Update on the MU trade
Update (5/31): Closed this position for a 3X. and bought in the 56 PE that expired next week
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I think we can short MU here for a tgt of 56 and a stop loss of today's high of 64.5.
CMP is 62.8
I have personally bought 59 Puts expiring next week.
Micron
MU : Support and resistance with range of motionMU H4 chart
The upward movement continues on the red support line
If it break the red and blue support lines broke, it is the place I mark the possible movement area.
***This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only.***
I'm sorry for the impaired expression..Just watch the chart, not what I write. :)
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Waiting for entry - Micron This is a great opportunity to enter a long position on Micron.
We have a bear and bull scenario, the bull one is the most likely.
Bull
We just finished the wave ((i)) of the wave 5 (one larger degree), so I'm expecting a correction between the 50% and 65% fib (49.42-$51.15). Why? Because:
-4H RSI broke this ((i)) wave support
-Second waves usually retrace deeply the first one.
-Strong resistance in the golden pocket (65-61.8%), plus the 200 EMA
-Golden cross (8,13 and 21 EMA crossed the 55 EMA (although not with great volume).
Bear
We actually only finished the B wave of the correction and we're retracing towards $43.11.
However, I'm pretty sure we're on the bull scenario because of the good media coverage and good fundamentals. Can't see Micron retracing more than 49. My targets are 61.38 (very likely), 68.5 (likely) and 80 (only If we hit 68.5 in the ((iii)) wave (pink). So, a good setup is to ladder buy from 51.5 to 49.5 with a stop loss on 47.5, giving us a nice 4.35 RRR taking profit on 61.38 (the most conservative target).
I would not hold or enter a long position above 80, because that's the resistance of the channel that begun back in 2008.
This is only my opinion, trade at your own risk.
MU stock: Playing the bounces off Fib levels. Easy as A, B, CWell, I must first admit, I am publishing this chart in retrospect as I've just now taken the time to really analyze MU in this way. Unfortunately, I missed some massive profit opportunities, but this is certainly a learning experience for the next time around and....there may be one more trick (trade) left up this chart's sleeve.
So as you can see from the chart, as MU has pulled back from its high around $63, it has bounce nicely/sharply off each Fibonacci retracement point (for a gain of about $3-4 each time). This set up is a day traders dream. In and out of a trade with significant profit in a very short amount of time.
First bounce (labeled A) off the 38.2% level was good for almost $4...nice! I'm not really paying much attention to the 23.6 level, though there was a bounce in that region. This bounce also coincided nicely with a trend line that formed a 5 wave pattern....even better (see the pink line).
Second bounce (labeled B) was off the 50% level (okay....not technically a Fib number). Again this was good for $2.70! Also, this happened to fall right on a nice trend line to create another 5 wave pattern (I don't have all these waves drawn in because the chart would be very congested, but hopefully you can visualize them on the blue line in the chart above).
Third bounce (labeled C) was off the 61.8% level and was again good for over $4. Again, there is a legitimate 5 wave structure that could be formed here on the gold/orange trend line.
So the question is: Does Micron continue its fall or does it bounce up from here and start a new bullish move?
I honestly have no clue, but I can tell you one thing: if it falls through the gold trend line, I will be watching for a touch to the Fib 78.6 level at a price around $43.19. I may go long a call option here, I may buy shares, or I may sell a put just below this level (or maybe I'll do one or more of the above) for a quick trade expecting a move between $2 and $4. I'd not get greedy though, and I'd look to take profits early. I'd certainly keep a tight stop loss, because if MU gets beyond this level without a bounce, next stop may not be until it hits $37-38.
Certainly, the bulls could regain control here at the 61.8% level...this would make a fantastic retracement for a very bullish wave 1 up/2 down as part of a larger 5 wave structure to take MU significantly higher (remember all those analysts predicting MU at $100). A 1.618 extension of a larger Wave 1 with Wave 3 starting off the 61.8% level would give MU a Wave 3 target of $89 (not something to ignore) . I'm staying neutral at this time and will let the chart tell me where MU is likely headed next.
Thanks for reading and giving this idea a thumbs up if it helped you in any way!
Bonus points for anyone that can draw the trend line that creates a potential 5 wave structure that intersects the 78.6% Fib level.
MICRON LEVELS ($MU STOCK CHART)Pretty straightforward bracket here.
Picking a high around $74 and a low in the high $40's.
If I had to pick one, I would say due to the chart pattern the $74 is most likely, but watch for volatility taking this thing down to $48. Will keep an eye on it, options trade anyone?
Micron Technologies Micron continues to ride the grey uptrend line. RSI is currently overbought, and the past shows us we should expect a pullback. However, the Bollinger bands still show some wiggle room up to $65, with heavy resistance just over $66. I will post updates when necessary.
This is not financial advice.
Questions, criticism, and other ideas always are appreciated.
Cheers!
MU: Potential weekly 135 pattern completed with c.23% downsideCouple of bearish cues on MU:
#1 Potential weekly 3-drive pattern completion
#2 Currently trading at 61.8% retracement of last All Time High
#3 Potential ABCD completion in the 240M time frame
#4 Huge volumes which suggest exhaustion, last hooray
Min target would be the 38.2% retracement level around the $40-$43 level.
What will Micron (MU) do over the next 72 hoursHere is my best guess at a path for Micron (MU) between now and the close on 3/22.
It appears we have completed wave 3 of a large 5 wave impulse pattern.
Within this Wave 3, MU has completed 5 sub-waves and now appears to be working on the ABC correction.
Wave A is in, B was recently completed, and now we are attempting wave C which will be 5 smaller waves down back to the larger trend line.
Of this Wave C down, we appear to have put in Waves 1 and 2. In fact wave 2 made a near perfect 61.8% retracement at this moment.
The target for the Fibonacci extension of wave 1 puts wave 3 of this C wave ending at near $56.5 for a 1:1.618 extension.
MU would then retrace with wave 4 to previous level of support that would now be resistance around $58.25 before the final push down to $55 for the touch to the trend line on about the close of 3/22.
Conveniently, this would yield a C wave that is a perfect 1:1 extension of wave A.
Of course, with all this looking so textbook, something is bound to go wrong.