MSFT Potential for Bearish Momentum | 26th September 2022On H4, with the price moving within the descending channel and below ichimoku cloud , we have a bearish bias that the price may drop from the sell entry at 236.25, which is in line with the 78.6% fibonacci projection to the take profit at 208.8, where the 78.6% fibonacci projection is. Alternatively, the price may rise to the stop loss at 252.14, which is in line with the 23.6% fibonacci retracement .
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Microsoft
MSFT: Head, shoulders, knees and toesMicrosoft has painted a head & shoulders formation, and is on track to confirm a neckline break on the daily and weekly timeframes. Expect a continuation of the downtrend on this neckline break, as well as further index weakness given MSFT's tremendous weight in the indices.
Notes:
Confirmation still required on neckline break, a wick below is insufficient.
Weekly closure above the neckline will invalidate the pattern.
MSFTHELLO GUYS THIS MY IDEA 💡ABOUT MSFT is nice to see strong volume area....
Where is lot of contract accumulated..
I thing that the buyers from this area will be defend this long position..
and when the price come back to this area, strong buyers will be push up the market again..
UPTREND + Support from the past + Strong volume area is my mainly reason for this long trade..
IF you like my work please like share and follow thanks
TURTLE TRADER 🐢
MSFT - Short position When looking at MSFT current underlying value and most recent price behaviour when using a 2-hour range, investors can see that on the 02/09/22 a three-bar pattern formed making up a shooting star. In this instance, this was a bareish indication, a failed attempt to correct the underlying stock value´s bearish momentum with bullish momentum.
When observing 50 and 100 day ranged EMA averages investors can see that on the 26/08/22 shorter 50-day EMA moving average crossed beneath the longer 100-day EMA moving average. This dead cross was followed by a strong down trend, underlying prices falling 7%. This was after bullish rallies that were witnessed since mid-July. On 27/07/22 shorter 50-day EMA moving average crossed above longer 100-day EMA moving average. This fresh bullish crossover was followed by a rally that saw the underlying share value continue to increase over 10%. Currently EMA moving average lines are not moving back towards one another, instead they are moving parallel in a different trajectory. Therefore, the down trend is more likely to strengthen before corrections occur.
When observing MACD and signal lines, investors can see that 06/09/22 the MACD line crossed beneath the signal line. This further supports our bearish sentiment.
Based on EMA moving averages, candlestick patterns and behaviour as well as MACD and signal lines, we are bareish in sentiment. We anticipate that the stock will fall further and have taken a short position as a result.
ATVI Spike (Merger Arbitrage Continued)This morning I received a Spike Alert for price volatility at the open on Activision Blizzard NASDAQ:ATVI . Perhaps people are excited about Wrath of the Lich King classic being released? :D
This swing trade occurs within the context of the Merger Arbitrage trade which has been going on for many months since Microsoft announced an offer of $95/share to purchase ATVI. There has been much rumor and speculation as always on if this deal would go through which manifests itself in a present 20.6% risk premium from the current trading price of ATVI to the buyout price. Nothing has fundamentally changed since the board approved the deal. Warren Buffett is also in the merger arbitrage trade with a 9.5% stake in ATVI.
I am already long the merger arbitrage trade from earlier in the year. Note: Getting into it now would be less than 12 months til the expected buyout which would mean a successful trade would incurr short term capital gains rather than long term. GLHF!
MSFT - Long PositionDivergence indication signals suggest bullish change in momentum.
Candlestick momentum shows a potential bullish hammer. The underlying stock price presented in the form of candlesticks seems to be reversing in line with its moderate 0.38 weekly support level. A bullish hammer can be identified within the down trend, a bullish hammer suggests that there will be a change in momentum.
When applying a weekly and monthly ranged Fibonacci, investors can see that this potential bullish hammer is occurring in line with its moderate 0.38 support level. However, when looking at the 1-month ranged Fibonacci investors are wary given that the stock is trading close to its central 0.00 pivot level.
EMA indicators suggest the stock is undervalued given that the underlying stock value is currently trading below all 20-, 50-, 100- and 200-day EMA averages. Furthermore, the crossover of 20- and 50-day EMA lines is a buy signal.
Based on these undervalued signals, we anticipate the stock to correct towards a stronger resistance.
MSFT Potential for Bullish Rise| 26th August 2022 Microsoft CorpOn H4, with the price moving within the ascending channel and above ichimoku cloud , we have a bullish bias that the price may rise form the buy entry at 278.84, where the overlap resistance and 23.6% fibonacci retracement are to the take profit at 294.02, where the swing high is. Alternatively, the price may drop to the stop loss at 268.06, where the pullback support and 50% fibonacci retracement are.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
MSFT - Long PositionDivergence indication signals suggest bullish change in momentum.
Candlestick momentum shows an inverted hammer signal. The underlying stock price presented in the form of candlesticks seems to be stabilizing in line with its strong weekly support level. This suggests that the bareish sentiment is changing and loosing momentum. Inverted hammer, whist not as reliable as a Hammers, still certainly suggest that bullish momentum is likely.
