Get started

Moshkelgosha

It is time to check the fact, and analyst abilities..!yesterday I published this an analysis about opening days with 8 examples! it is time to review it: I know this could be a totally different story, but it is good to review this post! If you are an active trader: I believe no matter what is the opening price for Coinbase tomorrow, it could be possible to buy it at a lower price the day after tomorrow..! if you have doubts, check the biggest companies opening days! If you are a long-term investor: you have to be more careful, in most cases, the opening day bubble will bust in a couple of months. Even the biggest tech companies like Facebook had experienced the same story! please check my previous post about the opening day of BMBL. please check the link for evidence
NASDAQ:COINShort
by Moshkelgosha
4
Should I buy Coinbase tomorrow?I know this could be a totally different story, but it is good to review this post! If you are an active trader: I believe no matter what is the opening price for Coinbase tomorrow, it could be possible to buy it at a lower price the day after tomorrow..! if you have doubts, check the biggest companies opening days! If you are a long-term investor: you have to be more careful, in most cases, the opening day bubble will bust in a couple of months. Even the biggest tech companies like Facebook had experienced the same story! please check my previous post about the opening day of BMBL.
NYSE:SNOW
by Moshkelgosha
2
What Is a Bubble?A comparison between Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Facebook, and Tesla in the past decade. Top chart: last 10 years Bottom chart: last trading year A bubble is an economic cycle that is characterized by the rapid escalation of market value, particularly in the price of assets. This fast inflation is followed by a quick decrease in value or a contraction, which is sometimes referred to as a "crash" or a "bubble burst." Typically, a bubble is created by a surge in asset prices that is driven by exuberant market behavior. During a bubble, assets typically trade at a price, or within a price range, that greatly exceeds the asset's intrinsic value (the price does not align with the fundamentals of the asset). The cause of bubbles is disputed by economists; some economists even disagree that bubbles occur at all (on the basis that asset prices frequently deviate from their intrinsic value). However, bubbles are usually only identified and studied in retrospect, after a massive drop in prices occurs. At the end of a bubble, resources are moved again, causing prices to deflate. (Investopedia) How could fundamental analysis explain this phenomenon? Tesla's stock price has approximately outperformed more than 5x of Amazon, 11x of Apple, 15x of Microsoft, 16x of Facebook, and 30x of Google in the past 10 years. It becomes more interesting if we look at the total annual revenue and net income of these companies..! While Tesla had 31.53 Billion revenue and 690 million net income in 2020, in the very same timeframe, Apple had 274.15 Billion in revenue (9x of Tesla) and 57.41 billion net income (83x of Tesla), Microsoft had 143.01 B in revenue and 44.28 B net income (4.5x, 64x of Tesla), Amazon had 386.06 B in revenue and 21.33 B net income (+12x, 31x of Tesla ), Google had 182.35 B in revenue and 40.27 B net income( 5.8x and 58.36 Of Tesla) and Facebook had 86 B in revenue and 29.15 B net income( 2.7x and 42x of Tesla). Based on the information provided, you can judge if Tesla is experiencing a bubble or not??? to answer this question, you should divide Tesla's stock price behavior from 2011 to May 2019, and what happened after that. Moshkelgosha
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by Moshkelgosha
4
Tesla is trading at same level when market was opened on Jan 4thFinally, Tesla broke above 720 level which was a strong resistance level for it and successfully closed above its 50 EMA after multiple attempts. Today’s price range is the same as the price range on January 4th and 5th, but there is a big difference and that is trading volume, which is significantly lower in comparison to that time period! Tesla is the sixth biggest company in the market and performed better than the first 5 by far in the last decade! But something has changed in 2021, since mid February, Tesla was the worst performer among the top six! Corrected more than 2x, and compensate less than others! Don’t forget in the same time period MSFT,GOOG, and FB, reached new all times high, while apple and Amazon are less than 5% away from their all times high! For Tesla this number is around 20%. How far could Tesla goes up? We should wait and see, but I’m pretty much sure tomorrow will be very challenging for Tesla (1,2,3 Fire 🔥 rule!)
