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Microsoft
Google - A Manipulation Dump and an Antitrust Exit PumpIf you have a taste for anything like freedom of speech, neither Google nor YouTube are companies you will like. This thing started as a search engine that actually had the motto "Don't Be Evil" before it was corrupted by the Chinese Communist Party when "very smart people" wanted to get it into China.
You see, doing business with "China" right now always means licking the boots of the "Chinese Communist Party."
This means you have to toe the Party Line, and that means topics like the June 4 Tiananmen Square Massacre and the persecution against Falun Gong, and Hong Kong democracy have to be suppressed in accordance with whatever the regime says during the previous, current, and future 2 hour periods of each and every day.
It was then that Google developed a taste for its own form of shadowbanning and thought itself smart to roll out the CCP's ethos into its worldwide business model. When you search for content you get curated whatever gibberished and extreme leftist-establishment stuff it thinks it can give you to either attempt to nudge your opinion and values (DONALD TRUMP BAD!), or to just cover up the truth (try finding an update on the pandemic situation in China that isn't 2 weeks old).
As scary as all of that is, more terrifying is the way that Google is able to control the editorial direction of every single website on the planet, especially news media, by strictly controlling the web ads market, which it has controlled 90% of for many years.
Don't want to follow the Party's edicts on stuff like the Marxist revolutionary group Black Lives Matter destroying cities? Don't want to promote masking, social distancing, and mandatory vaccination during a "pandemic"?
Then they take your site's ad revenue away, for real.
Hint: there aren't many ways to make money with a website whose product is free words ("news") besides advertisements.
On Jan. 24 the US Department of Justice finally launched an antitrust suit against Google , seeking to financially penalize and force Google to divest its share of the markets.
What's scary about this for investors is that Google inked $209 billion in revenue from web ads in 2021. According to Q3 Financials, ~$167 billion of its $207 billion in revenue for the 9 months ending in September 2022 came from web advertisements.
This part of its business is pretty much what Google actually is. The search engine is really just there to dominate the Internet for the purposes of keeping the ad revenue train clutched in their own claws.
And curiously, when the DOJ made the suit's announcement, Google's share price only fell $6, and over the course of two days, before rebounding in the big tech short squeeze.
This is kind of a big deal because Google losing its web ad business means Google goes out of business, and US Government antitrust lawsuits aren't this kind of thing that they drop one day or that the courts or a jury will side against the administration on.
Google's Q4/FY22 earnings is Feb. 2 postmarket. This timing is especially significant considering that the FOMC rate hike is Feb. 1.
The question when facing a strange price action situation underwritten by big fundamental changes with multiple culminating timing catalysts is always: Is the stock going to go up or is it going to go down?
The thing about Google's monthly bars is there's a very small gap at $81.05, which was conveniently evaded in the October dump and kept off during the Nov-December market retrace.
The clearest view of overall price action is on the weekly candles:
My thesis is that Google will have a terrible earnings call, regardless of whatever data it puts out, because of the pending lawsuit. I suspect markets will bear trap with FOMC, regardless of the fundamentals. All of these come together to make me believe that February prints $79-$81.
Makes for a nice 25% short.
But when this arrives, I believe Google and the Nasdaq in general will actually turn around and really trend hard upwards, regardless of the fundamentals.
This makes for a nice 29.5% long if Google really only retraces into the $95 gap, and a 50%+ long if she goes into the $81 range.
I believe the reason a tech pump will happen is because the sector attracts the biggest suckers (retail, Robinhood, Reddit, Cathy Woods, Jim Cramer) and Wall Street will be using them to empty their bags.
Citadel and JPM and friends always buy low and sell high. They don't buy high and sell low. That's what you do.
If banks and funds did that, they'd be broke like you are, and we'd have Bear Sterns every month.
Once big tech starts to trend upwards, you have to be careful. The market will more or less do what Tesla did the last two weeks and just go uppy as weekly puts expire worthless.
And there will be no real sign of anything fundamental that should stop the train. Everyone will flip bullish for one reason or another (mah 200 DMA, meh trendlines, moh 76.321847234% Fibonacci) and it'll seem like it's time to get back to the good old days of 2021.
But it's not 2021. It's 2023, and everything is broken. Summer is going to be harsh, and Autumn will scare you.
