinds in the advertising market and its decision to ramp up its Reels short-form video product, which is monetized at a lower rate than other "surfaces" such as news feeds and stories.
But there was something else noteworthy in the report and earnings call.
Mark Zuckerberg, CEO of Facebook, has shifted his focus to the company's core business, a family of apps that includes Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, and Messenger.
Under Zuckerberg's leadership, the company changed its name from Facebook to Meta Platforms just over a year ago, signaling that the metaverse would become a core business.
Around the same time, the company restructured its financial reporting structure, separating Reality Labs, which manufactures Oculus VR headsets and deals with the metaverse, from the app family segment. Reality Labs was exposed as a smoldering money pit as a result of the move, and things have only gotten worse since then. Reality Labs lost $4.3 billion in the fourth quarter, capping off a year in which it lost $13.7 billion.
As a seasoned politician, Zuckerberg appears to have learned that the best way to deal with bad news is to change the subject. In this case, he appears to be doing exactly that.
During the earnings call, the company discussed its investments in artificial intelligence (AI) and cost-cutting and efficiency initiatives, such as a more cost-effective data center architecture. According to the report, almost all of the company's capital expenditures, which are mostly for data centers, are for the app family, not Reality Labs.
In the earnings release, Zuckerberg also made no mention of Reality Labs, saying: "We're making good progress on our AI discovery engine, and Reels is a big part of that. Aside from that, our management theme for 2023 is 'The Year of Efficiency,' and we are working hard to become a stronger and more agile organization."
During the earnings call, Meta's CEO discussed the company's recent work in the metaverse, but it seemed to take a back seat to Meta's other projects when he summarized the company's priorities, saying: "Okay, here are the areas we're focusing on: AI, including our discovery engine, advertising, business messaging, and increasingly generative AI, as well as future metaverse platforms."
Meta's metaverse plans are far from dead. Indeed, it released Quest Pro, its newest headset, late last year.
There are several reasons why Zuckerberg appears to have returned to his core business. So far, the metaverse project has failed, not only at Meta, but also elsewhere. The value of the associated market of NFTs has plummeted, and the idea that people want to spend time in virtual worlds has yet to gain traction, while public interest in the metaverse appears to have faded after Zuckerberg initially hyped it. The metaverse's struggles are also visible in the recent attention paid to ChatGPT and generative artificial intelligence, which appear to be transformative technologies with real-world applications.
Perhaps Meta's CEO is reacting to the stock's precipitous drop. The stock dropped roughly 75% in a year after the company changed its name to Meta, with investors concerned that Zuckerberg would risk the entire company for his metaverse experiment.
He appears to have persuaded investors that this is not the case, which is why the company's stock has risen. While investing in Reality Labs, the company intends to steadily increase overall profits. It's a reasonable strategy that doesn't overshadow Meta's lucrative digital advertising business.
Although Metaverse will continue to smear red ink on reports, investors are now viewing the company through rose-colored glasses following Zuckerberg's encouraging speech. If the advertising industry can return to growth, as appears to be the case with Reels, the company's stock should continue to rise.
META Meta Platforms Options Ahead Of EarningsIf you haven`t sold META at $341:
Then I think that META Meta Platforms will announce massive layoffs at the earnings date, which the market loves.
Mark Zuckerberg will continue spending billions on building the Metaverse, but the market won`t care as long as they fire people.
Another reason for a happy earnings ending is the FOMC decision to hike the interest rates by 25bps instead of 50bps (I assume).
Otherwise, META loses more ground against TikTok, which took over the globe.
But Mark Zuckerberg doesn`t care about that, because if TikTok really becomes a threat for META (sorry, for the economy), regulators will declare it a spy app, threatening the US national security.
So eventually META will prevail.
If the authorities won`t intervene to help META, i think the stock should end the year around $120.
All the above considered, looking at the META Meta Platforms options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $150 strike price Puts with
2023-2-17 expiration date for about
$7.45 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, I would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
META The worst is history! 6 straight green weeks.Our update on The Meta Platforms (META) on the 1W time-frame.
What stands out is that the stock has completed six (6) straight weekly candles, for the first time since March 2017! This is one of the strongest bullish sequences in its history and while at it, it has established 2 weeks above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time since its September 2021 All Time High!
