MARA Marathon Digital Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MARA Marathon Digital Holdings prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 8usd strike price in the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-11-10,
for a premium of approximately $1.50.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Miners
$RIOT, more downside around $8 before higher?As you can see on the chart, NASDAQ:RIOT has formed a rising channel and has broken to the downside and is currently testing the channel as resistance. Should it not be able to make it back into the channel, then my bias leans towards more downside before higher prices.
As of now, I lean towards the lows getting retested or broken and a bottom forming around the $8 region.
After that takes place, then I think NASDAQ:RIOT is primed for a large move higher in which we should see prices go 100%+ into the $15-$17 region.
Let's see if/how it plays out.
GDXJ: Revived 🌅In the current blue wave (c) of the GDXJ, the bulls pulled out their defibrillators and breathed some life back into the market. With a 5.5% gain, the wave extension continued, which should carry on above the next resistance at $43.89 and then enter the magenta Target Zone ($57.36 - $65.95). In this price range, both the top of the blue wave (c) and that of the overarching magenta wave (b) should be manifested. However, our alternative with a probability of 45% also remains valid. In this case, an imminent reversal would take place with the high of the orange wave alt.b.
Bitcoin - Take Advantage of the Exit Pump, While You Still CanThe pattern on Bitcoin is really similar to Ethereum, which I outline in a recent call:
Ethereum - A Sucker's Rally Before The Bitter Winter
The difference between Bitcoin and Ethereum is ETH has more than 50% upside available to hit its similarly-placed goalposts, while BTC is just another ~30%.
Fundamentally, the problem for crypto bulls is that the 2021 bull run formed a Bump and Run Reversal (BARR) on CME Futures.
The inner meaning of a BARR is that its the eternal top, and once the lows are taken, the trend is over.
This is especially crucial to understand when a BARR manifests on regulated futures, because these futures are uniquely cash settled and do not require anyone to post spot as collateral to short, there are ETFs linked to CME price, miners are hedging their on-chain wallets with this product, and the day-to-day survival of crypto relies on the SEC/FBI/DOJ delaying the annihilation of iFinex/Bitfinex/Tether.
Once the trend is over, getting a rip to sell into is really a blessing, because what comes after is some gapping and then the landslide doom pattern that delisted coins and garbage penny stocks follow for a long time afterwards.
We're at the prelude to crypto entering the no-bounce territory, because they need to be eliminated for Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDC).
Governments need to issue their own coins on centralized blockchains in order to install worldwide the Chinese Communist Party's Zero-COVID social credit system, because they just love the CCP's things so much it amounts to a fetish.
And the problem for humanity is that these digital currencies do very little that is positive, while consuming an unbelievable amount of physical technical resources to make the chips and even more resources to produce the power that's needed to win the mining lottery.
SHA256 mining is a total joke because more miners being added to the network don't increase transactional throughput at all, or really even "security." It's just a life-or-death requirement for miners to keep up with the difficulty boosts to win the block reward lottery to keep putting these things online.
And in China, where everything is corrupt because of Xi Jinping's CCP, flooding villages and cities to manipulate the supply of hydro to sell to mining outlets has been a common practice of the regime's officials for years.
Even the Mekong has been impacted gravely by the rogue CCP's gluttony for electricity to fuel the crypto mining operations run and cut by the regime's cronies.
Much of digital currency has been co-opted by the CCP via its United Front Work Department operations, and much is done through the Triad mafia itself.
Just about everything in crypto and everyone who's anyone in crypto operate on Wechat, the CCP's erstwhile implementation of surveillance and social credit.
This is important because the 24-year persecution and organ harvesting genocide against Falun Dafa's 100 million practitioners looms like The Reaper over Xi and the Party.
Disaster and plague can take the regime down literally any day.
At the same time, Xi can save himself by overthrowing the Party in a coup, Gorbachev style, literally any day.
So the risks are huge.
But right now, if you want to play this table at the international casino, then the trade is long, not short, with a target over the May of '22 pivots at $48,000 and an expectation that $50,000 will either not be touched, or will be wicked through to sweep stops that both close shorts and open longs.
You have a clear breakout on Monthly and Weekly bars, with no retrace on lower bars, and this is why short = dead, until price reaches its upside target. Frankly, a brief interlude back to $34,000 would be quite the gift to go long on and mitigate underwater shorts with.
