Advanced Pattern & Elliot Wave confluence +300 Pips OpportunityNice high probability , multi argument short opportunity on the daily. In line with a short trade on EUR/GBP that I opened yesterday.
Euro showed some strength since the first round of the #frenchelections2017 and the US dollar surely suffered after the #Trumpleaks. These fundamental facts pushed the EUR/USD with some significant momentum into an interesting resistance area. A combination of a completed 5 wave Elliot move + BatPattern + RSI overbought. Target on the 38.2% retracement should provide more or less 300 pips. If price comes back and double tops at entry a second chance is provided to target another 300 pips.
Those brave traders who are willing to sell into strength may receive some significant return if this strategy pays off. BatPattern, especially on EUR/USD have a high rate of success but remember, no trade is a sure game!
Midterm
Buy crude on the latest commitment of reduction? 30% OpportunityWaiting to get long Crude at a cheap level for some time. Price didn´t yet made it into my entry area around 45$.
Recently price showed 2 technical signs of short-term downtrend which made me confident to see lower prices. 1) break of uptrend line and 2) break of last swing low.
Looking for price to hit 45$ before rally may continues toward 60`s
Mid term long silverThis is my first non crypto idea. I've read/heard commodities are the most similar to crypto to trade, so i'm going into them. I'm opening quite a big position in here for my standars thanks to leverage.
Here are my technichals to support this long setup.
Three weeks downwards tend broken
Daily RSI and MACD bull divergence
Bottomed at +1year three points ascending trendline
Weekly candle suggesting bottom and trend reversal ( see chart below )
Daily MACD bullish cross inminent
Entry: 16.439 (or monday weekly open)
Target: 17.822
Stop-loss: 15.653
Leverage: x5
60% chance of making 2 time 500 Pips until SeptemberPreferred scenario for the summer:
USD/JPY did not made into the major support area 107 - 106´s. JPY could still show strength against the US dollar, hence I gave it a first split entry at resistance to chase the 107 low prices. However, new low prices often only come after a some kind of ABCD correction. I am typically planning a second entry on D somewhere between 1.141 & 1.618 of bc, depending n the lower timeframe price action and if an advanced price action pattern will appear. First target at the april lows and second around the 107 - 106 low depending on the momentum of the desired short fall.
If my underlying assumption is wrong I will hedge prices above the March highs to stay neutral and see if USD pushes above 118.6 JPY.
Any one having similar midterm assumption at this stage?
XMR short-mid term pressure to continue going up.I have listed 3 possible options which rely on 3 different support lines. All of them are possible for the short-mid term.
The view is a bit dirty, but can't save more than 1 graph with the free version of tradingview :P
If you like my ideas and helped you make/save some money, please consider tipping. ETH: 0x7B18d4abdAf0e2C3938776B06b6a5a8eee41C65f
Target almost hit! => +400 PipsAs advised 23/03. breakout out of Feb low price resulted in a sell of right towards the massive support area 107 - 106. Only 1/2 position invested as price never retraced to the 2nd entry. Prepared to take of position at 107.5 and look for long short term entries.
Another +250 Pips potentially to be earned on the pullback out of the above mentioned support area
GBPUSD Range Trade from 1.215 - 1.26GBPUSD ranging between well tested support and resistance levels at 1.215 and 1.26.
Based on existing uncertainty surrounding Brexit, and fears of 'Trump Rally' reversal I hesitate to predict the trend going forward, but as 'Brexit' appears to be at least partially priced in, I'm more comfortable buying below support, with a tight SL, and TP at 1.26. This strategy is supported by the high volumes accompanying bull candles at the bottom of the range, suggesting high Sterling demand at these levels.
This is all contingent on no major surprises in the economic releases for the next few weeks.
Watch out for Natural gass move...e see lately the rally of the natura gass trying to change it's trend upwards.
Some traders might disagree and they think that natural gass already change it's momentum.
Yes i agree with them short-term but i stronly believe mid-term momentum isn't change yet and they should be cautious..
There is a possibility to witness a bearish flag pattern and nothing more here.
Don't forget we are talking about a seasonal product.
We can also see the profit taking at these levels as i mentioned before and the weakness of the market to validate 50% Fib level at 3,250$ don't even mention 61,8% Fib level at 3,400$ level.
3,250 very well respected ressistance/support through the years.
