Royal Gold - another miner to buy at supportNASDAQ:RGLD is one of the leading stocks in gold mining industry. It started major rally earlier than majority of other miners last spring. And was one of the first stocks to caution that pullback is likely in AMEX:GDX in January 2020.
Right now it sits right near major support level, and in bullish scenario this is constructive level from which new leg higher should start.
Miners
IAG - bottom in place?Few weeks ago I mentioned that NYSE:IAG is in good area to make a bottom, and based on recent price action, good odds that bottom is already in (for bullish case to be valid).
Major potential inverted H&S in the making and should not really go below 2.70$, where I am also placing my stop
CEL Challenger - Waiting to buyHello,
For this stock we have seen a recent break of a downward channel from 2016. volume confirms that this break is real and looks to be the reversal of a long downtrend. however the stock has gone up 500% since Aug 2019. Now the market will come back to test the breakout and potentially lower. shake out of weak hands/fomo buyers etc.
from the analysis we have been stopped at the 50fib and at resistance high from early 2016, it also coincides with a 1.27 extension from that 2016 resistance. RSI is very high showing it is overbought and this has been on a tear since mid 2019.
I marked a big accumulation zone however I don't believe we will break below the 61.8 at .095 (52% drop in price from here). I will start to accumulate some between .125 and .095. this channel that we broke will now be strong support, it coincides with 50%&61.8% retracements of this leg and the daily 50 moving average is there too - so it is a very strong support area. If we do not hold that area we can see a retest of the lows at .02 (but I am doubtful of this low)
I put the upside targets in the medium term in yellow
Lots of these small miners have broken out but the market will give us a chance if we are patient to buy them lower. I have posted other charts sharing that the gold price/silver is looking to pull back. The big cap miners already showed a pull back and that is usually indicative of a drop in the spot prices of gold/silver.
I will be posting several charts on small cap miners and I plan to trade them during the next two years, it should be an amazing time for gold and silver and the miners which should see spectacular gains.
Thankyou
XAUUSD: Quarterly trend updateGold almost hit the first target in the quarterly timeframe here. If it doesn't go back under this quarter's open it may keep rallying. Upside target #1 is not far, 1615.28, but it could go higher until Q2 2021 at least, reaching prices between 2094 and 2714.
The technical pattern that formed while #Gold was under accumulation is called an 'explosion pattern'. This type of trend signal tends to hit targets #2 or #3 at times, so, at the very least it would imply breaking the all time high is possible, before going back down or sideways for a long time again. Note the RgMov proprietary trend analysis indicator is signaling a breakout of all time high values, ahead of price, and acting very strong, this is a good indication of the path of least resistance for #Gold.
I bought back metals and miners yesterday, after the dip slowed down, I intend to let these positions run while the trend remains valid, else I would take on a moderate loss if this quarter's range is erased. Otherwise, prospect is very good in the long run for both #GDXJ and #XAUUSD. #XAGUSD is probably bullish as well, but I was a bit worried by the #XAUXAG ratio lately. Although if the trend in stocks grinds to a halt, the ratio is likely to reverse back down.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
IAMGOLD -time for a bottom?Miners have potential to be one of top players this year, and today I am looking at chart of NYSE:IAG . Stock reached perfect targets within wave 2 corrrection based on fibo levels, and price also created bullish engulfing candle yesterday . At the same time, price may also be forming bottom within right shoulder in inverted H&S. Looks promising for low risk entry buy
2 Bulls and 1 Bear signal, Miner wars analysisBull #1: Break out of 6 month down trend channel confirmed.
Bull #2: Inverted H&S extension, with volume increasing from the price bottom.
Bear signal: Bounce off the 200MA, we are still in death cross zone.
Miner war fundamental facts:
Difficulty is going parabolic, which means machines are being sold and installed.
Miner revenue will be cut in half after halvening.
CME options, futures and open interest in general is going up. They are all incentivized to see more volatility.
Assumptions:
It will be harder to run a mining operation after the halvening since rewards are cut in half, and difficulty is going up. Miners will have to buy machines to maintain their position.
A possible 4 month long Bull trap strategy could be to drive the price up, enabling miners to use their rewards to buy more machines, in hopes that they can sustain enough hashpower to stay in operations after the halvening.
After the halvening larger players will want to tank the price to break "at risk" operators, and force them to liquidate their operations, flooding the market with cheap fire sale machines.
Buy the rumor Sell the fact
A strategy to consider is to take a long position under 8400, with a stop loss around 7600, and a partial take profit target just under 10k or 9900, with a longer potential to extend to 11400 just before havlening.
suggest to read the bitmex blog article i can haz ipo for more
Copper MinerNice bull volume on the recent rise in share price, suggesting to greater upside. Keeping the analysis simple.
