Microsoft
Harnessing the AI Revolution: A Powerful Surge with NVIDIA, GoogThe future is now, and it's coded in the language of Artificial Intelligence. As investors, we have a unique opportunity to be part of this game-changing journey. My personal story began with NVIDIA, an industry leader in AI and graphics processing. Acquiring NVIDIA shares two months ago was akin to boarding a spacecraft destined for new frontiers. The ride has been exceptional, with returns exceeding my expectations.
But, the vast landscape of AI is not limited to one planet. There's a whole universe to explore, and I decided to broaden my horizons. Hence, I ventured further, incorporating three other stellar entities into my portfolio - Google, Microsoft, and IBM. These industry titans are carving their paths, harnessing AI to innovate, and influencing global trends.
My portfolio is not just an investment; it's a belief in a future shaped by AI, a testament to a revolution unfolding right before our eyes. Join me in this journey, as I share my insights, strategies, and perspectives on navigating these high-tech tides. Together, we can capitalize on the industry that is relentlessly and rapidly shaping our tomorrow. Remember, the revolution might be digitized, but the rewards are very real.
4 takeaways from EmTech Digital's AI conferenceMIT Technology Review recently put on its EmTech Digital conference. It will come as no surprise that this year’s focus was generative artificial intelligence (AI).
There is a sense that generative AI, in its many different forms, is important and that it will have an economic impact, but it’s not yet clear exactly how this will manifest itself in the coming years.
Below we discuss the four key takeaways from the conference.
1. Changing how we interact with Microsoft Office Software
It is well known that Microsoft has made significant investments in OpenAI and that there is a close relationship between the two firms—GPT-4 is accessible on certain Microsoft Azure service platforms, as an example. Microsoft had only just mentioned the import and expected impact of AI to its future business results as it reported on the period ended 31 March 2023, so we were curious what more they could add in a short presentation.
However, Microsoft mentioned one of the most exciting things across the entire conference. We are all searching for ‘use cases’ and we are also all trying to figure out what it will look like to communicate with Office 365 software in ‘natural language’.
Microsoft’s representative noted that he had seen an example case where there was a Word document, and that the technology was able to seamlessly interface with PowerPoint and to go from having a Word document to having a version expressed in slides.
In WisdomTree’s research team, taking a source file in text form and converting it to a potential presentation is an important function; some situations require slides, some situations require emails, some situations require Word documents. It takes a really long time to laboriously change a Word document into relevant, impactful slides. If there was a way for the file in Word to communicate with PowerPoint to create at least a rough draft with slides, over the course of the year within WisdomTree’s research team alone this would save a rather large amount of team hours.
Since it probably could also work in reverse (PowerPoint back to Word), maybe we are not far away from drafts of blog posts being created off of PowerPoint slides.
2. Did you realise that AI cannot hold a patent?
Part of what is sparking the current generative AI revolution has to do with creation. People are excited for the capability to create images, molecules, text, to name just a few things. However, the world is seeking to get a better handle on the legal ramifications. One such example regards Stability AI’s image generation capability. Getty Images, a major holder of rights to photographic content, has alleged that the use of their images in this way runs afoul of its licensing provisions, and that their images are quite valuable for training purposes due to diversity of subject matter and detailed metadata1.
The value of access to training data, therefore, is coming to light.
Another thing we did not realise was that, if AI is involved in the creation of something novel, AI cannot hold a patent, which could have interesting intellectual property implications in the US. An article in the National Law Review, published on 2 May 2023, affirmed that “Federal Circuit Holds That AI Cannot Be an “Inventor” Under the Patent Act - Only Humans Can Get Patents2.”
3. The magic of defect detection
One of the most exciting presentations, in our opinion, regarded ‘defect detection’ from the firm Landing AI. In recent years, we have spent a lot of time thinking about electric vehicles, and WisdomTree as a global business has many funds that focus on different metals, different types of companies—basically all sorts of ways that investors can align an investment with trends they are seeing. The world needs more batteries, that much is clear, but batteries need to be assembled in a way that limits defects.
