AKG - 2hrImpulsive looking bounce off support. I was early on this one, as I was on many other miners, but great R/R for a swing trade. Stop below 2.59 low, or trail behind higher lows if more sensitive to drawdowns.
Looks like a clear 5-waves up already, so may be due a consolidation soon. I'd like to see min 4.24 reached in wave (1) but I don't plan track the sub-hourly price pattern on individual names... The mid 9s should be reached in wave (3) of circle-3.
Miners
HMY - 2hrI've got 5-waves up. May already be in wave circle-iii. Wonderful potential here with a stop below the recent 1.87 low. A ~2.20 stop may get taken out IF wave circle-ii is operative, but would also be viable if 2.33 was the top of circle-I.
Green fib targets revised slightly lower from prior ideas due to lower C of (2).
VGZ - 144minI know I've posted ideas on some of the sub-$1 miners, warning that positions should be kept small until we get confirmation. So far, a good start to proving the correction is over in wave (2). The larger 1-2 will add confidence. Retraces may be small in a presumed wave (3), and I'm not sure about the timing as my analysis isn't a timing system. Just watching technical indicators and price pattern for clues.
Straight stock plays on juniors like this are safer plays than 3x leverage ETFs in my opinion. Long from ~0.87
SSRI - 4hrDoes this system work? You be the judge. Here's my typical targets and supports as yellow boxes.
White count is highly suspect unless 22.42 gets taken out strongly.
DRD - 4hrI've got an order open for 4.40. Initial target is 8.24 though I may hold much longer. DRDGOLD pays exceptional dividends.
GFI - 4hrI should have stopped out of Gold Fields LTD but held on. My position is small anyway. Excellent R/R entry with a break out over 3.30, stop at 2.94 (or where the low forms...).
Short setup - GDX (4H)We might be waiting a while longer for that -long- setup. This structure is bearish and we could see GDX hit as low as the 18s.
VGZ - 4hPosting this idea to explain what I'm doing with all my fib calculations.
And trying to convince TradingView to program the calculations as a selectable option in the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool.
The Fib Retracement calculation is quite similar. Its' the exponent of the difference in LN(price points) multiplied by the desired retrace % as I recall.
PAAS - DailyPan American Silver Corp had a great day, and may have signaled it's low. See hourly chart below.
Recommend stop below 13.80, or possibly 16 depending on your tolerance.
GORO - DailyTrading against the reversal of an Ending Diagonal is never a good idea. Price frequently returns to, or exceeds, the starting point. Gold Resource Corp might have another squiggle lower to complete wave (2). I'd like to see some positive divergence set up on MACD.
New lows in gold for 2017?$GC1! has pretty much proven the 2016 rally was just a reaction high. We'll have confirmation if we close year end below 1307. A close below the 1179 quarterly bearish for year end would raise the probability of new lows DRAMATICALLY.
Would be great value if we could get a pullback to the previously elected monthly bearish level (1242.1) and 50/60 ema. That move would most likely coincide with a pullback in the $DXY -0.14% and $DJY0 to their fib/ema areas.
As Marty always says, just watch the numbers.
Big downside in gold miners (GDX)Seem to have completed a H&S pattern on the weekly chart. Simple extension predicts support around the Jan. 2016 low.
Gold should continue to drop for awhile and could quite easily help GDX make new lows. One to watch.
GG - 4hDabbled long today. Not nearly as exciting % wise as some other miner ideas, but diversification...
TGD - 4hDon't recall if I had posted this idea. Similar to other miners...but with remarkable potential. Keep you positions small in these "penny" stocks. I certainly am. Stop below 0.24
GDX - 1hGDX has already tested and held the 50% retrace, but price pattern looks like it could dip lower to the 18s. 17.77 is the 61.8% target, just under the red C=A target at 18.21. IF this is an Ending Diagonal then price should react strongly on completion, bouncing to at least the mid 22s in the start of wave 1 of (3).
AGI - 4hAlamos Gold broke its recent low today. Next retrace fib support is the 38.2% at 5.81 (white line). Remember, my fibs are calculated outside tradingview, all log-scale.
Pattern looks like a possible Ending Diagonal in (v) of C of (2). Can try to catch the knife here. Safer play is to wait for an initial impulsive pattern off the presumed coming low, then buy support with stop just under that low.
RIC - DailyWave 4 of (3) dropped deeper than I anticipated, but still within the rules. Should hold over 5.28 and reach at least 15s to finish 5 of (3)...let price show an impulsive reaction here to be certain.
