TAP Measured Move to $55 Reading chart from left to right:
TAP went through a bear phase from June to September of 2021 and an accumulation phase from September to December 2021.
We saw the first impulse out of the accumulation phase with it's punch to $52 and it did a classic 50% retracement to $48. We're seeing upward momentum in February which is signaling that there's potential for another measured move to $55. There's potential to go higher with a strong earnings report on Feb 24th.
I'm playing this trend move with an at the money call expiring March 18th. What's really nice is that the ATM Call option is relatively inexpensive ($1.40) and a move to $55 should yield ~80% returns.
Molsoncoors
TAP - Molson Coors Beverage CompanyNYSE:TAP
Idea is simple:
Long position when the price breaks the downtrend ($46) (you can wait to 4h candle be closed higher than 46)
Stop - close lower than $45.6 (-0.8% risk)
Profit - 3 takes:
1st take $50 (8.8% upside)
2nd take $53.6 (15.8% upside)
3rd take $61.3 (30.3% upside)
Profit/Risk - from 9 to 31
You can split position to 3 parts, for each take
Feel free to comment / add a feedback
Coors to the moonIMO the 'premium beer' market is totally propped by capital investment, and molson is one of the oldest players in the game. all time high is 110$, absolute worst case is the stock goes to 10$, which is why im going to start buying in slowly over time. IMO a lot of the selling pressure on the stock was because of suspending dividends for 2020 as well.
heres my trade setup. Lets go.
Big Brewer Shares in Coronavirus Hangover168 = Tsingtao Brewery Group
600573 = Beijing Yanjing Brewery
SPX = S&P 500
CARL = Carlsberg Group
HEIA = Heineken N.V
TAP = Molson Coors Brewing
ANH = Anheuser-Busch InBev --- owns Corona beer brand
(This list excludes mixed drink companies like Diageo (DGE).)
As can be seen in the chart above, the US and European brands all significantly underperformed the S&P 500 as a benchmark. Only the two China-based brewers have outperformed but like most share prices globally, are still down on the year.
Possible opportunities --
Opportunity A: Corona beer
Whether Corona beers retain popularity or not following the pandemic could determine whether the AB InBev share price is fairly-valued.
Opportunity B: Asia growth
Long term growth potential in Asia could be a factor in the share price performance of China-based brewers.
Asia-Pacific is the largest and one of the fastest-growing market for beer consumption, which accounts for about one-third of the global market share. Business Wire, April 9 2020
Opportunity C: Microbrewery takeovers
The pandemic could mean more microbreweries are acquired by the big brewers, giving brewers more popular brands and reduced competition.
What do you think about the future of beer and the brewing industry? Share your thoughts with your account manager or join a live LCG webinar.
Is Hexo trading in another descending triangle / bear flag?I am dubious as to why Hexo doesn't have cannabis beverages on shelves in Quebec where "only" Hash & Cannabis Beverages are allowed as 2.0 products, or elsewhere in Canada when they have a Alcohol company like Molson backing them & involved in a JV via Truss?
I just don't see why this pattern would play out bullishly when the company is diluting shareholders & raising money below the trading price?
Does Hexo have a trick up their sleeve that will surprise the market besides overpaying for the Newstrike Brands buyout & growing unlicensed Cannabis, I think so, but it's not a surprise for the Hopium addicts, be prepared for more disappointment as Hexo slowly bleeds into the penny stock range where they started & belong!
The 200 Day MA doesn't want to let Hexo break above it, very note worthy as the RSI looks like a H&S & Hexo has created nothing but lower lows since my previous chart linked to this one.