When people mention ‘computer vision’ by itself, without an application, it doesn’t always sound exciting or capture the imagination. Seeing the presentation immediately helped us to picture all of the new factories being built to assemble more battery cells, taking advantage of certain funding provisions in the Inflation Reduction Act in the United States. Picturing a computer vision system, deployed at scale, able to catch defective battery cells in close to real-time, could be immensely valuable. All manufacturing companies could benefit from better defect detection. It was interesting to hear in the presentation how there is so much money in things like ‘Targeted Advertising’ and ‘Internet Search’ that this is where a lot of AI applications are developed, but if a company can serve the totality of need across different manufacturing concerns, it could be a big market as well and immensely valuable if these systems can really catch defective products before they are shipped.
It was also particularly powerful to watch a demonstration of how a company might have a series of pictures in a database and use AI to ‘learn’ to recognise a particular attribute, like a crack. This could deploy better defect detection at scale as well as putting model training in the hands of people without PhD’s in data science, both very impactful things.
4. The maths of drug development is prohibitive
A few presentations during the event concerned drug discovery, and for good reason. It was mentioned that the development of a given molecule into a drug takes roughly $2 billion, 10 years and has a 96% failure rate along the way. While we need drug therapies, the statistical specification of that journey does not sound compelling, and it makes those drugs that get through extremely expensive.
Whether it is Nvidia or Exscientia presenting, so far the critical element is not to say that ‘AI is creating drugs’ but rather ‘AI is improving our chances’. Chemistry and physics are much like languages and there are certain rules that govern how they work. Generative AI does not always craft finished prose, but it is able to put many options to the page quite quickly. Generative AI for drug development is most likely to help researchers make better, higher probability attempts at further study.
One thing that was very notable to hear was that we might be at a transition point in how research is done. Human researchers seeking the cure or a new therapy for a particular disease converge quite closely around a lot of similar ideas. For approaches run by humans, this makes sense. But for approaches with machine learning closer to the forefront, there may not be enough diversity across the data from the attempts such that the machine learning algorithm can find notable relationships across the data that human researchers would have been less likely to see.
If machine learning algorithms are closer to the forefront, it can change the way certain types of research, like drug discovery, are done such that the systems are getting the appropriate breadth of data from which to draw out patterns and relationships.
Conclusion: 2023 as a turning point
History is replete with turning points. eCommerce, internet search, smart phones, the app economy, social media—all of these things had a ‘beginning’ where success was far from assured and we could not have predicted exactly where the technologies would go. Even if AI has been developing for many years, maybe 2023 will be seen as somewhat of a beginning, in that it marked the point after which non-technical people were using AI just like it was any other application.
Sources
1 Source: Brittain, Blake. “Getty Images lawsuit says Stability AI misused photos to train AI.” Reuters. February 6, 2023.
2 Source: “Federal Circuit Holds that AI Cannot Be an ‘Inventor’ Under the Patent Act—Only Humans Can Get Patents.” The National Law Review. May 6, 2023. Volume XIII, Number 126.
Microsoft Technologies CorporationIt's important to note that Elliott Wave Theory can be subjective, and interpretations can vary among analysts. It's also worth mentioning that Elliott Wave analysis should be used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and factors such as fundamental analysis and market conditions to make well-informed investment decisions.
Regards
Microsoft - Fundamental Analysis: Everything you need to know.Microsoft's Stock Rises on the Back of AI Expansion, Gaming Dominance, and Positive Analyst Outlook
Over the past few months, Microsoft's stock has experienced a remarkable surge of almost 30%, driven by the company's ambitious venture into the field of artificial intelligence (AI). This cutting-edge technology has the potential to revolutionize numerous industries in the years ahead, and Wall Street has taken notice, leading to a bullish outlook on Microsoft's stock. While Microsoft already boasts established brands like Office, Windows, Azure, and Xbox, the growing influence of AI has further enhanced its potential, making it an opportune time to explore the opportunities presented by this tech giant. Here are three crucial factors that knowledgeable investors should consider.
