Moneymanagement
When you should use leverage in your trades?When you should use leverage in your trades? I’m going to answer this question, but first, we have to mention two other questions to be answered.
Q1: What is a reasonable trade?
An order in which the entry point, stop loss, and take profit are already pre-defined based on a good return strategy or rules.
Q2: What is money management?
Money management is to determine the percentage of risk on the total balance in each order and to know what your position size will be and how much your potential loss will be.
We need to do some calculations to answer the first question.
Let’s suppose your account balance is $100 and the maximum risk on your balance for each trade is 5%. This means that on a reasonable trade, your loss will be $5 at most. Besides that, you have a good trading opportunity with an entry point at $10, stop loss at $9, and profit point at $12, i.e. 10% potential risk and 20% potential reward for the position.
Since we cannot lose more than $5 of our balance, we need a position size where the potential loss will not exceed $5. Which we can calculate with this formula: (Max risk on balance / position risk * 100). Which would be $50 in our case.
This means that we are only allowed to include $50 out of $100 in this trade; this would be $5 after a 10% loss.
Everything is normal and we can afford it, so we will do the trade.
Now, let’s increase the max risk on balance to 20%. It means our potential loss would be at most $20. By doing the same calculations considering the same reasonable trade with 10% risk, our position size will be $200 while we do not have more than $100, so where do we get $200 from?!
Yep! Leverage would help you in this case. So benevolent, isn’t it?
In this case, your leverage would be 2 and you can open a $200 position, but don’t forget you increased your account risk from 5% to 20% already.
Note that the risk will be applied to your real asset. If your balance is $100 and the leverage is 10, the exchange will give you about $1000 to buy or sell. While the 5% of $100 is $5, the 5% of $1000 would be $50, which is 50% of your real asset. So calculating the risk on leverage balance is practically meaningless!
What if we had 10 orders simultaneously? It means $100 will be split between 10 orders. For ease of calculation, we consider every 10 trades to be the same as what we had above, while each trade would have 10% of $100. In these conditions, each trade would again have a $50 position, but leverage will be 5!
Having said that, we can conclude that leverage alone is meaningless and finds meaning alongside reasonable trade opportunities and money management.
In the above explanations, for the ease of calculation and context understanding, I used rand but not necessarily correct values. For example, a risk ratio of 5% on balance is a really high risk or in the example of 10 trades at once, it is wrong to consider your balance as $100 at the start of each trade. In the worst-case scenario, you should deduct the loss of the previous trade from your balance for the next trade.
From the link below, you can access the tool I prepared to calculate the position details.
bit.ly
Feel free to give your constructive feedback.
Money management strategiesWhen developing your own trading strategy, you can’t ignore such a question as a money management strategy. You should start working only after deciding on the budget - its size, acceptable risks and money management rules.
The main rule: the risk of any transaction cannot exceed 1-2% of the capital. That is, if you have, for example, $25,000, it is permissible to lose no more than $250-500 on one position. Leading traders are usually limited to 1%.
This money management strategy is a priority when making decisions about entering or exiting a position. If the probable loss exceeds the level determined by the trader, then the transaction should be abandoned. As the balance increases, both risk and reward will increase. And vice versa. With a decrease in balance, these indicators will decrease accordingly.
However, no matter how trading develops, the established percentage of risk cannot be changed without a reason.
The larger the trader's balance, the smaller percentage he prefers to use. With a million dollars in your account, it is not very justified to invest $10,000 in each trade. This is why high rollers prefer to define risk as a fixed amount rather than a percentage.
In addition to the risk limit discussed above, money management strategies often include other limits.
For example, it could be setting a loss limit for a trading session.
The presence of such a barrier will allow you to "jump" in time if the indicated period of trading is not very successful.
A fairly common technique is to limit the loss of a profit share.
Trading stops immediately after a certain part of the money earned during the session is lost. Thus, the trader protects his profitable day from too minor completion.
Trading on multiple positions
Opening several positions at the same time is a fairly common phenomenon for most traders. The capital management strategy provides for the mandatory regulation of such trading. The presence of a scenario of behavior when opening several positions at once will greatly simplify trading and save valuable time
To formulate recommendations for each specific situation, of course, is unrealistic. However, some general provisions can always be formulated. For example, if there is a correlation, it is permissible to open two positions, setting a risk of 1% for each, but at the same time one should refuse transactions involving third assets, with which this pair also has a stable relationship.
As for determining the percentage, here experts recommend using the same 1% of the total balance, regardless of the number of positions. This amount of risk rarely allows you to open more than five transactions at the same time when it comes to stock trading. In the case of futures, currency pairs and options, their number may be higher.
It is worth calculating 1% of the initial balance even if there are already open positions. Active trades change the size of the deposit, so 1% will not be a static value.
Let's look at an example of a fairly standard trade.
Let's say you start out with a starting capital of $25,000. The maximum risk in this case is $250(1%). When you analyze the market, you find crypto priced at $20 that match the entry rules you defined.
