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AUD/USD 2H | MAKE OR BREAK (Key Edge)🟡 AUD/USD 2H Analysis – June 19, 2025 Bias: Neutral → Reactive (Awaiting Breakout Direction) Timeframe: 2H 🔍 Market Overview: AUD/USD is approaching a make-or-break level at the confluence of an ascending trendline and a minor horizontal support around 0.6460–0.6470. This comes after price was rejected from the 2025 high (0.6555) — a significant technical ceiling, labeled as a Possible Reversal Point. ✳️ Technical Structure: 🔵 Upper wedge resistance rejected price twice (0.6555) 🔵 Support trendline has been respected since late May 🟠 Current zone (0.6460) = last line of bullish defense 🔻 Breakdown risk is rising due to lower highs & compression 🔼 Bullish Playbook (Bounce Scenario): Trigger: Bullish reaction from 0.6460 with strong momentum candle or engulfing Entry: 0.6465–0.6475 Stop: Below 0.6440 Target 1: 0.6515 Target 2: 0.6555 (2025 High / Upper Wedge Edge) R/R: ~2.0+ 🔽 Bearish Playbook (Breakdown Scenario): Trigger: 2H close below 0.6455 + retest rejection Entry: 0.6450–0.6445 on retest Stop: Above 0.6480 Target 1: 0.6400 (demand zone) Target 2: 0.6300 R/R: ~2.5+ The next 4–8 candles could define the near-term structure. Respect the edge — react, don’t predict. Zoom in: Please Manage Your Risk... #AUDUSD #MJTRADING #TRADINGVIEW #Chart #Analysis #Forex #Forexsignal #FXSignal
Short
by MJElahifx
2
XAUUSD - 4H Breakout and Retest Setup🟡🟡🟡 🕒 June 17, 2025 Bias: Medium-Term Bullish Structure: Breakout → Retest → Continuation Context: Trendline break + confluence with EMA + prior resistance turned support 🔍 Market Structure Insight: Major descending trendline broken with strong impulsive momentum. Pullback held at the intersection of: Broken trendline retest EMA 60 dynamic support Bullish structure of HL-HH (Higher Low / Higher High) Strong bullish candle at support ✅ Trade Plan – Buy Stop Setup Entry (Buy Stop): 3402 SL: 3373 (below the pullback structure + EMAs) TP1: 3430 (local resistance area) TP2: 3470 (measured move from previous leg height) #XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutSetup #Forex #EMA #SqueezePlay #TrianglePattern #tradingview #MJTrading
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by MJElahifx
4
Gold | 4h Structural LookoutPEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD 📅 June 18, 2025 Chart Title: “Gold's Battle at the Midpoint – Compression Before Explosion” Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish Structure: Ranging with Bullish Channel ✳️ Technical Summary: Gold continues to coil near the upper half of its multi-month structure, testing traders’ patience before a potentially explosive move. Current PA is forming a tight consolidation right beneath mid-channel resistance, suggesting a directional breakout is imminent — especially with the FOMC catalyst ahead. 📏 Key Chart Features: Clear Rising Channel: Acting as medium-term trend guide Major Consolidation: Identified around 3,330–3,380 Historical Boxes & Reaction Lows: Multiple orange circles show clear buying interest zones Possible Long-Term Range: Defined between 3,123 and ATH zone (3,500) EMA Support: Price currently holding both 15 & 60 EMAs 📈 Scenarios to Watch: 🔼 Bullish Breakout Path: Trigger: Break and close above 3,400 Confirmation: Follow-through above consolidation +full body close TP1: 3,460 TP2: ATH retest around 3,500–3,540 SL: Below 3,320 or lower trendline Invalidation: Break below channel 🔽 Bearish Breakdown Path: Trigger: Breakdown below 3,325 support First Target: 3,250 Expansion Target: 3,123 – base of the macro range Extreme Bear Target: 3,000 zone SL: Above 3,400 Consolidation Zoom in: #Xauusd #Gold #Trading #MJtrading #forex #Chart #chartanalysis #signal #freesignal
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by MJElahifx
2
