$gpt usdt 4hr candle crypto hidden gemlow cap hidden gem, bullish,
GATEIO:GPTUSDT
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Moneymanagement
Market Bias & Top Stock Watches - 3/29/2023 - Bull GrinderBias: Big gap up into resistance so expect a pullback early on but ultimately expecting a bullish move higher
Top Watches: Long - CARR, C, ENVX, MU, INTC. Short - STEM
Tune in to my stream at 9:25 EST for my full list of top stock watches and to watch me trade them Live!
Follow @JLaing for a timely morning bias of the market like this, top stock watches, and live day trading every morning!
Market Bias & Top Stock Watches - 3/23/2023 - Inside BearishBias: Choppy bearish inside day. Support at 392, resistance at 396.
Top Watches: Long - REGN, CPNG, ACN. Short - CHWY, MO SQ
Tune in to my stream at 9:25 EST for my full list of top stock watches and to watch me trade them Live!
Follow @JLaing for a timely morning bias of the market like this, top stock watches, and live day trading every morning!
Why every trader need money management?Almost every trader, at some point in their career, wonders if they need money management. The answer is a resounding yes! Having the proper business mindset is essential to success in trading. This includes having the right attitude, being disciplined, and knowing how to manage your emotions. Without these things, it is very difficult to be successful in the markets.
In this article, we will discuss why every trader needs money management. We will talk about the importance of having the proper business mindset, and we will also discuss some of the key components of an effective money management plan. By the end of this article, you will have a better understanding of why money management is so important for traders, and you will be able to start implementing some of these concepts into your own trading strategy.
Business mindset
Trading is a difficult business. It requires long hours, dedication, and a lot of hard work. But even with all of that, most traders still fail. Why is that? The answer is simple: they don't have the proper mindset.
In order to be a successful trader, it is important to have the proper mindset. This means having the right attitude, being disciplined, and knowing how to manage your emotions. If you can master these things, you will be well on your way to success in the markets.
Attitude is everything in trading. You have to be positive and believe in yourself, even when things are tough. Discipline is also key. You need to be able to stick to your trading plan, even when you are losing money. And finally, you must be able to control your emotions. Fear and greed are two of the biggest enemies of traders, so you must learn how to control them.
If you can develop the proper mindset, you will be well on your way to success in trading. So what are you waiting for? Start working on developing the right attitude today!
Manage losses
When trading, it is essential to have a well-defined money management plan in place. This plan should include setting stop-loss orders and taking profits at predetermined levels. By having a plan in place, you can help keep your emotions in check and make more informed decisions about when to enter and exit trades.
Stop-loss orders are placed with a broker in order to limit losses on a trade. When the price of the security reaches the stop-loss price, the trade is automatically sold. This type of order can be very helpful in managing risk, as it takes the emotion out of the decision of when to sell.
Taking profits at predetermined levels is also important in money management. By doing this, you can take some emotion out of the decision of when to sell and lock in profits. It is important to remember that no one knows where the market will go in the future, so it is important to take profits when they are available.
It is also essential to have a risk management strategy in place. This strategy should define how much capital you are willing to risk on each trade. It is important to remember that even the best traders lose money on some trades, so it is important not to risk more than you are comfortable with losing.
By having a well-defined money management plan, you can help keep your emotions in check and make more informed decisions about when to enter and exit trades. This can ultimately help you improve your overall success as a trader.
Confidence and self-control
Confidence is key for any successful trader. A clear understanding of the market and your personal trading strategy is essential to maintaining a level head and making sound decisions. Being mindful of your successes as well as your failures allows you to learn from your mistakes and build upon your strengths. Practicing in a simulated environment gives you the opportunity to become more comfortable with the decision-making process before putting real money on the line.
Self-control is another important aspect of trading. Emotions such as fear and greed can cloud your judgement and lead to poor decision making if left unchecked. Having a plan in place and sticking to it can help you stay focused on your goals even when things get tough. Diversifying your portfolio is also crucial in managing risk and ensuring that you don't put all of your eggs in one basket.
By developing confidence and self-control, traders can set themselves up for success. These qualities can help them make sound decisions, manage risk, and stay calm in the face of market volatility.
Keeping emotions out of trading
When it comes to trading, one of the most important things that you can do is keep your emotions in check. This can be difficult to do, but it is essential for success. One of the best ways to keep your emotions in check is to have a system or strategy in place that you stick to no matter what. This will help take the emotion out of the decision-making process. Additionally, it is important to know when to walk away from a trade. If you are feeling emotional about a trade, it is often best to just step away and take a break. It is also important to have the discipline to stick to your system or strategy even when it might not seem like the best thing to do in the moment.
By keeping your emotions out of trading, you will be more likely to make sound decisions and be successful in the long run.
Decision making
Traders need to be aware of their goals if they want to be successful. This means having a clear understanding of the risks and rewards involved in each decision. It is also important to have a plan for how to execute each decision, as well as being prepared to accept the consequences of those decisions.
Making sound decisions is crucial for traders. What are your goals? Are you looking to make a quick profit or build your portfolio over the long term? Once you know, you can develop a plan that takes into account the potential risks and rewards involved in each decision. For example, if you are looking to make a quick profit, you might be more willing to take on more risk. On the other hand, if you want to build your portfolio over the long term, you might be more conservative with your trades.
It is also important for traders to identify when they are making an emotionally-based decision. Emotions can cloud our judgment and lead us to make poor decisions. If you find yourself getting emotional about a trade, walk away and come back later with a clear head. Additionally, it is crucial to have the discipline stick to your system or strategy even when it might not seem like the best thing to do in the moment.
Making sound decisions requires traders have a clear understanding of their goals, the risks and rewards involved in each decision, and how emotions can impact their ability make rational decisions. By having plan and sticking it, traders increase their chances success in the markets.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
The Simpliest Math Behind Every Succesful TraderWhat exactly is risk management?