The short-term target is the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which is within the technical target of the Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) that we can argue formed the October 2022 market bottom. With the RSI hitting the top of a Higher Highs trend-line that started on March 28 2022, it is possible to see a minor pull-back now to test the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) as a Support, but that will be the best long-term buy opportunity before we hit the 1W MA50.
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META Closed 2 straight green months, the first time since 2021!Meta Platforms (META) is on a strong January monthly candle (chart on the right) having closed in December two straight green months for the first time since August 2021, which was its All Time High. This alone is a huge bullish development, which along with the 1M RSI being on an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern (IH&S), it can start staging its long-term bullish reversal.
On the more medium-term 1D time-frame (chart on the left), Meta also made a significant bullish development, as yesterday it clearly broke (but failed to close) above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), for the first time in one whole year (since December 30 2021). Having turned the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) into a Support this last month (since December 12), if it manages to close a daily candle above the 1D MA100, the stock's next aim would be the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
The 1W RSI also had a major bullish break-out as it broken above a Resistance Zone holding since August 15, that previously had rejected the price a total of three times (Triple Top). In our view we can claim that Meta has a sustainable bullish reversal only if it breaks above the 1D MA200.
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META to extend losses even more?Meta - 30d expiry - We look to Sell a break of 107.98 (stop at 115.15)
The primary trend remains bearish.
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
This is curremtly an actively traded stock.
108.32 has been pivotal.
A break of the recent low at 108.32 should result in a further move lower.
Our overall sentiment remains bearish looking for lower levels.
Our profit targets will be 91.04 and 88.04
Resistance: 126.40 / 134.00 / 142.00
Support: 115.00 / 108.50 / 96.00
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FACEBOOK 25 % pump (NEW)After dropping to lows from 2015, most likely we will see a bounce.
-RSI is very oversold both on daily and weekly timeframe.
-We have a gap which most likely will get filled. After filling the gap, we expect the price to come back down.
-The price dropped 75 % from its ATH. Many investors bought meta stock to ride the bounce.
META reached our target. What's next?Over a month ago (November 10) we posted our outlook on the Meta Platforms Inc (META) following the cutting of 11k jobs (also feature on the Editor's Pick):
As you see our target has been hit as the price rose and reached the top of the Channel Down pattern that the stock has been trading in since February. The buy signals at the time were obvious as the 1D RSI bounced on the Oversold Zone as it did back in late February/ early March. The question is what happens now?
Well we will not diverge from our usual pattern break-out strategies. Right now the stock is on sell levels, being that close to the top (Lower Highs) trend-line of the Channel Down as well as having hit the RSI's Resistance Zone (red). As you see, this is the zone where since November 15 2021 (i.e. more than a year) forms all the Lower High rejections on META. For as long as this holds, we expect the price to hit 89.25 (January 20 2016 Low) and the 72.10 (August 25 2015 Low).
On the other hand, we will buy if the price breaks above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which has been unbroken since December 30 2021, and target the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). A candle closing above the 1D MA200 (preferably on the weekly scale), should be enough to confirm META turning bullish on the long-term.
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Meta Platforms Analysis 13.12.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
META Can cutting 11000 jobs reverse the bearish outlook alone?The news of a 11k jobs cut had an immediate bullish impact on the Meta Platforms Inc (META) stock, helping it break above the 100.00 barrier again. Today's much lower than expected CPI number is also adding fuel on this rally but can those alone push the price out of the death spiral it has been since January in particular?
Well technically the November 03 drop made a Lower Low on the Channel Down pattern that Meta has been trading in since the February 03 collapse. Taking also into account the massive rebound below the 30.000 1D RSI oversold zone, the price can target the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) by the end of this month. Beyond that, only a closing above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which is unbroken since December 30 2021, can turn the trend bullish.
As you see, the November 03 bottom was made on the January 20 2016 Low (89.25). The next Support is the August 25 2015 Low of 72.10, so we will be ready to short this and if broken then 60.00.
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Meta - Meta Platform joins the party! Yesterday, the price of Meta platform stock crashed nearly 20% after the close when the company reported its earnings for the third quarter of 2022. With its abysmal report, Meta joined the party of underperforming companies in the current earning season. Revenue was down 4% from a year earlier, while costs and expenses rose 19%.