We want to see creating higher lows and higher highs above these levels mentioned, to validate the mid-term ternd that we can see at the chart since previous year.
We also see the price hitting top Bband.
Stoch RSI% at overbought levels.
ADX still hasn't validate 20 level to create positive trend.
HAPPY TRADING GUYS!!
Silver ready to shine...Silver started this week with a small gap up favoured by the decline at stock market and the decreased value of USD.
Both these facts triggered by the incapability of president Trump to pass the new healthcare system.
Dollar slipped and broke the neck line of the head and shoulder formation that occured.
Uncertainty started rising about the power that president Trump has in order to pass other more important plans such as the 'Tax plan'.
TECHNICALLY
Silver just like gold,due to the strong positive correltion between them,they are trying to validate the 200MA and BC trend-line.
We can see that silver has formed a symmetric triangle ABC,that has to break,which is basically the corner of a larger triangle EFC(if you zoom out) that a longterm trend line since 2011 has created.
Closing daily above 18,06$ and keep these levels weekly it will be a good bullish indication.
Because we can use 200MA and red trend line BC as a great support.
Once 200MA is validated the first target is 18,50$ 50%Fib level and upper BBand,
second target is 19$ 61,8%Fib level plus strong resistance well respected at the past.
We can also see a rising inverse head and shoulders(BLUE AREA) with neck-line already broken upwards.
Also Macd will turn positive simoutaneously with 200MA and BC trend-line.
T1 18,50$
T2 19$
SL 17,80$-17,90$
HAPPY TRADING GUYS!
SPX 5 rejections at 2350Hello Traders,
today we would like to share with you the SPX as it shows very interesting moves currently around the 2350 level.
"White House says vote on healthcare bill scheduled for 19:30GMT (via. Reuters)." Therefore, the market currently tumbles sideways as uncertainty arises, everyone is looking at a decision which could move the SPX as it currently flirts with 2350 zone on the downside, after the break of this zone on Tuesday. Will we see lower prices? First clue was the 5th rejection of the strong resistance zone at 2350. However, important is today's close together with new from the White House.
We always mention the importance of intermarket flows, as we believe that investors only repark their money due to sentiment and global macro-economic conditions. Therefore, we always keep in mind the in-and outflows with the help of our intermarket indications that lead us towards better timing when making a trading decision. As you might know that timing is one of the most important things when it comes to trading together of course with risk/money management.
As seen in the chart, two of our three intermarket indications already moving in lower areas territory. They might be the possibility that they soon reach extreme zones of more outflow of capital to other asset classes. We always take into account the BIG 4: Currencies , Bonds, Stocks and Commodities . Only the SPX/USDX ratio shows still more potential to the downside. Movements could be soon momentum driven based on intermarket indications.
As always, trading is a probability game nobody is 100% right and always use a stop-loss when trading. Trade with care.
We wish you much success,
The Secrets2Trade Team
ABC STRUCTURE IN GBPAUD - 4H CHARTHey Traders,
I wanted to share my view on GBPAUD.
We are about to end B wave so I am looking for a mid term trade from the end of B to the end of C wave.
More than 1000 pips! Will be posting updates.
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Hola Traders,
Quería compartir mi visión en GBPAUD.
Estamos a punto de terminar la onda B y mi objetivo es hacer un trade desde el final de esta hasta el final de la onda C.
Más de 1000 pips! Ire publicando actualizaciones.
What to expect from Gold: Structure ZoneRecently saw a nice pullback into the structure zone (blue rectangle). RSI went overbought on first move. Got a potential double top in this area where also the 50 % retracement lines up.
Additional confirmation would be RSI divergence.
OR: There is a chance we see a new high into the 61.8 retracement at the top of the blue box, so be prepared for both cases.
Follow your plan
NZDUSD H4 Bearish Bias & I'm gonna trade according to the BiasResistance cabe found near the 0.7210 region and this zone play a role as my SND as well. Any chances that the market come to the blue box region, I would short with a stop near 0.7240. If the market close higher that 0.7240 with a strong upward shaved bar, my MT Bearish Bias would be negated.
XAUUSD MT Looking Sideways, Looking to Short near 1233.00 RegionXAUUSD been going sideways since beginning of the week, a strong rejection from 1240.00 region. SND & Support found near the 1215.00 region. A volatile sideways trend, thus, preferably to short near the top and targeting the 1215.00 region.