AI Potential:
In 2019, Microsoft made a strategic investment of $1 billion in OpenAI, a move that has proven to be a significant win for the company. OpenAI's advanced chatbot, ChatGPT, has triggered an AI race among tech giants and prompted Microsoft to invest an additional $10 billion in the company. This partnership has positioned Microsoft as a frontrunner in the market, allowing the integration of OpenAI's technology into its own services such as Office, Azure, and Bing. As a result, Microsoft has solidified its position as the leading provider of AI services for both consumers and businesses.
Furthermore, Microsoft's cloud computing platform, Azure, has the potential to become a market leader with the help of AI. Richard Bernstein, an investment manager, predicts that Microsoft's cloud revenue could more than double as the company expands its AI offerings. As of the first quarter of 2023, Azure currently holds the second-largest market share in the cloud industry at 23%, with Amazon Web Services leading at 32%. However, Microsoft's leadership in artificial intelligence gives it the potential to surpass its competitors in the coming years.
Growing Dominance in Gaming:
In addition to making strides in AI and cloud computing, Microsoft has made significant progress in the gaming industry. The Xbox brand has propelled the company to become the fourth-largest games company globally, trailing only Tencent, Sony, and Apple. However, Microsoft is actively taking steps to increase its market share in this sector.
One of Microsoft's notable achievements in gaming is the introduction of the Xbox Game Pass, a game subscription service that has transformed how millions of gamers consume games since its launch in 2017. By offering users access to an extensive collection of games for a low monthly fee, Game Pass eliminates the need to purchase games individually. Moreover, Microsoft adds its own game titles to the platform on their launch day, which is a significant selling point. With the acquisition of more game studios, Game Pass has become increasingly attractive to gamers, offering hit titles and value-added features that make the Xbox console more appealing than competitors like Sony's PlayStation 5.
Despite facing macroeconomic challenges, Microsoft's games business has continued to grow, thanks to the success of Xbox Game Pass. In the third quarter of 2023 (ending March 2023), revenue from the service increased by 3% year-on-year, and the number of Game Pass members grew by an impressive 150% from 2020 to 2022.
Analysts' Optimism:
Investors have been drawn to Microsoft this year due to the company's expansion into AI, resulting in the stock price rising nearly 30% since the beginning of 2023. Microsoft's strong brands, such as Office, Windows, Azure, and Xbox, have already made it an appealing investment. However, the company's foray into AI has further boosted its outlook. Savvy investors recognize that Microsoft possesses significant potential in AI and is leveraging its partnership with OpenAI to integrate the startup's technology across various services, including Office, Azure, and Bing. Additionally, Microsoft has made notable progress in gaming, with the rapid growth of its subscription service, Xbox Game Pass, which adds value to the Xbox console.
Analysts have expressed optimism about Microsoft's prospects, giving the company a buy/strong buy rating. They recognize the significant potential of Microsoft's expanding role in AI, the cloud market, and gaming. The average 12-month price target reflects a projected 7% growth in the stock. With its strong foothold in established industries and its investments in emerging technologies, Microsoft is seen as a long-term buy with substantial growth potential.
In summary, Microsoft's stock has experienced a substantial rise driven by its expanding ventures into AI, its dominance in the gaming industry through Xbox Game Pass, and the positive outlook from analysts. The company's strategic partnership with OpenAI and its integration of AI technology into various services position it as a leading provider in the AI market. Furthermore, Microsoft's cloud computing platform, Azure, has the potential to become a market leader. As Microsoft continues to innovate and expand its offerings, investors recognize the long-term growth opportunities it presents.
MSFT Swing Short updateWe have hit our entry perfectly and have started to move down. Since we have already moved 2% Its good enough for moving stop loss slightly lower, but I would keep it above the recent high atleast couple of point higher.