Revenue = 27.71 billion USD (-4% YoY)
Costs and expenses = 22.05 billion USD (+19% YoY)
Revenue from the family of apps, including Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, Whatsapp, etc., decreased approximately 3.6%, while revenue from the reality labs fell by about 49%. That is no surprise to us since we warned about the earning season for the third quarter being weak. Indeed, we stated that downgrades in outlooks and misses in estimates would reinforce our thesis about the market progressing into the second phase of the bear market. With that being said, we believe Meta platforms Inc. still has a long way to go before reversing its primary trend to the upside.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of the Meta Platforms stock. The red arrow shows the price drop after the company published its earnings for the 3rd quarter of 2022.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.02
The image above shows the resemblance between the current and previous earning seasons.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
META Meta Platforms Options Ahead Of EarningsIf you haven`t sold META last year:
Or at least when it approached our Buy area:
Then you should know that looking at the META Meta Platforms options chain, i would buy the $135 strike price Calls with
2022-11-11 expiration date for about
$6.75 premium.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
META Important Milestone!As you know, I am a long term investor. Thus, I usually buy stocks for the long term, and never short any equities due to shorting's unlimited risk. With a P/E ratio of 10, it would be reasonable to think that META is a good bargain considering its status as a social media giant. However:
1. META's Userbase is declining, something never seen before in the history of the company.
2. Competition like Google's Youtube and ByteDance's Tiktok is catching up and overtaking META
3. New Apple (AAPL) IOS changes, which made META's data collection process much harder, has and will adversely affect its ad revenue (which is 98+% of its total revenue)
---------- Specifically, the IOS change requires META to get the user's permission to collect data for Ads. Until now, data shows that only 33% of users allow META to collect their data for more personalized ads. I think you can see how this affects Ad revenue.
Thus, the "metaverse" is the only thing that may/may not save META from its inevitable doom. However, that means that:
1. The metaverse needs to develop in the years ahead, and not just stay at a gaming level
2. META must have enough cash to fund research into the metaverse
3. It must dominate the metaverse industry
Although I personally think that META is a lost cause, I choose not to label this as "#METAshort" because I think all investor have their own opinions. Here are some good points about META:
1. 10 P/E ratio (lower than S&P 500 average
2. META's adaptability
3. Technicals? (Not seen yet)
I choose to write this now because META's Q3 results are tomorrow and are key to how META's stock and the metaverse will develop in the future.
Anyway, thats all for my idea. Please leave a comment and boost this idea so it can go out to other investors! 😊
P.S. Someone give me coins :)
META staging a short-term rally. Long-term levels to consider.Meta Platforms (META) are on a three day bullish streak following favorable group fundamentals and is rebounding off the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the Falling Wedge pattern it has been trading in since February price collapse.
The short-term target is technically the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is just below the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Falling Wedge. We may also see a slight break-out as the Bullish Divergence spotted on the 1D RSI was last seen on the March 14 Low and a +27.50% rebound followed. If this is replication, the price can reach roughly 157.00, which is where the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) is currently sitting. That is the medium-term Resistance as it has been unbroken since December 30 2021, so basically for the whole 2022. A break above it would target the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which is the barrier that distinguishes the bearish from the bullish trend long-term.
On the flip-side, if META closes below the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the Falling Wedge, expect a sharp drop to the 1.5 Fibonacci extension (92.70).
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META Buy signal within the Falling Wedge.The Meta Platforms (META) have been trading within a Falling Wedge pattern since the April 05 High. After that we've had two Lower Lows and two Lower Highs. On Tuesday the stock came to its closest to the Lower Lows trend-line since June 23. As the 1D RSI breached the 30.000 oversold barrier, we have a strong short-term buy signal in our hands, targeting the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the top of the Falling Wedge.
* A break above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which has been untouched since December 30 2021, can extend the uptrend on the medium-term towards the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
* A break above the 1D MA200, which has been untouched since January 06 2022, can be enough to restore the bullish trend on the long-term.
* A break below the Falling Wedge, can accelerate the selling targeting the 1.5 Fibonacci extension.
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