The ability to control your losses so that you do not lose all of your equity is referred to as risk management. This is a system that may be applied to everything that involves probabilities: trading, poker, blackjack, sports betting, and so on.
Many inexperienced traders underestimate the significance of risk management or don't understand the basics when it comes to risk management.
Would you risk $5,000 on every trade if you had a $10,000 trading account? Probably not. Because it only takes two consecutive losses in order to lose everything.
🧠 Now, let's imagine a thought experiment, in wich 🤩Alex and 🤨Peter are both traders with $10,000 in their accounts. Alex is a high-risk trader who puts $2500 risk on every trade. Peter is a cautious trader who puts $100 risk on every trade. Both apply a trading strategy that has a 50% success rate with an average risk-to-reward ratio of 1:2.
For good example, let's imagine the next 8 trades had the following results:
4 losing trades in a row
4 winning trades in a row
Here is the result for Alex: -$2,500, -$2,500, -$2,500, -$2,500 = -$10,000 Loss of the total account 😭😭😭😭
Here is the result for Peter: -$100, -$100, -$100, -$100, +$200, +$200, +$200, +$200 = +$800 Profits. 🏆 🏆 🏆 🏆
Can you tell the difference? See how risk management show the difference between being a profitable or losing trader. Peter managed to recover losing trades, and get into good profits after 8 trades. Alex didn't survive 4 trades...
🚨 You might have the finest trading strategy in the world, but if you don't manage how much you lose, you'll lose it all. It's only a matter of probability and time.
However, following this basic example will assist you to make your trading more profitable. Simply give it a shot.
Kind regards
Artem Crypto
Follow, Like and Share are appreciated!
Take a look at my other Educational ideas below:
Biases that influence your decisions Biases that influence your investment decisions
Most people who invest in the stock market don't reach their goals. The top 1% of investors can double or even triple their returns from the market.
Reason: how investors think
How this article will help you avoid these biases: * Awareness - Knowing what biases affect your decision making is half the battle.
*Routine: I've made a list of biases that affect your analysis and biases that make you overestimate investments.
Cognitive frivolity
All of the following biases work so well because of the way people's minds work. Cognitive light-mindedness is a state of mind that is wanted and linked to good feelings. This is the main reason why people make bad choices.
Halo effect
It is much easier to think in black-and-white stereotypes than in gray ones. The halo effect explains why we like or dislike everything about someone or something that is connected to them. It's harder than we think to agree with some ideas and disagree with others.
What You See Is All There Is
All there is is what you see. You can't think about something you don't know. In a strange way, self-righteousness goes up when you only listen to one point of view. Again, we choose certainty over uncertainty.
Anchoring
Our decisions are mostly based on the first information we get. If you know that Apple shares are worth $150, they will look like a good deal at $120. Not even knowing if $150 is close to what something is really worth.
Regression (Correction)
We love to find links between things that don't have any. Regression to the mean can be one of the most important, but often overlooked, factors. Due to price balancing, everything tends to be worth about the same.
Perceptual bias
We think that events were easier to predict than they really were because of what we already thought. In hindsight, it's easy to make up connections between things. The truth, though, is more complicated. There are a lot of good ways to guess what will happen.
The Fallacy of Mastery
Both buyers and sellers know the same things. They buy and sell stocks based on what they think. People don't believe that short-term stock picking is good luck because it's done by smart people.
Loss aversion
Loss aversion makes us ignore even gambling that has a good chance of going our way. A loss has twice the weight of an equal gain.
Dedication bias
Commitment is linked to good traits like consistency and intelligence. In this way, we don't break our promises. Investment decisions must be talked about in public. The more you talk, the more you can persuade yourself of something.
Leaning toward recent events
We tend to give too much weight to things that have happened recently. Because of this effect, the market tends to move in a certain direction most of the time. When things are going well, we think they will only get better. We think that when things go wrong, they will only get worse.
Effect of ownership
When we own something, we value it more. This is one way we can explain why we did what we did. Before we buy a stock, we look at it critically and try to find any risks. After making a purchase, we think about the good things about it to justify our choice.
This is called confirmation bias
We choose what to believe based on what we already know. What doesn't fit with our ideas is either ignored or called a lie.
Thinking based on odds
We often think based on how we feel. But in our lives, everything is a game of chances. Using reasoning to think about the most likely outcomes will help us make better decisions.
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
---
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Market efficiencyWhat is market efficiency, how does it affect earning potential?
What does "market efficiency" mean, and how does it affect the chances of making money?
Today, we'll talk about how well the crypto market works. We'll look at how quickly it takes in new information and how you can make money from price changes. We are also looking to the near future, when efficiency will go up and there will be less cash and inefficient niches.
How Does the Market Work?
The speed and accuracy with which information about projects and assets is added to the price shows how efficient the market is. This happens almost right away in markets that work well, but it takes a long time or doesn't happen at all in markets that don't work well.
For instance, the US stock market in 1906 is not very good at what it does. Then there was an earthquake in San Francisco, and only three days later, the shares of the Pacific Railroad fell apart. The news from east to west moved too slowly.
In 2022, the oil market works well. As soon as OPEC and other countries talked about how they could work together to set a high cap on oil prices, the price went up. That is, no one even raised the ceiling. The price goes up right away because OPEC+ lets this happen.
In general, the idea of how well a market works is a theory. Economists have been arguing about whether or not it works for the past 50 years. This idea comes in three different forms.
Weak Efficient Market Hypothesis: All market information from the past is included in the price of an asset.
Average Efficient Market Hypothesis: The price of an asset includes all market information from the past and all publicly available information from the present.
Strong Efficient Market Hypothesis: The price of an asset takes into account all market information from the past, public information from the present, and insider information.
We won't keep going back and forth between ideas. The article only needs to know that efficiency is a measurement of how quickly and accurately the market takes in information. Another question is where this information came from.
