Nasdaq.. not enough steam ?looking at the market today
looking at today sesion 13686 ! might be also a entry point for a short
Mnq
NAS100USD NEXT TARGETNASDAQ 100 is testing descending resistance coming from beginning of September. I expect a return from this area but I won't open a position at this point. You may follow confirmation and returns, carefully. 11820 can be first support level, 11520 can be second support level and if it breaks, I will follow ascending support line.
$MNQ_F 3-Press Top Deep Dip For SellersPrice is beginning to show consolidation and range mentality. This could be a significant low reversal area in the bigger scope, but in the nearer term there is potential for a short push back. Normally, I would be looking for a move back to lows and potentially further but with the strength of the double bottom, I don't want to get caught getting stuck at the lows of a reversal which narrows in the targets for now.
Comparison of MNQ and MESA 1 min video just to show the difference (or similarity) between the MNQ and MES using the same exact day/time, timeframe, and indicators.
$MNQ_F 3-Press Wedge Top Into ResistanceThe #MNQ1! has had a phenomenal wedge formation that broke higher. Now that prices are migrating towards the top of resistance, structural interest begins to take hold showing areas for sellers to potentially initiate new shorts to drive the market down. The daily is bullish, but the faster timeframes haven't shifted just yet suggesting this pop may be a trap for now.
NDX vs SPX
These charts show how NDX cleans up unfinished business and the SPX is not.
This is also true in /NQ Futures vs /ES/ - which makes it easier to trade as of late.
NDX - What Really Matters Personally I enjoy trading the NASDAQ more than the SPX or its derivatives.
The NQ will let shorts out - added volatility creates bigger ranges for swing trading.
What really matters is the NASDAQ is respecting Points of Control and Gaps more than the Spoos. The S & P still has three unfilled gaps from August the NDX has none!
Todays price action was nothing more than house keeping. Forget about valuations if your trader - none of that makes sense. Price action make sense - and that's exactly what we saw today.
We stopped right at the bottom of a gap created a couple weeks ago, and rallied hard from there - over 600 points. Stocks aren't crashing - we just got to the bottom of a channel quickly - posted below.
Whats next? Is that a gap overhead?
The caveat to all this is a news bomb - but right we just playing back and forth inside a channel.
Nasdaq Moved down till ...
Nasdaq Futures with lots of targets below got stopped dead - as the ES Futures hit yesterdays VPOC - this turned off the downward action.
In the 15 Minute Bar the NQ lost 84 points - the move down was just as quick up, you couldn't hit the buy button fast enough to buy back shorts.
NDX - Gap shown one of only two - unlike SPX which has four for the month of August. Lots of small and single prints that still need to be retested below at some point.
Nasdaq - Top of Channel Chart is drawn with Renko bars.
This is the fourth time price has moved outside the channel - only to fall roughly six percent.
Impressive ramp right before the Jackson Hole Meeting.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
Nasdaq Futures - Renko Chart Long Term Trend
There is a long term trend going back to April - this has been tested multiple times.
As we continue to make highs on divergences we can have an expectation of where we might fall back to. The maximum percentage over the trend line was 11% - we are currently at 5%.
Perhaps we'll get to that 8% this upcoming week - this could be good spot to short back to trend, tough to short the /NQ /MNQ, you may want to wait till we get back to 10950 range to take a long - if that fails then we have entered a whole new dynamic.
NQ pullback to broken rising wedge
So big earnings beat, price is going to be complete the pullback and then major profit taking will ensue.
That big pink line is the former resistance turned support of the multiyear megaphone pattern.
Here is a zoom in of the 4 hr
Here is a zoom in of the 12 hr (for clarity)
Here is the weekly NQ megaphone.
Here is the monthly NQ megaphone - note the bband signal trigger.
Huge divergence between NQ and DXYDollar suppression mechanism is no longer working to spur growth in equities.
Asymptote reached, diminishing results in equity push on every DXY suppression.
Note - I messed up the direction of the % gain on the NQ, just ignore the minus sign in front.
NQ about to break 3 mo supportIt's over, no more pumping can save this.
Pink line is 3 year long megaphone.
RSI and ADX Combination Signals Top in the NQJust your average 500 point daily range in the NQ. Ha! The NQ has been on a tear over the past few weeks, making shorting and identifying meaningful reversals challenging. Today, using a combination of RSI and ADX, our Extreme Turn was able to spot the combination of oversold conditions AND decreasing momentum thus producing the first sell signal on the 60m time frame since July 1.
Our models are short from 11018 with a trail stop just above the visible POC at 10715.
We post all these signals in our free Telegram channel: tradersdevgroup.com
NQ - Nasdaq100 e-mini futures buy zones (MNQ valid)Hello traders,
Description of the analysis:
M30 strong s/r zones. Currently NQ in the all time high area, where the probability of rejection and decline is increased. Sentiment will show. Support zones ideal for timing short-term long positions (gray). Trade what you understand, trade carefully and sparingly according to the business plan. Analysis is also valid for e-micro MNQ futures.
About me:
Hi, my name is Jacob Kovarik and I´m trading on stock exchange since 2008. I started with a capital of 3000 USD. My first strategy was based on OTM options. (American stock index and their ETF ). I´ve learnt on my path that professional trading is based on two main fundaments which have to complement each other, to make a bussiness attitude profitable. I´ve tried a lot of techniques and many manners how to analyze the market. From basic technical analysis to fundamental analysis of single title. My analytics gradually changed into professional attitude. I work with logical advantages of stock exchange (return of value back to average, volume , expected volatility , advantage of high stop-loss, the breakdown of time in options, statistics and cosistent thorough control of risk). At the moment, my main target is ITM on SPM index. Biggest part of my current bussiness activity comes from e mini futures (NQ, ES). I´m trader of positions. I´m from Czech republic and I take care of a private fund ($4.000.000 USD). During my career I´ve earned a lot of valuable experience, such as functionality of strategies and what is more important, control of emotions. Professional trading is, in my opinion, certain kind of mental training and if we are able to control our emotions, accomplishment will show up. I will share with you my analysis and trades on my profile. I wish to all of you successul trades.
Jacob
NASDAQ 100the market will try to go down to test the point 8054 again for the first step ... and it could go to 7890 for the second target
target 1 : 8054
target 2 : 7890
