MS Morgan Stanley Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MS Morgan Stanley prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 115usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-11-15,
for a premium of approximately $2.26.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Morganstanley
Morgan Stanley (MS) Shares Rise 6.45%, Setting Historic HighMorgan Stanley (MS) Shares Rise 6.45%, Setting Historic High
Morgan Stanley (MS) reported its third-quarter results:
→ Earnings per share: actual = $1.88, forecast = $1.59
→ Gross revenue: actual = $15.38 billion, forecast = $14.35 billion
According to Barron’s, Morgan Stanley’s profit increased by 32% compared to last year, driven by heightened activity in investment banking, which had previously been pressured by the Federal Reserve's high interest rates.
Market participants reacted positively to Morgan Stanley’s success, with MS shares rising 6.45% in a day, reaching an all-time high. Will the rally continue?
A technical analysis of the daily MS stock chart indicates:
→ The price action has formed a long-term channel (shown in blue), and in October, the price broke through its upper boundary. A strong price movement (indicated by an arrow) occurred at this resistance level around $110, influenced by strong reports from other banks. Bulls demonstrated dominance here, and this level may now serve as support.
→ In 2024, a steeper price growth trend is observed, providing anchor points for constructing an upward channel, shown in purple. Today, the MS stock price is positioned in the upper half of this channel, nearing its upper limit.
→ The RSI indicator is at its highest since January 2020.
→ Yesterday's candle closed well below the highs, with the price unable to hold above the psychological level of $120.
Given these factors, it is reasonable to suggest that the MS stock price is vulnerable to a correction as the initial reaction to the strong report may wane. If a correction occurs, it’s possible the price may retreat to the $110 level, where two channel lines converge, potentially providing support.
Analysts’ forecasts also indicate a likelihood of a pullback. According to TipRanks, the average price target for MS shares is $112 over the next 12 months, with 4 out of 12 analysts recommending buying Morgan Stanley (MS) shares.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GM Stock Dips 5.4% Following a Downgrade by Morgan Stanley General Motors (NYSE: NYSE:GM ) stock took a significant hit following a downgrade by Morgan Stanley on Wednesday, as the investment bank lowered its rating from "Equal Weight" to "Underweight." Analyst Adam Jonas expressed concerns about rising competition from China, growing inventories, and the increasing costs tied to artificial intelligence (AI) integration in vehicles.
The China Factor
The major factor behind Morgan Stanley's downgrade is China, a critical market for NYSE:GM and the global automotive industry. China now produces 9 million more vehicles than it sells, turning what was once a profit center into a significant competitive threat. Jonas remarked that China's overcapacity, especially in electric vehicles (EVs), could put further pressure on Western automakers like GM.
- GM's Market Share Decline: Over the past few years, NYSE:GM has been losing market share both in the U.S. and globally. The company has shifted its focus to electric vehicles and AI-driven technologies, but the costs and complexities of these transitions weigh heavily on its profitability.
- Rising Costs: Another critical aspect of the downgrade is the growing expense of enabling AI in vehicles. As GM pivots towards advanced driver-assistance systems and autonomous vehicles, capital spending continues to rise, with an estimated **$300 million** in additional costs for the foreseeable future.
- Price Target Adjustment: As part of the downgrade, Jonas slashed GM's price target from $47 to $42, a level below the current share price. This adjustment reflects concerns over GM's ability to compete effectively in a rapidly changing market dominated by EVs and AI-enabled vehicles.
Industry-Wide Impact
While NYSE:GM was hit the hardest, the downgrade extended to other U.S. automakers. Rivian (RIVN) and Ford (F) also saw their ratings adjusted. For Ford, Morgan Stanley cited similar concerns, including price/mix headwinds and the risk posed by the growing Chinese market. Meanwhile, Rivian's downgrade was attributed to the high capital intensity of developing its autonomous and EV technologies.
However, Tesla (TSLA) and Ferrari (RACE) were notable exceptions, as Jonas maintained an "Overweight" rating on both companies. Tesla, in particular, is considered well-positioned to benefit from ongoing advancements in AI, battery technology, and its upcoming **October 10 robotaxi reveal, which could set a new benchmark for autonomous vehicles.
