Mid/Smallcap || Recovery As Expected, What now? The Midcap and Small Cap Index have shown signs of recovery as anticipated in my previous analysis. The index is now trading above the 20 EMA Band in the 2-hour timeframe (TF). However, several key conditions must still be met before we can confirm a sustained bull run:
1. 2-hour RSI should cross above 75 to signal strong upward momentum.
2. Daily timeframe (DTF) RSI needs to exit the Bear Zone.
3. NIFTY50 is still awaiting confirmation to move out of the Bear Zone, which would provide broader market support.
MIDCAP
Mid/Smallcap || Nearing Key Reversal Zone?Many traders focus on midcap and small-cap stocks, so this index movements can significantly impact portfolios. However, stock selection is crucial; choosing stocks in a downtrend or sideways movement often limits potential upside.
Index Analysis:
1. RSI for Midcap and Smallcap Index in the daily timeframe (DTF) is close to oversold zone
2. 2hrsTF RSI is already in ovsersold zone, however there’s an RSI positive divergence in the 2-hour chart, a bullish indicator,
3. the index sits within a support zone, suggesting a possible reversal.
Market Outlook:
Limited Downside Expected: Significant further declines in midcap and small-cap may not be likely. Even if they dip, a recovery within the same 2-hour candle is possible.
Key Resistance:
A confirmed bull run may require the RSI to break above 75.
Disclaimer: This is based on my analysis and experience. It’s not investment advice, and market conditions may vary.
Hope for the Best
MIDCAP NIFTY Rallies Strong! Long Trade Hits All TargetsMidcap Nifty has shown a solid uptrend following the entry at 12921.15 on 11th October at 12:15 PM, with the price successfully reaching all profit targets.
Key Levels
Entry: 12921.15 – The long trade was initiated at this level, supported by bullish momentum.
Stop-Loss (SL): 12891.70 – Positioned below recent support to protect against potential downside.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 12957.60 – The first target was achieved, confirming the upward move.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 13016.55 – Bullish pressure continued, leading to this level being reached.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 13075.50 – Further gains pushed the price to this target.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 13111.90 – The final target, marking a successful rally in the long trade.
Trend Analysis
The price has consistently remained above the Risological Dotted trendline, indicating a strong uptrend. The sustained upward movement suggests that market sentiment remains positive, supporting further gains beyond the final target.
The long trade on Midcap Nifty successfully hit all profit targets, with the final TP4 at 13111.90. The uptrend was well-supported by the Risological Dotted trendline, showcasing strong buying interest throughout the move.
Planned Positional Long Trade in DALBHARAT
In the picture above we have drawn Trendlines to understand the direction of the Price. We see that Price has come down violating the Demand areas and respecting the Supply areas forming Lower Lows, hence was in a clear downtrend
Now most of the times before changing the trend price goes sideways
Here we see Price clearly going sideways. So we know there will be a change in Trend from Down to Sideways to UP Let's see how
An Uptrend has a Source from where the Trend starts and there is a point which we have called as a Destination of the Trend where it is trying to reach. So we have the Start point and End point of this upcoming Buy Trend.
Let's Understand the Demand and Supply Curve wrt to Price here
This tells us where is low, middle and high, course as traders we gotta buy low and sell high and avoid the middle area. This clearly tells us where is low and where is high.
After reacting to the Weekly Source Demand, in the Daily chart we see that Price has formed a Daily Demand which has violated its previous High which confirms Buying Momentum.
Now we have two possibilities for outcome of this Trade either it will take the SL or it will take the Target.
As a Trader we have to ensure our Reward to Risk ratio is favourable enough making the Risk practically worth taking.
Trade Type : Position Swing Trade
Entry : 1861.35
SL : 1794.25
Target : 2220.35
Reward : 359
Risk : 67.10
Ratio : 5.35/1
POTENTIAL INVESTMENT TARDE FOR VODAFONE IDEA
Here we look at the Quarterly chart since 2008, We see price was rallying up violating Resistances and respecting the Support areas, until it starts doing the opposite.
Now recently Price has violated a Supply area which indicates that the Buyers have just won over the sellers and now Price has given a Pullback in a 6 Months Demand.
