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Moving Averages

MASTERCARD Best buy entry now. Target $625.Mastercard (MA) has been trading within almost a 3-year Channel Up that only broke (but recovered naturally) during Trump's trade war. Still, the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) contained the downfall, as it always had. Normally the Bearish Legs of this pattern tend to find Support on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), as the latest one did 3 weeks ago. Now that the price is trading still on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, it historically is the best buy opportunity, as per all previous Bullish Legs. The Channel Up has always priced its Higher High (top) on at least the -0.236 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we are targeting $625.00 before the year ends. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYSE:MALong
by TradingShot
XRP: 22 Minutes to LIFT OFF!I'm bullish, no question about it. I wouldn't want to be on the other side of this trade right now. Everything I'm seeing points to a strong move coming soon. Weekly cross is giving confirmation. Bullish engulfing on the hourly, with momentum building across lower timeframes. Price action suggests we're setting up for a retest of the previous ATH, and there's a real possibility of printing new highs from here. Season’s about to kick off — I’m positioned accordingly. Due in 15 minutes
FOREXCOM:XRPUSDLong
by DOTTV
SMCI: When a chart says it’s time to reconnect with the AI hypeOn the daily chart, Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) is showing a clean bullish setup. Price broke out of a descending trendline (green dashed), confirmed it with a retest, and is now consolidating above the breakout zone. The golden cross — where the MA50 crossed above the MA200 — confirms a long-term trend reversal. Volume profile indicates strong accumulation near $41–43. The 0.5 Fibonacci level at $41.84 acted as support. Above the current range, there’s low volume resistance up to $63.57 (0.786), followed by $66.44 and a final extension target at $79.82 (1.272). Fundamentals: SMCI is a leading server hardware manufacturer. Demand for their systems has soared with the explosion of AI infrastructure. The company maintains solid financials, with rising quarterly revenue and growing presence in the cloud sector. Institutional investors have been actively increasing their positions since late 2023 — a sign of strong long-term conviction. Tactical plan: — Entry: market $42–43 — Target 1: $55.91 — Target 2: $63.57 When technicals scream textbook breakout and fundamentals bring AI momentum to the table — it might just be one of the best late entries in the AI wave this summer.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by TotoshkaTrades
4
Best Buy’s Lower HighsBest Buy fell sharply on “Liberation Day.” Now, after a modest rebound, some traders may see further downside risk. The first pattern on today’s chart is July 10’s peak of $74.75. That was below the June high, which in turn was under May’s high. Such a succession of lower highs could indicate a bearish trend. The potential topping behavior is also happening below the close on April 2, immediately before President Trump announced aggressive tariffs. Third, prices are stalling near the 50- and 100-day simple moving averages. That may reflect a bearish long-term trend. Finally, the retailer has returned below its 8- and 21-day exponential moving averages. That may suggest short-term trends have gotten more bearish as well. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:BBY
by TradeStation
LCTITAN - The LOW is getting HIGHER !LCTITAN - CURRENT PRICE : RM0.470 The stock made a HIGHER LOW recently - this may consider as a half portion of new uptrend is completed. A breakout above RM0.630 will form the higher high structure - which confirm the new uptrend phase. For short term trading purposes, short term traders may anticipate to buy if the stock breakout nearest resistance of RM0.520 - which will give an entry point at RM0.525. So this is a pending breakout stock. Nearest target will be RM0.580 and RM0.620. Take note that when the price breakout RM0.520 , it will also be above EMA 50 and ICHIMOKU CLOUD - which strengthening the bullish outlook. ENTRY PRICE : RM0.525 TARGET : RM0.580 and RM0.620 SUPPORT : EMA 50 Notes : The higher low structure of LCTITAN looks like DRBHCOM - I share the link here for reading purposes.
