Algorand (ALGO): Coin is Trading In Bullish Channel!Algorand seems to be in a bullish channel here where we might go for a re-test of the upper resistance zone (in midterm). Before that, we are looking for a downward movement in the local support trend!
More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
Swallow Team
Moving Averages
SHOP Go Long! Will it break out this time?Recently SHOP has retraced and held the 50% Fib level and has been trading within a channel where it is about at the mid point of it. The King Trading Momentum Strategy yesterday issued a buy signal. This strategy combines the 5 EMA crossing above the 13 EMA, RSI strength, favorable momentum as measured by ADX plus evaluating recent volume changes. It has been forming a bull flag on the hourly and pre-market suggests this may be ready to break out. I followed the signal and bought a half position, looking to protect the trade at take-profit of 4%. During backtest this proved to be an optimum area and a stop-loss of 3% is warranted. SHOP and over 100 equities are built into this script. If trade protects at 4%, a trailing stop-loss of 2% will be adhered to in order to lock in as much profit as possible if this stock breaks out of the descending channel! I'm thinking its not too late for me to add to this position given typical morning volatility.
Cycle similarity according to Pi-Cycle Top Risk/DeflectionAligning the bottoms of the Pi-Cycle Top Risk (PCTR)/Deflection (PCTD) indicator shows that this cycle has shown more similar behavior to the 2016-2017 cycle than the 2020-2021 cycle. So far we have had two major waves of the PCTR/PCTD, just as in the 2016-2017 cycle. The 2020-2021 cycle only had one. The third larger wave in the 2016-2017 cycle led to the blow-off top.
This is just one piece to the puzzle, but I think we are looking at a "smoother" cycle until the top (similar to 2016-2017), but I don't think we will get a blow-off top again in $BTC. I'm looking for more of a Wykoff distribution top like the first top in 2020-2021.
--Da_Prof
Semiconductor Index May Be Starting to MoveSemiconductors have outperformed by a wide margin since late 2023. Now, after a period of consolidation, some traders may expect the uptrend to continue.
The first pattern on today’s chart of the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index is the series of higher lows and lower highs since the summer. Prices began the year escaping to the upside and are now approaching their October peak. Clearing that level could be viewed as a potential breakout.
Second, the 50-, 100- and 200-day simple moving averages are essentially on top of each other after months of sideways movement. Could that convergence open the door to expansion?
Speaking of sideways movement, Rate of Change (set to 21 bars) in the lower study illustrates how SOX has more or less stopped moving over the last month.
Finally, the news flow may help chips after Broadcom (No. 2 in the index) and Taiwan Semiconductor (No. 3 in the index) rallied on strong earnings. Expectations could remain positive as industry leader Nvidia ramps Blackwell production.
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UXLINKhello friends
very very interesting chart on UXLINK, what a correction, huge and scary one for those who maybe forgot to set SL.
what will no happen with this kind of chart, i am thinking to wait few more hours, maybe i can open a long position during this night, or maybe tomorrow morning..
whatever you decide to do, never use more than 1/4 of your budget, low lev max x10 and always cross.
dyor
nfa
AAPL earnings next ThursdayApple Q1 earnings are on Thursday 1/30 at 4:30pm. Apple (AAPL) reported earnings of 1.64 per share on revenue of 94.93 billion for Q4 ending September 2024. The consensus earnings estimate was 1.49 per share on revenue of 94.48 billion. The company beat expectations by 0.61% while revenue grew 6.07% on a year-over-year basis.
The company said during its conference call it expects Q1 revenue to grow in the low to mid-single digits, or revenue of approximately 120.77 billion to 128.54 billion with gross margins of 46.0% to 47.0%, which calculates to earnings of approximately 2.19 to 2.47 per share.
This long AAPL trade idea is based off SMA200 support at 221, RSI is oversold and it's printing a bullish reversal hammer this morning. Therefore, it's a great long entry position with low risk & high probability, heading into earnings on next Thursday.
Q1 consensus:
EPS = 2.36
Revenue = 124.1 B
SMA200 = 221
Trade idea:
long = 222
stop = 219
profit = 240
Options data:
1/31 expiry
Put Volume Total 10,866
Call Volume Total 25,128
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.43
Put Open Interest Total 76,428
Call Open Interest Total 126,251
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.61
2/21 expiry
Put Volume Total 3,441
Call Volume Total 11,700
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.29
Put Open Interest Total 224,398
Call Open Interest Total 315,905
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.71
3/21 expiry
Put Volume Total 2,008
Call Volume Total 12,900
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.16
Put Open Interest Total 298,306
Call Open Interest Total 317,092
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.94
Sentiment Cycle Indicator (PAID for Life Time)The Sentiment Cycle Indicator is your ultimate companion in navigating the market. If you’re struggling to predict market movements, this indicator is here to help. As the name suggests, it operates entirely on market sentiments, identifying bullish, bearish, and sideways trends with unmatched clarity.
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EURUSD and return above EMA50EURUSD has stabilized on the bullish side after returning above the EMA 50 moving average. This brought the pair back above 1.04000, and we are closer to the resistance zone at around 1.04500. If we see a break above, we could move back above 1.05500. Failure of EURUSD to hold above 1.04500 will trigger another pullback down towards the EMA 50.
Running Out of Fuel - Retrace to Sub $20RKLB below the monthly EMA and RSI dipping below 50 is giving a big SELL signal after a massive runup in 2024 likely due to pressure from TNX and stop loss triggers.