Technical Outlook
From a technical perspective, GM's chart paints a bleak picture. As of Wednesday, NYSE:GM stock was down 5.2%, hovering near $45.47 per share, following the Morgan Stanley downgrade. This marks a sharp reversal from GM's year-to-date gains of over 26.2%, placing the stock under significant downward pressure.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a key momentum indicator, stands at 42, suggesting the stock is nearing oversold territory and is approaching a bear zone. This indicates potential further downside if selling pressure continues to mount.
Bearish Gap Down: More importantly, the daily price chart shows a gap down pattern, a clear bearish reversal signal. When a stock opens at a lower price than its previous close without trading in between, it creates a gap, often reflecting negative sentiment or new bearish information—such as this downgrade. The gap remains unfilled, adding to the negative outlook.
GM's next critical support level lies at the $42 pivot. Should the stock dip below this level, it could trigger a larger sell-off, dragging NYSE:GM even deeper into bearish territory. Investors will be watching this zone closely to determine whether the stock will hold or break lower, which could catalyze even more selling pressure.
False Dawn or Opportunity?
Despite the current headwinds, GM's stock has rallied over 80% from its lows last November, largely due to factors like the resolution of the UAW strike, the gradual ramp-up of its EV production, and a resumption of Cruise robotaxi rides after a brief suspension. However, the stock's latest downturn raises the question: was this recovery a false dawn?
While the company has made strides in expanding its EV lineup and autonomous driving capabilities, many analysts are wary of its ability to maintain momentum. Rising competition from Chinese automakers, combined with the immense capital required to stay at the forefront of AI and EV technology, puts GM in a challenging position.
For now, Morgan Stanley's downgrade seems to reflect broader concerns over GM's ability to sustain market dominance in the face of these challenges. But with a robust presence in gas-powered vehicles and a growing portfolio of EVs, some investors may still see value at these levels, particularly if GM can address its core challenges and continue its transition to the next generation of automotive technologies.
Conclusion: Tough Roads Ahead for GM
As it stands, NYSE:GM faces a confluence of challenges: increased competition, rising costs, and weakening demand in key markets like China. The technical outlook remains bearish, with further downside potential if the stock breaks below its support at $42. Fundamentally, NYSE:GM must navigate these hurdles while continuing its aggressive shift toward AI and EV technology. Whether or not the stock can recover from this dip will depend largely on its ability to adapt in this increasingly competitive landscape.
Investors should keep a close eye on GM’s next earnings report and market moves, as these will provide more insight into whether this sell-off represents a buying opportunity or the start of a larger downturn.
MS | SHORTNYSE:MS
Technical Analysis of Morgan Stanley (MS)
Key Observations:
Current Price Action:
Price: $95.85
Recent Drop: -5.91 (-5.81%)
Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate Support: $93.99 (Bearish Line)
Further Supports: $92.66 (Target Price 1), $86.34 (Target Price 2), and $82.74 (Target Price 3)
Trendlines:
The price has broken below the upward trendline, indicating a potential shift from a bullish to a bearish trend.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
Current RSI: 52.21
The RSI shows a decline, indicating increasing selling pressure but still in a neutral zone.
Target Prices:
Target Price 1: $92.66
This level is the immediate support and a potential first target for any continued downward movement.
Target Price 2: $86.34
If the price breaks below the immediate support, the next target is around $86.34, a previous support level.
Target Price 3: $82.74
Further downside could see the price reaching $82.74, another key support level.
Summary:
Morgan Stanley (MS) has experienced a significant drop, breaking below a key support level and its upward trendline. The next levels to watch are $93.99, $92.66, $86.34, and $82.74. The RSI is neutral, suggesting the potential for further declines if market conditions remain negative.
Morgan Stanley _ Chance to Make HUGE PROFIT + 442%.Morgan Stanley Trading within the Rising Channel Pattern and has Breakout the Triangle Pattern. If Breakout above the Resistance level, market significant Bullish Trend then the 1st Target is the Channel Top price around USD 350 or more, depending on the time. And 2nd Target is the Triangle Pattern Target price at USD 572. Offering a Chance to Achieve +442 % of HUGE PROFIT. This is Long-Term Analysis, must follow the Trend Continuation Technique.
Support me; I want to Help People Make PROFIT all over the "World".
Morgan Stanley Surges on Q1 Profit Driven by Investment BankingMorgan Stanley ( NYSE:MS ), the stalwart of Wall Street, delivered a resounding victory in its first-quarter earnings report, surpassing analyst expectations and igniting a 3.7% surge in its shares. Buoyed by a robust resurgence in investment banking activities and impressive growth in wealth management, the bank's stellar performance underscored its resilience amidst a volatile economic backdrop.