Increased bull volume
Decrease bear volume on pullback following upside move
Fib ratios align with recent levels of resistance, now to be validated as support
RSI suggests a near term cool off, potentially right into the entry targets of target 1.05 - 1.09 correlating with key fib ratios
Behind the scenes I have completed my due diligence on this copper miner.
Bots / Algo / Whales & Miners Controlling Market | EOS AnalysisHere we have a different chart... This EOS chart threw me off, it was hard to read at first as it is a completely new chart for me.
You see, these numbers and laters on the screen /"pairs", Altcoins or whatever they are, all basically move in exactly the same way with just a few variations.
We have bots/algorithms controlling different parts of the movements and depending on which bots are affecting which token/altcoin project pair at any given time, that is what will decide how the chart will be drawn.
So depending on the strength of the project, the team or the pull it has, just to pick a few of the factors that affect the chart, the chart will be drawn differently.
I think there are around 5 major algorithms controlling the market and many other individual custom made ones interacting with them, as well as the public.
Now that I think about it... These bots/whales/groups/algo/etc. can be miners as well for all we know... That doesn't really matter... We buy when prices are down, to sell when everything is green and up.
So all the technicalities are just entertainment if you can here like me for work.
We look for the charts with the lowest risks, aiming always first to win above all... Once you get used to the feeling of winning, you can decide if you want to sell at 20%, 30% or more.
The trick is to get used to selling, securing/collecting profits. Because if you don't sell, everything will be gone when the market goes low.
Buy when the prices are low.
Sell when prices are moving up.
EOS Chart Analysis
We have EOS Token (EOSBTC) trading at support levels, consolidating sideways.
This consolidation can lead to another drop or a move up.
Which one will it be?
Signals
MA200 dropping fast with momentum is my signal that EOSBTC has good chances to move up.
Each time we see MA200 (black line) behaving this way, prices tend to pull towards the Moving Average line indicator. Let's see how it goes.
Even with all this information, we still remain open to all scenarios and always have a plan before we trade.
Example
If prices go lower we stop the trade at xxx price.
If prices start to move higher, this is where I sell and collect profits.
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This is Alan Masters.
Namaste.
$ASR Assore Ltd looking technically constructive. (Bullish)Assore Ltd was in a solid downtrend for the best part of the 2nd half of 2019, dropping from a high of just over R400 down to a low of R215. However, towards the end of 2019 we saw the stock break the downtrend line (DTL) and start to trade above the 50 dma (blue line) which was the first clue that the stock was turning the corner. During December, the stock then broke its previous swing high horizontal resistance level at approximately R262 before encountering some closing price resistance at approximately R272. In addition, the last few pullbacks on the stock have been supported by higher swing lows (UTL), which further adds to my conviction that the trend has changed on this counter. Today, the 14th Jan 2020, we are starting to see the stock clear this resistance level, and should the stock convincingly close above R272 by EOD, it looks like we have the all clear for the stock to now trade higher and tag the major resistance level at R310-R314 where we will encounter both the 50% fib retracement of the entire period, as well as the 200 day moving average (green line).
Silvercrest Metals: Bitcoin-like setupGood evening everyone. I hope you all are having a lovely Christmas season, prepping for a new year of continuing your pursuit of your goals and ambitions. Make sure during this time you look at investments with objectivity, removing any new year hype that may come along with this time of year.
I looked at silvercrest metals about a year ago with quite a bit of disbelief and bias, similar to how many looked at bitcoin in 2016-2017. I'm not saying the results will be the same, but price action is playing out in a very similar manner.
If you look across the broader market of miners and precious metal prices in general, there are just about zero miners playing out in this fashion in terms of price.
Most will look at price in disbelief (like I did last year) and see an unsustainable bubble. But let's keep the fundamentals in mind...
AMEX:SILV has the following under it's belt:
6.03 quick ratio - $6 in cash for every $1 dollar of debt
0.0051 Debt to equity - They have acquired assets with almost zero debt
Are they profitable? No. Most miners are not pulling a profit. However, taking losses can be a tax strategy that corporations use during growth periods. So it's hard to say if their revenue minus expenses are healthy at the moment.
At the end of the day, price tells all. If we break out from here on good news, there's no overhead resistance, and a lot of room to move.
However, I do partially expect there to be a consolidation period here as the silver price cools off. We will see... Price tells all.
I will be keeping my eye on this one and update as time goes on. If you choose to trade, use stop losses. Miners are volatile.
IF WE CAN GET THAT DOTDO WE GET ANOTHER DOT?
All I can say is that if we get the opportunity to buy the dot that would be crazy.
The dot appeared 4 times in the history of BTC. Every time it was a sign that THE BOTTOM of a large recession is near.
Now it is very likely that we won't be able to buy the dot. Why?
Well, they only appeared at the bottom of the big cycles.
Historically, once we get our dot we will see a new all-time high without getting another dot.