Once we breach the while horizontal line and stay under it for a day or two I will move the Stop loss to breakeven after taking small tp and let the rest ride.
If you like my content then please boost and share this post. I have over 6 years of trading and investing experience and have learned a lot in this time. I like to share what I have learned. If you would like to learn from my experience then follow me on trading view to get notified on my trade, market projections and several upcoming technical analysis and in-depth tutorials on technical Indicators. You can also leave a comment and let me know if you want me to look at any specific asset or want to learn about any specific topic in the world of Technical Analysis. I Will do my best to create a post for it.
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MSFT Swing ShortWe have several bear divs on RSI. The whole move up from 274 to current high will be reversed as it happened on Decelerating volume. We have also tapped the PRZ of butterfly after filling the Gap at 312.
The PRZ of the butterfly has a large zone of reversal, that's why SL is slightly large for this move. Based on your risk appetite, you can either wait for a better entry or size your positions as per the SL , but we are at proper place to look for selling/Shorting opportunities here.
If you like my content then please boost and share this post. I have over 6 years of trading and investing experience and have learned a lot in this time. I like to share what I have learned. If you would like to learn from my experience then follow me on trading view to get notified on my trade, market projections and several upcoming technical analysis and in-depth tutorials on technical Indicators. You can also leave a comment and let me know if you want me to look at any specific asset or want to learn about any specific topic in the world of Technical Analysis. I Will do my best to create a post for it.
Keep learning and Happy trading All.
Apple AAPL - Brace Yourselves for $200. Seriously.Apple is something of a reverse canary in the coalmine when it comes to the Nasdaq, specifically because it's its highest weighted company at almost 14%. All these weeks everyone has been bearish, but yet, Apple is not in anything resembling a bear market.
Instead, everything about Apple from the monthly chart to the daily chart indicates that the January all time high of $182.93 is not very likely at all to be the all time high.
And this is under the circumstance wherein Apple extensively relies on what is effectively slave labor supplied by the notorious Chinese Communist Party, a problem really exacerbated by the regime employing that Zero-COVID stuff.
This is important because the situation with Apple's Foxconn factories and other Chinese factories and the new restrictions on chip makers means there is fundamental problems with this company going forward.
There's fundamental problems and yet it's set up to rally to a new all time high. Apple is more or less in "The Big Short."
Look up "China Quarantine Camps" or "COVID QR Code" on social media. The Chinese are literally being placed by the millions into huge concentration camps and every aspect of their daily life, from their ability to use public transit, their ability to go to work, their ability to purchase goods, their ability to use money, is entirely under the CCP's social credit system, lynch pinned around the colour of their QR code health pass.
And to think this is a system that the Western globalist establishment would like to install for all of us all over the world via central bank digital currencies... all I can say to readers is I hope you are intelligent enough to reject the Communist Party's things and its Marxist-Leninist "Theory of Evolution" and atheism stuff. If you want those things, you'll have to go with those things and experience what those things truly entail.
Personally, I'm calling a bear market rally, with Nasdaq going to 14,000. I suppose it'll be rather humiliating for me if this turns out to be incorrect and we keep dumping. However, fortune favours the bold, and at the same time, this is how bear markets work and there's a logic to the way they operate.
Nasdaq NQ - Unpopular Opinion #2,118: 14,000 is Coming
I also believe that stocks like Amazon and Meta are due for a fat rally
AMZN Amazon - Realistic Expectations In Both Doom and Gloom
Facebook/Meta - Too Much Bear, Not Enough Bull
Before you discount my supposition as hogwash, consider that McDonald's and Lockheed Martin just made all time highs just last month. And this is supposed to be a bear market where everything is going down.
So what's the rationale for saying Apple is going to set a new all time high?
Let's examine the monthly:
1. Apple set the low of the year in June, like everything else, but when it came time for September and October's scary index dumps, Apple remained very strong. October was actually a winning month overall.
2. Although this appears to have sharply reversed in November, it's worth noting we're a total of 4 trading days into the month. The November high as printed is not likely to remain the high.