MYX:LCTITANLong
by IMRAN_96
$300k+: LVDT estimated BTC ATH target this cycle.According to my old LVDT indicator, BTC should reach $300k or even higher at ATH this cycle. The real parabolic (banana zone) run will only start when BTC touches the thick red line again. Time to gradually DCA sell every time BTC pierces significantly above the thick red line (signaling a potential point of Blow-off-Top). I plan to be updating this tread from time to time as the chart progresses until the absolute "Sell" signal is triggered.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by cybernetwork
Gold 30-Min OB Analysis – Bounce or Drop..?Gold is showing a break of structure after a big sell-off 🔻. We have marked a 30-Minute Order Block (OB) 📍 which can act as a possible reaction zone. 📌 Two Scenarios We Are Watching: ✅ Scenario 1 (Bullish): If price taps into the 30M OB and shows bullish rejection 🟢, we can look for buy opportunities, targeting the previous highs near 3335-3340 🎯. ❌ Scenario 2 (Bearish): If price fails to hold the OB, we will watch for a liquidity sweep (marked with $$$) and expect price to move lower towards the next demand zone near 3285 📉. ⚠️ Key Notes: Always wait for confirmation before entry. Patience is the key 🧘‍♂️ — let the market come to us.
TVC:GOLD
by Erin_Gold_Vault
USD/JPY: 148.70 cleared as yields and momentum alignAided by the latest leg higher for U.S. Treasury yields following the June U.S. inflation report, USD/JPY closed at the highest level since April on Tuesday, taking out the important 148.70 level in the process. If the pair manages to consolidate the break on Wednesday ahead of separate U.S. PPI data for June, the level may revert to offering support, providing a platform for new long positions to be established with a stop below for protection. The 200-day moving average is the first major hurdle for bulls to overcome, sitting today at 149.63. If it were to be taken out, it would only add to the bullish price action seen recently. Above, 150 will naturally receive some attention given it’s a major big figure, although there’s little visible resistance until 151.00. If USD/JPY were to reverse back below 148.70 and close there, it would provide bulls with some food for thought, opening the door for a potential retest of the uptrend the pair has been sitting in since the start of July. However, the message from momentum indicators like RSI (14) and MACD is firmly bullish. With the 50-day moving average also starting to curl higher, near-term price momentum is definitely with the bulls, favouring buying dips in this environment.
Long
by FOREXcom
Massive Head & Shoulders + Death Cross on Big 7A massive head and shoulders pattern is forming on the Big 7 tech stocks (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, GOOGL, AMZN, META, TSLA). After a strong rally, a death cross (50 EMA crossing below 200 EMA) has appeared, pointing to possible weakness ahead. Short-term concerns: right shoulder is forming now. If it holds, we could see a bounce. If the right shoulder fails, expect sharp drops and potential broader market reversals. Long-term view: markets could still move higher over time, but short-term risks are rising. This setup resembles the 1999-2000 period before the dot-com crash. The AI bubble could be nearing its peak, with current leaders losing strength and new players stepping in. Key to watch: neckline of the head and shoulders and how the market reacts to the death cross. disclaimer: this is not financial advice. for informational purposes only. trading involves risk and past patterns do not predict future results. always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making decisions.
CBOE:MAGSShort
by dotcom880
#PENGUUSDT #2h (ByBit) Broadening wedge breakdownPudgy Penguins printed an evening star then lost 50MA, seems to be heading towards 200MA support next. ⚡️⚡️ #PENGU/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: ByBit USDT Signal Type: Regular (Short) Leverage: Isolated (2.5X) Amount: 5.0% Entry Targets: 1) 0.030830 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 0.021034 Stop Targets: 1) 0.035740 Published By: @Zblaba CSECY:PENGU BYBIT:PENGUUSDT.P #4h #PludgyPenguins #Meme pudgypenguins.com Risk/Reward= 1:2.0 Expected Profit= +79.4% Possible Loss= -39.8%
Short
by TradingOn
1
BorgWarner Inc Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set Up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # BorgWarner Inc Quote - Double Formation * (Diagonal Shift)) At 38.00 USD | Completed Survey * 0.5 Feature Entry | Subdivision 1 - Triple Formation * (P1)) / (P2)) & (P3)) | Subdivision 2 * (TP1) = a / Long Consecutive Range | Subdivision 3 * Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition - (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Regular Settings - Position On A 1.5RR * Stop Loss At 32.00 USD * Entry At 35.00 USD * Take Profit At 39.00 USD * (Uptrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation - Continuation Pattern | Not Valid - Reversal Pattern | Not Valid * Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area)) Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Buy
PEPPERSTONE:BWALong
by TradePolitics