What determines how well the market works?
The most important thing is just one thing: the number of trades and how liquid the market is. The market will be more efficient if there are more transactions, and less efficient if there are less.
From the amount of money in the market, other things grow: the speed of transactions, the infrastructure, and the speed at which information comes out. But in general, they show up on their own when there are enough investors for someone to want to make money on investment infrastructure.
For instance, the elite art market doesn't work well. Not a lot of artists charge a lot for their paintings, and not a lot of people are willing to buy them. There, news moves slowly from person to person. The price is not set by the way the market works. Instead, it is set by haggling.
This also works in the stock markets. For "blue chips" like Apple, which are traded by the most investors, the difference in price between buy and sell orders is very small. This means that at any time, the market can very accurately figure out the fair value of the security.
Spreads widen where there is less liquidity, and it can be hard to figure out what a fair price is: it "walks" in the spread gap.
Here, by the way, the ideas of people who believe that markets take in information so quickly that it is impossible to make money on them fall apart.
Everything is simple: if markets are really so efficient that you can't make money by having more information, traders and capital would have left long ago, liquidity would have collapsed, markets would have become inefficient again, and capital would have returned.
But we don't talk about the theory here.
If you are interested in cryptocurrencies, why do you need to know this?
Yes, it is useful even if you are not interested in cryptocurrencies.
By definition, it's hard to make money in markets that work well. If the market is working well, it quickly takes in new information and reacts to what's going on around it. This means that any results of fundamental or technical analysis have already been factored into prices by other market participants. You can buy and sell things, but it will be like a casino.
It's easier to make money when markets don't work well. The less efficient a market is, the more likely it is that you can learn more about the other people in it, act faster, and make more money.
Can cryptocurrency be seen as a market that works well?
The article was written so that this math could be done. No, is the short answer. In one of the most recent studies, experts compared Bitcoin prices to the prices of gold, the S&P500, and the USD/EUR currency pair, which are all well-known assets.
The rate of price change was multiplied by the market capitalization to figure out how well the market worked.
It turned out that the crypto market is much smaller than traditional markets, but here information is "absorbed" much more quickly. This is because trading goes on 24 hours a day, 7 days a week, and information spreads quickly. Also, it's not hard to start trading.
But trading in BTC is not as good as trading in traditional assets. It is clear that the efficiency of most other currencies is even lower, and somewhere in the NFT segment, it is much lower.
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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GU Looking for correction then head to downside. $GBPUSD After News on 2/24/23 and After Top-Down analysis i'm looking for price to move to the downside on 2/27/23 for a short correction.
This is not trading advice or a signal!
The Website should not be relied upon as a substitute for extensive independent market research before making your actual trading decisions.
Market Bias & Top Stock Watches - 2/16/2023 - Bearish GrinderBias: Bear chop. Bit of support near 409, under that room to 406. Big gap down at support so expect an early bounce.
Top Watches: I will update this post with my top four long and short ideas between 9:25 - 9:30 EST.
Tune in to my stream at 9:45 EST for my full list of top stock watches and to watch me trade them Live!
Follow @JLaing for a timely morning bias of the market like this, top stock watches, and live day trading every morning!
Analysis of the Gold Market 1H TFEIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
Hello, let's dive into a simple chart analysis of the gold market and identify future opportunities. Don't hesitate to provide detailed comments or questions. Wishing everyone good luck, trade safely this week and always remember to secure your profits.
*Don't forget to fuel up with coffee ladies and gentlemen! :coffee: :peace:
--- Please note that these ideas are for informational purposes only and should not be taken as IDEAS . It is important to conduct your own research and make informed decisions before making any trades. ---
I would lie to you that I am very special!This is an event that has spread all over the real and virtual space these days
I am better than you, more beautiful than you, smarter than you
But the reality is something else
But we know the truth!
You and I are human, we have our merits and demerits, we all lied, we were all kind, we were both good and bad!
we are equal ..
With this introduction, I wanted to get here that we in the financial markets are involved with an equal scale of types of risk
It means that if I am facing some risks, you are also facing almost the same risks!
So, of course, if we are profitable but have a low win rate, or vice versa, we have a high win rate, but we may not be profitable in the long term.
Accepting this risk is the most basic step of entering the market.
I think money management and risk management are the only keys to success
Our learnings about technical and fundamental analysis only play a role in reducing or increasing the risk of our trade!
💲Learn DXY - US. Dollar Index
✅Why Be Interested?
The strong dollar has been getting a lot of attention lately. Some U.S. companies are blaming the strong U.S. dollar for lackluster earnings, while economists say it's helping the Federal Reserve’s ongoing fight against high inflation.
But how do you know when the dollar is strong or weak? That’s the job of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)
☑️What Is the U.S. Dollar Index?
The U.S. Dollar Index is a market index benchmark used to measure the value of the U.S. dollar relative to other widely-traded international currencies.
The Federal Reserve established the dollar index in 1973 to track the value of the U.S. dollar. Two years earlier, President Richard Nixon had abandoned the gold standard, which allowed the value of the dollar to float freely in foreign exchange (forex) markets.
Since 1985, the dollar index has been calculated and maintained by Intercontinental Exchange (ICE).
☑️The Dollar Index History and Makeup
The formula for calculating the value of the U.S. Dollar Index includes the dollar’s relative value compared to a basket of foreign currencies. Initially, it included the Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, Swiss franc, West German mark, French franc, Italian lira, Dutch guilder, and Belgian franc.
Following the creation of the euro in 1999, the number of currencies was reduced and the formula for the dollar index was adjusted. Today, the basket includes just six currencies: the euro (EUR), Japanese yen (JPY), British pound (GBP), Canadian dollar (CAD), Swedish krona (SEK) and Swiss franc (CHF).
✅How Is the U.S. Dollar Index Used?
The USDX allows traders and investors to monitor the purchasing power of the U.S. dollar relative to the six currencies included into the index's basket.
