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Ready for 6.5% on the 10Y T-Bill?It’s been a while since I’ve posted an Idea, however since the market may be at a pivotal point I thought I’d do a quick analysis on the $US10Y. Using elliott wave and fibonacci ratios as my base logic, I predict that we could see a 6.5% or higher 10 year T-bill in the near future. The fib extension above is based off 1.00 of Primary waves 0-3. I’m counting that we are in the early stages of the 5th and final wave, which is commonly 61.8% of waves 0-3 in length. My wave count is supported by the DMI indicator and the 50sma (Blue) & 100sma (yellow). The yield is still above the moving averages, signaling a continuation to the upside. Primary wave 4 was a zig zag (A-B-C) pattern in a slightly descending channel, which has a tendency to break to the upside. With inflation proving stubborn and a looming trade war providing a backdrop that is concerning to investors, it is time we get back into the mindset that the inflation battle isn’t quite over yet. Yields are rising across the world and the US is no exception.
TVC:US10YLong
by ap769
Riding the BNX Wave: Next Trade SetupsSince BNX surged an astounding +381% in just 3.5 days, it has rapidly reached a key high. However, the dramatic move on low volume has left the market in a tight range, raising questions about a potential correction. Let’s break down the current market structure and explore the key support and resistance levels, followed by specific trade setups. Looking Back: Market Structure & Trends BNX’s meteoric rise over a short period has captured attention, but such rapid gains often invite consolidation or a pullback. After hitting the key high, the price was tested and subsequently rejected, particularly on low volume. This rejection signals that the bullish drive may be exhausting, setting the stage for a possible downward correction. Since then, BNX has been trading in a narrow range, reflecting market indecision as traders await further direction. Key Support Zones & Confluences Primary Support Zone – Around $0.6: Moving Averages Confluence: The 21-period EMA and SMA on the 4-hour, weekly, and monthly charts are clustered between approximately $0.585 and $0.553. This convergence creates a robust support area where price is likely to find stability. Lower Timeframe Trend Insight: My beta indicator on the 15-minute chart, which marks the edge of the bullish trend, further reinforces this support level. Fibonacci Confluence: The 0.382 Fibonacci retracement sits at around $0.5426, lending additional support. The Fibonacci Speed Fan (0.5 level) aligns near $0.56, complementing the overall support picture. This confluence of technical factors makes the $0.6 zone a crucial area to monitor, as it represents a potential floor should the market trend lower. Resistance Levels & Confluences Key Resistance – The Recent High: Rapid Price Surge & Rejection: BNX’s swift ascent culminated in a key high that was subsequently tested and rejected. The rejection, especially on low volume, indicates that the upward momentum may be losing steam. Fibonacci Resistance: Notably, the price has also encountered the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement at $0.75, which acts as an additional layer of resistance. Psychological Resistance: The key high now serves as a significant resistance level, acting as a barrier that the price must overcome to resume its bullish trend. Potential Trade Setups Short Trade Setup Given the rejection at the key high and the low-volume consolidation, a breakdown from this level is anticipated. This scenario makes a short position attractive, as a failed test of the high could trigger further downward movement. Entry & Stop Loss (SL): Entry: Initiate a short position at the key high, followed by a rejection. Stop Loss: Place your stop loss just above the key high to mitigate risk. Target & Risk/Reward: Target: Aim for the primary support zone around $0.6, where multiple indicators converge. Risk-Reward Ratio: The setup targets a favourable risk/reward ratio of 3:1 or better, making it an appealing opportunity for traders. Long Trade Setup Despite the clear support confluence around the $0.6 area, entering a long position at this stage carries a less compelling risk/reward profile compared to the short trade. Entry & Stop Loss (SL): Entry: Consider a long entry if the price shows strength and decisively holds above the support zone. Stop Loss: Position the stop loss just below the support area to accommodate minor fluctuations. Target & Risk/Reward: Target: The target for a long setup would be the previous swing low. Risk-Reward Ratio: This trade offers a ratio in the range of 1:1 to 2.5:1, which is alright compared to the short setup.
Short
by SiDec
8
Two zones to long the SPX500Hello Traders, there are 2 zones that you can enter market. the first one is between 5980 and 5950. If it coincides with Bollinger lower band, it could go up more sharply. in that case top of red bearish channel could be considered as the 1st tp. The 2nd option available after breaking the top zone, in reverse to 6132 we could enter the market again. Remember that again Bollinger band could help us to confirm the long trade. 6240 could be used as TP, as well as the higher band of Bollinger band is a good place to take profit.