Now we have a 6 Months Demand; So understanding the timeframe role into this Trade as the Demand in which we buy this a 6 months Demand hence we will have to consider a minimum of 1 to 2 years considering at least 2 to 4 candles of 6 months each to achieve the Target.
Here we have the following to consider before entering the Trade
Trade Type : Investment Trade
Entry : 10.10
SL : 5.70
TGT : 39.74
Risk : Rs. 4.4
Reward : Rs. 29.64
Ratio for Reward to Risk : 6.7/1
MID CAP NIFTY - Target 3 done! Target 4 on the way?After getting a clear CE Buy side entry at 13,131 Mid Cap Nifty (MIDCPNIFTY) has hit the profit target 3 of this trade.
The reason why a lot of people lose in Options trading is because of lack of strategy and descipline.
There are time when Iam seduced to trade in 1m and 5m time frames because of crazy trade setups.
Ive made this mistake earlier in my trading life - FOMO and emotional imbalance (lol).
Now, for me Options trading is 15m time frame and this setup works pretty decent.
So, enjoy your profit and good luck!
Do follow for more charts and inspiration.
Namaste!
MID in Consolidation - Bullish Progression expected
Hey guys,
Yearly Chart is bullish, Quarterly forms an inside Bar at a critical stage -
Since April I can see a Consolidation at the Yearly High of 2021 - between the marked area on the Mid Cap Index - SP400 - thus I have a neutral bias but I am a bit careful with going short from here. For a bearish szenario MID has to break below 2915 and print a bearish Chart Pattern. Everything else is a confirmation pattern for me at the moment.
For a Bullish Progression I would like to see buyers stepping in now and giving a clean and neat entry on the lower time-frames to swing it up to the blue box - which is the most important level for me to watch at the moment…
Ideally I will be buying on the 4h/2h Chart - but I will break it down once more to the hourly because of Risk- Reward.
Thanks for reading.
#HEG ltd Cup & handle pattern 20-30% upmove dega kya?HEG ltd cmp 1882, market cap 7264 cr, company is leading manufacturer and exporter of graphite electrodes.
PE vs ROCE ratio is better as compared to another leading player graphite India. My concern is the fall in Operating margin trend. Holding% Dec'23 promoter 55.77( 59.62 Mar'21), FII 6.85(9.43 Mar'21), DII 8.85(7.41 Mar'21). Infact some new mutual fund players entered in feb'24 also so Mar'24 DII numbers should be up.
Technically the chart is making cup n handle kind of pattern on weekly time frame and breakout above 1931 can bring fast movement. Upside levels can be 1)2335 2) 2470 3) 2575 4) 2763(imp level) 5) 3108. Once 2763 is crossed I will bring sl of remaining qty at 2470 and try to ride the trend till 3661/4557.
MIDCPNIFTY 440+ Points Gain April and May 2024 have been amazing in terms of returns from MIDCPNIFTY monthly options contract.
Had some awesome trades in April and 2 trades in May (first SHORT and now LONG), both giving massive returns.
I was trapped in the intraday or scalp trading, by following Telegram channels blindly, without knowing a thing. Today I dont depend on anybody to take trades.
440+ points in MIDCPNIFTY is massive!!! The only thing is, it needs patience.
This strategy I use works for Monthly contracts. (Min 15 days for expiry is required).
I really feel ike closing this trade right away, seeing the unrealized profit screen really haunts you day after day, if you do not take it and convert it into realized profit.
But, I am gonna wait for a few more days.
God bless you and happy trading.
Mid-Cap Index is the index to watch out for.As we have discussed in previous educational messages. By selecting the indices that are looking strong we can get a range of stocks that can do well. From that basket of stocks you can then further scrutinize and select the stocks that might preform the best based on charts and fundamentals of the companies.
This week let us look at the Mid-Cap index that took a dramatic beating and is finding a support from where it can regain lost ground and even surpass the recent highs. Midcap Index made a high of 51342 before the descend began. The index has taken a support at the mid channel which also happens to be a trend line support. If the support or the low of Friday which was 48605 is not broken then we will see the comeback of Mid-cap stocks and index.
