XAU/USD – Gold Analysis Using MMC & Structural Mapping + Target🔎 Market Narrative:
Today’s GOLD analysis is crafted through the lens of Mirror Market Concepts (MMC)—a powerful strategy where historical price behavior is mirrored in the current chart structure. This is combined with traditional structural analysis, offering a clear view of current price behavior, key breakouts, and target levels.
We’re currently seeing an interesting scenario unfold where the market structure is shifting from bearish to bullish, aligning with mirrored reactions from previous key zones.
🧠 MMC Breakdown & Price Psychology:
🔄 Mirror Reaction:
Notice how the market mirrored a previous aggressive sell-off with a similar bullish recovery. This “reflection” is a hallmark of MMC—where market sentiment repeats itself, but in opposite directions.
The "Previous Targets" zone acted as a key SR Interchange (support-turned-resistance / resistance-turned-support). Price dropped into this zone and bounced with strong bullish momentum, signaling smart money accumulation or potential liquidity grab before reversal.
🧱 Structural Analysis:
🔹 Trendline Observation:
A key trendline (drawn from the recent swing highs) was clearly broken, confirming that the bearish structure has shifted into a bullish one. The breakout was followed by a retest, further strengthening the validity of this move.
🔹 Support/Resistance Flip (SR Interchange Zone):
The Blue Ray zone marked on the chart is critical. This area held as support in the past and again acted as a launchpad for the recent upside move.
🔹 Previous Targets Reclaimed:
After hitting the previous support zone, price reversed sharply—another MMC principle in play. These zones often serve as liquidity magnets and reaction zones, where institutional traders are active.
📍 Key Levels To Watch:
✅ Current Support: $3,289–$3,295 (Previously broken resistance, now acting as support)
🎯 Immediate Target Zone: $3,310–$3,320
(This is where the price is expected to face short-term resistance. If broken, the next mirror move could extend further.)
🔻 Trendline Confirmation Level: $3,296
(Holding above this confirms bullish bias short-term)
🛠️ Trading Plan / Bias:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Idea: Look for bullish continuation above $3,296 after minor consolidation or retest
Risk Management: Place stop-loss just below $3,289 (previous demand zone)
Take-Profit: $3,310 – $3,320 zone initially
⚠️ Risk Consideration:
Gold can be volatile, especially during news events. Always assess macroeconomic factors (like Fed policy, NFP, CPI, etc.) and manage your trades with solid risk-to-reward ratios.
🧠 Final Thoughts:
This chart is a great example of how Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) can work hand-in-hand with price action and structure to provide clean, repeatable setups. By understanding the psychology behind price mirroring, we can better anticipate turning points and entry zones—especially when the structure confirms it.
Whether you’re a day trader or swing trader, this concept adds a layer of confluence to your technical analysis toolkit.
MMC
JPY/USD Weekly Chart – Bullish Triangle Breakout Pattern Forming🔍 Chart Pattern Breakdown:
The chart is showing a symmetrical triangle pattern forming on the weekly timeframe of JPY/USD (Japanese Yen vs. US Dollar). This triangle is developing after a massive multi-year downtrend, which started all the way back in 2021. Such a triangle at the bottom of a trend often signals a potential reversal or a strong trend shift.
Here's what's happening technically:
🔺 Triangle Formation (Consolidation Phase):
Lower highs and higher lows indicate a clear symmetrical triangle.
The price has been bouncing between these converging trendlines for months.
This compression is like a spring — it’s storing energy and getting ready to break out.
The triangle pattern is nearing its apex, which means a breakout is likely soon.
📉 Previous Trend Context:
Before the triangle, the market had a strong bearish move — a downtrend that brought the pair into a major weekly support zone.
This support zone (marked in light blue) around 0.0062–0.0063 has been tested and respected multiple times.
📊 Key Technical Zones:
Support Zone: 0.0062 – 0.0063 — this is where price bounced and formed the base of the triangle.
Resistance Zone / Triangle Top: Around 0.0071 – this is the upper boundary of the triangle. A breakout above this will confirm the bullish scenario.
Target Area: 0.00829 – derived from measuring the height of the triangle and projecting it from the breakout point.
Major BOS (Break of Structure): Once price breaks above the triangle and the BOS line, it confirms a shift from bearish to bullish structure.
SL Zone: Stop loss area is just below the support zone at 0.00629 to protect against false breakouts.
🔁 Retest Setup:
After the breakout, it's common to see a pullback to retest the previous resistance (now turned support). That retest often provides a high-probability entry for swing and position traders. If it happens — that’s your golden moment!
🎯 Trade Plan (Example for Education):
Entry Criteria Value/Zone
Breakout Entry Above 0.0071 (confirmed candle close)
Retest Entry 0.0069 – 0.0070 (support flip)
Stop-Loss (SL) Below 0.00629
Target (TP) 0.00829
✅ Why This Setup Matters:
Clear structure on the weekly chart.
Multi-touch points on both trendlines = strong pattern.
Support zone backing the triangle base gives extra conviction.
A breakout from such consolidation patterns often results in sharp movements.
Risk/reward ratio is highly favorable.
