MICROSOFT LONGHi there,
As you can see it is following the channel well. Back in 2020 it dropped then over the next 6 months, it went up 50% more than the previous peak. Since it is at the lower end of the channel and the BULLISH uptrend since 2007, we can expect MICROSOFT to bounce back.
HOWEVER, we shall WAIT for the CLOSURE of the candle when MARKET opens and we SHALL wait further to let it BREATH then enter the trade and let it ROLL for a nice LONG SWING.
Kind regards
Microsoftstock
Microsoft Analysis 26.01.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
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MSFT Microsoft TrendlineMicrosoft’s buyout of Activision Blizzard for $69 billion would be the largest tech deal of all time.
And Microsoft needs Activision to be a major gaming developer and metaverse competitor.
Microsoft is still in the bullish trendline before the earnings this week.
My price target is $331.
looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Will the 200 day EMA save Microsoft? Microsoft looks technically interesting. On one hand a double or even triple top argument could be made that flushed the stock down lower after it rallied to break a multi-year resistance TL but failed to hold it, and on the other hand it has not made any multi-month lower lows since September 2020. Stock holders are hoping that 294 will find buyers at the 200 day EMA ahead of earnings but it does not appear that there are any buyers in-sight just yet. 289/290 if reached next week will coincide with March 2021 TL support followed by much bigger support around 280/282 if we get there, where major bounces are expected. The intriguing question will be if buyers are willing show up aggressively under the 200 day to act on these supports because if not, 260 will not be far from reach. Upcoming earnings will determine the longer-term picture.
Is Microsoft in a bubble? Is it overvalued? Judge for yourself.
Microsoft PE Ratio as of January 21: 33.11
PE Ratio Range in the Past 5 Years:
Minimum: 22.35, JUL 03 2017
Maximum: 62.43, MAR 12 2018
Average: 34.68
Median: 32.84
Microsoft Analysis 13.01.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
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Microsoft Analysis 20.12.2021Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
Microsoft | Fundamental Analysis | Must Read...Microsoft's stock price reached an all-time high after the tech behemoth published its first-quarter earnings report last Tuesday. The company's revenue increased 22% year-over-year to $45.3 billion, beating analysts' forecasts by $1.3 billion. Adjusted earnings surged 25% to $2.27 per share, $0.19 above expectations.
For the second quarter, Microsoft management expects revenue growth of 16% to 18% year-over-year, which also beat analysts' expectations of 14%.
Microsoft's performance is majestic, but some investors may not crave to buy its stock after its price has already risen almost 50% in 2021. Let's look at a few reasons to buy Microsoft stock, as well as one argument for selling it, to see if it is still an attractive investment at these prices.
First and foremost, of course, is the growth of Microsoft Cloud Computing.
Microsoft's dramatic growth over the past seven years has been booste by the expansion of its cloud services, particularly Azure, Office 365, Dynamics, LinkedIn, and other cloud software. The business records the performance of these businesses together as "Microsoft Cloud."
In the first quarter, Microsoft Cloud's revenue grew 36% year over year to $20.7 billion, matching the 36% growth rate in the fourth quarter.
Revenue from Azure, the most thoroughly supervised segment of Microsoft Cloud, grew 48% on a constant currency basis. That represents an acceleration from Azure's 45% growth on a constant currency basis in the fourth quarter and should allay fears of a possible slowdown.
Azure's share of the global cloud infrastructure market also grew from 19% to 21% between the third quarters of 2020 and 2021, according to Canalys. That puts it in second place behind Amazon Web Services (AWS), whose year-over-year market share was unchanged at 32%.
Microsoft probably could not have achieved this growth without Satya Nadella, who took over as third CEO in 2014 and aggressively expanded these services with his mantra "mobile first, cloud first."
Second, we should not forget the recovery of favorable trends.
Over the past few years, Microsoft has become a fast-growth company again, but it continues to return tens of billions of dollars to its investors.
During the pandemic, several Microsoft enterprise services, including Office 365 Commercial, Dynamics 365, and LinkedIn Marketing Solutions, were disrupted as businesses closed.
However, as businesses resumed operations, those factors eased. In the first quarter, Office 365 and Dynamics 365 provided an acceleration in growth on a constant currency basis, and LinkedIn Marketing continued to grow.