EURAUD – Incoming Upthrust? Accumulation or Distribution? Chart Context: EURAUD recently completed a sharp markdown after a textbook rising channel break. What’s interesting now is that price has entered what looks like a potential box range between 1.7768 and 1.7885. I'm anticipating a possible upthrust move into the 1.788x zone — and what follows will reveal the true intent. Here’s the internal debate: Are we looking at reaccumulation — smart money trapping shorts before driving higher in line with broader money flow? Or is this a distribution — where the market builds a false sense of support before deeper downside? 🔍 What tips the scale for now is this: >The overall money flow direction (via volume patterns + structure) has leaned bullish, so I’m favoring accumulation with a shakeout scenario. Signs I’m watching: ✅ Absorption volume near the bottom of the range ✅ Higher lows inside the zone ✅ Fake breakout / upthrust into prior structure ❌ Failure to hold above 1.7855 could flip the bias short-term 📉 Expecting one more dip to test demand, followed by range tightening, and if buyers show up strong — the breakout can get explosive. What’s your take? Are we prepping for a markup or will this fakeout and roll over? "I go long or short as close as I can to the danger point, and if the danger becomes real, I close out and take a small loss"
Short
by theeOperator90
SOL / ETH at Critical Inflection PointSOL / ETH loses the 50WMA. Has been trading below it for the past 7 weeks, something we haven't seen since 2021. Has also broken down from the 8 month bull flag / parallel channel. Retesting the key POI I've been eyeing. HOPIUM: We've seen great rallies after CRYPTOCAP:SOL goes down ~40% vs CRYPTOCAP:ETH , which it is at now. We SHOULD see a turnaround here soon. And I still believe SOL will greatly outperform ETH this cycle, especially when the ETF launches and Alt Season kickstarts. Right now we're seeing a typical market cycle BTC > ETH > Large Caps > Mid Caps > Micro Caps
by jonnieking
Pfizer May Be StallingPfizer has limped higher since April, but some traders may think the pharmaceutical giant is at risk of stalling. The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of lower highs since January. PFE potentially just made another lower high at this falling trendline, which may suggest resistance is taking effect. Second, the peak is occurring near the 200-day simple moving average. That could indicate its long-term trend is pointing lower. Third is the 2023 low of $25.76. At the time, it was the lowest price in the preceding decade. After spending more than a year on either side of this level, PFE is now stalling in the same area. Has old support finally turned into new resistance? Fourth, the candles of July 8 and July 10 showed prices trying and failing to cross the same long-term level. Such “shooting star” candlesticks may be short-term reversal patterns. Finally, PFE is an active underlier in the options market. (It’s averaged more than 90,000 contracts per session in the last month, according to TradeStation data.) That might help traders take positions with calls and puts. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. Options trading is not suitable for all investors. Your TradeStation Securities’ account application to trade options will be considered and approved or disapproved based on all relevant factors, including your trading experience. See www.TradeStation.com . Visit www.TradeStation.com for full details on the costs and fees associated with options. Margin trading involves risks, and it is important that you fully understand those risks before trading on margin. The Margin Disclosure Statement outlines many of those risks, including that you can lose more funds than you deposit in your margin account; your brokerage firm can force the sale of securities in your account; your brokerage firm can sell your securities without contacting you; and you are not entitled to an extension of time on a margin call. Review the Margin Disclosure Statement at www.TradeStation.com . TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:PFE
by TradeStation
Ethereum Price Rejects $3K: Is A Deeper Correction Ahead?Ethereum's Precarious Perch: Price Stumbles at $3K as Long-Term Conviction and Quantum Threats Collide The cryptocurrency community is intently watching Ethereum as the premier smart contract platform engages in a fierce battle around the psychologically crucial $3,000 mark. Following a promising surge that breached this barrier for the first time in several months, the upward momentum has stalled, giving way to a tense period of consolidation. This raises a pivotal question for investors and market observers alike: is a more significant correction on the horizon, or is this merely a strategic pause before the next major advance toward $3,200 and potentially higher valuations? The recent price action has been a whirlwind for traders. Ethereum climbed with bullish determination, reaching heights near $3,080 before encountering substantial selling pressure that forced a retreat. This downturn has left the price hovering near the $2,940 level, trading precariously near its 100-hourly Simple Moving Average (SMA). Exacerbating the bearish sentiment, the price has broken below a key bullish trend line that had previously offered support at the $2,980 mark, a technical development that often signals the potential for further declines. This short-term market turbulence, however, unfolds within a much broader and more intricate narrative. While hourly charts may be flashing warning signs, an analysis of long-term on-chain data reveals a story of strengthening