FX:SPX500Long
by AliSignals
Tron (TRX): Sellers Sending Price Back To The Roots of $0.21Despite a steep downward movement on bigger timeframes, sellers are not showing any remorse here as well, where they keep on pushing and pushing price back down. If this kind of pressure continues, our next point of interest is going to be the $0.21 area, but if we see a proper recovery, not just some liq move, then we have also placed a possible target zone for upward movement once a certain zone is secured! Swallow Team
Short
by SwallowAcademy
ETH | C&H | $8k+++☕The C&H Pattern With a Little Tilt to It💧 This chart showcases how we can grab forecasted targets using chart patterns similarly to my other postings and how we can use these patterns to our convictions BITSTAMP:ETHUSD is currently still trading within the falling wedge pattern and will play a big role into being the cause of the C&H breakout As shown on the chart we can see the main trendline target in orange somewhat lines up with fib extension and C&H trajected target which creates a great confluence in forecasting what's next to come After price makes it's way to breakout at the upper trendline we should see a push towards $4,800 in the acts of a Pullback Trigger and Not Permanent Resistance Price action doesn't go in a straight line forever so we'd have to see a cool off period retesting atop from the breakout (SnR) for a second point contact to launch price further, the first point contact is where we are now, and by adding a SMA or EMA this will allow for optimal accumulating zones The red squares are the major and minor pivot points to calculate the levels for the Fibonacci extensions and also line up with Fib Channel which was measured from the base structure (main trendline in orange). Follow to stay tuned on what price action will do next after this hopefully plays out🚀
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Nathanl19
Nas100 updateTechnical Analysis: Trend: • The market is still in an overall uptrend, given the ascending channel structure. • However, the recent break below the midline and rejection at the upper boundary suggest possible short-term bearish momentum. Key Levels: 1. Support: • 21,200–21,220: Current price level and a critical area to hold. A break below could lead to further downside. • 20,766 (blue horizontal line): Major support and a previous demand zone. A test of this level is possible if the bearish pressure continues. 2. Resistance: • 21,500: The midline of the channel and the 50-period MA align here, making this a key resistance zone to watch. • 21,800–22,212: The upper channel boundary and previous swing highs. Price needs to break above this to regain strong bullish momentum. Moving Averages: • Shorter MAs (blue lines) are crossing below longer MAs (red lines), suggesting bearish momentum in the short term. • The 200-period MA (thicker red line) is still acting as dynamic support, aligning with the channel’s lower boundary, adding confluence to the 20,766 level. Possible Scenarios: 1. Bullish Case: • If the price bounces from 21,200–21,220 and breaks back above the 21,500 resistance zone, it could retest 21,800 and potentially the channel’s upper boundary near 22,200. • Entry: After a bullish breakout and retest above 21,500. • Target: 21,800 and 22,200. • Stop Loss: Below 21,200. 2. Bearish Case: • If the price fails to hold 21,200, a move down to the 20,766 support zone is likely. • A break below 20,766 could invalidate the ascending channel, leading to further downside toward 20,400 or lower. • Entry: On a clean break and retest below 21,200. • Target: 20,766 and 20,400. • Stop Loss: Above 21,500. Indicators to Watch: • Volume: Look for increasing volume during key breakouts or breakdowns. • RSI/MACD: Watch for divergence signals to confirm potential reversals near critical levels. Conclusion: The market is at a critical juncture. The reaction at 21,200 will determine whether bulls regain control or bears push the price lower toward the 20,766 support zone. Stay cautious and wait for confirmation before entering a trade.