Let's say the stop loss for this position should be fixed at $17. To make sure that the risk is justified, the profit potential should be assessed. If your target is $26, then you risk $3, while the profit in case of successful completion of the transaction will be $6 per share.
Thus, we have a ratio of 2 to 1.
It's easy to calculate how many coins you can buy to meet your risk tolerance of $250. In this particular case, 83 shares could be purchased for a total of $1,660. With a stop loss of $17, the risk is $250, not counting commissions. If exiting a position upon reaching the target profit is used, immediately set a take profit.
These are the simplest money management rules, but by using them you can improve the profitability of your trading strategy and limit yourself from unwanted losses. We wish you successful trading on the markets!
GBPJPY - ShortTime to short GBPJPY and take advantage of the current weakness of the pound. Levels and entry as below. Apply strict risk management when using the trading ideas and adjust your entry to SL when position in profit to ensure better performance.
GBPJPY SELL @ 159.214
TP: 157.999
SL: 159.717
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For March 11, 2022Technical Analysis and Outlook:
This week bitcoin soared +10%, but that, unfortunately, did not last. While the bigger picture may indicate a bearish future to Outer Coin Dip $30,800 and few targets in between - some positive short-term upside moves are possible to Mean Res $42,000.
Take Profit Screener tool v2Hi all,
I'm going to introduce you to the Take Profit Screener tool.
It allows you to manually scan your watchlist so to determine at a glance the assets that would give you the best profitability potential.
It is a 2 in 1 tool that allows you to :
identify where your Take Profit ratios are located whether you are in SHAD or Cycle Strategy
identify the potential reward percentages when approaching the key Fibonacci levels
NZD/USD new bullish PhaseAfter waiting for the NZD/USD price to break down and correct with a Fibonacci level of 50% before riding the trend back up.
Now, following the current price Chart, the correction is a little above the 50% fib level, which technically marks an average corrective wave. A buy stop order is already in a position to catch the price up to the next resistance level at 0.7045.
Trading Setup -
A Buy Stop order at 0.6845
Take profit at 0.7045
Stop loss at 06810
Trade with proper money management!
Disclaimer, I am not liable for any loss incurred from this signal, and neither would I claim for any profit, trade the setup at your own discretion.
ACCELERATION OF A SMALL DEPOSITToday I want to talk about a topic that every novice trader has to face.
Most beginner traders save up money to make the first deposit and very often this amount is too small for trading, but the broker gives you the opportunity to trade anyway, why is that?
The fact is that the smaller the deposit, the easier it is to lose them, and the broker knows this.
Therefore, for calm trading, you need an amount greater than $100 or $500.
The optimal amount to start trading is $1000
What is the danger of a small deposit?
Beginners can be anyone from a student to a businessman.
And very often the initial funds will be small, because the reason people come to the market is to make money!
A person invests $10, not because he is greedy, but because there are simply no more free funds.
At the same time, the trader is already dreaming of millions, and his head begins to spin from such thoughts.
As a result, deals are opened for $1, then for $2, and in the end all the money is lost.
The market does not bring quick profits.
It is also impossible to deposit the last money or money borrowed.
All this will only lead to the drain of the deposit.
1000$?
Why $1000 is considered the best start?
This question can be answered by the rules of money management.
Everyone remembers the rules of risk, let's say you decide not to risk more than 5% on each trade.
When trading intraday, the position size is 20-50 pp., that is, when trading micro-lots of 0.01, the risk per trade will be $2-$5. Such a risk is acceptable for a $100 account, since then it will be 5%.
When trading on daily timeframes, the average risk is even higher: 50-100 pp. (5-10 pp.). In this case, the account must be at least $200. As you can see, money management clearly indicates the minimum deposit size.
This is when trading micro-lots.
As a rule, traders use standard lots because they want to make quick money and it is very risky.
Therefore, you should not start trading with $10 or $200.
It is better to save and collect the required amount, or at least $500, and then it will be easier to trade.
But what if you can't wait?
How to disperse the deposit?
There are a couple of rules:
A trader must have a working trading strategy that has proven itself well on a demo account and on a real account;
Comply with risk management rules;
Provide a deposit amount of $200-$400.
Subject to these conditions, you can “softly” disperse the deposit.
Overclocking
With a quick acceleration of the deposit, the risks increase, you must understand this.
Here are three principles that make it possible:
The risk per trade is set higher than in the classic MM, and can reach 10%;
If the trade is unprofitable, the risks are not doubled;
When the deposit is broken up to the set limit (for example, from $200 to $500), the trader returns to the previous risk of 5% and trades for several months in compliance with Money Management rules. Then you can repeat the "acceleration".
pyramiding
A popular way to accelerate a deposit is Pyramiding, the meaning of which is to add positions.
Here's how it goes:
You determine the main trend on the daily timeframe and open a position following the trend.
Then wait for another signal indicating the continuation of the trend.
If there is a signal, open another position along the trend. The protective stop-loss order of the first order is transferred to the opening level of the second order, that is, to breakeven.