You cannot short $48,000 unless a reversal pattern appears, because the trend is strong for the first time in more than a year.
Digital currencies are something for you to have absolutely no faith in. You need to stay away from everything related to this. A huge amount of killing, human trafficking, and corruption operates via that community and its various blockchains, and the sins are both boundless and eternal.
The sins are so huge that mankind's justice system, even in the future, will not be able to settle the blocks that update the real ledger in this Cosmos.
RIOT: Things might get worse before they get betterIn my last analysis, I was waiting to see how price reacts from the Oct lows. If BTC was moving higher but RIOT was not, it would be the warning sign. And things might be playing out that way. Unfortunately, price went too high up to still be an ending diagonal structure, which I was hoping for. Instead, now things are looking like a much larger ABC pattern with wave B either complete or may make another quick spike up before breaking down. Now, things can get ugly, depending on how fast and how far price may drop, but I would hope for it to hold the $7.5 pivot. If not, there are several fib support areas along with volume support areas. Best course of action would be wait some more. I don't want to short at this time because earnings were good and BTC keeps moving higher, RIOT can also keep moving up. Structure wise, this doesn't look to be an optimal spot to trade. If price does drop, I will be buying with both hands. I will buy the shares, DCA and use options to hedge risk and also bring the cost down. As long as price stays over $3.25 low, it should provide hefty gains in the next year or two.
Hochschild Mining breaking out?On the weekly chart, Hochschild Mining looks to have broken out from 95.75 resistance. This bottom started to form in July 2022, so it's taken a year and 5 months to complete. As Gold is pushing higher this could mean more to come from this miner?
WARNING: This not a recommendation to trade. Do your own research and decide on your own trades.
JDST Inverse Junior Gold Miners ETF: Inverted Head and ShouldersJDST, the 2x Inverse Return ETF for the Junior Gold Miners Index, has formed a Slanted Bullish Head and Shoulders pattern that is currently holding above the 21SMA. If it holds here, I can see it rising all the way up to $12-$17 as gold loses steam.
Cleveland-Cliffs: Bearish Dragon Below Resistance and 200 SMACLF has confirmed the breakdown of a Bearish Dragon and has tested the 200 SMA and the Weekly Support Resistance Level of $14.37 as Resistance again.
Now I am going to be looking for CLF to come down to make a 0.886 retrace from here, which should take it down to about $6.5 as it completes the Bearish Dragon
FCX: Monthly Diamond Top Bearish Break Down FCX has formed and confirmed the break down of a Diamond Top pattern and looks to be preparing to come down to around $14, which would align with the 0.786 Fibonacci Retrace. I suspect many other mining stocks will also go down pretty significantly with this.
Bright future ahead for gold and silver minersAs long as the price holds recent Oct lows, I will continue to expect it to move towards next important resistance area: 31-35-38.
Afterwards it would be ideal for price to consolidate and form a handle part of the cup with later break out above 35 pivot to confirm its intentions to move to next important resistance areas: 43-48-52
Short-term trading thesis: I will wait for price to consolidate around prior highs (preferably 29-30), providing a low risk entry point to consider any long trades.
Long-term trading thesis: Establishing a position within this potential basing periods along the right side of the cup with later breakout - all these looks reasonable for me for any positive expectations in coming months and 2024.
Important notice: Elliot waves and fibonacci retracements are a very subjective form of analysis and I don't personally trade out of them. I use them only for the purpose of gauging structural potential of any assets, that allows me to put more confidence when low-risk trading set-up emerges. Analysis and opinion doesn't pay, only price pays.
Metal Miners, Long Soon - IAGGold and Silver have been holding strong, but weakness suggests another move down before support.
As for metal miners, could there be a better set-up possible? Most all of them are sitting near historical lows looking to bottom out on the weekly RSI.
I posted in July, 2022 that gold would move sideways until 2024, and then, blast-off. Think we're close.
This chart is IAG, it's my favorite technically speaking.
MARA weakness, heading to 13$ and lower.NASDAQ:MARA has rejected off a key resistance area and is headed towards the bottom of the channel around 13$.
If BTC continues to show weakness and the Macro Economic situation does not improve, we can expect MARA to break the lower trendline and move to the 9$ level.
I am ultra bullish on MARA for the long term and will be loading my bags once we hit these targets.
Stay Tuned!