What has to happen for the dot to appear?
For the dot to appear we would need to fall approximately to the green box/line, which would be around $5000. So another 2k lower from today.
I could see a rise to the orange band at around 10k followed by another big drop.
All in all, it is very unlikely that we will get another dot yet not impossible and if we get it I buy it.
HOW DOES THE DOT WORK?
The dot is based on an improved version of the RSI which changes its input length based on volatility.
THE DAILY TIMEFRAME
On the daily timeframe, we would also need a little more downside movement to get another dot.
ON-CHAIN DATA
If we take a look at the confirmed miner capitulation period, we can see that the miner capitulation already started when the gray X appeared.
Right now we are waiting for the first instance of positive momentum following the recovery of the Hash Rate which is another highly rewarding buy signal.
So if we can't get the dot we should be getting the miner capitulation as a good signal.
UUUU - A Levered Play on the Uranium MarketThe bear market of spot Uranium has dragged down the price of the subsequent uranium miner stocks, including UUUU . This stock in particular experienced a very steep mark down period during the time of the Fukushima reactor meltdown. This event left a bad taste in the mouth and as a result, many stepped away from using nuclear energy to the same extent to meet energy demand.
In 2016, we saw a 'base' establish for the stock right around $1.35. As the market structure stands, this is the bottom end of our accumulation range. The upper end of this range is at about $2.35.
Mid-2018, we saw a market expansion take place as price tested the upper end of our range, and surpass it. When price exceeded $2.35, a lot of attention and capital started to flow into the Uranium market, the market makers unloaded shares for about a year, then sent price back down into our accumulation range.
Today we are seeing a lot of choppiness, as bulls and bears battle it out.
Overall, I see a lot of room for growth in this sector, especially during a time of clean energy promotion. I believe nuclear energy will be the answer to the demand for clean energy.
I have a price target of $5.28 by 2022. An entry at $1.35 would give an incredible R/R of 3.94/0.0064. An upside of 400% and a downside of about 10% if market structure breaks.
Beware of the volatility, and search for a safe entry.
BTC MINERS' WIN + WIN STRATEGYBitfinex longs at ATH level and keep climbing.
-What happened before at bear market 2018? (Number 1 Situation)
When price at $6000 level some miners closed their mining systems because mining was not profitable enough for them.
After they closed their system hash ribbons indicator warn us like " Capitulation " ( It means that, hash power that generating from all miners has decline trend.)
In other words 30 SMA - 60 SMA are death crossing.
Important thing here ; even miners turned off their systems BITFINEX LONGS were growing. At the same time price found bottom before as you see.
I am assuming; some miners were sold as much as they can and they dumped the price while they opened long on BITFINEX. (Win + Win)
First Win : They have good long position as you see price at $3100-$3500
Second Win : Some miners had to close their machines and they had relative more BTC award from mining.
-What i am expect now? (Number 2 Situation)
Almost same situation here as you can see. Price is dropping, BITFINEX longs are growing, Hash ribbons showing us " Capitulation "
I am assuming that they are dumping price again but they are secure their BTC value at BITFINEX to opening a long.
They get lower entry for long. Small miners are closing their machines because they know that its not profitable enough right now.
As a conclusion ;
I am thinking as a miner, i can sell as much as i can from spot exchange to dump price. And opening a lower long while this is happening.
And shakeout weak miners as much as i can. Try to reduce difficulty to get more benefit.
SO, its not mean that we found our bottom yet. Still lower price on the table but one more good thing as bull,
After miners run out of BTC, they won't sell until halvening. And i am assuming that price will growth.
Nothing here financial advice. Follow and like for more. Thanks.
The news is all bad for the economy, good for goldThe economic news this week is pretty much all bad, with payroll data, manufacturing data, and non-manufacturing data all showing a broad slowdown across the whole economy. The dollar is showing real weakness amidst the slowdown. Both the dollar's weakness and the return of fear to the economy should be good for gold.
Here are the critical levels to watch in the dollar. A break below the channel/trend line would signal an upward breakout for gold.
Silver miners are looking good.2 possible counts.
The green count seems more likely because I see 5 wave subdivisions within the larger waves. We just reached the 1:1 fib extension and if we can continue upwards through there, our chances improve that this trade continues upwards.
Breakout will be confirmed if we reach $11.60
Severely Undervalued Gold Silver MinerSimply a return to 2016 levels would net us a 350% return. Hyper-conservatively speaking, bare minimum, I see a 50-90% increase in AUMN in the near future.
If AUMN experiences a crash near previous lows, I will be buying while others are selling.
SILVER IS HOTTTLet me be clear that until we break to new highs (~11.60) with confidence, there is risk still for one last pullback to (~8.90).
However, the fundamentals are lining up for silver to go parabolic, whether that happens immediately, or the beginning of next year.
My long term target is in the $20's