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Mexican

Peso Pressure Ahead of Major MXN Events Mexico's inflation data will be released Thursday morning, closely followed by the Central Bank of Mexico's interest rate decision in the afternoon. July's headline inflation in Mexico is expected to have accelerated to its highest level in over a year, according to a Reuters poll. However, the core index is anticipated to continue its moderation. Rising prices in July could complicate any plans for the central bank to lower its key interest rate this week. In late June, the central bank opted to keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged after a rate cut in March, the first since mid-2021 when it began its tightening cycle. The Mexican Peso has extended its losing streak to four consecutive days against the US Dollar, marking ten losses in the last eleven sessions. The currency closed above the psychological 19.00 level for two days, having surpassed the previous year-to-date high of 18.99. Market momentum could favor sellers, with the Relative Strength Index indicating overbought conditions. The immediate resistance might stand at the current year-to-date high of 20.22. On the downside, a breach of the 19.00 support level could open the path to the August stumble close to 18.50, followed by the 50-day Simple Moving Average at 18.20.
by BlackBull_Markets
USDMXN | SHORT-Values- Entry Range: 19.93293 - 19.97017 Average Entry: 19.95845 (RRR: 1.86) Stop Loss: 20.00931 Profit Target: 19.86254 -HOW TO ENTER MY TRADES- 1. Ladder your entries. You'll want to ladder place your orders exponentially within the Entry Range to the point your RRR is atleast 1.5 if fully filled. 2. Only first touches are valid. If price is rebounding back into the entry zone after either the profit target or stop loss was hit the entry zone is no longer valid. Example: Trade Idea: Valid and Invalid Entry:
Short
by Event0011
Fade the dollar move, long the Mexican Peso. The dollar has recently broken out against a variety of EMFX crosses. Interestingly, the picture is not the same in the G10 space. With the 10Y yield breaking higher, the narrative is that foreign investors are suddenly attracted to US yield and the dollar receives a bid as a result. We believe it is simply due to rapid growth and inflation expectations changing in the US to the upside. This is bullish to the equity market and bullish risk in general. Add to the cocktail the mix of monetary and fiscal policy in most of the world, and you have tailwinds that will send EM markets higher. Banxico recently cut rates citing soft inflation, however, the majority of Mexico data remains rate-of-change positive. Technically, the dollar reached the 200day exponential moving average and broke out from the prior downtrend. We are fading this as a "fake" breakout. Moreover, we wouldn't be surprised to see dealers hedging gamma above the 20.50 level, causing the slight overshoot. We enter long MXNUSD at 20.80, with a stop at 21, targeting a return to 19.54, where we will book most of the position, and keep SOME in case we see a follow-through downside break.
Short
by MT-Macro
Mexican Peso finally going to move after years of bouncingAs we can see, we are getting to the final of a continuation form but it is not clear if it's a continuation to the first big downward move or the bigger uppward move that comes from the ´90s - 2000´s. I just wanted to update you with this since it's a very clear year size form. My personal opinion is long in short term and short in the long term. I think it is going to go up in the short term and from the bounce we are going to see if it will continue up. I feels it is trying to get down since it has been there a lot of time every time it gets to that boundry, but history tells us that mexican peso tends to lose vs dollar since fiat money is around.
Long
by BuenSamaritano
USDMXN - Mexican Peso RecoversDuring the trading session on Monday and Tuesday the Mexican peso has recovered. I expect the US Congress will pass the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement in a few weeks. That should help the Mexican Peso to break the support 19.5 (Green Line). I also expect the trade between the United States and China to come down before the US elections. It is important to notice that the USDMXN price is in a triangle since last year. If there is good news from Mexico, we could finally break the triangle to the downside. On the other hand, Trump could threat Mexico again with bad comments just as he did in 2016, especially during this time (elections in 2020), making the Mexican peso weak. Thanks for reading!
by Joel_Ochoa
MXNUSD Mexican peso nice set-up for short positionMexican peso is bearish for the last year. I pointed out most important places. - exact 50% of previous wave - H&S formation followed by recent trend - pair is trading below 200 ema on Daily CHart - GAP support/resistance area is fairly respected by market plus bonus which tells me that it is rather good entry Mexican interests rates which are very high in comparison to other countries world wide, of maybe except Turkey:) Money tend to favor currency which has highest interests rates I believe it is called carry trading. R/R ratio is reasonable well above 2 with low risk. I will update it if market will tell otherwise or if I will close position before reaching TP.
Short
by Krystiannwk
USDMXN - A potential reversal trade in the makingOn the daily timeframe, price has completed a 3-wave structure (ABC), hitting the ratio expectation between 20.39 - 20.97 area as well. On the lower timeframe, we are seeing a diagonal structure forming with a divergence in RSI too. These give us a good reason to be looking for a potential reversal trade on the USD/MXN, targeting 17.81 as the first target. *Disclaimer - This analysis alone DOES NOT warrant a sell trade immediately. Before you enter any trade in the financial market, it is very important that you have a proper trading plan and risk management approach. The sharing of this idea is neither necessarily indicative of nor a guarantee of future performance or success.
Short
by KarYong
7
USD/MXN Jumps to 18.50 markThe US Dollar recently gained massively against the Mexican Peso. That occurred mainly due to the political turmoil around the Mexican Presidential election, which caused a sudden fall in the value of the Peso. However, the surge was stopped by a resistance line of a speculated ascending channel pattern at the 18.50 mark. Although, the psychological significance of this level might also have played a role. Due to that reason a descent should be expected. However, the pair is set to face the support of the 200-period SMA and the monthly PP, respectively, at 18.41 and 18.45.
Short
by UnknownUnicorn890690
SHORT USD/MXN 3 Months on Dollar Weakness-- CARRY TRADE POSITIVE Will be holding this for the next 3 months. Looking to cash in on Mexican Interset Rate at 7% vs Dollar Decline overall. Weak Dollar Seen due to Inflation, overall underperforming GDP growth and Oil Deflation. As we see a good amount of Price action for the downside as well as Moving Average's in accordance. Technical Levels are merley for point of reference. Overal Trend Coninutation expected. Risk Reward at around 1:1.5. Not ideal but Would like to take advantage of carry.
Long
by ScholarGC