Gold - $2,000 Is a Death TrapThis is a follow up to my June 2 call for a new ATH on Gold, that will be bearish, instead of bullish:
Gold - When A New ATH Prints, Will You Get Trapped?
In the process of tracking this, price action did not meet expectations (in the sense that it has not traded low enough), and so I began to reconsider the overall topography of the market.
Also, right now, I have an open call on silver for $33:
Silver - 33 Moons
However, as price has not traded down the levels I regard as requisite to trigger a bull impulse, while I still believe that these high prices will manifest in the future, the market makers desire lower prices first.
One thing to note about gold is both the monthly and weekly bars are actually bearish despite price having formed a long-term triple top:
But in the shorter term (1H-4H-1D) candles, gold is clearly heading towards higher prices after bouncing exactly over $1,900.
As I've said before, one of the problems with a metals bull market right now is that Xi Jinping and the Chinese government (the Chinese Communist Party) have amassed a large amount of gold in recent months.
China's economy is doing extremely poorly following the decimation of the Party by Wuhan Pneumonia and the CCP faces threats on all sides, especially from the International Rules Based Order who now chatters about "de-risking" from China.
Since the United States tends to be the market maker of everything, this is trouble for China's central bank. Large stocks of gold and a heavily declining price will put the regime in a great deal of trouble, depleting the money it has available for buying people off.
And this is a huge geopolitical threat, for Xi Jinping has one Trump card to play: throw away the CCP in the middle of Beijing time, which is the U.S. night, and weaponize the 24-year-long persecution and genocide against Falun Dafa (Falun Gong) meditation, which was launched by Jiang Zemin and its band of toad cronies in Shanghai.
Another thing to note is since the pandemic crash, BUT BEFORE 2022, gold has had something of an inverse covariance with the SPX and the SPX has an inverse covariance with the USD.
But after 2022, gold has traded mostly in lockstep with the SPX, although in recent days and weeks that has begun to decouple.
Looking at the daily covariance, gold and the USD have an inverse covariance with the overextended equities market:
And I anticipate a USD rally, as I state here:
DXY - The US Petrdollar And The "Prigozhin Coup" In Russia
Since I believe what the market makers have in store for us is a significant downtrend in the equities market until September:
SPX/ES - An Analysis Of The 'JPM Collar'
Gold setting a new high right now doesn't make sense.
And so what I believe will happen is the target for the algorithm right now is $2,030, and it amounts to a short squeeze/bull trap.
This will both take out the June high and draw in buyside demand over the $2,000 level, since retail goldbugs are always pining for a new all time high.
But the rally will fail, again, and the markets at large will fail again (except for Natural Gas).
Natural Gas - The Girl Who Hopes You Remember Her
And as the rally fails we'll see lower prices. Probably ending in the $1,800 range.
This amounts to a 10%~ drop and is pretty painful if you're sitting leveraged long and even worse if you're leveraged on call options.
If $1,800 is violated, then the top is probably already in, in my opinion.
So, be careful and make sure you practice social distancing from atheism, Marxist-Leninism, the Theory of Evolution, QAnon, and the CCP itself.
Long gold is about returning to tradition, and mankind's Heaven sent traditions are even more luminous than an entire vault of 100.00% pure AU.
Majestic Trade First Majestic Silver - NYSE:AG
- Risk/Reward Ratio 12
- Positive Divergence
- Spring reversal from under ascending triangle
- Green circle is the convergence of 200 DSMA,
POC & break out from falling wedge. A break &
close above $7.10 may be confirmation
You could enter here and place your stop as outlined on the chart and be ok with 20% hit in the event of. Or you wait for the confirmation above the noted levels before entering and place a higher stop.
PUKA
Minefield ⛏️💥The VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (ticker: GDXJ) has entered a certain minefield here. Our short-trade target zone has already been dealt with and the corresponding high of the turquoise wave (ii) was placed accordingly within said zone. We are now anticipating further impulsive sell-action in accordance with the general bearish trend. If the bulls want to start another comeback though, they should’nt be able to increase the price beyond our still active second sell zone (between $39.33 and $41.67).
Pigeon has taken a position in $SDIG Stronghold Digital Mining This is the one miner that has lagged against all others and I believe it's time is coming. Chart looks good momentum is behind it. During June 2023 SDIG energized the 2,000 Avalon 1346 mining rigs. They have a goal getting to 4eh/s by the third quarter of 2023. SDIG is extremally small compared to competition and considering it has revenue above its marketcap.