3. In terms of range equilibrium for this market cycle, which I measure from anything's Coronavirus Disease 2019 pseudo-pandemic hysteria low to its all time high, Apple has not wanted to trade back to equilibrium. This all on its own tells me that the MMs are still heavy on the sell.
Looking at a weekly chart:
Inside the 2022 trading range we can see that Apple is currently trading at a deep discount. The magnification of the fractal shows us that not only is the prior statement true, but that the area below the October of 2021 pivot that led to the ATH has been worked extensively for the last several months.
On the daily, we can see with more clarity that the post-earnings pump was actually a major trade away from this genuine demand zone and back towards range equilibrium. It has since retraced, which is bullish.
If you understand how sell models work, you'll understand why this is "bullish" and not "bearish," and you'll understand why Apple continues to trade like it does and why it doesn't want to make a new low despite how excited everyone always is about the prospect of it crashing so they can buy cheap.
(Hint: When Apple is under $115, don't touch it. It's going to wind up like Facebook.)
But if you understand how sell models work, you'll also know why a new all time high on Apple is bearish, and not bullish.
What I would like to say to everyone is that bear markets rally and rally hard. They do this for a reason and the fundamental reason is that they're not bullish.
It sounds contradictory, right? "Why would something rally so hard if it's not bullish? How can that be?"
You are confused because when you see price go up, you think buying and when you see price go down, you think selling. Yet, if the banks and the funds traded like that, they would blow their account like you do and we would have ourselves a Lehman Brothers moment every 3 to 6 months and society would collapse.
When you see huge rallies like what's ahead you need to govern yourself strictly, and this means:
1. Don't get delusional and think you're in a new paradigm of everything going uppy. No, SPX is not going to 6,000 before Jan. 1 like David J. Hunter has been calling.
2. Check your greed before your greed checks your hide
3. Don't short or buy puts too early. Instead, buy them too late. A bullish Apple is as scary as a bullish Bitcoin.
4. The more complaining you see on social media and your signal groups about the Federal Reserve and "this ponzi," the higher things are going to go. The top is in when the charlatans and grifters start talking about getting long.
5. Buy the dip, but keep your risk low.
6. Make sure you take profits because this is no time to buy and hold.
Because what lies ahead after you see this go on for a bit and VIX hit numbers like 17 and 18, is this, which I called in August,
VIX - 9x8 = 72
The limit down that lies ahead is going to be vicious. Afterwards, North Americans will finally know what a real bear market feels like. It's not fun.
$SONY: Monthly Hidden Bullish Divergence and Channel Breakout NYSE:SONY on the Monthly Timeframe is breaking out of a Descending Channel while confirming Hidden Bullish Divergence and Bullishly Crossing over on the MACD and the RSI enters the Bullish Control Zone; the next obvious target would be between 150 and 177 Dollars as that would be the completion of an AB=CD Harmonic Pattern. One last thing to note on the side is that the NASDAQ:MSFT acquisition of NASDAQ:ATVI has recently hit a brick wall with regulators and this is likely to spur some optimism in the NYSE:SONY camp who has opposed this acquisition in fears that Microsoft would eventually make games like Call of Duty, Xbox Exclusive.
MICROSOFT Cup and Handle targeting $320.Microsoft (MSFT) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the November 04 Bottom. Supported by an Inner Higher Lows trend-line, we can even see a Rising Wedge forming. Now however, it will face the most important Resistance of this uptrend, the 294.50 of the August 15 High (just below the 0.618 Fibonacci).
If rejected, we may see a Cup and Handle (C&H) pattern materializing, which can pull the price back down to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), even the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). We remain bullish on MSFT but based on our long-term strategy for stocks, we will welcome such pull-back and buy it. Our next target is on the 0.786 Fibonacci at $320.