The growth of these "resurgent" segments, along with the continued growth of Azure and other cloud services, is offsetting the slowdown in Microsoft's Surface and Xbox units, which suffered from chip shortages and other supply chains constraints in the first quarter.
Finally, it's returning a lot of cash to shareholders.
In the fiscal year 2021, Microsoft spent more than $39 billion on dividends and stock buybacks, accounting for about 70% of free cash flow (FCF). The company will spend another $10.9 billion, or 58% of FCF, on both activities in the first quarter of 2022.
Microsoft's forward dividend yield of 0.8% won't drag serious investors, but the company has reduced its stock by nearly 10% over the past seven years, offsetting the dilution from stock-based compensation plans.
Still, there is one single reason to sell Microsoft: its valuation.
Today Microsoft is worth $2.4 trillion, about eight times its market value of $300 billion when Satya Nadella became its CEO.
The company's stock currently trades at 13 times this year's sales forecast and 35 times its earnings forecast. Those estimates are slightly overstated compared to analysts' expectations for sales growth of 14% and earnings growth of 9% this year.
Massive market capitalization and high valuations could make it tough for Microsoft to repeat its multiple growth over the past seven years.
Microsoft stock is priced very high, but bears have been sounding the alarm about th is for years while the company's stock has been soaring. Still, most would agree that Microsoft deserves such a high valuation because it is still a perfect long-term investment that will continue to profit from the expanding cloud services market.
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MSTF 1H What Can Stop Microsoft's grow Supercycle?Today, we will look at the behavior of the share price of Microsoft Corporation on a global chart.
Patient investors have been gaining the position of Msft shares for 13 long years, and the price itself during this period was stuck in the consolidation of $20-37
However, look at the result: as of now, the share price has risen +1000% , and the super cycle of growth itself has been going on for 8 years.
Moreover, during this long super cycle of growth, there have not yet been significant corrections. The recent news that the Pentagon is breaking a $10 billion contract with Microsoft shook the share price down 1%, but the next day, Msft's share price updated its all-time high.
Even during the Covid market drop in February-March 2020, Msft shares fell by only -30% and left the price within the parabolic rally. For example, then the S&P500 fell by -35%, the DJI index -38%, and for example, the hypes TSLA shares by as much as -60%
By the way, yesterday we made an idea for TESLA, we invite you to view:
For ourselves, we set the bar for the growth of Msft shares to $349-350 , from where a long correction may begin. Of course, against the backdrop of such a powerful growth, it is hard to believe in such a deep correction, but it would be nice to test the strength of the top level of $60 per share for Microsoft
An alternative scenario is a breakout and consolidation of the price above $350 , then nothing will prevent the price from moving further with parabolic growth, and the zone of $825-880 per share of MicrosoftCorporation will wait from above
$MSFT All Time Highs? or Double Top?So much on the line for the markets, as we approach big levels on $MSFT
This is a video update for those of you who have been following this trade since $253
I am thinking we build a cup and handle if we get a rejection and the market stays bullish or holds!
If you guys like my content make sure to leave a like and a follow!!
$MSFT Support Bounce or Shoulder Building 6/14 (UPDATE)Update on last weeks video where we secured a bounce off support and a entrance into the gap. Looking into the potential cup and handle or even ascending triangle forming on the daily at $MSFT previous highs! Thank you for tuning in, and make sure to follow us for more breakdowns!
$MSFT Support Bounce or Shoulder Building 6/7We are in pivotal part of the market where investors or unsure and fear is aplenty. That being said I always trying to come at the market as a day trader and swing trader without being emotionally attached to a stock. I like certain stocks on fundamentals and will buy them again long term, but as a day trader I am only in search of weekly or monthly flings. Those profits go into long term accounts that are mostly sitting in cheap leaps or fundamentally sound stocks with long hedges.
All that being said we could see $MSFT go both ways, and until I see a break I'm not going to pretend that I know what i will do in a supply zone. I have received some flack for my "both ways recently" but during a time of great fear its better to leave your emotional bias at home and look at where things could get messy and be honest with yourself. Just some advice for those of you day trading and if you are in stocks long term, use that same approach to hedge yourself correctly.
Good luck !