S&P 500 E-mini Futures volume profile zonesNext week will be very rich in fundamentals, with the trial of a major Chinese developer scheduled, and the FOMC meeting on Wednesday. All these events are likely to have an impact on the market. Here are the key zones for the upcoming week based on the volume profile.
The first zone is 4916, where the market closed. There is a local point of control according to the volume profile, suggesting that the price may tend to oscillate here and determine the direction for this week. The key level of 5000 is relatively close, and if positive market conditions persist, we could reach that level very soon.
If the market declines, there are other important support/resistance zones at 4785. This zone has been strong, forming from mid-December to mid-January, and the price is likely to react to it as support. If the Fed makes negative comments and the market interprets it that way, the price could potentially drop to 4705, which is the low for this year.
Minisp500
S&P 500 Futures (ES) Looking to Extend Rally HigherShort term Elliott Wave View in E-mini S&P 500 Futures (ES) suggests the rally from 3.13.2023 low is in progress as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from 3.13 low, wave ((i)) ended at 4206.25 and dips in wave ((ii)) ended at 4062.25. The Index extends higher in wave ((iii)) towards 4493.75. Pullback in wave ((iv)) completed at 4368.59 with internal subdivision as a zigzag structure.
Down from wave ((iii)), wave i ended at 4410.5 and wave ii ended at 4444.75. Index then resumes lower in wave iii towards 4403.5, and rally in wave iv ended at 4430.75. The last leg lower wave v ended at 4393 which completed wave (a). Index then rally in wave (b) towards 4427 and wave (c) lower ended at 4368.59 which completed wave ((iv)) in higher degree. Index has turned higher in wave ((v)). Up from wave ((iv)), wave i ended at 4387.75 and pullback in wave ii ended at 4371.50. Index then resumes higher in wave iii towards 4424.75 and dips in wave iv ended at 4407. Near term, as far as pivot at 4368.59 low stays intact, expect Index to extend higher.
Debt Ceiling Deal Euphoria - RekindledS&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 06/01
We started this trading week yesterday with these words: "Now that the Debt Ceiling drama is apparently over ("apparently" is the keyword there), can the markets continue to be intoxicated on the nVidia-A.I. exuberance and continue the bullish leg or get back to the macro-economic fundamentals of inflation, valuation, china-slowdown (bad news good news here, with hopes of China stimulus?) etc.? A couple of sessions into this shortened week shall reveal. Till then, caution might be warranted on the part of the bulls".
We started last trading week with our trading plans on Monday titled: "Debt Ceiling Deadline Likely to Whipsaw the Markets", and these words: "Expect the approaching debt ceiling deadline to attract both bulls and bears to heightened speculation, resulting in some whipsaw movements until the deadline passes and the dust settles".
The dust might be settling this week or early next week. The direction in which it settles would determine the next directional bias in the markets. Currently, our directional models indicate no bias and are in an indeterminate state.
Positional Trading Models: Following the trading plans published earlier in the week, our positional models went short on the close yesterday, at 4179.84, with a 52-point trailing stop. With the session's low recorded at 4171.64, the current trigger of the stop is at 4231.84. If this is hit, the models indicate going short again on a break below 4228 with a hard stop at 4242.
By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session.
Aggressive/Intraday Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today.
Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans for THU. 06/01:
For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4222, 4198, 4187, or 4156 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4125, 4194, 4184, or 4150 with a 9-point trailing stop.
Models indicate explicit exits for the day. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 01:46pm ET or later.
By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention).
To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals.
(WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)
NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS:
(i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s).
(ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors.
(iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk.
#spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #recession, #fomc, #fed, #fedspeak, #regionalbanks, #debtceiling, #china
Debt Ceiling Deal ("Almost Done") Euphoria Dying Down?S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED. 05/31
We started this trading week yesterday with these words: "Now that the Debt Ceiling drama is apparently over ("apparently" is the keyword there), can the markets continue to be intoxicated on the nVidia-A.I. exuberance and continue the bullish leg or get back to the macro-economic fundamentals of inflation, valuation, china-slowdown (bad news good news here, with hopes of China stimulus?) etc.? A couple of sessions into this shortened week shall reveal. Till then, caution might be warranted on the part of the bulls".
We started last trading week with our trading plans on Monday titled: "Debt Ceiling Deadline Likely to Whipsaw the Markets", and these words: "Expect the approaching debt ceiling deadline to attract both bulls and bears to heightened speculation, resulting in some whipsaw movements until the deadline passes and the dust settles".
The dust might be settling this week or early next week. Which direction in which it settles would determine the next directional bias in the markets. Currently, our directional models indicate no bias and are in an indeterminate state.
Positional Trading Models: For today, our positional models indicate going short on the close if below 4180, with a 52-point trailing stop.
By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session.
Aggressive/Intraday Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today.
Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans for WED. 05/31:
For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4216, 4206, 4189, or 4156 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4200, 4184, or 4150 with a 9-point trailing stop.
Models indicate explicit long exits on a break below 4212. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 09:31am ET or later.
By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention).
To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals.
(WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)
NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS:
(i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s).
(ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors.
(iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk.
#spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #recession, #fomc, #fed, #fedspeak, #regionalbanks, #debtceiling, #china
SPX Model Trading Plans for WED. 01/04New Year - Same Old Range In Play
In our trading plans published on Thursday, 12/22, we stated: "Our models reiterate range-bound trading while the index is within the broader 3810-3860 range on a daily close basis".
In spite of a lot of spiky price action since then, the index is still within this range as of today, the second full trading session in the New Year. Our models indicate continued choppy trading while the index is within this range.
Positional Trading Models: Our positional trading models are currently flat and indicate staying flat until otherwise indicated.
By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session.
Intraday/Aggressive Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today.
Trading Plans for WED. 01/04:
Aggressive Intraday Models: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 3822, 3833, 3856, or 3862 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 3818, 3830, 3850, or 3858 with a 10-point trailing stop.
Models indicate long exits on a break below 3870, and short exits on a break above 3812. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 11:01 am ET or later.
By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention).
To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals.
(WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)
NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS:
(i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s).
(ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors.
(iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk.
#spx #spx500 #spy #sp500 #esmini #indextrading #daytrading #models #tradingplans #outlook #economy #bear #yields #fomc #fed #newhigh #stocks #futures #inflation #powell #interestrates #rates #nfp #earnings #earningsseason #midterms #elections #cpi #fedpivot #shortsqueeze
ESP500 MINI IDEA HELLO GUYS THIS MY IDEA 💡ABOUT MES1! is nice to see strong volume area....
Where is lot of contract accumulated..
I thing that the buyers from this area will be defend this LONG position..
and when the price come back to this area, strong buyers will be push up the market again..
UP TREND + Resistance from the past + Strong volume area is my mainly reason for this long trade..
IF you like my work please like and follow thanks
ES1ELLO GUYS THIS MY IDEA 💡ABOUT ES1! is nice to see strong volume area....
Where is lot of contract accumulated..
I thing that the buyers from this area will be defend this long position..
and when the price come back to this area, strong buyers will be push up the market again..
UPTREND + Support from the past + Strong volume area is my mainly reason for this long trade..
IF you like my work please like share and follow thanks
TURTLE TRADER 🐢
ES1HELLO GUYS THIS MY IDEA 💡ABOUT ES1 is nice to see strong volume area....
Where is lot of contract accumulated..
I thing that the Seller from this area will be defend this SHORT position..
and when the price come back to this area, strong SELLER will be push down the market again..
DOWNTREND + Support from the past + Strong volume area is my mainly reason for this short trade..
IF you like my work please like share and follow thanks
TURTLE TRADER 🐢
S&P500 History repeats.. movements are not casual! BullishHi All, my main 3 take-outs from this analysis are the following:
1- 100 Moving Average is still working well as dynamic support and prices are bouncing from there aheading to 4,700
2- It is realistic to think that beginning of 2022 might start with a retracement still towards the support sitting at 4,550, with a movement that might bring to the formation of a lateral continuation channel, but in my opinio the asset is well familiar with this kind of movement and my next closets target would be 4,700.
3- Once the price reaches 4,700 I would count on an extension of the movement towards 4,900, also with the help of Fibanocci extension of the previous upward leg
Not a financial advice, just personal opinion. Do your own due diligence and good luck!
Perfect ABCD setup going into cash openThere was a perfect setup going into the cash open on S&P 500 this morning with an excellent RRR. Once the price on the CD wave breaks the AB high, I checked my Magic Bars for yellow indicating a strong move and entered my first position. As long as MACD momentum was positive and RSI was above 50, the price vector was in my favor. So when the price dipped back to the break I entered my second position. Yellow bars on the Magic Bars provided confidence in the trade.
Range bars are your friend, SPX could be due for more growthOn the 50 range bar chart for SPX E-Minis Futures , you can see what has happened during this last run-up when RSI dips to 40 or below and starts climbing. Marked with the red arrows.
We take a day or two for a quick breath, then start climbing again. I would like to see a couple more bars print for confirmation.
If we can punch thru the $3202 level, marked by the VPVR, and hold we should see a nice move up.
0042 - Short E-Mini S&P Future ContractsPrecio de Entrada: 2955.25 USD
Stop-Loss: 2997.25 USD
Objetivo Mínimo: 2819.25 USD
Objetivo Máximo: 2819.25 USD
Razonamiento:
- Entre el 01 y 02 de Octubre el precio rompe a la baja zona de soporte en donde confluyen el mínimo del mes de Julio 2019 y un nivel invertido semanal. De tal modo que el sentimiento de mercado que tomo es bajista.
- El precio de entrada se encuentra justo en el mínimo del mes de Julio de 2019 que ahora debería funcionar como resistencia. Se busca operar el test al nivel invertido.
- El stop se encuentra justo por encima del high de la vela del 01 de Octubre que fue la que rompió a la baja el soporte.
- El Objetivo Mínimo y Máximo se encuentran justo por encima de un nivel de soporte que demostró ser una fuerte resistencia en los meses de Octubre, Noviembre y Diciembre de 2018 a la vez que fue un fuerte soporte durante el mes de Agosto de 2019.
Strong sell on hourly chart of s&p 500 mini featuresDrop started from 3000's and now on 2971. RSI, Parabolic SAR, Moving Average most of the main indicators are supporting the drop.
First target will be 2962 and if it breaks that support, next target would be 2939. In case of an upturn in chart, we should check if it can break 2974.