fundamentals, underscored by a record amount of Ethereum being locked away by confident, long-term holders. In parallel, the Ethereum developer community, with co-founder Vitalik Buterin at the forefront, is proactively strategizing for a distant yet potentially existential threat: the "Quantum Apocalypse." This unique convergence of immediate bearish technical indicators, profound long-term bullish sentiment, and forward-thinking security planning creates a fascinating and unpredictable landscape for the pioneering blockchain platform. The Short-Term Tug-of-War: A Correction Towards $2,900 or a Rally to $3,200? In the immediate term, the market is a battlefield of competing forces. The inability to sustain a position above the $3,000 level has emboldened sellers, and key technical indicators are suggesting a cautious approach. The hourly MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is indicating a loss of momentum within the bullish zone, while the RSI (Relative Strength Index) has fallen below the 50 mark, suggesting that selling pressure could be gaining the upper hand. Market analysts are now laser-focused on the $2,900 zone, viewing it as the primary line of defense for the bulls. If this support level can withstand the selling pressure, it could provide the necessary foundation for a fresh increase, enabling Ethereum to reclaim its lost ground and launch another attempt to conquer the $3,000 resistance. Conversely, a decisive break below this critical support could initiate a more substantial correction. In such a scenario, subsequent support targets would likely be found near $2,800, with the potential for further drops to the $2,720 or even $2,650 price points. A particularly compelling theory circulating among analysts involves the concept of a "liquidity sweep." On-chain data indicates a significant concentration of liquidity—essentially, a large cluster of buy orders and stop-loss orders—residing just below the $2,900 level. Market dynamics frequently see price action gravitate toward these zones to trigger liquidations, effectively shaking out over-leveraged traders before a more sustained move in the opposite direction. Consequently, a brief dip below $2,900 to "grab" this liquidity would not be an unexpected development. Paradoxically, such a move could be the very catalyst required to fuel a durable rally toward the next major target: the $3,200 supply zone. This level is widely regarded as the next significant hurdle, a price ceiling where a large volume of sell orders is anticipated to be waiting. The volatility surrounding key psychological levels like $3,000 is notoriously difficult to predict, as human emotions of fear and greed often drive exaggerated market reactions. For the time being, the short-term outlook remains uncertain, heavily contingent on whether the crucial $2,900 support can absorb the selling pressure or if a flush-out of liquidity is needed before the bulls can confidently reassert control. The Bullish Undercurrent: Smart Money's Long Game and a Shrinking Supply Looking beyond the volatile daily price charts reveals a powerful undercurrent of bullish conviction. A key metric that speaks volumes about long-term investor sentiment is the quantity of Ethereum locked in staking contracts, which has recently soared to a new all-time high. Recent on-chain data indicates that nearly 30% of Ethereum's total supply is now staked on the network. As of mid-2025, more than 35 million ETH have been committed to validator nodes, a process that helps secure the network while allowing stakers to earn passive income. This trend, which has seen a notable acceleration in recent months, serves as a powerful indicator of long-term confidence. When investors, particularly large holders often referred to as "whales," stake their ETH, they are effectively removing it from the liquid, tradable supply. This reduction in available supply, frequently described as a "supply shock," means that any future increase in demand can have a more pronounced positive effect on the asset's price. This staking activity is widely interpreted as "smart money" placing a long-term bet on Ethereum's continued growth and success. These are not day traders reacting to minor price swings but rather institutional investors and seasoned crypto participants who are focused on the bigger picture. Their actions signal a deep-seated belief that the intrinsic value of the Ethereum network—as the foundational layer for decentralized finance (DeFi), non-fungible tokens (NFTs), and a vast ecosystem of other applications—will continue to appreciate over time. This accumulation is not limited to staking; the number of wallets with no history of selling has also reached a record high, collectively holding over 22.8 million ETH. This expanding pool of illiquid supply, driven by a firm belief in Ethereum's fundamental value proposition and its future roadmap, provides a strong counter-narrative to the short-term bearish technicals. It suggests that while the price may experience turbulence in the near term, a substantial and growing cohort of investors is prepared to hold through the volatility, thereby creating a solid foundation for future price appreciation. The Existential Question: Can Ethereum Outsmart a Quantum Apocalypse? While traders and short-term investors grapple with hourly charts and staking metrics, Ethereum's core developers are concentrating on a threat that