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Moshkelgosha
5
Bitcoin finally break above its previous high of 61781..!Since March 2020, Bitcoin has had 6 tops followed by a correction. Whenever Bitcoin tried to breaking above each of these previous tops, we see a significant daily candle! As you can see, 11.08%,7.39%, 9.93%, 19.45%, 6.8%, and today candle at its higHest level 5.3% change in just one day. In comparison to the past 5 moves it is the weakest and yet we should wait for the the closure ..! The indicator below the Bitcoin chart is ATR which is more suitable for commodities but since it has statistical value to show the volatility, we can use it for any asset class in my opinion. As it is obvious, Bitcoin volatility decreased significantly since last week of February 2021, and bitcoin’s last 3 resistance levels formed closer to each other in comparison to the others! Please wait for the daily candle closure, and update your stop loss for Bitcoin to 61k
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Moshkelgosha
1
Market Performance We have 5081 tradable Common stock as April 12th 2021. I believe the best trading opportunities occur when the Market , Sector, Industry and the stock itself is experiencing a bullish situation. In the past 3 weeks, Dow Jones and S&P 500 reached new all time highs, and Nasdaq reached back to the Feb 16th 2021 level. But this is not the whole story. It would be beneficial for all of us to look at the market performance in general with more details: Let’s look at performance of the stocks regardless of their weight and market cap. - 3273 negative weekly performance (64.41%) - 3445 negative monthly performance (67.8%) - 1594 negative year today performance (31.37%) - 624 negative yearly performance (12.28%) When you see 67.8% of the tradable stocks in the market had negative performance while major indexes reached to new all time highs, there is only one reason for that and that is money has shifted toward Ultra high market caps and High market caps stocks. Moreover, trading volume has been decreased significantly. So we have to adjust our expectations and our trading strategies for this new reality in the market..! Moshkelgosha
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by Moshkelgosha
9
Bitcoin, Buy, Sell, or Hold? That’s the question?IMO, we are in the most critical days of Bitcoin rally. We should consider all the possibilities..! Why? Because at the end of the past bullish rallies Bitcoin experienced a massive correction of 83-86%..! What makes it more interesting is that Bitcoin corrected -27 to-35% just in the first month. At this moment I believe Bitcoin is not either a buy or sell. For those who have it in their portfolio it is a clear hold, but for those who don’t , it is better to watch it for a clear breakout! Which side, up or down? At this moment, I believe no one can answer the question! I believe the bearish case is more probable! Why? Because: Bitcoin with +1.1 Trillion market cap is - 6th biggest tradable asset after Alphabet - is bigger than the first 3 biggest banks combined JP Morgan Chase (433B) + Bank of America (306B) + Industrial & Commercial Bank of China (290B):1.029 Trillion What is your prediction? Upward Or downward Breakout? It could be interesting for you if you check my Tesla analysis with the same title..! Moshkelgosha
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Moshkelgosha
12
50 years of Gold, reveals what you can not see easily..!Gold is money. Everything else is credit. (J. P. Morgan) Gold has at least 5000 years of history, so this is just an analysis based on the last 1% ..! It is obvious that Gold's past 2 bullish rallies last for 10 years..! and I believe we are in the middle of the 3rd one which could push Gold's price to 3500-4000 USD/oz in the next 4-5 years. If you do simple research about the corrected value of gold based on the inflation after lifting the gold standard. (In August 1971, Nixon severed the direct convertibility of U.S. dollars into gold. With this decision, the international currency market, which had become increasingly reliant on the dollar since the enactment of the Bretton Woods Agreement, lost its formal connection to gold.) A long-term US dollar gold price since 1700, inflation-adjusted by the US Consumer Price Index (CPI-U) from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. shows based on this CPI adjustment, that the all-time real high of the US dollar gold price was in January 1980 at the US $ 3045 per troy ounce. Gold's Market Cap Estimated Market Cap: $11.055 T The Market Capitalization of Gold is currently around $11.055 T. This value was obtained by multiplying the current gold price ($1,740 per once) with the worlds' above-the-ground gold reserves. The amount of above-ground reserves for Gold are estimated to be around 197,000 metric tonnes according to the World Gold Council. Note that the estimated ground Gold reserves can vary by up to 20% from one source to another. As a consequence, it is safe to say that the current Market Cap of Gold is between $8.844 T and $13.265 T.