Investors also use the dollar index as a litmus test for U.S. economic performance, particularly when it comes to imports and exports. The more goods the U.S. exports, the more international demand there is for U.S. dollars to purchase those goods. When demand for the dollar is high, USDX rises.
☑️Dollar Index Shortcomings:
The weightings of the currencies used to calculate the index were based on the United States’ biggest trading partners in the 1970s.
As a result, its calculation doesn't include emerging market currencies, like the Mexican Peso (MXN) or commodity currencies. It also doesn't include China’s renminbi (CNY), even though China is now the largest U.S. trading partner by a wide margin.
Therefore, the index may be less useful as an economic measure than in previous decades.
✅What Makes the U.S. Dollar Strong?
A combination of higher inflation, the Fed's aggressive tightening campaign and a global search for yield have all contributed to the strong dollar.
A strong dollar means other global currencies have been relatively weak, which exacerbates inflationary pressures and financial market volatility.
📍In Conclusion:
The Dollar Index can be used as a gauge of the Dollar strength or weakness, and it’s futures can be used to profit form Dollar moves without betting on any individual Dollar currency pair which provides diversification. However, the Index is somewhat outdated which needs to be accounted for when using it.
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What do you want to learn in the next post?
soon it will goes to moon so buy and hold guys ez money from...soon it will goes to moon so buy and hold guys ez money from this astra protocol coin.buy at 0.30 0.35 sell up too 7.47
KUCOIN:ASTRAUSDT
Long on OIL based on USD and ChinaFundamental:
The reopening of the Chinese economy could lead to an increase in demand for oil. Chinese authorities have issued an additional batch of oil import quotas for domestic refiners
On the other hand, Chinese oil inventories have already surpassed those of the United States, mainly thanks to off-shore crude oil storage
Global off-shore crude inventories at extremely high levels compared to all-time highs. However, they are still below levels at the start of the Covid-19 pandemic, when prices fell to extremely low levels.
At the same time, operating rates at Chinese refineries in the Shandong region are below historical averages, meaning oil demand has yet to respond to China's reopening.
Goldman Sachs expects oil prices to climb to $105 a barrel by the end of 2023.
The weakness of the dollar also helped support energy prices. The February contract on a barrel of WTI crude gained 1.9% on Friday, to end at 79.86 dollars, on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Technical:
Price forming a Double Bottom (neckline reached)
High volume on $88.0
MMA20 about to increase crossing MMA50
Price over both Moving Average
10% aimed
Possible hedging strategy by Buying USD/CAD
How Much to Recover After a Trading DrawdownA Drawdown is a drop in a portfolio value after one or more trades. It’s when the portfolio dips from the highest high.
Once you’ve entered into the inevitable drawdown phase, you’ll need to know how much you’ll need to recover.
That’s where the drawdown calculation comes in…
The Drawdown Formula to recover after a portfolio drop
Let’s use three examples of traders with drawdowns.
Example #1: Timon is down 5% of his portfolio in the last three months.
Example #2: Alex is down 50% of her portfolio in the last three months.
Example#3: Artemis is down 76% of their portfolio in the last three months.
Next we’ll need the Drawdown Formula
Required gain = -1
Let’s put in three drawdown percentages to see what we need to recover to get our portfolios back to what they were…
EXAMPLE #1: Timon’s drawdown = 5%
Required Gain = – 1
= – 1
= 5.26%
EXAMPLE #2: Alex’s drawdown = 50%
Required Gain = – 1
= – 1
= 100%
EXAMPLE #3: Artemis’s drawdown = 76%
Required Gain = – 1
= – 1
= 316%
In the above examples, I need to recover 5.26% of my portfolio to get it back to its highest level.
While Alex and Artemis needs over 100% and 316% to return their portfolios to what they were.
Now you know how to calculate what you need to recover after a trading drawdown.
FINAL WORDS
Do you now get that you need to take your drawdowns more seriously?
With any business or venture, you should always be wary when you enter into a tough time.
In fact, you should never be down more than 20% on your trading portfolio, business or in any other financial venture…
Once you start going below 20%, it will take a heck of a lot longer to get back to what it was…
That’s why this article is only part one…
Trade well, live free.
Timon
MATI Trader (Est. 2003)
Feel free to follow our socials below.
How to Create a Trading Plan for Trading Success! Hey Traders so I figured because it's a new year why not start the year off right by setting us up for success. Having a trade journal or Trading Business Plan may be one of the most overlooked aspects of trading. However in my opinion it will separate those who are successful from those who are not. Trading is a game of probabilities and odds. Mistakes made are sometimes be very costly. Sticking to your trading plan along with money mangagement will allow us to survive the storm that we may face in the event of a drawdown. Also when we are up and riding the wave it will keep us from letting Fear, Greed and Hope getting in the way of profits.
Enjoy,
Trade Well
Clifford
GU long swing trade 20.12.2022Hello folks!
I've returned for the 2023 trading season.
see a long in GU.
Expect a target entry price in the green zone.
if triggered, will hold the trade for 2-3 days. depending on how far it runs.
normal risk is fine for this entry.
Long GU till end of the year.
Plan your risk and trade position sizes accordingly.
This is not trade advice, just an opinion on the markets.
Trading can lead to excessive losses and complete loss of one's equity if not managed properly
XLM/BTC Position Trading. Zones. Money management. PsychologyLogarithm. Time interval—1 month. The main trend since the beginning of trading.
Coin in coinmarketcap: Stellar.
Top trading pairs to bitcoin have significant liquidity. In position trading, you need to work in portions from support/resistance level zones with a predetermined size distribution.
Unlike pairs to the dollar, pumps/dumps are smaller in % ratio due to the % rise/fall of bitcoin itself. If bitcoin is cashed in the market, profits remain the same. Hence, the smaller % is illusory in nature.
BTC instead of stabelcoins .