When applying a weekly and monthly ranged Fibonacci, investors can see that this inverted hammer is occurring in line with its strong 1.00 support level. However, when looking at the 1-month ranged Fibonacci investors are wary given that the stock is trading in line with it’s weaker 0.22 resistance level.
It´s important to consider that the end of July and August has seen bullish rallies. The underlying stock value of MSFT has risen above 10%. This was after bearish momentum that began on 16/08/22. Before this underlying stock prices had risen as much as 20% between 26/07/22 and 15/08/22.
All things considered, we are bullish in sentiment. We anticipate the price of MSFT to reach it´s weekly central 0.00 Fibonacci pivot.
Microsoft pulling back?Microsoft
Short Term
We look to Buy at 273.34 (stop at 266.24)
Previous resistance at 275.00 now becomes support. Choppy price action seen. We can see no technical reason for a change of trend. We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher.
Our profit targets will be 292.57 and 303.00
Resistance: 293.00 / 315.00 / 320.00
Support: 275.00 / 250.00 / 200.00
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MSFT stock final up move before near reversalMicrosoft stock from a technical view has some space for some up movement
•MSFT Stock has broken above inverted H&SH pattern still not hit the pattern target at $302.
• Down channel is broken in the last up move with a successful retest.
We expect the up move to continue towards $300-$302 levels to hit the H&SH pattern target, before reversing back towards $270.
$300-$302 playing as an important resistance:
• 61.8% Fibonacci from the last down move from 22 Nov -21.
• Down trendline from Nov 21.
MSFT: Investment in stock marketI decide to make an investment in Microsoft stock because it's look bullish from this monthly timeframe. But when we invest in stock, it's very important to read ever fundamental analysis to know what affect the price of a stock. I will trade when market open at Monday, August, 8, 2022. Bought in the market price and my SL will be around $228 USD, and we could to have 2 targets.
One of the best strategy to accumulate money and investing in stock market it's find up 100% of the investent to double x2 yearly. But one of the best it's using asset like Bitcoin, Ethereum, Cardano to accumulate to use one of them using a good crypto-broker like Simple FX, Also, 200% yearly it's a good way, but combining to trade financial market and find up the yearly goal.
I hope that this analysis support you!!!
MSFT Potential for bullish rise | 2nd August 2022On the H4, with prices moving along the ascending trendline and above the ichimoku indicator, we have a bullish bias that price will rise from the buy entry at 275.24 where the overlap support and 23.6% fibonacci retracement are to the take profit at 290.73 where the swing high resistance, 127.2% fibonacci extension and 61.8% fibonacci retracement are. Alternatively, price could break entry structure and drop to stop loss at 269.22 where the overlap support and 38.2% fibonacci retracement are.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
$MSFT - Weekly support and continuationTechnical Analysis (TA)
Monthly oversold and Williams %R showing signs of a reversal.
Weekly MA's resistantce broken and held key 100MA as support. Needs to break Monthly 10EMA to show upside momentum.
Price Target
Entry : $281
Price Target 1: $315
Price target 2: $350
Fundamental Analysis (FA)
Strong Quality Screen and metrics.
Betting on Pivot with Microsoft. MSFTContracting Elliott triangle done, C Wave of upgoing zigzag done (probably, awaiting confirmation0, so ready for drop in line with the global picture on equities right now.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe.
Microsoft: No Mo Lo´s!This massive impulsive reaction to the FED´s rate hike is a clear indicator for tus that the low has been completed. Accordingly, the Mircosoft stock should now seek to extend gains. In the turquoise target zone on the top, we expect a turnaround for another corrective move, though we do not think that new lows will be reached. Here, we might enter a position or two 👀
Microsoft Short PositionCurrently trading around $270, Microsoft is priced close to this month’s R1, PP1 pivot resistance level. Currently priced bellow this weaker resistance level the stock is trading above its central PP level. Furthermore, using a 20-day ranged Bollinger investors can see that the price currently lies just below its upper bound. In fact, the upper bound is equal to the R1, PP1 resistance level supporting a bareish sentiment.
Based on these signals, it would be reasonable to assume a bareish correction towards its support. However, it would also be reasonable to assume more bullish movement towards it’s PP1 resistance pivot before any bareish corrections were to occur. Based on buy trends represented by the green candles, it would seem as though there will be modest bullish movements before the stronger bareish corrections were to occur. This trend is represented by swing high and low patterns since the start of the year.
Therefore, we have set our purchase price in between the PP 0.5 and R1 resistance levels. We anticipate based on chart trends that the green candles will reach the price of at least $275 before any bearish corrections occur. The team have set a target price in line with the Fibonacci’s S1, PP 0.382 support pivot. The buyer should sell around $244.
Moreover, negative earnings are expected to be announced today. Therefore, expect bareish corrections in line with this report.
MSFT Technical AnalysisWe expect that the price will drop 240 in order to retest the support one more time and then we expect the price to rise. DMI indicates the buying opportunity. Divergence for many indicator also shows that 241.81 price level is buying opportunity.
Entry and target are shown in the chart.