is far more distant but infinitely more profound: the advent of quantum computing. The "Quantum Apocalypse" is a term used to describe the hypothetical future event—often called "Q-Day"—when a quantum computer becomes powerful enough to break the cryptographic algorithms that secure virtually all of our modern digital infrastructure. This includes blockchain networks like Ethereum and Bitcoin. Such a powerful machine could, in theory, reverse-engineer a user's private key from their public key, which would grant an attacker complete and unfettered control over their digital assets. For a multi-billion dollar ecosystem built on the unwavering promise of cryptographic security, this represents an existential threat of the highest order. However, the leadership within the Ethereum ecosystem, including co-founder Vitalik Buterin and the Ethereum Foundation, is not idly waiting for this threat to materialize. They are actively and transparently working to make the network quantum-resistant. Buterin has publicly addressed the issue, noting that prediction markets currently forecast the arrival of a cryptographically relevant quantum computer sometime between 2030 and 2035. This timeline provides a crucial window for the network to transition its security protocols to a more robust standard. The strategy to neutralize this threat is multifaceted and is a core component of Ethereum's long-term development roadmap. Key initiatives include: • Post-Quantum Cryptography: Researchers are diligently developing and testing new types of signature schemes that are designed to be resistant to attacks from both classical and quantum computers. Two of the most promising approaches are STARKs (Scalable Transparent Arguments of Knowledge) and lattice-based cryptography. STARKs, for instance, would allow users to prove ownership of their assets without ever exposing their private keys. • The "Lean Ethereum" Roadmap: Buterin and fellow researcher Justin Drake have put forth a vision for a "Lean Ethereum" that aims to simplify the blockchain's base layer. This simplification would not only make the protocol easier to audit and secure but would also facilitate the integration of post-quantum-ready signatures and other advanced defensive measures. • Emergency Hard Forks: In a worst-case scenario where a quantum threat emerges much sooner than anticipated, Buterin has suggested that an emergency hard fork could be deployed as a final line of defense. This would involve a network-wide upgrade where all users would be required to migrate their funds to new, quantum-resistant "smart" wallets, thereby rendering the old, vulnerable accounts obsolete. Buterin remains cautiously optimistic about the network's ability to navigate this challenge. The proactive stance, the commitment to public and transparent research, and the multi-layered defense strategy all demonstrate a deep commitment to ensuring Ethereum's security for decades to come. This effort aims to transform a potential apocalypse into a manageable, albeit complex, technological evolution. Conclusion: A Market at a Crossroads Ethereum currently stands at a fascinating crossroads, a point where short-term technical uncertainty is juxtaposed with immense long-term fundamental strength and remarkable foresight. The immediate price action is a toss-up, delicately balanced on the crucial $2,900 support level. A sustained dip below this line could send prices into a corrective wave toward $2,800 or lower, possibly to sweep liquidity before a stronger and more convincing rebound. Conversely, if this support holds firm, it could empower the bulls to decisively conquer the $3,000 barrier and set their sights on the formidable $3,200 resistance zone. When one zooms out from the daily noise, the picture becomes clearer and decidedly more bullish. The record-breaking amount of ETH locked in staking contracts paints a portrait of unwavering long-term conviction from sophisticated investors who are systematically reducing the available supply while simultaneously strengthening the network's security. This patient accumulation provides a powerful buffer against short-term market panic. Looking even further into the future, Ethereum's leadership is already waging a quiet war against the quantum threat, meticulously laying the groundwork for a post-quantum world. This long-range planning, while not a direct factor in today's price movements, underpins the network's potential for longevity and resilience. For the investor, the current dilemma—a rally to $3,200 or a pullback first?—is largely a matter of time horizon. The path of least resistance in the coming days and weeks remains ambiguous, clouded by liquidation levels and psychological barriers. But for those with a longer view, the on-chain data and the forward-thinking roadmap strongly suggest that Ethereum is not just building for the next bull run, but for the next generation of the internet. The current price turbulence, while unsettling, may ultimately be remembered as a minor tremor before a much more significant structural shift in value.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by bryandowningqln