In such pairs, the “money” is bitcoin. Consequently, even premature selling (there shouldn't be any, since the position is allocated in advance) forgives mistakes, since you get bitcoins instead of USD or stabelcoins. Currently, many stabelcoins are losing their $1 peg, meaning they are devalued. Trading in a bitcoin pair reduces that risk.
Work on such pairs is suitable foremost for medium and large participants of the market. It is not rational to work with a small amount in such a time/profit perspective.
Money (crypto assets) security Money management.
This is key. You don't need to hold a large position on the exchange for this kind of trading! Why keep coins or stabelcoins on exchange if you make transactions quite rarely, only large movements. You understand beforehand when it will happen and in what price zone you are going to buy/sell.
That's what all the big market participants who don't take part in price formation do. When you need to buy or sell, you transfer the assets to the exchange and sell or buy on the market. You withdraw right away. If the amount is large enough, you should do this procedure in installments, preferably on several exchanges.
At one time I worked for a long time (several years) on DOGE/BTC pair, when this coin was (scam, joke coin) nobody was interested in it, unlike the current time of hype. There is a trading idea of the principle of this work in Russian 2019.
In this work, you work only in the secondary trend, from the main support/resistance zones, considering the development of the trend. You absolutely do not need to be interested in crypto news, the opinion of the majority and so on. You can look at the chart even once every few months.
What's more, you also don't need to know the future highs and lows of the next cycle (though for traders, they are easily identifiable). You work piecemeal from the zones. You know in advance where and by how much you buy or sell. Locally you can trade 20-30% of your coins, so you will have extra profit. But you don't have to.
The price goes down — good for you.
The price goes up — good for you.
Trading is guessing market probabilities of price movements. Algorithmic thinking according to a trading strategy, devoid of any emotion, makes money. Anything else loses it in any market. In other words, you must initially be prepared for more likely (in your opinion) and less likely outcomes. Know under what conditions you buy and under what conditions you sell.
Buying/selling in portions of coins according to predetermined zones.
You work from the average recruitment price and from the average selling price in portions, similar to how large market participants work on the BTC/USD pair. You never go completely into cache or similarly into coins. Only the % ratio of coins to money changes depending on the market cycle.
Work from the average buy/sell price (of money and coins) on a global scale (large time frame), without any "what if this time will be different". If it does, it's none of your business.
Know in advance where you will buy more in case of drawdown, and where you will sell in case of pumping. Again, without the "It could be different this time" and emotional component.
Sell and buy assets a little bit before everyone else in the market in installments, "not knowing the exact future," even if you think you know it. This will keep you from making mistakes.
Coin trading in the local trend.
By trading part of a position locally, you will always have money from profits to buy (averaging the main position) in case of so-called local "black swans". This work is not mandatory, but desirable.
It helps some people a lot psychologically, especially if the initial entry into the asset was erroneous and the price dropped significantly. By increasing the number of coins of local work, you thereby reduce your previous losses or even come out in profit over time. Again, you don't have to work this way, but it is advisable.
The smaller goals you set, the more you end up earning on the distance .
An untouchable supply of coins and cache in case of market force of circumstances .
Always keep in mind the possibility of a “black swan,” even if it seems impossible. You always have 20-30% of your position depending on the cycle (money/coins) in case of force of circumstances.
Bearish—a “black swan” sell-off under the channel support zone (happens very rarely).
Bullish—the final hammer madness over the channel resistance (happens very rarely just in pairs with bitcoin because in a bull cycle bitcoin grows 5-8 times on average).
Remember that in the accumulation phase in most cases there is a residual price zone of capitulation, super fear. It is usually accompanied by a “black swan. When everyone gets rid of their assets out of fear. You, on the contrary, buy with a grid of orders with a large range, without emotion.
Consequently, always have a pre-allocated cache (or from the profits of a local trade) if such a trading situation is realized in the market. Turn someone else's negative emotions into your own profits.
You should always act according to your trading plan and be ready for any market situation, even an extremely unlikely one.
bull market highs zone (channel resistance).
At the peak of the market, you should already have more than 60-70% in bitcoin (cache) for the next market cycle. 10-20% of the rest of the position should be in a stop loss to protect profits. This is more rational if the last spurt occurs.
Coins sold for bitcoin can be held in bitcoin in a cold wallet (not rational if the overall market trend has reversed). You can also similarly sell on the market for cash (be sure to withdraw from the exchange), or put a stop-loss to protect profits, in case the market makes another spurt (additional profit on the BTC/USD pair).
Always sell when the price rises significantly (pumping). Protect your profits with a stop.
Always sell a substantial portion of your coins with a grid of pending orders during an active pumping phase. Another option is not to sell, but to protect your profits with a stop loss.
Bear market minima. (lower channel zone).
In a bear market, the lower the price falls, the more market participants wait even lower. Everything is similar to the distribution, only mirrored in the opposite direction. This illogical inadequacy of people is especially noticeable at the "peak of fear." Before that super minimum (there may not be one), you need to gain most of the coin position in advance, but be prepared for anything...
Again, you must know in advance where and for what % of the allocated amount you buy coins and under what conditions. There must be discipline in everything and determine in advance what your further actions will be in accordance with your trading algorithm, rather than an emotional component.
Always have a certain percentage of money that is comfortable for you in any dominant trend and phase of the market.
Bull Market .
In a bull phase, you should accumulate a large percentage of cache (stabelcoins) at the expense of profits.
Bear market .
In the bear phase (altcoins from -90% and below) you should accumulate in portions of cryptocurrencies you are interested in.
I'm sure most people have it the other way around. In a bullish phase, most collect promising cryptocurrencies bought near price highs (hype, everything goes up in value).
In the bear phase, on the contrary, most market participants load most of their trading depots into staplecoins (fear, everything is falling in price, expectation of inadequate floor prices). They are driven by the desire to buy back the lowest price of the trend, right before the reversal. The lower the market falls, the more most go from fear to stablcoins.
Trade market cycles, not individual cryptocurrencies. Because their price strictly follows market cycles, but not the other way around.
Options for the development of price movement on the pair XLM/BTC. .
I will show the percentages of the following 3 zones of this channel, depending on where and under what conditions the reversal of this secondary trend will occur (a downward wedge is formed).
1 variant of reversal. Candlestick chart. Butterfly formation, the wedge is not embodied.
1 reversal variant. Line chart.
2 reversal variant. Candlestick chart.
Version 2 of reversal. Line chart.
3 reversal variant. Candlestick chart. Full formation of the descending wedge on the classic TA.
3 reversal variant. Line chart.
Be aware of trends and accumulation/distribution zones .
Remember that a bear market, like a bull market, will not last forever. Where there is supposedly an end, there is always a new beginning.
Everything is subject to cycles. This is especially true of financial markets. Every cycle is the same to the point of triviality. Be guided by trends, that is, by accumulation/distribution zones, when they start and end.
Bitcoin — as more than a decade of cycle history shows, this is from -70-82% of the secondary trend high. This does not mean that the subsequent cycle will have the same percentage trend value, but there is a possibility.
Alts average -90-96% and lower depending on the liquidity of the crypto coin. The lower the liquidity (people involvement), the higher the risk. You should also understand that the lower the liquidity, the higher the slippage at “peak fear” can be. Many altcoins, especially those with low liquidity, do not survive to the next cycle.
Also be aware of market capitulation shocks as a consequence of so-called “black swans.” It won't necessarily happen, but the possibility always exists.
The price of something that is worthless can be turned into absolutely anything on the market, to the point of inadequacy. It's not a real commodity whose value people understand.
Psychology. Indicators of distribution/accumulation zones in cycles.
Allocation zones —resetting to “hamsters” (fools or inexperienced market participants) is expensive.
In a bull market, the higher the price rises, the higher the expectations. Up to inadequacy in the last reset zone in the distribution. “Hamsters” buy very expensive “promising coins” near trending price highs (marketing, information noise) and wait even higher.
Accumulation Zones — Large market participants buy on the cheap from “hamsters”, constantly scaring them with various bikes and imitations. There is a massive build-up of negative news.
Hamsters sell cheap and wait for an even lower price. No matter how low the price is, it cannot satisfy people like them.
In other words, their thinking is sharpened to the opposite. Projecting onto trade what they are in life. Anything to do with money reinforces this effect. Buy expensive, sell cheap. Don't inherit this tendency of those who lose money in the market.
As a rule, most people don't buy at flea markets; they are afraid. They wait for those who should be selling to them to say, "Fools, it's time to buy in the very expensive.")
What matters is how much you earn when you're right, and how much you lose when you're wrong. You should know these potential values initially before you make a deal. If you can't determine them, or the risk is too high — refrain from trading.
Immunity to guessing lows and highs .
Most fools do this in all cycles. Forget the hamster concept of selling at the peak or buying at the low. Leave it to those who are destitute and will be even poorer because of it.
Again, it's all in the head. What a person is like in reality is what a person is like in trading. Kill your greed.
For example, in all bitcoin cycles (I have my third), the so-called hamsters (fuel) and pseudo traders (fuel) always want to guess the highs and lows of the price. The question is, why do we need to do this? The answer lies in the thinking of the poor and lack of understanding of simple logical things.
The ability to wait for your goals.
Be patient. Cycles, both local and global, tend to recur with their own time interval, which cannot be identical to the previous one. Consequently, only the patient earns.
Learn to be out of the market,
In areas of uncertainty, if the market doesn't let you make money, why burn time in vain? This time can be used with benefit both for yourself and for others. Take a rest, read an interesting book, go somewhere, do something useful. The main thing is not to immerse yourself on the Internet.
It is important how much you earn when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong. Initially, before entering a trade, you should know these potential values. If you can't determine them, or the risk is too high, then refrain from trading.
Treat the numbers on the screen as numbers, not as money.
No equation with the value of "what you can buy with that amount of money on the screen." That is, you have to identify with the percentage of profit/loss, not the money — the amount of profit/loss.
When -5% to $100 is $5, and you are not afraid of such a loss.
But, for example, when your balance is over $10 million, then -5% would be $0.5 million. For a fat hamster, that's a tragedy. For a big trader, it is a calculated risk. The drawdown can be much more significant, but the risk is always considered and accepted in advance. In the end, the profit more than compensates for such a drawdown. I think you understand the logic. It allows you to understand whether you are ready to work with large sums or not.
I purposely wrote a large amount as an example to provide a clear contrast because everyone is ready to lose temporarily, namely temporarily $5?
But $500,000 is an unimaginable amount for most people. But to be ready to work with big sums, you need that discipline and attitude towards money at the very beginning of your hobby of trading. Everyone wants to work with large sums in the future when they trade, or am I wrong?
As a rule, most market participants cannot overcome this barrier because of their "lust for money" and identification: the numbers on the screen are real money, not just profit/loss % figures.
A trader's behavior in the market is a result of his thinking. Your way of thinking affects your habits, and your habits are what makes or loses money in the market.
Margin is bad .
The exception (not necessarily) is an adequate short position with minimum leverage and risk limitation.
If you want to steadily earn in the market and never get nervous - don't use margin at all. Absolutely never. As a rule, the poor use margin, and the poorer they are, the higher the leverage. Perhaps that is the secret of their poverty. I'm not talking about margin in the first place, I'm talking about the mindset that generates higher margin leverage, driving the risk/profit ratio to idiocy, but that's the way it is.
Exchanges don't like those who make money and adore those who might lose money trying to get rich.
Margin trading with leverage is only for experienced traders. It should be taboo for novice traders.
Diversification of storage and trading places .
This is very relevant to position trading. I wrote about it above. Don't trade or store your coins in one place.