⚠️ Risk Management Reminder:
Always trade with a plan, use a stop-loss, and don’t jump into the breakout blindly. Volume confirmation or retest confirmation will help increase the success rate. These kinds of setups are powerful, but only when approached with discipline.
🧠 Final Thoughts:
This JPY/USD triangle on the weekly chart is a textbook example of potential bullish reversal from a major downtrend. It’s showing signs of a structural shift, supported by strong support, tightening price action, and the chance for a breakout to deliver a major upside move toward 0.00829.
If you’re a swing or position trader, keep this on your radar. Momentum is building — don’t miss the move when the breakout hits. 📈🔥
Marsh & McLennan Companies (MMC) Weekly Chart AnalysisCompany: Marsh & McLennan Companies
Ticker: MMC
Exchange: NYSE
Sector: Financial Services
Introduction:
Hello and thank you for taking the time to read my post. Today, we analyze the Marsh & McLennan Companies (MMC) chart on the weekly scale, focusing on a classic price pattern called the "Rectangle Pattern." Marsh & McLennan Companies is a global professional services firm operating in the financial services sector, traded on the NYSE under the ticker MMC.
Classic Rectangle Pattern:
The classic rectangle pattern is a chart pattern formed when the price of an asset moves between two parallel horizontal lines, representing support and resistance levels, over a period of time. In essence, it reflects a consolidation phase where the market is undecided about the direction of the trend.
Analysis:
In the case of MMC, we find a textbook example of a rectangular formation, with several points of contact to the upper and lower boundary. The resistance was at 177.32 and the support at 146.73. The price pattern has formed for 497 days, and now, for the first time, a weekly candle has closed above the resistance level of 177.32. The price is currently retesting the resistance as support, which provides an ideal entry opportunity. The price is clearly above the 200 EMA, implying a bullish environment.
Additional Analysis:
With the breakout above the resistance level, we should closely monitor MMC's price action for confirmation that the breakout is genuine and not a false breakout. A successful retest of the 177.32 level as support could signify that the breakout is valid, and we may expect the price to move towards the target at 203.53, which represents a ~15% price increase.
Conclusion:
The Marsh & McLennan Companies (MMC) weekly chart showcases a classic Rectangle Pattern, reflecting a consolidation phase in the market. A breakout above the resistance level and a successful retest as support indicate a bullish scenario. By closely monitoring the price action and support and resistance levels, traders can be better prepared for any potential price action in the future. As always, it's essential to consider risk management and proper position sizing when trading based on chart patterns.
Please note that this analysis is not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence when investing or trading.
If you found this analysis helpful, please like, share, and follow for more updates. Happy trading!
Best regards,
Karim Subhieh
Bouncing up on Marsh&McLennan. MMCWithin a channel, looking like ABCDE according to Elliot. Volume flow toward longs, and I bet P/C Ratio is bullish also.
I never shared an idea on this one for a while, but you can see a Gartley painted in there and the result.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in green with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe.
Buzz this yearIs there any intelligent life in crypto land?
People have jumped in this space on the assumption that we are only goin up. This reminds me of a certain film and can be broken down using key character traits.
So we have the followers; not doing much, if any analysis for themselves. Instead buying on the hope that Bitcoin & Crypto can only ever go up!
This isn't helped by the type of influencers who shill coins in pump n dumps and scream in all of their video's - Bitcoin is going to 100k. We saw Cowboy's like M & M crypto, Moonzilla Carl, Plan Bee, C or D and the Rover of Buybits or Big boy! (none of the real names used for no reason at all) The list could go on and on!!!!
Unfortunate for many - these Potato heads have little between the ears.
So although it's how I wanted to stop my drawing, I decided to complete it for this post.
I've said for over a year now here on @TradingView that charts need to go down as well as up. You could see it coming from a mile away. Well, lightyears away to tell the truth! Using techniques like Wyckoff and Elliott (and I've covered these in education terms, here on tradingview) Might seem a little prehistoric, but human sentiment will not change anytime soon!!!
So sometimes a playful dinosaur like @Paul_Varcoe streaming, is worth listening too.
Instead of only UP, UP and AWAY!!! Moon clowns!
Look at their calls and buying each top. And what did we do?
Like I said above - this was mapped out over a year ago now and still playing it's game!
So chill out, it's only doing it's thing! Don't follow the crowd or listen to cowboy's! Enjoy the weekend!!!!
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
Breakout on the MMC chart?NYSE:MMC
Yesterday the price closed above resistance, making a new ATH.
What are your expectations for MMC? Please leave a comment.
This is what I see on the chart, please correct me if I am wrong.
- We have a purple square as support, because MMC opened higher there is a small gap.
- I see a Cup and Handle pattern that started on 30-12-21.
Cup (30-12-21/7-4-22) Handle (8-4-22/19-4-22)
- There is a big volume shelf around $171, this could also indicate possible support.
- Price closed above the highs of 8-12-21 & 28-12-21 & 8-4-22. This means a new ATH,
What I expect: Maybe a small rally from here, or anyway a pullback to the old resistance level ($170.00). I hope that the former resistance level becomes a new support level (Principle of Polarity), and then the price soars to new highs.
This is no financial advise.