And then the Chinese Communist Party will be destroyed by Wuhan Pneumonia seemingly overnight, and all the plans will be interrupted.
My advice to traders is to just risk a lot less and try to keep your risk within your winnings as much as possible. Also, if you really do see a black swan with China that crashes markets, don't buy that dip. Not even a scalp. It won't be like COVID hysteria was with 1,000 point up and down swings on the Dow this time. Everything will just gap down and stay down.
Liquidity will be a precious commodity.
One thing I've learned is that people never believe in what they think can't happen until it's unfolding in front of their face. Then they come back and are like "Wow it really did happen!"
Even I am subject to that flaw, because the length of time things take to unfold makes actually believing you are right very, very difficult.
That being said, I believe that we're looking at overall feverish bull market hysteria heading into May.
But what happens starting in May and heading into July is very likely going to change everyone's lives forever and ever.
Microsoft: Challenges and Opportunities for InvestorsMicrosoft's business appears to be slowing down, with the company's stock declining since the beginning of 2022 due to sales growth reaching its limit. Furthermore, large parts of the company's business, including the PC and video game segments, are shrinking, and the outlook for corporate technology spending in 2023 isn't looking good.
Despite these major problems, Microsoft has several aspects that are not as well known and point to solid returns for investors in the long run. For example, the company has a rich portfolio that covers attractive sectors such as cybersecurity, video games, and cloud services, offering more diversified participation in technology growth trends than many other peers.
Although some of these niches may go through periods of decline, Microsoft provides investors with exposure to attractive industries that offer solid returns in the long run. Additionally, Microsoft's stable cash flow is another strength that sets it apart from many of its peers. The company generated $20.4 billion in operating income in Q2 of fiscal 2023, just 8 percent less than the previous year, and its operating cash is still strong at $11.2 billion.
Despite the challenges facing most tech giants in 2023, Microsoft has several strengths that could help it weather the storm. For example, the company pays a dividend that was recently raised by 10 percent, has plenty of cash, and does not need to rely on costly debt to finance its business. Additionally, Microsoft's global sales presence should smooth out the volatility from the downturn in demand in some markets and niches.
In conclusion, although Microsoft's stock may not be recession-proof, the company's strengths provide it with the flexibility to continue investing in high-yield projects such as artificial intelligence and virtual reality, ensuring that long-term growth prospects are not jeopardized by a few weak quarters.
$MSFT: Buy the dip to join the trend#Microsoft has a very interesting weekly uptrend signal active here, while the daily has just had a correction that ran its course. This gives us an interesting reward to risk entry to join the weekly trend at a more favorable reward to risk spot.
It's interesting how $GOOGL's monopoly in search being disrupted might affect things going forward also. On one hand, $MSFT has a chance at gaining ground in advertising and $GOOGL a chance to take a huge hit to their search margins if forced to integrate LLMs into it due to pressure from $MSFT (it was a big number, +30% hit). This might kick start some soul searching in $GOOGL, since they had been quite complacent and developed a ton of fluff thanks to their dominant position in search favoring it, a lot of excess they needed to shake off (head count, ridiculous woke practices and divisions burning $ for no reason like Waymo or miraculous anti aging methods to name a few, lots and lots of fat to shed).
$MSFT has done a better job in that regard, and are well positioned thanks to their subscription service model producing recurrent revenues and cash generation. Of the two, $MSFT is better run, by a lot...
Technically, $GOOGL is below weekly support while $MSFT is in a weekly uptrend and erased a recent monthly decline.
All things considered from a long term perspective I would be inclined to invest in $MSFT long term here, rather than $GOOGL, and the entry point here seems to be low risk vs potential reward, even in the short and mid term. It's certainly worth considering.
Best of luck if you do follow this buy signal.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
NVDA Microsoft and OpenAI's ChatGPT 4 RevolutionNVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is a semiconductor company that designs and manufactures graphics processing units, as well as other specialized processors for a wide range of applications such as gaming, professional visualization, data centers, and autonomous vehicles.
As of the current market data, NVDA is priced at $240.82 with a 1.02% increase in the last trading session. The 1-month high and low for the stock were $244.54 and $204.21, respectively. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for NVDA is at 58.90, indicating a neutral market sentiment for the stock.