"Russian or South Korean hackers attacked a top exchange, all cryptocurrency stolen." This is sarcasm, but this is exactly the kind of FUD for fools you will see when they just steal cryptocurrency from exchanges under the guise of such a tale. The made-up story doesn't matter, what matters is that the people behind the cryptocurrency exchanges will steal cryptocurrency from you, wearing the skin of an injured sheep).
The safety of your money (including cryptocurrencies) depends only on you, not on chance. Anything that seems random is not. If you always rely on chance instead of your mind, you are doomed. The will of chance will shadow you and haunt and empty your pocket time after time. You will always be at the forefront of the victims of your carelessness and self-confidence.
Always keep some of your positions in cold storage .
Keep some of your positions, even if you are very actively trading, on a cold or hardware wallet (preferably several). It should be at least 30% of your total deposit. This percentage should vary during certain phases of the market. In accumulation zones, most of the position should be out of the exchanges.
Diversification of stubblecoins (profits) and their blockchain storage.
Very relevant because in the future, one liquid stabelcoin like UST (Luna) will be zeroed out (disposal of money on a large scale). Probably, many people have understood this for a long time, but do not believe it will be implemented. Not only that, but most altcoins will evaporate at the moment. Yes, the probability, as always, is no greater. But if that probability is there, it is rational to take steps to make sure it doesn't hurt you. Diversification as well as swift action during an event is the best defense against something like this.
Stable coins are always a risk. Keep this diversification in mind, both by their own varieties and by blockchain if you are storing them on a hardware wallet.
Unfortunately, this is a risk you will have to accept and live with, as using stablcoins is a component of trading.
Diversify such assets not only when you are out of the market waiting to trade, but even when you are actively trading. That is, by using different stabelcoins when trading the same cryptocurrency (e.g., BTC) you reduce risk. For example, BTC/USDC, BTC /USDT or BTC/BUSD.
Any stabelcoin is an altcoin whose value (stability) is based only on people's belief in its stability .
Totally uninterested in the opinion of the crowd .
The crowd is always wrong. The majority always loses in the market. Otherwise, it would be impossible to make money in the market. Therefore, by being interested in and listening to the trend of the opinions of most market participants, you can unnoticeably lean towards the opinion and understanding of those who initially have to lose. Are you prepared for losses? No? Then why should you be?
Another option is to use the opinion of most market participants to track market trends. If you are well-versed in psychology, this will be helpful. If not, you yourself may fall prey to opinions unnoticed.
Everything unpredictable is the fate of only absolutely predictable people, it always was, is and will be .
Don't be interested in cryptocurrency news.
The chart takes everything into account, including the release of "tales for fools." All crypto news is created for price direction and nothing more.
Small-scale news for influencing fools (their logical scare/satisfaction actions) to locally influence the price. Large scale news and events to globally influence the trend and the market as a whole.
If you can understand and read between the lines, understanding what the manipulator is trying to achieve, then you can use the news background in your trading strategy. If not, and you are not a good psychologist - completely ignore the flow of information.
The positive and negative emotions of others in the market generate volatility, which is your earning wave. Ride it.
Don't mess with anonymous fools.
Appreciate your time. Don't pay attention if someone criticizes you without being constructive, or wants to impose their perspective without arguments of rightness. Such commenters are usually people with a very low social status in reality, they are trying to assert themselves through the internet in an anonymous world.
Be immune to such losers, they are the ones who want you to doubt yourself and accept their perspective. The more bile, the more anonymous cries from.
Understand that only such people have time to correspond and “spout bile” on the anonymous internet. As a rule, these are immature individuals or conventionally "mature," but with the mindset and interests of a teenager.
Don't waste your time on the vacuous or psychological aberrations of flawed Internet characters. Make good use of your time.
The behavior of people in financial markets is a projection of who they are in real life. That is, their positive and negative psychological qualities.
Don't be a trading junkie. Don't waste time.
Don't waste time. Both for meaningless Internet price guessing, and for round-the-clock trading.
Mindless guesses.
The idiocy of the crowd. Trying to guess highs or lows that are logically understandable. When all scenarios are clear and understandable. Do not turn into idiots from the "where the price of bitcoin will go" sect. Everything is always the same in every cycle.
You must decide for yourself initially (after spending several hours) on what conditions and prices you will buy this or that cryptocurrency and at what prices to sell. Have a more likely and less likely scenario. Be ready for any incarnation. Do not complicate simple logical things with the stupidity of fortune-tellers mixed with your greed.
The basis of trading is your trading strategy , that is, your knowledge that you put into practice in symbiosis with risk management , that is, your manner of taking on take risks in transactions and manage money.
To paraphrase, initially you need to understand how much you will earn when you are right, and how much you will lose (hit stop or averaging if a less likely scenario is realized) when you are wrong. In such cases, it is absolutely not necessary to know the exact price of the low or high of the trend, leave that to the idiots.
Trading 24/7.
I will write short and clear. Money without life is not needed. In everything there must be adequacy.
Knowing the instinctively more likely behavior of people (the psychology of mass behavior) in a given situation, as well as programming people's behavior (what is right / wrong, how to act in a given situation according to the rules) and creating the same situations, allows easy to manage "potentially uncontrollable behavioral chaos".
Psychology. Be yourself - don't go against yourself.
For traders Work with your trading algorithms based on your knowledge and experience, not on emotions.
For those who are faced with the fact that trading constantly "hit the head" . Become an investor.
Carefully study the cryptocurrencies you are interested in and decide whether to invest in them or not. Divide the money needed to invest in each cryptocurrency into several parts. Buy in areas of potential price reversal. After purchase, send your coins to a hardware wallet.
Stay away from your cryptocurrencies until the new bull cycle (peak will be in 2025). Also, before the big bull cycle, there will be an intermediate one by a relatively small percentage, as in 2019-2020. Don't forget to sell some of the coins to buy them back much cheaper.