Investment Banking Renaissance:
A standout performer in Morgan Stanley's ( NYSE:MS ) arsenal, investment banking revenue soared 16% year-over-year, propelled by a flurry of high-profile deals and a buoyant market for fixed-income underwriting. The bank's adept handling of bond issuance and strategic advisory services contributed to its formidable position in the competitive landscape.
Wealth Management Ascendancy:
Morgan Stanley's wealth and investment management divisions emerged as veritable pillars of strength, buoyed by a surge in client assets and robust revenue growth. CEO Ted Pick lauded the bank's momentum in investment banking and highlighted the prospects of a multi-year M&A cycle, buoyed by geopolitical dynamics and a shifting international footprint among corporations.
Navigating Economic Uncertainty:
Despite the backdrop of economic and geopolitical uncertainty, Morgan Stanley exuded confidence in its ability to navigate choppy waters. CFO Sharon Yeshaya emphasized the bank's strong backlogs and momentum across its diverse business lines, underscoring its resilience in the face of external headwinds.
**Regulatory Scrutiny and Strategic Focus:**
Amidst its triumph, Morgan Stanley faced heightened regulatory scrutiny in its wealth management division. However, CEO Ted Pick reassured investors of the bank's steadfast commitment to robust client onboarding and monitoring processes, underscoring its proactive approach to regulatory compliance.
Strategic Expansion and Future Prospects:
Morgan Stanley's investment management division showcased promising growth, with plans to double its private credit portfolio to $50 billion in the medium term. The bank's strategic initiatives underscore its commitment to capitalizing on emerging opportunities and bolstering its position as a global financial powerhouse.
Technical Outlook
Morgan Stanley ( NYSE:MS ) is up 4% in Tuesday's trading session with a moderate Relative Strength Index (RSI) which sits at 51.03 indicating bullish sentiment towards the stock. The 4-month price chart movement indicates a hanging hammerhead to validate the thesis, the stock's next candle stock will accentuate the bullish thesis.
Amidst Regulatory Scrutiny, Morgan Stanley Shares Drops 5.25%Morgan Stanley ( NYSE:MS ), one of the titans of Wall Street, finds itself under the regulatory spotlight as US authorities intensify scrutiny into its wealth management arm. Reports of probes by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC), and other Treasury Department offices have sent ripples through the financial world, causing the bank's shares to plummet by 5.3%—the steepest drop in five months.
The focus of these investigations? Allegations of inadequate measures to prevent potential money laundering by affluent clientele. With a sharp eye on the identities of high-risk clients, regulators are delving into whether Morgan Stanley ( NYSE:MS ) has upheld robust diligence protocols. Specifically, the SEC and the Treasury's Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) are seeking insights into dealings with international clients exhibiting suspicious financial behavior, some of whom had been flagged by E*Trade, a digital trading platform under Morgan Stanley's umbrella.
This regulatory scrutiny comes at a critical juncture for Morgan Stanley ( NYSE:MS ), as its wealth management division emerges as the cornerstone of its revenue stream, contributing nearly half of the company's earnings last year. The increased government pressure to fortify anti-money laundering controls reflects broader efforts to combat financial crimes and adhere to international sanctions.
Acknowledging the gravity of the situation, Morgan Stanley ( NYSE:MS ) has affirmed its commitment to bolstering internal controls and procedures. Meetings with Federal Reserve officials and detailed action plans submitted to regulatory bodies underscore the bank's proactive stance in addressing concerns raised by authorities.
Yet, challenges persist as the OCC issues formal warnings, signaling the urgency for executive intervention to rectify identified lapses. Such regulatory notices, which demand immediate attention, could potentially escalate into deeper investigations or enforcement actions if compliance standards aren't met satisfactorily.
As Morgan Stanley ( NYSE:MS ) navigates these turbulent waters, investors and industry observers keenly await developments, with the bank's reputation and financial stability hanging in the balance. Will the financial giant emerge unscathed, or are stormy days ahead for its wealth management division? Only time will tell as the regulatory saga unfolds.
📈 CITIGROUP GETS UP TO RECOVER, BREAKS THROUGH MULTI WEEK HIGHSCitigroup stocks hit highest since March 2022, last up 5% as brokerage Morgan Stanley upgrades NYSE:C to "overweight" from "underweight", as well as NYSE:BAC and NYSE:GS to "overweight" from "equal-weight".
