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Moshkelgosha

Death Cross is here, any positive would be temporary..!The death cross is a technical chart pattern indicating the potential for a major selloff and has proven to be a reliable predictor of some of the most severe bear markets of the past century, including 1929, 1938, 1974, and 2008. The death cross appears on a chart when a stock’s short-term moving average, usually the 50-day, crosses below its long-term moving average, usually the 200-day. (Investopedia) Then why the market is positive? Short covering because of the Quadruple Witching next week..! What is Quadruple Witching? Read my previous articles: The market will resume going down after that or become flat for a while..!(my current estimation is another 10-20% by end of June) Do you want to review some examples? ARKK: NIO: Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by Moshkelgosha
4
Inflation has not peaked nor decelerated..!Year-over-year (YOY) is a method of evaluating two or more measured events to compare the results at one period with those of a comparable period on an annualized basis. (Investopedia) The United States Inflation Rate YoY Food (14% of total weight), energy (9.3 percent), commodities less food and energy commodities (19.4%), and services fewer energy services (57.3%) comprise the unadjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers in the United States. The final category is subdivided into three subcategories: shelter (32.1%), medical care (5.8%), and transportation services (5.5%). A higher than expected figure should be seen as positive (bullish) for the USD while a lower than expected figure should be seen as negative (bearish) for the USD. (Myfxbook) These factors will cause higher than expected inflation in the coming months..! Food Energy Housing Soon you should learn a new terminology: Stagflation Stagflation can be alternatively defined as a period of inflation combined with a decline in the gross domestic product (GDP). (Investopedia) I predicted this on June 2021: Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
FRED:CPIAUCSLLong
by Moshkelgosha
1
USA Bans Imports of Russian Oil, Liquefied Natural Gas and CoalThis will be the start of a new trend in the energy sector..! In 2022 EV makers has no chance to beat these old dogs..! Do not forget at the right time even Lumber had beat Tesla's performance..! Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
TVC:USOILLong
by Moshkelgosha
9
I still believe there will be Reifnry party in 2022..!Today's Oil sell-off decreased its performance from 60% to 43% YTD..! But Crack Spread increased to 202% and it is well above the average of 2021..! more than double..! Those who know this industry know what I am talking about..! Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
TVC:USOILLong
by Moshkelgosha
7
Is this good time to buy Ethereum?The answer is No..! Why? because it is in a consolidation zone, and the trend before it was bearish..! Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by Moshkelgosha
4
Quantitative Models or Analysts Ratings???In these charts, you can see the performance of Tesla, Lucid, NIO, and Rivian in 2022, which is -22%, -36%, -43%, and -59% respectively..! In the below analysis I added the Technical rating and Analysts ratings from the overview page of these tickers: My observations: 1- Technical rating show "Sell" for all 4 tickers! 2- Analyst ratings show Strong buy for NIO, buy for Tesla & Rivian, and Neutral for Lucid. It seems this new feature "Analyst Rating" completely indicates the opposite direction..!?!? Questions: 1-Who is/are the analyst(s)? 2-Why their opinion is so different from numbers and indicators/Oscillators? 3- What are the metrics these analysts use??? 4- How should users interpret these contradictory ratings? 5- Do contradictory make trading easier??? As a user who use this platform for more than a decade, I think this is not good to add non-quantitative ratings to a platform that should move toward quantifiable trading/investing models..! Why? Because in the past decade Quantitative funds beat the performance of the market, hedge funds, and asset managers..! Conclusions: 1- Indicator ratings are closer to the reality of the performance of the underlying assets because they are not emotional..! 2- Analyst ratings is far far far away from markets reality Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:LCIDEducation
by Moshkelgosha
5
Gold new Forecast: 2600-2800 target in 1-2 year..!the target for the past 2 analyses has reached 100% accuracy in time and price level. Now it is time for a new forecast..! In the past 5000 years, Goold has proved its ability to hold its purchasing power..! Inflation-adjusted by the US Consumer Price Index (CPI-U) from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. shows based on this CPI adjustment, that the all-time real high of the US dollar gold price was in January 1980 at the US $ 3045 per troy ounce. Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Moshkelgosha
3
Shopping at GAPs..!These days, your stocks create big gaps (usually down side) after earnings! Some People think this could be a good opportunity to enter a long position. but Is it really good to do that? My simple answer to this question is: No Why? Look at these examples in the past few months: FB: DOCU: PYPL: F: ZM: PINS: WISH: UPST: BABA: I hope you are convinced by now..! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NYSE:SHOPEducation
by Moshkelgosha
5
How far Rivian Could go ???(2)On December 9th, 2021 when RIVN was 116.5 I put the target on 60-40 in the next couple of months..! 11 days after that I recommended shorting RIVN would be the best among TSLA, LCID, and RIVN..! Today RIVN touched 39.86..! But I think it will go lower after the earning because it did not sell anything..! Why? Because it did not produce anything to sell..! I think it will experience single-digit prices in 2022..! For short opportunity let first people cover the previous shorts in March..! Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:RIVNShort
by Moshkelgosha
1
How Low Rivian could go???I think the RIVN chart pattern is very similar to HOOD and it could follow the very ae pattern and experience a sharp constant drop to 60-40 in a Bearish case..! You may think you have bought the next Tesla but Rivian can not be the next Tesla..! You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:RIVNShort