It is also worth paying attention to those cryptocurrencies that are included (blockchains and protocols) in the development of CBDC and comply with the future ISO 20022 standard (already in March). XLM is one of them.
How much money in your account to bank your monthly income?“How much money would you like to bank a month?”
$3,000
$5,000?
$30,000?
To answer this question and to get you on the path of achieving this income, you’ll need just one tool.
Pull out your profitable trading plan
You and I both know that to set a monthly income goal for trading, you’ll need a solid, proven and easy to follow game plan.
If you do have a trading strategy that you’re happy with and works for you, then great.
You should already have a strong indication on how your portfolio has performed during an array of different market environments.
Obviously the more data you have on your trading, the higher the reliability that you’ll earn similar monthly returns in the future.
Once you have gathered your historical trading data, you’ll then need to jot down four important stats namely:
Four stats to create a desired income per month
Stat 1:
No. of expected winning trades per month.
Stat 2:
Average % gain in rands per trade.
Stat 3:
No. of expected losing trades per month.
Stat 4:
Average % loss in rands per trade.
To choose the monthly income you’d like to pocket per month, you’ll need to know how much you’ll need in your trading account.
Let’s say you want to bank an average $3,000 on average per month, with both winning and losing trades.
For this article, let’s use the metrics of the MATI Trader System that I’ve back and forward tested for the past 20 years.
Let’s plug the stats into the table to see.
Expected return a month: $3,000
Stat 1:
3 Winning trades per month.
Stat 2:
4% Average gain per winner.
Stat 3:
2 Losing trades per month.
Stat 4:
2% Average loss per loser.
We now have all the information to calculate how much money you’ll need, in order to bank an average monthly $3,000.
1 Formula to calculate how much you need in your trading account
Step 1:
Find out the total percentage gain you can earn per month
= (Winning trades X Gain % per winner)
= (3 Winners X 4% Gain)
= 12% gain.
Step 2:
Calculate the total percentage loss you can lose per month
= (Losing trades X Loss % per loser)
= (2 Losers X 2% Loss)
= 4% loss
Step 3:
Finally calculate the amount of money you can net on average per month
= (Total gain %) – (Total loss %)
= (12% Gain – 4% Loss)
= 8% Net gain
Step 4:
Know your trading account size to pocket a desired monthly income.
= (Expected amount to earn ÷ Net % return per month)
= ($3,000 ÷ 8% Return)
= $37,500
So to bank around $3,000 on average per month, with 3 winners and 2 losers, you’ll need to have a trading account of $37,500.
Don’t be fooled if you think you’ll bank $3,000 EVERY month!
As you know, my goal through sharing this information is to show you how realistic successful trading works
With pretty much every trading system, you can expect around three to four losing months a year. This year I had around 5 losing months - It's been a tough one.
Some months you may be down $2,000 and other months you’ll be up $5,000, we never know for certain how the future will pan out.
However, with a proven and a long back and forward tested trading system, with this formula will give you the edge of what the likelihood of your returns will be.
The formula works on any size portfolio or desired income - I am just giving you an example with banking a $3,000 a month...
If you enjoyed this article or would like to share feedback I'd love to hear it :)
Trade well, live free..
Timon
MATI Trader
MONEY MANAGEMENT: The MOST Important Aspect of TradingIf you are a professional trader or plan to become one, Money Management is your #1 job. You could be the best chart reader or statement analyzer in the world but if you have poor money management you will still fail. In order to succeed you first have to last, and to last in the trading business you must be able to handle risk and manage it accordingly.
How you handle Money Management comes down to a few simple things:
Risk limits
- This consist of knowing your risk per trade, your max drawdown, and buying power limitations.
○ Risk per trade: This is the amount you are willing to lose if the trade goes against you and stops out (remember to always have a stop loss). Many traders refer to this as Risk Units or simply 'R'. This should be a defined amount that does not vary based on emotion. If you do use different risk for different trades you should have that clearly defined in your trading plan otherwise each trade should be the same. Risk per trade should be around 1% for experienced traders and $10 for new traders as they work towards slowly raising risk with consistency.
○ Max drawdown: This is the max amount you are able to lose per timeframe. For example, a day trader may have a max drawdown of 3R per day, 7R per week, and 13R per month. Max drawdown demands that if you lose that amount in that timeframe you are to be done trading until the next one. This helps traders from spiraling out of control and blowing up a trading account.
○ Buying Power Limitations: Knowing how many trades you are able to take at one time will help define your strategy.
Expectations
- This consist of knowing your expectancy and timeline
○ Expectancy: Your trade expectancy is the most important stat in all of trading. It tells you what you expect to make per trade. In order to properly manage risk you have to be sure that the strategy is worth it. The expectancy stat is how you do just that. For more info about expectancy check out my post on it here
○ Timeline: Everything takes time. Trading is no different. Having a realistic expectation about your timeline and how much you are going to make is a critical element in helping traders stay focused on their goals and not fall into a get rich quick scheme. If you expect your trading career will take 3-5 years to become profitable you will manage your money much better than someone who expects full time profits in under 1 year.
Yourself
- This consist of knowing your personality and trading plan
○ Personality: What is your personality like? Are you a jittery person or are you robotic. Knowing this will help build a management that you can trust and are able to follow.
○ Trading Plan: Make sure your trading plan fits your trading style. You have to take many things into consideration here such as time constraints, goals, and personality. It takes time to figure out what works for you.
If you can determine how to handle these three factors then you will be well positioned to not struggle with money management. After you have the fundamentals written in your trading plan all it comes down to is staying disciplined and following the rules set for yourself. Clearly define your limits, have an expectation, know thyself.
Thanks for reading, follow @Jlaing for more educational post about Money Management, Trading Stats, and more. I also stream a stock day trading chat room every morning at 9:15 EST right here on TradingView, come check it out and say what's up.