$BTCM chart analysis 👁🗨️*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
This morning my team purchased shares of Bitcoin Mining Company
NYSE:BTCM at $2.70 per share.
This post is mainly intended to allow others who are currently invested in this company to look at it through our own lens. NYSE:BTCM has strong ties with Hong Kong which is being used as a regulatory crypto hub for China. In addition, back on May 1, 2023 NYSE:BTCM announced its "Next Generation of Litecoin/Dogecoin Mining: LD4" which is designed for mining on the DOGE and LTC blockchains with "peak hash rate and energy efficiency." With Bitcoin now eyeing $35000-$36000 we can soon expect altcoins (particularly Ethereum and Doge) to run behind and catch a late run.
Billionaire Elon Musk who now owns twitter may also be planning to utilize Doge and integrate it with twitter. This is speculation of course but if this becomes reality expect Doge to run hard and NYSE:BTCM will also share the glory.
Our target right now is $4.66 if Bitcoin approaches $35k-36k. Good luck!
Our Entry: $2.70
Take Profit: $4.66
Stop Loss: $2.53
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
Agnico Eagle Mines: Slowly but surely… 👍Slowly but surely, Agnico is devoting itself to the current downwards pressure. Despite the occasional counter movement, the share should soon reach and break through the support at $31.03. Thus, it should arrive in the yellow zone between $19.10 and $10.08 to complete wave (2) in yellow. As soon as this is done and dusted, Agnico can turn upwards again, climb back above $31.03 and further northwards from there. A 25% chance remains, though, that the share could get dragged above the resistance at $67.14 instead. In that case, we would expect the ascent to continue above $89.16 as well.
$GOLD: Potential Bullish BAMM on A High Cash Flowing Gold MinerThis gold miner has a lot of cash flow and actually brings in some income, which are two traits that are quite rare to see in gold miner stocks. Though it does trade at a very high P/E, it still appears to be a financial rarity within the sector, and therefore the Barrick Gold Corporation has caught my attention, and I would expect that this one will be among the top performing miner stocks if the price of actual gold were to rise.
As for the technicals, we have some monthly Bullish Divergence at the 100-Month Moving Average, and we are going to be looking to break above a trend line that could later bring us up to the 0.786-0.886 retraces to complete a Gartley.
Fresnillo: Bearish Success 💪🐻The Fresnillo-bears can announce a first success: Finally, the share has arrived at the support at GBP 610! Next, our furry friends should push Fresnillo below this mark to gather further downward momentum. Then, the share should also pass the support at GBP 456.60 to develop wave C in turquoise. However, there still remains a 20% chance that Fresnillo could change direction and climb above the resistance at GBP 997. In that case, we would expect the share to place the new top of wave alt.B in turquoise in the turquoise zone between GBP 1086 and GBP 1292 before turning downward again.
Cameco... Still GoingCameco continues to gain in price as spot uranium moves higher. We are seeing textbook breakout out of a triangle pattern with Cameco on pace for its highest monthly close since February of 2011.
Lower PPO indicator is in the process of a bullish cross of the green PPO line above its purple signal line. Both of these lines trending above the 0 level indicates that the overall momentum behind price is bullish, and with the bullish cross of the two lines it means that the short-term momentum is shifting back to positive as well.
Lower TDI indicator shows the green RSI line back in the upper half of the Bolling Bands which indicates a shift back to positive price trend. The green RSI above 60 indicates that the bullish trend is increasing, and as long as the green RSI continues to trend between the 40-80 levels going forward the longer trend behind price will be considered bullish. This is from the Cardwell RSI strategy which is one of the best methods for reading the RSI if you aren't already a fan of the Cardwell RSI.
Cardwell RSI: youtu.be
The nuclear movement has a fan in Oliver Stone who recently created and released a documentary about the need for nuclear power: www.nuclearnowfilm.com
GDX: Will you make it? 💪This is what we ask GDX regarding our primary scenario. The ETF has shown momentum in both directions: upward and downward. However, we expect the bulls to win this fight, pushing GDX above the resistance at $32.58 and into the turquoise zone between $33.93 and $35.57. There it should finish wave ii in turquoise and turn southward again, heading back below $32.58. However, our secondary scenario shouldn’t be disregarded! There is a 40% chance for the bears to triumph. In that case, we would have to wait for wave alt.(5) in yellow to expand first, which would then include a new low.