QQQ July 14th 2025I failed to update my trade journal at the end of last week and am going to try to be better about it this week. I am going to try to keep these posts more brief so I can remain consistent and meet my goal of creating an accurate timeline of my trades. For this week, I am going in with a bullish bias, which is better supported on the PA for NASDAQ:QQQ instead of AMEX:SPY , so I will be trading it instead. The price is currently down 0.60% overnight, which would take the price near the bottom of the range ($550), which is outside of the channel. In this flat structure, we will either see the price break up after a liquidity test (spring) or break down in a true bearish reversal. +++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Neutral Analysis Renko: As my main chart, Renko clearly shows both scenarios, illustrated by the solid white (bullish) line and the dotted (bearish) line. For the bullish idea, the price will find a significant number of buyers after a false breakout to the downside. I switched from Traditional box sizes to ATR (14) filtered, and as you can see, the automatic rally (AR) after the peak did not have a significant retracement. We did not see a retest of the upper part of the range that could be considered a secondary test (ST) until some time later and when it did, the price rose back to the peak, indicating that buyers still had strength. From there, the price has been chopping around in Phase B without making much progress to the downside, which it will most likely reach on Monday in the form of a gap down. Additionally, the rising channel that led to this pullback is also a strong pattern, so this pullback should be treated as possible re-accumulation. If the price fails to reenter the channel or reach the top after a breakout below the range, it will likely sell off from there. 200R Chart: The range chart also supports that the secondary test was the retest of the top of the channel, a potential sign of strength. The price is still way above the 200MA, so the uptrend appears strong. One important area to watch is the volume gap from $548-$549 on the volume profile. If bulls cannot defend the gap, that could be a potential sign of weakness. 500R Chart: I am including this chart because it does provide a reason to be cautious of a pullback, or even a reversal. The price is at the top of the channel that began on April 9th. The last time the price tested the upper boundary, it formed a temporary top and pulled back, which we could see play out again here. The volume candles also show significantly higher interest since May 13th. This could either be due to increased interest from buyers or the distribution of shares, requiring more effort to move the price higher. Daily Chart: Here is another chart that suggests that the first movement that could be considered a secondary test was the retest of the top of the range. The price has been bouncing off monthly VWAP and Fisher Transform remains flat in the upper zone. We have not seen a bearish candle with intent on the daily chart. These have all been flat doji candles. Options: For this section, I can’t provide a good analysis of on-the-money options since the price is likely to gap down. I’m including 7/15 $550p since the price will likely open around that level and will need to move below the strike to see the premium rise significantly. The price of this contract was in a larger descending channel and will need a strong break above the top ($2.15) in order to signal further downside for $QQQ. According to my options calculator, this would require the underlying price to drop below $551 for an extended period. +++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Targets Calls: Open at $549; Close at $557; Stop below $548 Puts: Open $550-$552; Close at $544.50; Stop above $555
NASDAQ:QQQ
by ap769
INTC – Breakout Confirmed, Bullish Continuation Inside AscendingIntel NASDAQ:INTC has broken above previous resistance and a descending trendline, confirming a bullish reversal. Price is currently respecting an ascending channel and forming higher highs and higher lows. The breakout retest around $22.50 has held as new support. If the current structure remains intact, price could continue toward the $26.00–$26.50 resistance zone. A breakout above this zone opens the door for a move toward $28+. Key levels: Support: $22.50 (previous resistance) Resistance: $26.00–$26.50 Trend structure: Bullish channel Volume supports the trend, and price is trading above both the 50 SMA and 200 SMA. 📌 Watching for a pullback and continuation move inside the channel. This is not financial advice. Always do your own research.
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by Binhuseyn
5
AUD/USD: Bearish Pattern Hints at Downside MoveAUD/USD has struggled on pushes towards .6600 recently, including on Monday where a bearish reversal completed a three-candle evening star pattern—a notable topping pattern. While price signals ahead of major U.S. economic data during the Northern Hemisphere summer should be treated with extra caution, in an environment where trade uncertainty and geopolitical tensions are unlikely to be resolved in the near term, a short setup may be in order. Should AUD/USD push back towards minor resistance at .6558 without breaking above, shorts could be established beneath the level with a stop above for protection. .6490 screens as a logical initial target, aligning with the 50-day moving average with the July 7 low located just below. Some may look to enter around current levels, but given the caveats on the price signal, the preference is to let the setup come to you rather than forcing it. Good luck! DS
Short
by FOREXcom
1