Why RocketLab skyrocketed in 2024:
Rocket Lab's stock skyrocketed by over 360% in 2024, thanks to impressive achievements and solid growth. In Q3, they pulled in $104.8 million in revenue, beating expectations, though they still reported a small loss of $0.10 per share.
Big wins like opening a new engine facility in California and landing a massive $515 million contract with the U.S. Space Force gave investors plenty to cheer about. Plus, they're expanding into new markets like carbon composite products and making progress on their reusable rocket, the Neutron.
All this momentum has turned Rocket Lab into a rising star in the aerospace and defense world, with investors riding the wave of their success.
#ZECUSDT #1h (ByBit) Falling broadening wedge breakoutZcash regained 50MA support and broke out bullish on hourly, looks good for short-term recovery towards 200MA resistance and more.
⚡️⚡️ #ZEC/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: ByBit USDT
Signal Type: Regular (Long)
Leverage: Isolated (10.0X)
Amount: 4.8%
Current Price:
49.41
Entry Targets:
1) 48.62
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 52.63
Stop Targets:
1) 46.61
Published By: @Zblaba
$CRYPTO:ZEC BYBIT:ZECUSDT.P #Zcash #Privacy z.cash
Risk/Reward= 1:2.0
Expected Profit= +82.5%
Possible Loss= -41.3%
Estimated Gaintime= 2-3 days
Papa Johns Pizza | PZZA | Long at $37.00Warren Buffett goes for Dominos ( NASDAQ:DPZ ), but I'm here for Pappa Johns $NASDAQ:PZZA.
Pros:
Earnings are forecast to grow 10.92% per year
Revenue grew from $1.8 billion in 2020 to $2.1 billion through Q3 of 2024 - expected to continue to rise through 2027
Free cash flow expected to improve
5.1% dividend
A lot of options awarded to insiders in 2024 and limited selling
Technological advancements in AI/ordering/processing may reduce long-term costs
Technical analysis shows stock may be coming out of a downtrend in low $30's (but exercise caution - very early)
Cons:
Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow
Dividend is not well covered by free cash flows
May have some near-term struggles due to weakening economy
Technical analysis shows possible drop to the $20's if bad earnings/outlook are revealed (another personal buying opportunity)
While there may be some near-term economic headwinds, I like the stock and the future of companies like NASDAQ:DPZ and NASDAQ:PZZA as AI is integrated to reduce costs. Thus, at $37.00, NASDAQ:PZZA is in a personal buy zone.
Targets
$45.00
$50.00
$60.00
$100.00+ (very long-term outlook to close the existing price gaps on the daily chart)
Downtrend in Devon Energy?Devon Energy has been sliding for more than two years, and now some traders may expect another downward thrust.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the price area between $38.29 and $40.54. It was the range after the last earnings report on November 5. DVN mostly held the zone through early December before sliding to a four-year low. It’s now rebounded and could be pausing at the same spot. Has old support become new resistance? (It also roughly matches monthly lows from September and October.)
Second, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) has been under the 100-day SMA. Both are under the 200-day SMA. That’s potentially consistent with a longer-term downtrend in the oil-and-gas producer.
Third, stochastics have reached an overbought condition.
Finally, energy stocks have outperformed lately. Much of the strength resulted from moves by former President Biden. However incoming President Trump seems more focused on lower prices, which could pressure the sector again.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
PHUN Long Trade Expecting Continuation PHUN is in the advertizing business specializing in targeting consumers with smart filterning of
the ads tailored to their websurfing and data history. That said, it competes with Google,
Facebook, Snapchat and all the rest. it is far more volatile than them as a small cap company.
The trade is in capturing the volatility.
On a 120-minute chart, PHU was in a state of dormancy and almost no range in late 2023
but awoke in the current year. The all-the-highs are in the 80 range back in 2022. From the
highs of January to the recent low on March 1st, PHUN dropped more than 70% in 40 days or so.
On the chart, it has broken out of deep undervalued territory and is not situated near the
anchored mean VWAP and is at the POC line of the volume profile. It traded nearly 70
million shares about 20X the running average. I see this as an opportunity for a long
trade at or near the VWAP where institutionally based traders are likely to trade. The
volume and volatility make this obvious. A similar combination of volume and volatility last
occurred about January 16 and propelled the price more than 250% in 4 days. While a similar
move should not be expected, even 50% in 4 days is an excellent return for the risk taken.
I will set a stop loss of 10% for this volatile stock while targeting 18 and 22 from the VWAP
band lines on the chart.
Lockheed Martin | LMT | Long at $472.00Lockheed Martin $NYSE:LMT. The war machine keeps turning... while there may some temporary "peace" with the new Trump administration, it is just never (unfortunately) permanent.
The price has entered my historical simple moving average area. If there is a bounce, I expect it to be between the current price of $466.00 and $450.00. I've started a small position at $472.00 and will grab more shares if it hits $450. Now, if the aerospace and defensive industry goes through a downtrend with the new presidential administration, I expect the price to fill the daily price gap near the low $400s - which is only an even better bargain, in my opinion.
Target #1 = $500.00
Target #2 = $535.00
Target #3 = $610.00
CVS Health Corp | CVS | Long at $43Not much to write about here except the stock has reentered the "crash" simple moving average area (see green lines). Often, this signals an overall bottom, but it doesn't mean a further dip below $40 isn't possible in the near-term. Personally, I can't ignore this reentry and thus have started a position at $43 (after closing out a previous position in October in the $60's). The company has a lot of headwinds, but if Walgreens NASDAQ:WBA is also in trouble, is NYSE:CVS too big to fail in the short-term?
Target #1 = $53.00
Target #2 = $60.00
Target #3 = $65.00
Target #4 = $68.00