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Is it Worth Buying MSFT Today ?Microsoft Corporation, the American multinational technology company, has been one of the most prominent companies in the tech industry. Founded in 1975, the company’s market capitalization was $2.15 trillion, as of April 18, 2023. The company has had a strong revenue growth, reaching $198.27 billion in 2022, with projections of $262.57 billion in 2025. This growth has been fueled by several products, including Windows, Office Suite, Xbox, and LinkedIn, among others.
The company’s financial statements show strong performance, particularly in revenue, with an impressive compound annual growth rate of 13.3% between 2017 and 2022. The company has also maintained a good profitability level, with an average EBIT margin of 41.4% between 2017 and 2022. However, the company’s net income margin has been fluctuating between 2017 and 2022, reaching its highest at 36.5% in 2021 and its lowest at 31.0% in 2018.
The company's valuation ratios have been at reasonable levels over the years. The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio has ranged from 26.6x in 2022 to 35.3x in 2020. The P/E ratio is expected to reach 23.0x in 2025. The price-to-book (P/B) ratio has ranged from 11.5x in 2022 to 14.3x in 2021, and it is expected to reach 6.54x in 2025.
Microsoft Corporation's enterprise value (EV) to revenue ratio has also remained reasonable, ranging from 9.4x in 2022 to 11.7x in 2021, while its EV to EBITDA ratio ranged from 19.1x in 2022 to 24.1x in 2021. The company's enterprise value over free cash flow (EV/FCF) ratio was at 28.6x in 2022, and it is expected to reach 22.6x in 2025.
The company has a strong balance sheet, with net cash position ranging from $54.98 billion in 2022 to $135.17 billion in 2025. The company's free cash flow (FCF) margin has been reasonable, ranging from 32.9% in 2022 to 34.0% in 2025. Furthermore, Microsoft has maintained high return on equity (ROE) ratios of over 30% since 2018.
In light of the above financial performance, it is not surprising that analysts have a positive outlook for the company's future. They estimate that the company's net income will increase from $92.49 billion in 2025 to around $ billion in 2027, while the earnings per share (EPS) will reach $14.4 in 2027, according to the consensus of Wall Street. Moreover, the company's management has a history of generating high shareholder returns, primarily through share buybacks and dividends. The company’s dividend yield has ranged from 0.83% in 2021 to 1.13% in 2025, and it is expected to remain stable in the future.
Overall, Microsoft is a highly profitable and financially stable company, with strong growth potential in its cloud computing and artificial intelligence segments. While its current P/E ratio of 26.6x may seem relatively high compared to historical averages, it is still within reasonable range for a tech company with its growth prospects. The company's strong net cash position and negative leverage ratio further demonstrate its financial stability.
In conclusion, I believe that Microsoft is a strong investment opportunity for long-term investors. While short-term volatility and market fluctuations are always a possibility, the company's financial strength and growth potential make it an attractive option. With its continued investments in cloud computing and artificial intelligence, Microsoft is well-positioned for success in the rapidly evolving technology landscape.
For Me MSFT Looks Bullish As It is Shown on the chart I think $MSFT is going to go up to reach 262$ in the Mid-term and to 280$ As a next target
Keep in mind that it has an earning forecast today ( and I think it will be positive ) as appears on the price action on the chart.
This is my Humble opinion
Please left a comment about What do you think
AI - Running Away From The NazzyAn AI index, comprised of:
Shown in Blue
Google
Microsoft
NVIDIA
C3.AI
Nasdaq Shown in Orange
We see that they have broken away from the returns offered by the Nazzy Tech Index
Bottom of the Graph:
Spread between the above defined AI index and the Nazzy.
Has reached its All Time High..
Traders would have earned an additional 20+% by investing in the AI index in lieu of the Nazzy
Mind you, these companies have Zero additional profits resulting from AI, at this time.
How to profit from this?
Accepting ideas.
Reversal?Potential reversal identified based on August price action.
We are at a tipping point for tech.
Weekly technicals are oversold.
MACD monthly remains negative.
Jobs report and further Fed hikes may amplify this technical analysis may tip the scales and send tech plummeting.
Good luck,
Opinion - not financial advice