The size of the take profit on the second trade should be small, because the trend can change direction at any time.
It is important to remember that this strategy only works if there is a trend, so a flat or correction should be avoided.
Outcome
Trading this way is very risky.
The best way is to raise an amount equal to or greater than $1,000.
Then trading will become less dangerous for you, since you can use the standard money management rules.
Before dispersing the deposit, you must set yourself a goal, after reaching which, be ready to use the standard risk rules.
Big risks are rewarded, but even they need to be taken with intelligence and control.
Good luck!
DROP IN TRADINGHello!
Today I want to talk about drawdown in trading.
This topic is very important because it is directly related to the possible loss of all capital.
What is a drawdown?
When trading, you can make profits as well as take losses.
When you lose too much and the account decreases significantly, this is called a drawdown.
Losses in trading are normal and should not be feared.
But you should not lose too much, a minus of 15-20% is considered a moderate minus value, and these losses must be controlled.
Drawdown (DrawDown, DD, drawdown) in the foreign exchange market is a temporary decrease in funds in the trading account as a result of opening a losing trade.
In simple words, a drawdown is a trader's floating or real loss.
Drawdown types
In the Forex currency market, it is customary to classify the following types of drawdown:
The current drawdown is a temporary drawdown associated with an open position, which is now in the red.
The size of the initial deposit does not change until the position is closed.
As a result, the position itself can be closed even in a plus, but if the position goes into a minus, you should think about the rules of money-management.
Because a position not closed in time may end up with a margin call.
A fixed drawdown is a position closed with a loss.
This type of drawdown negatively affects the size of the deposit, reducing it.
If money management is not used correctly, such transactions can significantly reduce your deposit, which is not recommended.
Maximum drawdown - the maximum value of deposit losses for the entire trading period.
It is calculated each time from the previous maximum deposit amount, and the largest value is selected.
For example, there were three big minuses on the account: $300 with a $1000 deposit, $450 with a $2000 deposit and $200 with a $2500 deposit. The maximum drawdown here will be $450.
Relative drawdown - the maximum decrease in the account relative to the initial deposit, expressed as a percentage.
It is often used when analyzing a trading strategy in order to understand after what losses a trader should think about changing the strategy.
For example, if the relative drawdown is 20%, then with an initial deposit of $1000, the speculator will understand that it is necessary to close deals and modify tactics when the current drawdown reaches $200.
The absolute drawdown shows how much the balance has decreased relative to the initial value. These data are similar to the relative drawdown, but are expressed in the deposit currency.
Why analyze losses?
Each trader should know how much he is ready to lose and at what value he needs to change the strategy and start trading a little differently.
The percentage of allowed drawdown is different for each trader, conservative traders try to minimize the maximum drawdown, more aggressive traders take risks much more often and in large volumes.
Large companies keep the maximum loss in the region of 15-20%.
Optimal drawdown size
The optimal drawdown size varies depending on many factors: the type of strategy, the amount of the deposit, the psychology of the trader, the timeframe, and so on.
Drawdown can be divided into three types:
A drawdown of 15-20% is working and quite normal. It can be restored, and it does not make strong adjustments to the trading strategy.
A drawdown of 21-35% is a dangerous level of losses that will require a reduction in the volume of the trade and recovery can be difficult. Closer to the 30% mark, it is important to think about modifying the trading strategy and review it for errors in the risk management system.
A drawdown of 36-55% is an actual harbinger of a loss of a deposit. It is better to close orders and think about what led to such a drawdown, which was not closed forcibly earlier.
Drawdown reduction
Setting a stop loss - and its size should not exceed 5% of the total amount on the trader's account.
Optimal leverage - the use of a large amount of leverage can lead not only to drawdowns, but also to draining the trader's deposit to almost zero.
Refraining from trading in an unstable market - very often a trader, observing even the first two conditions, still manages to lose almost half of his own funds during one session. Therefore, if you have made several unsuccessful transactions in a row, then it is better to give up trading for today and do something else.
Correct assessment of probable profit - one should not be greedy when placing a take profit, its size should always correspond to the market dynamics.
conclusions
Every trader who wants to consistently earn money in the market must understand how much he is ready to lose, while the trader must do everything not to lose all his capital.
You can lose 15% per month and it will not be scary for a trader who follows a trading strategy, money management and monitor losses.
As a result, such a trader can return the lost next month.
But those who do not follow these rules, do not think about a drawdown, do not know how much they are ready to lose and how much they cannot lose, as a result, everyone loses.
Losses are inevitable, but don't let the market take everything.
Good luck!
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩
USDJPY 4hI hope all you have a good week in your trades
I want to talk with you about USDJPY , because its on support zone and we can have a correction .
#USDJPY
EP: 114.67 ~ 114.85
TP1 : 115.64
TP2: 115.95
TP3: 116.20
SL:114.46
This is article not financial advice, always do your own research .
If you have any questions, you can write it in comments below and I will answer them.
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