VANTAGE:NAS100Long
by AutoMarkets
What Indicators Do Traders Use for Scalping? What Indicators Do Traders Use for Scalping? Scalping is a fast-paced trading style where traders aim to take advantage of small price movements within short timeframes. Such traders often rely on technical indicators to make quick decisions. This article explores some of the most popular scalping indicators, providing insights into how they can help traders spot opportunities in fast-moving markets. Understanding Scalping Indicators As you know, scalping is a trading strategy where traders aim to take advantage of small price movements by executing numerous trades within short timeframes, often closing trades within a few minutes. This approach requires swift decision-making and precise timing. Technical indicators are essential tools in this context, as they provide real-time data and insights into market trends, momentum, and volatility. Using these indicators, traders can identify optimal entry and exit points, potentially enhancing their ability to navigate the rapid pace of the market. Below, we’ll break down five indicators for scalping. You’ll find these scalping indicators in MT4 and MT5, TradingView. Also, you can get started in seconds with FXOpen’s free TickTrader trading platform. Moving Averages Moving averages (MAs) are considered by some to be the best indicator for scalping, smoothing out price data to help identify trends by calculating the average price over a specific period. In scalping, where quick decisions are crucial, certain types of moving averages can be useful. Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Unlike the Simple Moving Average (SMA), which assigns equal weight to all data points, the EMA gives more significance to recent prices, making it more responsive to current market movements. This responsiveness is advantageous for scalpers. For instance, a 9-period EMA reacts swiftly to recent price changes, potentially providing timely signals for entry and exit points. Hull Moving Average (HMA) Developed by Alan Hull, the HMA further reduces lag and enhances smoothness compared to traditional moving averages. It achieves this by weighting recent prices more heavily and using a unique calculation method. The HMA's ability to closely follow price action while minimising lag makes it a valuable indicator for scalpers. Applying Moving Averages in Scalping - Crossover Strategy: Scalpers often use two EMAs of different lengths to identify potential trading opportunities. A common approach involves a fast EMA (e.g., 5-period) and a slow EMA (e.g., 15-period). When the fast EMA crosses above the slow EMA, it may indicate a bullish trend, suggesting a potential buying opportunity or a chance to close a short trade. Conversely, when the fast EMA crosses below the slow EMA, it may signal a bearish trend, indicating a potential selling opportunity or moment to close a long trade. - Trend Confirmation: The EMA and HMA can be used to confirm trends identified by other indicators. For example, if the moving average is sloping upwards, it may confirm an uptrend, supporting decisions to enter long positions. If it's sloping downwards, it may confirm a downtrend, supporting decisions to enter short positions. You can find these scalping indicators in TradingView and FXOpen’s TickTrader platform. Relative Strength Index (RSI) The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a well-known scalping indicator that measures the speed and change of price movements, oscillating between 0 and 100. Traditionally, an RSI above 70 indicates overbought conditions, while below 30 suggests oversold conditions. In scalping, traders often adjust the RSI from its typical length of 14 to shorter periods, such as 7 or 9, to capture rapid price swings occurring over minutes. This adjustment makes the RSI more sensitive to recent price changes, providing timely signals for quick trades. Applying RSI in Scalping - Overbought/Oversold Levels: When the RSI moves beyond 70 or drops below 30, traders watch for potential reversal points. However, scalpers may focus on the RSI’s movement back into the 30-70 range as an early sign of momentum shifting. - Divergences: Scalpers also look for divergence between price movement and the RSI. For example, if the price reaches a new high but the RSI does not, it may signal a weakening trend and possible reversal. This divergence can be an effective tool for anticipating quick market shifts. - Midpoint (50 Level): The 50 level serves as a midpoint, indicating the balance between gains and losses. An RSI crossing above 50 may suggest bullish momentum, while dropping below 50 can indicate bearish momentum. Scalpers use this midpoint to assess the prevailing market trend. Bollinger Bands Bollinger Bands are a technical analysis tool comprising three lines: a simple moving average (SMA) in the middle, with upper and lower bands set at a specified number of standard deviations from the SMA. These bands expand and contract based on market volatility, providing a visual representation of price fluctuations. In scalping, traders often adjust Bollinger Bands to shorter timeframes, such as 1-minute or 5-minute charts, to capture quick price movements. A common approach involves setting the SMA period to 7-10 and the standard deviation to 1.5-2, potentially enhancing sensitivity to short-term market changes. Applying Bollinger Bands in Scalping: - Bollinger Squeeze: When the bands contract, indicating low volatility, it often precedes significant price movements. Scalpers watch for a breakout above or below the SMA to identify potential trading opportunities. - Reversal: Price breaching the upper band may suggest overbought conditions, while below the lower band may indicate oversold conditions. Scalpers use these signals to anticipate potential price reversals. Stochastic Oscillator The Stochastic Oscillator is a momentum indicator that compares an asset’s closing price to its price range over a specific period, typically 14. It includes the %K line, the current closing price relative to the range, and the %D line, a moving average of %K. The scale runs from 0 to 100, where readings over 80 suggest overbought levels, and those under 20 point to oversold levels. In scalping, traders may adjust the Stochastic Oscillator to shorter settings, such as 5,3,3, to increase sensitivity to rapid price movements. This adjustment can help in capturing short-term market fluctuations. Applying the Stochastic Oscillator in Scalping: - Overbought and Oversold Conditions: When the %K line crosses the %D line in the overbought (above 80) or oversold (below 20) zones, it can signal a potential reversal. Scalpers use these crossovers as quick alerts for shifts in momentum, helping them to act swiftly in volatile markets. - Crossovers: Besides extreme conditions, traders also monitor crossovers between %K and %D. A %K line crossing above %D from a lower level can suggest an upward move, while a downward crossover may hint at a short-term price decline. - Divergence: If the price makes a new high/low but the Stochastic Oscillator does not, it may signal a weakening trend, indicating a potential reversal. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is considered one of the top forex indicators for scalping. It’s a momentum indicator that reflects the relationship between two moving averages. It comprises the MACD line (the difference between the 12-period and 26-period exponential moving averages), the signal line (a 9-period EMA of the MACD line), and a histogram, which illustrates the gap between the two lines. Scalpers prefer to adjust these settings to 3, 10, and 16, respectively, to make the MACD more responsive to rapid price movements. Applying MACD in Scalping: - Crossovers: When the MACD line crosses above the signal line, it may indicate bullish momentum; a crossover below suggests bearish momentum. Scalpers monitor these crossovers to identify potential entry and exit points. - Histogram Analysis: The histogram represents the difference between the MACD and signal lines. An expanding histogram indicates strengthening momentum, while a contracting histogram reflects weakening momentum. Scalpers use these changes to gauge the intensity of price movements. - Divergences: A divergence occurs when the price moves in one direction while the MACD line moves in the opposite. For example, if the price reaches a new low but the MACD does not, it may reflect a potential upward reversal. Scalpers watch for such divergences to anticipate shifts in market direction. Combining Indicators for Scalping Strategies Combining multiple indicators can enhance scalping strategies by providing a more comprehensive view of market conditions. Each indicator offers unique insights, and their combined use can help filter out false signals and confirm trading opportunities. Here are some pairings: - EMA and RSI: Utilising the Exponential Moving Average to identify trend direction alongside the Relative Strength Index to gauge momentum can help traders confirm the strength of a trend before making decisions. For instance, if the EMA indicates an uptrend and the RSI is above 50, it may suggest strong bullish momentum. - Bollinger Bands and Stochastic Oscillator: Bollinger Bands measure volatility, while the Stochastic Oscillator identifies overbought or oversold conditions. When prices touch the upper or lower bands and the Stochastic Oscillator reflects overbought or oversold conditions, it may indicate potential reversal points. - MACD and RSI: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) highlights momentum changes, and the RSI indicates overbought and oversold conditions. Using them together can help confirm potential entry or exit points. For example, if the MACD shows bullish momentum and the RSI is rising but not yet overbought, it may signal a buying opportunity. Common Challenges When Using Indicators in Scalping Scalping with indicators offers valuable insights, but there are some challenges traders should be aware of: - False Signals: Rapid market movements can trigger misleading signals, causing traders to act prematurely. - Overtrading: Relying too heavily on short-term indicators can lead to excessive trades, increasing transaction costs. - Market Noise: High volatility and frequent price fluctuations can make it difficult to distinguish genuine trends from random market "noise." - Lagging Indicators: Some indicators may react too slowly, causing traders to miss opportunities. The Bottom Line Scalping requires quick decisions and the right tools, and indicators like the EMA, RSI, and MACD can help traders navigate fast-moving markets. Found the best scalping indicator that suits your style? Open an FXOpen account to access four advanced trading platforms and start building your scalping strategy today with low-cost, high-speed trading conditions. FAQ What Is the 1-Minute Scalp Strategy? The 1-minute scalp strategy involves making rapid trades on a 1-minute chart. Traders look for small price movements and enter multiple trades within a short period, often using scalp trading indicators like the EMA or RSI for quick signals. What Is the 5-Minute Scalping Strategy? The 5-minute scalping strategy focuses on capturing short-term price movements on a 5-minute chart. Traders typically combine trend and momentum indicators, like the MACD and Bollinger Bands, to make fast, informed decisions. Which Stocks Are Good for Scalping? The choice depends on the trader’s risk tolerance, trading approach, experience, and toolkit. However, according to theory, stocks with high liquidity, tight spreads, and significant daily volume are good for scalping. Popular choices include tech giants like Apple (AAPL) and Tesla (TSLA), as they offer frequent price fluctuations. But at the same time, they bear higher risks. What Is the Best EMA for Scalping? There is no best exponential moving average for scalping. However, traders often use a pair of EMAs, such as a 9- or 5-period and 21- or 15-period, to quickly respond to price changes in scalping. These EMAs help identify trend direction and momentum. How Can You Use RSI for Scalping? In scalping, the RSI is often set to shorter periods, like 7 or 9, to catch signals quickly. Traders watch for the RSI to cross key levels (30 or 70) and form a divergence with a price chart to spot potential reversals. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice
Education
by FXOpen
1
3.5% Decline on The Dow Jones 30 But Is This Unusual?Looking at the trend structure over the last 8 months, we can see a pattern play out. Since April, pullbacks of between 3.5% and 7% have been part and parcel of the Dow Jones’s trend structure. (highlighted in red) The current pullback of 3.5% falls within this range. Note also how our trend filter remains mostly green and grey, with speckles of red, since April, in line with the long-term bull trend. The index has now fallen to the d50sma (orange line), where we want to see it find support, bounce, break out and continue its climb to 50,000, as it has done since April. The Dow Jones is also a good example of how trend structures can change despite no change in direction. October to March saw a much faster trend, using the d20sma (blue line) as support, eventually breaking through in April and leading to a change in trend structure. The Dow Jones is currently lagging behind the Nasdaq 100, which is setting record highs above 20,000 for the first time, and the S&P 500, which has settled into a mini consolidation above the 6000 level. We ideally want to see Santa deliver in the final 2 weeks of December. However, if the indices and stocks don't show new trend continuations through the rest of 2024, we want them to hold within consolidation, which will act a bases for trends in the New Year. If you enjoyed this post, make sure to like, and follow for more quality content! If you have any questions or comments, comment below. We reply to every comment. :0) See below for more information on our trading and trend-following techniques. As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
DJ:DJILong
by Sublime_Trading
1
$REGN LongThis is just my observation, but not an advice. Technical: REGN touched its two strong trendline since 2020 and 2021. REGN reached the 50% correction since 2020. REGN is oversold daily and weekly. A significant divergence is observable on daily chart. Price touched SMA 200. Fundamental: P/E: 16.9x (moderate undervalue) Since last ATH NASDAQ:REGN has come up with wide ranges of successful clinical trial outcomes. Nonetheless, prices dropped due to competitive pressures on Eylea. Last week, after significant clinical trial results of Odronextamab and Poze-Cemdi, the market moved up. However, the price slid after the BoA's PT revision. Analyst sentiments: 17 buy, 7 buy, 1 sell (BoA) The long possibility is high from now on.
NASDAQ:REGNLong
by jack_the_real_trader
JTO | ALTCOINS | Mixed Signals in BEARs vs BULLsJTO was a hot topic when it was first released and there was a hype surrounding it, like many newly released altcoins (got to get that marketing right 😉) However, it's been trading very "wicky" over the past few weeks, and the price seems indecisive as a pennant pattern forms. This could play out two ways, and it's likely that the next week will give clearer directions. I'm largely watching Ethereum, King of the Alts, to make a move before expecting more upside on smaller cap altcoins. _______________ BINANCE:JTOUSDT
by CryptoCheck-
2
BTC Long: 200D SMA Bull Regime & RSI SignalsWe are now trending in overbought territory across both Monthly, Weekly timeframes. However, there is still room to go... To measure RSI strength we are leveraging our powerful Adapted RSI indicator. Whilst, the 200D SMA indicator helps traders identify market regimes using the powerful combination of 50 and 200 SMAs. It provides clear visual signals and detailed metrics for trend-following strategies. Key Features: - Dual SMA System (50/200) for regime identification - Colour-coded candles for easy trend visualisation - Metrics dashboard Core Signals: - Bullish Regime: Price > 200 SMA - Bearish Regime: Price < 200 SMA - Additional confirmation: 50 SMA Cross-over or Cross-under (golden cross or death cross)
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by igreycrypto