Resistance levels for the Mid-Cap index going forward will be 49545, 50132, 50425, 50802 and finally the previous high of 51342. The channel top seems to be near 52399 if the highs of 51342 are broken and sustained in future.
Support levels for the Mid-Cap index in case the support at 48605 is broken will be near 47952 or 46928 which seems to be the channel bottom. Choose wisely from the Mid-cap stock basket while keeping an eye on the levels mentioned here. Happy Investing.
Midcap Intraday setup for Monday 01 April Multiple rejections from hourly resistance indicate that the index is still declining, so be defensive when opening the long positions above 10,575.
Intraday Range: 10,575 to 10,460
Long above 10,600 ( 25 points buffer to avoid the fake breakout )
Short bellow : 10,460
Happiest Minds (NSE: HAPPSTMNDS) // Going Bullishwww.tradingview.com
HAPPSTMNDS : After a great fall and making 52w low, this is currently trying to exit from consolidation phase. One can look for medium to long term buy by keeping the StopLoss at 890, the first target can be 960 and then the next target will be 1015 and then 1120. These are immediate targets. The final target will be 1490. One can start with low volume and gradully keep increasing that.
APLAPOLLO : Bearishwww.tradingview.com
APLAPOLLO: Really Bearish view after looking at Triple Top and then Inverted Cup & Holder pattern. The last support is 1450 level. If it closes below this level on Daily timeframe, it will be in a severe bearish rally situation. The next level below will be 1329 and then further 1200 levels.
On above side, until it is not crossing 1800 level, there is no point for a fresh investment in it.
Investment_ Manappuram FinanceNamaste!
Manappuram Finance is in the same type of business as Muthoot Finance. Both the stocks have corrected >40% from all time highs. I think it is a good time to invest in Manappuram Finance considering following questions:-
Q: What is the good price to accumulate this stock?
A: Don’t invest more than 05-10% of your portfolio in this stock. Rs 95-97 is a good price to accumulate this stock.
Q. What are the strengths in this stock?
A:
1. It has a weekly trendline support at near Rs 95-96 levels.
2. It will be available at 6 P/E which looks attractive as it is below 10 and 6 P/E is a kind of very good support because every time it does bounce-up from 6 P/E (Jan 2009, Sep 2015, Apr 2020, Etc).
3. It’s in the business of gold loan which is kind of stable because it offers a secured loan by taking the gold as collateral. Gold is liquid and could be sold if the borrower doesn’t pay-back. It’s safer and more liquid than properties (mortgage) loans provided by other banks/NBFCs. Gold prices sometimes move in cycles, which affects the company's short term risk though.
4. It has a current dividend yield of 2.59%.
5. Most of the time fundamentals “confuse me” so I don’t dig deep into it. I do not value any company after reading the annual report, balance sheet, blah-blah-blah. I pay attention to EPS, P/E, Correction in stock prices (trendline support), rarely Debt to equity that’s it. I don’t advise this to anyone because it may prove risky for a naïve or sometimes even a seasoned investor. I know and understand some of the key figures in the books of accounts but don’t dig deep into it. We can not predict the future of the company and/or know what’s happening inside the company. What we can do is DIVERSIFY, and have a contrarian approach with caution and margin of safety.
Q. What changed my mind to invest now rather than wait for a big correction to buy at a cheaper rate, considering my opinion of an overvalued market, strength of the economy and rising interest rates?
A: I posted many articles based on my understanding saying “is the market getting ready for a free-fall; …correction of more than 30% from all time highs, etc".
I posted those to caution people and gave them opinions to get ready for a panic or downfall in the stock markets.
It's always better to get ready for various scenarios early and make plans for them, which will guide us throughout the "fear and greed cycle of the markets".
Disclaimer: The analysis I have shared is based on my understanding and experience in the markets. Investment and/or trading in the market does not guarantee a fixed return and may result in a financial loss. Please do your own analysis and/or consult your financial advisor before investing and/or trading.
DREDGECORP - Inverted Head and Shoulder Strong bullish pattern inverted head and shoulder with depth of 70 points in head.
Strong buy between 330-340
Immediate support right shoulder low - 300-308
Immediate target shoulder depth i.e. 30-40 points
Final target 400+
Sustaining above 400 can give us great move in future