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Momentumdivergence

A Recession vs a Bearish Correction The bitter memory from 2008 still persists in our minds, or at least in the minds of those who witnessed first hand what a Great Recession is. In 2008 many variables were set and many gears were in motion. Long story short, even though the media has attempted to call a recession, or to spread the fear of the bear among the people, which technically yes, it is a bear market by definition, it is not a recession, just yet. We’re in a hiking rate environment, and still the major indexes have managed to find support on the long term moving averages. Comparing the levels and the moving average crosses today and in 2008, the main difference we find is the levels did cross down and the trend was officially bear. Afterwards a capitulation took place and the macroeconomic variables changed to provide the environment for a rebound and a reversal which gave birth to this secular bull market. We’re not at the capitulation level, the volume has been steady and we’re on the bullish side of the trend. What did we just witness? A bear leg, basically a painful correction. The indexes are turning to the upside, the market took profits and the VIX scratched above the 20 level. We’ll probably see more selling because we’re in the take profit part of the short term cycle. We’ll see how deep the market is willing to dive, but the positive momentum divergence and the back to the green of the indicators show the intent to go for a bullish leg. The target area is at the 4500-4600 level.
SP:SPXLong
by Madrid
2
BTC bottom in or more blood?BTC looks like it hit a bottom after LFG cleared out its $BTC reserves to defend its stability. The momentum indicator if continues to curl up may produce a bullish momentum div, not yet confirmed. BBWP reading about to top out, no confirmation yet either upon crossover of its MA. EWT corrective target hit ~$30.7k from 1.272 fibs measured from late Jan. bottom to late March top. Not to mention we've hit the bottom of a fork There are risk factors of this idea not playing such as: BTC continues to correlate with trades/sp500 and drops alongside it as QT continues, and interest rates get risen from the fed. BTC has not retested the 200W MA Cyber security risks w/ regard to complete shutdown of power grids mining BTC and hosting/running many DeFi/L1/L2 services, with nations like RU/CN engaging in non-kinetic warfare. We've already seen RU disconnect intercontinental cables in the Atlantic. As the EU holds out on gas during winter, we could see more desperate measures/retaliation through new avenues in 5th Gen. warfare . Shanghai lockdown fails to prevent the spread of bird flu , potentially inducing another global lockdown If the trade does get stopped out, the next areas of interest for entry would be 23k if we close under $29.2k on the daily, invalidating bull impulsive Elliott wave since late June. The on-chain bottom is ~$27k, and 200W MA is ~$21K, both are also entries in the event of an invalidation. Trade: Entry:$30.7k SL: $26.6K TP: Hull MA ~$36k, ABC PoC ~$39k
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by linebands
$APE bottom in? APE CHAIN?The next NFT frontier for the apes, APE CHAIN . Could $APE launch itself to compete w/ $BNB? It all depends on how heavily invested/serious they are in building an actual metaverse to reality. Looking at the founders of the coin, how $APE is now a payment currency on open sea , and how most metaverse projects are having trouble launching, I’m afraid $APE is a buy the rumor, sell the news type of coin for now. Would recommend getting on ape now at ~$17 Long based on speculation that other people will ape their $ to fund a potential leading metaverse project. Whether or not it delivers is irrelevant to making a profit given the strong community in the NFT space. More on the technicals: $APE looks like it might bottom out here around $17 from a bull div on the 2HR and moving away from a state of mean reversion since the high of $27. The BBWP indicator has yet to confirm the end of the volatile move but I speculate it will give consolidation soon as more APEs pause redeeming land deeds as they get sold out or wait for gas fees to come down to more reasonable levels. Once we get a rally, expect resistance at ~$20 The key points of confluence for the bottom: Wave 3 PoC 0.5 fib retracement of Wave 3 1.272 fib extension of Wave C of ABC pattern on Wave 4 The token distribution looks fair, though I would remain cautious of any possible scam wicks given how normie-friendly this coin is. If we break the $16.6 low, there is a 50/50 chance of visiting the white trend line at ~$12. Trade : Long Entry: $17.5 TP: $20, $24, $34, Delivery of Metaverse Project SL: $15
Long
by linebands
2
BTCUSD Elliott Wave Forecast - Wave 4 Bullish Hidden Divergence*Re-post* Previous idea got removed. A guideline for all variations of a flat correction is that Wave C is required to have momentum divergence (please see linked ideas below). In this instance, the chart above depicts a Bullish Hidden Divergence on the weekly TF. A Bullish Hidden Divergence occurs when price action prints a higher low whilst the momentum indicator shows a lower low. This can usually be spotted towards the end of a correction indicating that price may soon rally. I hope you found this useful, do leave your thoughts in a comment below. As always, a 'like' and 'follow' is much appreciated and provides encouragement to share further ideas. Thank you for taking the time. BeyondEdge Your Edge Is Your Perception. Go Beyond.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BeyondEdge
5
How to use trend channel to judge the price action momentumIn this video, I use S&P 500 futures CME_MINI:ES1! as an example to show you using trend channel to judge the price action momentum. At the later part of the video, I also show the use of upward thrust, and the up wave on top of the channel to judge the momentum. It is important to assess the price action momentum of any trading instruments (i.e. stocks, Forex, futures, bond, bitcoin, etc…). If there is a fading of momentum, this is the first sign of weakness to pay attention to before we start to anticipate a change of character, e.g. a down-wave to at least stopping the uptrend, if not reversing the trend immediately. Having said that, do not get misled that if we see loss of momentum of the trading instruments, we need to get bearish to short, simply because this is only a red flag for us to anticipate potential weakness ahead. And it will take time to materialize. As long as we have a structure with higher high and higher low, the up trend is still intact.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by mingjong
4
Does history repeat itself?I'm not a pessimist on Bitcoin, I really believe in the technology behind it and in the disruptive power that it brings to the economy and society. But, every market needs some time to rest and to make new money flow. I believe that an eternal run without corrections is not healthy for any active, stock or crypto... TA: We are facing a Momentum Divergence on Bitcoin. This divergence is basically a disagreement between an indicator and price, and as we can see by the pink lines in the chart, every time in the past that we had a Momentum Divergence we saw a correction, and right now this signals are so evident on RSI and MACD indicators. Looking back again, the last corrections went until the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibo areas, so if this happens again, we can expect a correction until the area between the regions 0.5 ($12.750) and 0.618 ($11.024) that probably will match with the 50 and 100 days moving averages.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by hmborges
1