FX:XAUUSD
by Moshkelgosha
4
Learn From tesla Experiencewhat do you think is more important? moving average itself or moving average slope? your answer to this question will save your capital in the market and will change the game forever..! while moving average is a delayed indicator, I believe its slope is a predictive indicator! Don't believe me, check how I predicted the market crash in EV makers before everyone else! While everyone fools themselves about the EV makers' stock price and talking about 7000 USD tesla price and for NIO, I was the one who predicted the crash in EV makers as early as February 18th, when tesla was 800 and NIO was 56. I predicted 32 for NIO and it slipped to 31.91. (please check the related links for evidence) Please review my Bitcoin analysis as well: 1st: Sep 12, 2020: Bitcoin could technically soar to 100k ( Bitcoin price 10457) 2nd: Oct 21, 2020: Do not trade Bitcoin invest in Bitcoin for the next 2 years. ( Bitcoin price: 12441) 3rd: Nov 10, 2020: short term in contrast with long-term ( Bitcoin price: 15186 4th: Nov 11, 2020: fresh out of consolidation: Bitcoin price 15861 5th: Nov 25, 2020: Next 10-12 months of Bitcoin: Bitcoin price: 19090 (target 50k-72k in less than 1 year) 6th: Nov 26, 2020: Should we panic? Bitcoin price 16508 7th: Jan 10, 2021: It May sounds crazy, but this is an opportunity to buy Bitcoin: bitcoin price 35565 8th: Jan 27, 2021: the more it consolidated the further it goes. Bitcoin price 31262 In conclusion, I believe the 100K scenario is less likely to happen soon!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Moshkelgosha
19
Apple correction is a clear example of Zigzag pattern so far..!Elliott Wave Corrections Corrective patterns can be grouped into two different categories: 1) Simple correction 2) Complex correction A simple correction has one pattern only. This pattern is called a Zig-Zag correction. A Zig-Zag correction is a 3-wave pattern. The Wave A of a Zig-Zag correction always has a 5-wave pattern. In the other two types of corrections (Flat and Irregular), Wave A has a 3-wave pattern. Thus, if you can identify a 5-wave pattern inside Wave A of any correction, you can then expect the correction to turn out as a Zig-Zag formation. Wave B = usually 50% of Wave A Wave B should not exceed 75% of Wave A Wave C =either 1 x Wave A, or 1.62 x Wave A, or 2.62xWaveA
NASDAQ:AAPL
by Moshkelgosha
4
Short opportunity!I always try to present the charts in a simple comprehensive format to prevent any confusion. This is just my technical view, neither a fundamental comment nor a recommendation to trade..! Please review my track record and calculate the odds for yourself..! You’re likes and comments encourage me to continue this. Stay tuned great live stream and quality content videos coming soon..! Option trading exposes you to a high risk of losing your capital, never invested in any idea more than what you can afford to lose(5%).
NYSE:KOShort
by Moshkelgosha
3
Bitcoin and Tesla chart similarities..!upper chart: Bitcoin lower chart: Tesla I have published multiple analyses on bitcoin and tesla and compared them before. (please check my previous analysis published on January 9th, compare Bitcoin and tesla) Bitcoin is the best-performed Asset of the decade, and Tesla was the best until January 2021. In the last 2 months, tesla experienced a 40% crash and could not compensate more than half of the way! If you look at bitcoin from mid-January to today, it made a very similar pattern to tesla's chart between mid-November 2020 to mid-January 2021 just before the crash! This similarity could lead to a correction in Bitcoin down to 38-43K..!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Moshkelgosha
4