NVDA has been showing strong bullish momentum, as evidenced by its Average Directional Index (ADX) of 16.02. Additionally, the Moving Averages Rating for NVDA is Strong Buy, indicating that the stock is trading above its short-term and long-term moving averages.
However, the Awesome Oscillator for NVDA is at 5.08, indicating a weak bullish momentum. The MACD Level (12,26) is positive at 2.95, but the MACD Signal (12,26) is at 3.01, indicating a bearish trend reversal in the short term. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is currently at 85.94, suggesting that the stock may be overbought.
The company's financials also look strong, with a YTD performance of 4.28%. The Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) for NVDA are also positive, with the 20-day EMA at 234.73, 50-day EMA at 225.89, and 200-day EMA at 191.54.
Overall, NVDA appears to be in a bullish trend, with strong financials and technical indicators. However, investors should be cautious of a possible bearish trend reversal in the short term. Microsoft new partner OpenAI will make Microsoft better than Google. Will see
MSFT Update (options)Through their tales of joy and pain,
We'll learn to dance in life's sweet rain.
So listen well to words from the wise,
And let their knowledge be your prize.
As an update to my idea yesterday, I discussed that if MSFT broke down, that we'd head toward $253 and we got to $253.58 which is down from 256.87 where we closed yesterday.
MSFT filled the gap in the first 15 minutes of trading then was rejected in a big way. I believe we'll hit that target of 253 exactly, but will be watching for a move back toward 247 if we break 253.
Watch the wavemaster on the 15, though. We're pretty oversole so don't be surprised if we get a bounce tomorrow in the first part of the day before potentially reversing lower later in the day.
US30 A Great Selling Opportunity 🤨👌Trade Proposal:
There is a probability of first tp to the proposed ( 30000,00 ) Direction line. So, Traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term goals.
Technical analysis:
US30 is in Downtrend and It is Expected to Continue Downtrend.
Microsoft growth doubt$MSFT has been down trending following this parallel channel's support & resistance, now testing resistance at $280 which is perfectly aligned with the daily 200MA & 0.5 fib level.
Fundamentally, fear from Q3 results because of interest rates hike & recession doubts, share holders will take partial profits at $280 or a little bit higher protecting themselves from the negative earnings impact.
DXY soaring:
TVC:DXY
NYSE FANG+ Index: wait is better⌛' The NYSE FANG+ Index is a rules-based, equal-weighted equity benchmark designed to track
the performance of 10 highly-traded growth stocks of technology and tech-enabled companies in the
technology, media & communications and consumer discretionary sectors'.
Companies included in the index:
Meta, Apple, Amazon, Netflix, Microsoft, Google, Tesla, NVIDIA, Snowflake and Advanced Micro Devices.
Graphically speaking, I would expect a better definition of which way the price is going.
Looking at the Stochastic Momentum Index, I would say that opening a long position would be too risky.
Below are some possible scenarios:
Scenario 1:
Scenario 2:
Scenario 3:
Scenario 4:
Scenario 5:
February 22 BTCUSD BingX Chart Analysis and Today's HeadlineBingX’s Bitcoin Chart
According to Glassnode, the number of Bitcoin (BTC) whales, or wallet addresses holding 1,000 or more BTC, hit its lowest level since August 2019 on Sunday. Bitcoin is down 3.67% over the last 24 hours and fell to an intraday low of $23,855.55. The largest cryptocurrency rose to $25,250 on Tuesday, but the price was unable to sustain above $25,000, suggesting the bears have defended the level successfully. The rising moving averages and the RSI above 65 indicate that bulls are in control. If the BTC/USDT pair sustains above $25,000, the BTC/USDT pair could rise to $28,000.
Microsoft and Ankr Partner to Offer Blockchain Node Service
Today’s Cryptocurrency Headline
Tech giant Microsoft has partnered up with Web3 infrastructure provider Ankr to provide node services for businesses that need access to blockchain data. The two companies will collaborate on a new node hosting service on the Microsoft Azure cloud marketplace, offering tailored memory and bandwidth specifications for blockchain nodes. After this cooperation, developers will be able to develop decentralized applications on Ankr's RPC and middleware platform and meet their scaling needs through Microsoft's cloud platform.
Microsoft -> It's Now Or NeverHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis .
On the weekly timeframe Microsoft stock just recently created an awesome double bottom and also already broke above the neckline confirming the weekly pattern.
As we are speaking the market is retesting the neckline of the double bottom which is now turned support so from a weekly perspective I just do expect the continuation towards the upside from here.
On the daily timeframe however the market is currently massively bearish and I definitely don't want to catch a falling knife so I am now just waiting for some bullish structure on the daily timeframe before I will look to enter longs to capitalize on the continuation towards the upside.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
Is it “game over” for Microsoft's Activision acquisition?When two hugely successful companies join forces, the initial market response is not always a bullish one, and traders who follow company mergers and takeovers know the only thing to count on is volatility. But what about the long run? Should traders buy in early and wait for the big picture to move the markets?
What’s happened so far?
Microsoft (MSFT) made headlines in January after announcing a hefty $69 billion bid to acquire Activision Blizzard (ATVI), the largest video game developer of all time. The acquisition is Microsoft's biggest ever.
Despite the huge number, this isn't necessarily a crazy bet for Microsoft. Gaming was already a booming business before the pandemic, and lockdowns further increased its appeal.
Estimates put gaming revenue increases at over 20% in recent years, approaching a staggering $200 billion, which has attracted the attention of tech giants such as Apple, Netflix, Amazon, and, of course, Microsoft.
Traders have already seen movement on the charts since the announcement, but the deal isn’t done just yet, as competitor Sony raised concerns about the monopolization of the industry. This brings the UK's regulatory commission, Competition and Markets Authority (CMA), into play.
What the CMA says about Microsoft’s acquisition
The CMA is expected to announce its provisional findings soon, which could either clear the way for the mega-deal, or put an unappealable halt to it.
The CMA has expressed concerns that the takeover could lead to competition issues in the console and subscription market, as well as in the growing cloud gaming sector.
Microsoft's goal in acquiring Activision Blizzard is to add popular games like Call of Duty to its portfolio, which already includes the Halo franchise and Minecraft.
Regulators around the world are worried that Microsoft dominance may soon make it harder for rivals to access Activision's popular titles. The CMA's decision is significant, as UK courts rarely overturn CMA merger decisions, and if the deal is blocked, there is little recourse for Microsoft and Activision.
The CMA's ruling will come before decisions from the EU and the US Federal Trade Commission, which has sued to veto the transaction.
In the hopes of greasing the wheels, Microsoft offered to grant a 10-year license for Call of Duty to its rival Sony. But that doesn’t address the issue that all upcoming Activision titles may become XBOX exclusives, leaving Sony’s PS5 catching dust in the corner.
Conclusion
If Microsoft’s Activision acquisition goes through, MSFT stocks probably won’t make much movement. Even though the purchase is $69 Billion, the effect on the company's profitability won’t be seen anytime soon—if ever.
In contrast, Activision stock soared by 25% after the acquisition was announced.
If the deal is blocked, we may see those early investors pulling out, and a rather rapid correction for ATVI. Don’t forget, last year the CMA concluded that Meta's purchase of GIPHY would limit choice for social media users, and Meta was ordered to sell GIPHY, so it’s not such a stretch to imagine the deal getting canceled.
MSFT is an amazing company to trade either way, but consider focusing your research and analysis on ATVI in the coming weeks and months and be ready for the CMA decision.
- By Paul Reid
Microsoft Desc. Triangle ready to pop to $239.96Descending Triangle is forming on Microsoft.
Can we talk about the gaps and liquidity issues? Is it because of the broker TradingView is showing for the company?
It's shocking and one I avoid trading by all means.
Anyway, the bearish signs are there
21>7>200
RSI<50
Bearish bias
Target $239.96
ABOUT
Microsoft is a multinational technology company based in Redmond, Washington that was founded in 1975 by Bill Gates and Paul Allen.
The company's most famous product is the Microsoft Windows operating system, which is used by over a billion people worldwide.
Microsoft also develops and produces a wide range of other software products, including the Microsoft Office suite, the Edge web browser, and the Xbox gaming console.
It's value is over $2 trillion in market cap
And of course the company is a major player in the field of artificial intelligence (AI) and is working on a number of innovative projects, including chatbots, speech recognition, and machine learning.