by Moshkelgosha
14
AMD will stay calm for a while???I think AMD will experience a sharp move between March 17-31. But before that, it will fluctuate in the triangle zone..! As you can see I have activated Rectangle, triangle, pennant, and wedge pattern detector..! These indicators seem useless and they work retrospectively..! Such a disappointment..! Hope to see a better version soon..! Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:AMD
by Moshkelgosha
4
Cathie Wood’s Oil price prediction..!To all those who blindly follow someone: I warned you at least a year ago, ARK invest is nothing but a social media campaign to create bubbles..! Look at the oil 125 price , and ask yourself: What if all Cathie Wood’s prediction end the same way? I recommend to watch her CNBC interview to see she is in total denial phase..! Like a very rookie trader..! youtu.be And on last question: Is it possible that you do not know if the person who provides the seed money for your first 4 Funds is still ARK’s shareholder or not??? Wood said she had sent Hwang a note "wishing him well" after the Archegos collapse. Wood said she had no idea if Hwang had remained a shareholder in Ark ETFs.(yahoo) www.yahoo.com Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
AMEX:ARKKShort
by Moshkelgosha
6
exposure to higher oil prices..!Entry: the opening price Stop loss: closing below 36.6 Reward/Risk: Target range: 48-50 Time Frame: 4-12wks Possible gain: 25-30% Possible loss: 5-7% Position size: 5 % of trading capital You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels. Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NYSE:SLBLong
by Moshkelgosha
2
ARKK != InnovationIf you don't want to accept the reality that Ark invest is in a downtrend, you will pay for it..! this is its weekly chart: 2 weeks ago Cathie Wood told CNBC: " People betting against us are shorting innovation" No, we do not, we bet against the social media created bubbles, We bet against your old investing style that failed in 2008 and pushed you out of business with -a 48% loss back then..! Millennials could be fooled by this Sci-Fi story you guys publish every now and then, but we did our research..! And we make money while you lose it..! Reference Link: youtu.be Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:SARKLong
by Moshkelgosha
3
BABA Good Entry ZoneEntry: 103-105 Stop loss: closing below 100 Reward/Risk: 3 Target range: 120 Time Frame: 2-4 wks Possible gain: 15% Possible loss: 5% Position size: 5 % of trading capital You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels. Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NYSE:BABALong
by Moshkelgosha
11
Be ready for much higher prices in 2022..!Gasoline has just crossed above its all time high and entered a No resistance zone..! In 2008, gasoline rose to a record $4.11 a gallon, which equates to $5.20 a gallon today adjusted for inflation.(The Wall Street Journal) Increases in Gas price in the inflation era + geopolitical tensions will last longer than your expectations..! I think in 2022, all US refineries will beat their earning expectations by far..! Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D.
NYMEX:RB1!Long
by Moshkelgosha
1
New Target for RIVNWhen I compared Rivian with Hood 43 days ago it was 115, I set my target for 60 and now with the current momentum, I think there is potential to go to 30-40 or even lower! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:RIVNShort
by Moshkelgosha
1
Pivot at the top of a bearish regression channelEntry: 2900 Stop loss: 3050 Reward/Risk: 4 Target range: 2300 Time Frame: 2 wks Possible gain:20 % Possible loss: 5% Position size: 5% of trading capital You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels. Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDShort
by Moshkelgosha
2
When commodities break their all-time highs..!Gold Just touched 2000 and the target could be 2600-2800 in the next few months..! Oil will benefit from geopolitical mentions, and will see prices that sound crazy today ..! History shows, when commodities break their all-time highs, they will not stop easily..! These are weekly charts..! Welcome to the commodities supercycle..! Commodity price supercycles are extended periods during which commodity prices are well above or below their long-run trend. They are expected to last much longer than business cycles, which, in Canada and the United States, have lasted six years on average in the post-war period. Only Fools would short oil and gold, and those who are the foolest will pick and act based on those ideas..! You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels. Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site
TVC:USOILLong
by Moshkelgosha
10-15% in the next 2 weeks opportunities..!Entry: at the opening price Stop loss: 74.7 Reward/Risk: 2 Target range: 88-90 Time Frame: 1-2wks Possible gain: 10-15% Possible loss: 5% Position size: % of trading capital You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels. Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NYSE:MPCLong
by Moshkelgosha
A midterm trade with 30% opportunity..!Entry: at the market opening price Stop loss: 10% Reward/Risk: 3 Target range: 30% Time Frame: 4-12 wks Possible gain: 30% Possible loss:10 % Position size: 5% of trading capital You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels. Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NYSE:CVXLong
by Moshkelgosha
Exposure to Flying oil prices..!Entry: The market opening price Stop loss: 74 Reward/Risk: 2-2.3 Target range: 105 Time Frame: 4-12 wks Possible gain: 20-25% Possible loss: 10-12%% Position size: 5% of trading capital You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels. Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NYSE:XOMLong
by Moshkelgosha
1
Good Zone to Short BitcoinEntry: 43500-45000 Stop loss: 46000 Reward/Risk: 4 Target range: 34000-3500 Time Frame: 2-4 wks Possible gain: 20% Possible loss:5 % Position size: 5% of trading capital You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels. Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
BITMEX:XBTShort
by Moshkelgosha
2