CHF/JPY Approaching the Danger Zone🧠 CHF/JPY Daily Chart 🗓️ June 18, 2025 Theme: "Approaching the Danger Zone – Will It Break or Bounce?" Bias: Cautiously Bearish (near resistance) Setup: Rising wedge into multi-year resistance zone 🔍 Market Structure Analysis: The CHF/JPY has been riding a clean bullish wave since early 2025, but the pair now faces its most critical battle zone — the 179.50–180.00 multi-year resistance block, which previously marked a sharp reversal point. The recent price action shows a rising wedge structure, which is often a bearish reversal pattern, especially when appearing near significant resistance. 🧬 Confluences in Play: ✅ Rising Wedge: Tightening structure indicates exhaustion of bullish momentum. ✅ Major Supply Zone: Price is approaching a high-likelihood reaction zone (180.00), where sellers aggressively took over in the past. ✅ Bearish Divergence Watch: (Not shown but likely developing on RSI or MACD) ✅ EMA Clustering: 15 & 60 EMAs rising, suggesting short-term momentum, but also acting as dynamic support if price breaks lower. 🔁 Scenario-Based Trade Plan: 🟥 Bearish Rejection Setup: Entry: If price prints a strong bearish engulfing or pin bar near 179.50–180.00 SL: Above 180.20 (liquidity sweep buffer) TP1: 174.50 (wedge base) TP2: 172.00 (previous structure support) TP3: 165.00 (macro demand zone) R:R Potential: 3–5+ 🟩 Breakout Continuation (Contingency Plan): Buy Stop above 180.50 on strong close + retest Targeting 184.00+ (measured move from wedge height) 🎯 Key Levels: Major Resistance: 179.50–180.00 Trendline Support: 174.00 High-Volume Node: 172.00 Major Demand: 165.00–166.00 (long-term) ⚠️ Risks & Considerations: JPY volatility due to BoJ surprises CHF is sensitive to risk sentiment → geopolitical/macro shifts can rapidly flip bias Wedge can fakeout before true move — confirm with volume + daily close 🧵 Summary Thought: "Price is climbing a narrowing staircase into a wall. Will it punch through or trip on fatigue? Either way — the move from here is likely to be decisive. This is not the time to blink." Share your Idea please... #CHFJPY #MJTrading #Chart #Analysis #CHF #JPY
by MJElahifx
1
Leg Based Continuation Possible Play📈 USD/JPY – 15M Chart (Scalping to Intraday Play) 🕒 June 17, 2025 – Lower Time Frame Setup Bias: Short-term Bullish Continuation Structure: Leg-Based Impulse-Pullback-Impulse Model 🔹 Market Structure Insight: Price recently completed a strong impulsive move (LEG 1) on increasing volume. After a shallow correction into dynamic support (EMA 60), price is attempting a LEG 2 continuation. EMAs (15 & 60) have bullish alignment and acted as dynamic support. ✅ Buy #1 – Market Execution Entry: 144.91 (current or recent execution) SL: 144.38 TP: 145.25 R:R ≈ 1 🧠 Entry based on continuation after bullish flag breakout ✅ Price held higher low structure + EMA confluence ✅ Buy Limit #2 – Pullback Opportunity Entry: 144.59 (highlighted zone between EMAs) SL: 144.37 TP: 145.25 R:R ≈ 3.0 🧠 Designed to catch a retest into the mid-range and volume base ➕ Risk minimized, reward optimized ➕ Matches possible HL (higher low) setup if price dips before pushing ⚠️ Risk Management Notes: Overlap with prior resistance zone just above TP (145.20–145.40): partial TP or trail advised. Invalidated if price closes below 144.30 on strong volume (breaks structure). If LEG 2 matches or exceeds LEG 1 in strength, extended targets above 145.50 possible.
Long
by MJElahifx
1
Sell Limit Setup above 2025 High📉 AUD/USD – 2H Chart Analysis 🕒 Published: June 16, 2025 | TF: 2H 🔔 Trade Idea: 2x Sell Limit at Key Resistance Zone 🔹 Market Context: Price is trading within a rising broadening wedge pattern (marked by the white and blue trendlines). Current rally retraced aggressively toward upper wedge resistance (2025 High), an area that has repeatedly capped bullish momentum. Price approaching previous supply zone. 🔻 Sell Limit Setup 1 Entry: 0.65400 SL: 0.6584 TP: 0.6503 R:R ≈ 1 ➕ Fades rally into resistance ➕ Aligns with EMA structure and intraday exhaustion 🔻 Sell Limit Setup 2 Entry: 0.6550 SL: 0.6584 TP: 0.6499 R:R ≈ 2 ➕ Higher entry into wick zone (liquidity trap) ➕ Potential false breakout above structure ➕ SL above key swing high = cleaner invalidation ⚠️ Aggressive short: smaller SL, better RR
Short
by MJElahifx
1