Brokerage sees a rebound in capital markets amid growing signs of an imminent rebound in dealmaking. Also expects regulators to ease the Basel III Endgame proposals, a set of rules that will make capital requirements stricter for banks, which have been one of the flashpoints in the industry for months.
Brokerage says the proposals could be eased to be more aligned with Europe so that European banks do not have an unfair advantage.
Any easing of the draft rules will open the door for a significant increase in stock buybacks, as large-cap banks sit on the highest excess capital levels ever - NYSE:MS .
The main technical graph says that NYSE:C shares add +5.25% on Tuesday, break through multi week highs, with possible further recovery to multi year top $80 level.
MORGAN STANLEY Strong buy signal at the bottom of a Channel DownMorgan Stanley (MS) has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the beginning of the year and on Friday hit again the Lower Lows (bottom) trend-line. Today it formed a MACD Bullish Cross on the 1D time-frame and is issuing a strong buy signal as every time it appeared, in the last 12 months, the price rose by a +8.16% to +27.31% margin.
Taking the +8.16% minimum, the price targets $83.50, which is above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) but still just below the (dashed) inner Lower Highs trend-line. On a 4-month horizon, we expect an even higher price at around $90 (within Fib 0.618 - 0.786 as the July 25 High).
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MS Morgan Stanley Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought MS here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MS Morgan Stanley prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 85usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $1.85.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
MS Morgan Stanley Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain of MS Morgan Stanley prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 90usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-8-18,
for a premium of approximately $0.82.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Morgan Stanley has formed inverted head and shoulders.Morgan Stanley - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 83.75 (stop at 80.75)
Bespoke support is located at 83.00.
A bullish reverse Head and Shoulders has formed.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to set longs at our bespoke support levels at 83.00, resulting in improved risk/reward.
We look to buy dips.
A lower correction is expected.
Our profit targets will be 91.25 and 92.75
Resistance: 87.70 / 88.70 / 89.65
Support: 85.60 / 83.00 / 81.50
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
MS - large wave C down just startedHere is a long-term view on the banking sector in US. I see Feb'22 peak as completion of large B-wave of flat correction, C-wave of which might take couple of decades before it finishes. So far it has printed wave 1 of circle wave 1 and started wave 1 of 3 (tag is not on the chart). Expect to see some downside action until mid-May to complete 5 of 1 of 3, then up in wave 2 of 3 into mid-June, then sharp move down in wave 3 of 3 into Oct-Nov'23 (target is 40% lower from the current level of 87), wave 4 into mid-2024 then another move down to complete wave 5 (target is 45 zone) of circle wave 1 sometime by mid 2025. See similar set up in BAC (will post it separately) though looks like it is leading in this action.
MS: Pre Earnings Run ExampleMorgan Stanley has a pre-earnings run moving up to its earnings report ahead of the open tomorrow. Last quarter had a similar setup for swing trading.
The Year over Year comparisons are no longer impacted by the benefits of the 2020 - 2021 pandemic, when a few stocks had way above normal revenues. This is making many companies show what appears to be far better earnings reports.
Morgan Stanley descending. MSElliott flat, Gartley 222, Three drives, now past confirmation level. Fairly confident about this one going lower, much lower infact. Apex reaction may indicate end of Wave 5, but there is no way to tell here and now.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe.
Will Morgan Stanley Bank continue in selloff?Morgan Stanley - 30d expiry - We look to Sell a break of 83.18 (stop at 86.32)
Short term bias has turned negative.
There is no indication that the selloff is coming to an end.
This stock fell 6.5 % last week.
A break of the recent low at 83.28 should result in a further move lower.
Short term MACD has turned negative.
Our profit targets will be 75.33 and 73.33
Resistance: 89.18 / 92.00 / 93.50
Support: 87.00 / 83.28 / 81.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
MS - Short PositionOn the chart we can see the raising wedge pattern. It seems that the wedge is in its early stage of development.
We are expecting that the price will be consolidating inside the wedge for a while, before the breakout.
RSI currently is showing oversold conditions, therefore we believe that the price will bounce from the upsloping support.
We would enter the short position when (only if ) the price breaks down of the wedge.
Possible path is shown on the chart.
The target will be determined once the breakout occurs.
Good luck
Morgan Stanley Loosing. MSEnd of an upgoing impulse confirmed, initiating a new downward ABC pattern.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe.