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Moving Averages

CADCHF | 130pipsAfter waiting a while another opportunity presents it's self Weak price in buyers at top with the same range, looking at a ~130pip drop. First I waited for buyers to break above resistance, and then to see what else they could do afterwards As price went on we saw buyers try to step back in but only for sellers to keep pushing down creating Lower Highs and Lower Lows This tells me buyers aren't too interested and could see sellers step in with more strength as time goes on. Price is also consolidating around SMA-150 exactly after the rejection which tells me price is building up for a reversal. Same rules apply: - Shorts Only - Setup will take 20 days start to finish - The actual trade will take 6 days +
Short
by Nathanl19
1
$SOL RSI Fully Reset! Could Very Well Have Seen the BottomI’ve been waiting a few days before posting an update on CRYPTOCAP:SOL to see if it forms a cluster that mimics the fractal before the Trump Pump. So far it has been playing out perfectly. I still think we might have a wick at the very least to retest $155, but it does not necessarily have to happen as we’ve already have some confirmed price action in that region. Main target is reclaiming the DMA9 and then prior Trend. The RSI has FULLY RESET, so we could very well have seen the bottom here.
CRYPTO:SOLUSDLong
by jonnieking
The Anticipation of Brent OilIn the bustling world of forex trading, Alex will be positioned at his screen, eyes fixed on the charts that pulse with potential. He will see Brent Oil at 76.20, and he will know that the price will touch a peak of 76.90. As he sips his coffee, he will remember the buzz in the trading forums: "Watch for any pullback." Pullbacks will be the key to unlocking great opportunities for those ready to act. With the blue EMA (Exponential Moving Average) just below the current price, Alex will feel a mix of excitement and tension. He will recognize that the blue EMA is his signal—a guiding line that could set the stage for a promising long trade. He will remind himself to be patient, recalling the strategy he has meticulously crafted over countless hours. The plan will be simple: wait for the price to pull back to the blue EMA before entering his position. He will know that this calculated move could lead to a rewarding trade, but he must remain vigilant. As he watches the price, he will notice a slight dip approaching the blue EMA. His heart will quicken; this could be the moment he’s been waiting for. He will prepare to act, fingers hovering over the mouse, ready to place his order as soon as the price touches that line. The market will be alive with possibilities, and Alex will feel the thrill of the impending trade. He will know that this moment could define his day, his week, even his trading career. As Brent Oil inches closer, he will hold his breath, waiting for the perfect opportunity to take his position and ride the wave back up. In that moment, anticipation will fill the air, and Alex will be ready to seize the chance that the market offers. The dance with Brent Oil will soon begin, and he will be poised for victory.
BLACKBULL:BRENTLong
by Rix1113
1
CYCLE 4 | Price %Change Extension from 20W SMABTC PRICE %Δ EXTENSION FROM 20W SMA ANALYSIS Similar to previous Analysis looking at 'Price %Change Extensions' from moving averages (see links below), we take a look at the respective relationship BTC has held with the 20W SMA over its existence. HISTORICAL BEHAVIOUR Observable in Prior cycles BTC has topped and bottom out at High Points and Low Point of this relationship. We can see over cycle periods the highs are sloping downward (indicating ATH of future cycles diminishing in nature is historically in line with this relationship). This is observable via the downward sloping green zone connecting cycle peaks in the BTC Price %Δ Extension from 20W SMA. For cycle bottoms (excluding the bloodbath of cycle 0), generally we see these occur ~around the 80% Price %Δ Extension region (see the red box below). CYCLE 3 VARIATIONS | THIS TIME WAS DIFFERENT It is notable that Cycle 3 was the first cycle where the high and low in this relationship occurred before the price All Time Low and High of Cycle 3, and in this instance the indicator displayed more divergent behavior (suggesting price momentum is reversing) with spikes of a lower high and higher low of this relationship indicating cycle 3 ATH and ATL. CYCLE 4 ATH TAKEAWAYS * A revisit of the Green Zone has historically coincided with a significant top or cycle ATH with prior price cycles. * If Cycle 3 behavior is the new norm, then a revisit of the green area may indicate price momentum reversal. This divergent behavior indicated BTC was setting the final ATH for cycle 3. * Either scenarios may play out again in Cycle 4 and may be a usual relationship to use with confluence of other relationships to identify Price / Market timing to take final profits. See Relevant Previous Posts Below
BNC:BLX
by Brodie
S&P 500 mostly neutral heading into summer 2025All the usual disclaimers: 1. I am not registered with FINRA. I am not a financial advisor. 2. Prior performance is not a guarantee of future performance. 3. This post is not and is not intended as financial advice. Instead, this post shares speculation upon hypothetical possible future outcomes. 4. This post uses purely doodling and technical analysis. It is not based to any extent upon education from news sources, information releases from underlying firms, nor upon microeconomic nor macroeconomic principles. 5. This scrying is unlikely to predict price action and VWAP vectors (direction and magnitude) within 50% accuracy over any specific interval. The gray scrying upon CME_MINI:ESH2025 foreshadows replay of VWAPs starting since November and December. Both converge in early summer 2025 that appears slightly bullish during their +3 month windows, but they also return to the current price zone of contention. Referring to "2. Prior performance is not a guarantee of future performance," even when lightning strikes multiple times, it never follows the exact same path. The daily normal range (orange for post, pre, and early trading) and daily extreme range (red for normal and late trading) boxes appear to have been sufficiently calibrated for ESH2025. They may need to be recalibrated each quarter.
CME_MINI:ESH2025
by TaggM
Sabre Corporation | SABR | Long at $3.00Sabre Corporation's NASDAQ:SABR earnings have slowly been improving since the pandemic and may be heading into profitability by 2025/2026. Disinterest in the stock may also be waning as the price creeps closer to my selected historical simple moving average (SMA, white and teal lines). Often, but not always, as the price nears this line, it jumps to make contact over a few weeks or months. Not to say that more volatility won't be ahead, but NASDAQ:SABR currently sits in a personal buy zone at $3.00. Target #1 = $4.00 Target #2 = $5.00 Target #3 = $6.70
NASDAQ:SABRLong
by WorthlessViews
Alibaba Group | BABA | Long at $80.00Alibaba Group NYSE:BABA has the potential for massive growth. From a technical analysis perspective (and using my selected simply moving averages (SMAs)), the price of NYSE:BABA is reconnecting with its primary SMA. It could ride this area for a while as it consolidates further, but this often means a future reversal of the downward trend. Thus, at $80.00, NYSE:BABA is in a personal buy zone. Target #1 = $89.00 Target #2 = $94.00 Target #3 = $107.00 Target #4 = $116.00 Target #5 = $305.00 (very long-term view...)
NYSE:BABALong
by WorthlessViews
Vistra May Have Shaken Off DeepSeek Vistra fell in January because of DeepSeek. It quickly rebounded and now some traders may expect its longer-term uptrend to continue. The first pattern on today’s chart is the rally between the low of January 27 and the high of January 30. The nuclear-power company has held above a 50 percent retracement of that bounce, which may confirm buyers remain in charge. Second, a pair of inside weeks may also reflect a lack of selling pressure. Third, prices have pushed against a falling trendline. Could that help confirm a breakout? VST’s 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) also stayed above its 21-day EMA despite the DeepSeek crash. Price have additionally held their 50-day simple moving average. Those patterns may be consistent with short- and intermediate-term uptrends. Next, the most recent set of weekly lows around $132 were above the September 30 trough near $115. Those higher bases may also reflect bullishness over the longer run. Finally, traders may see potential AI catalysts on the horizon with Nvidia reporting on February 26, followed by its big AI conference March 17-21. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:VST
by TradeStation
Bitcoin is walking a tightrope—stuck between $94,200 - $102,500 Bitcoin is walking a tightrope—stuck between $94,200 - $102,500 with $98,350 acting as the key pivot. Break & hold = 102K test. Rejection = potential drop to range lows. 1️⃣ Key range: $94,200 - $102,500 BTC can't break above $98,350 for half a month—building pressure. A clean breakout opens the door to $102K. Failure = possible sweep of range lows. 2️⃣ Election VWAP defense Bulls aggressively defending this level—a break could trigger fast downside. But so far, it’s holding like a fortress. 3️⃣Short-term signals Market structure shift (MSB) on the 1H chart. Demand zone slightly below current levels—possible liquidity grab for re-entry. 12H time frame also hints at a reversal setup. 4️⃣ The game plan? Hold above $98,350 = bullish breakout confirmation. Lose 12H support & election VWAP = watch for $94,200 retest. Patience > overtrading—market is moving like a coiled spring. How are you positioning? Waiting for a break or taking range trades?
Long
by Goldfinch_song
Trading with the 20 & 100 Simple Moving Averages (SMA) The Simple Moving Average (SMA) is a powerful trend-following tool that helps traders identify buy and sell opportunities. In this chart, we use: SMA 20 (Purple Line) → This moving average represents the average price of the last 20 candles. Since it reacts quickly to price changes, it reflects short-term momentum and helps identify early trend shifts. SMA 100 (White Line) → The 100-period SMA smooths out price action over a longer timeframe, reducing noise and showing the overall market direction. Trading Strategy: The Golden & Death Cross ✅ BUY Signal: The SMA 20 crosses above the SMA 100 → This is called a Golden Cross, and it indicates that recent prices are rising faster than the long-term trend, suggesting a shift toward bullish momentum. Traders see this as a buying opportunity since short-term demand is increasing ❌SELL Signal: The SMA 20 crosses below the SMA 100 → This is called a Death Cross, and it shows that recent prices are dropping below the long-term trend, signaling a potential bearish market shift. This suggests that sellers are taking control, increasing the likelihood of a downtrend. By using moving averages, traders can filter out market noise and trade with confidence.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by SmartSignalss
What I see using simple trend linesOn the daily time frame bitcoin is still in the consolidation range. The 10 21 and 50 moving averages are way above the 200. I'd like to see all four bunched tightly together before considering a long or short. If price action continues as it has then this could happen towards the end of March. On the 4hr time frame bitcoin has broken out of my descending channel and retested it but I don't think it can be sustained. It could be positive to see two daily candles close outside of this descending channel. But this could delay the next major rally beyond March. The 10 21 and 50 moving averages are way below the 200. Bitcoin needs to be heading to 100,000 for those moving averages to cross the 200. If bitcoin can reach 100,000 soon then this is potentially bullish. On the 45min time frame bitcoin remains in the other descending channel. If the 50 crosses the 200 then this is potentially bullish in the short term. But the 10, 21 and 50 moving averages have crossed the 200 a few times lately with no significant rally. My conclusion is bitcoin is going to remain in this range for several weeks. Price may tumble to 88,000 but it's nothing to be worried about. If price goes above 101,000 too soon I'd be cautious that it's a bull trap, while any price action below 88,000 could be a bear trap. I would expect the latter to happen just before the market is primed to rally to a new ATH, and the former will trick retail into thinking the bulls have taken control. It's a time for patience and having faith in your strategy.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by ZorosonD
SOL on the Slide: Is a Bounce from $150 in the Cards?Solana has been in a downtrend for over 30 days after reaching its ATH at $295.83. For the past two weeks, SOL was stuck in a trading range that formed a descending triangle (a bearish pattern) which eventually broke down, confirming the downtrend. Additionally, SOL lost its yearly support level at $189.31. Where is SOL heading next? Let's find out! Key Support Zone Our main long opportunity is around the $150 level, where several confluences align: Fibonacci Levels: The 0.5 fib retracement of the entire 5-wave structure sits at $151.92. The 0.786 fib retracement from the 5th wave is at $149.77. A fib extension 1.618 of the descending triangle is at $148.65, which is very close to the $150 mark. Volume Profile: The Point of Control (POC), highlighted by the red horizontal ray, is around $144, adding another layer of support. Trade Setup Currently waiting for SOL to reach the support zone between $152 and $144. An alarm is set when price nears these levels for a long opportunity.
Short
by SiDec
Ethereum 200 Weekly SMAEthereum interestingly is supported fairly well by the 200 Weekly SMA You could say any good investment if it goes below that type of line is a deal for sure. The farther away it is above the line its more over priced. Things can be a good distance away and still be a good deal but the fact that Ethereum is literally touching it in last two weeks means we need to pay attention. We might not see the same percentage gain as before away from that line later in year 2025 but it was a high raise between 500 to 800 percent above that line in 2021. Which is between 12k and 19k right now.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by DiscoverTheChain
#BTCUSDT #4h (Bitget Futures) descending channel breakoutBitcóin just regained 20EMA support, printing a three-white-soldiers pattern. Looks good for bullish continuation from here. ⚡️⚡️ #BTC/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: Bitget Futures Signal Type: Regular (Long) Leverage: Isolated (10.0X) Amount: 4.9% Entry Zone: 98356.7 - 97312.9 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 102615.4 1) 106215.9 1) 109816.3 Stop Targets: 1) 93834.3 Published By: @Zblaba CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITGET:BTCUSDT.P #4h #Bitcoin #PoW bitcoin.org Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.1 | 1:3.0 Expected Profit= +48.9% | +85.7% | +122.5% Possible Loss= -40.9% Estimated Gaintime= 1-2 weeks
Long
by TradingOn
1
Lam Research Pushes HigherLam Research has consolidated after dropping in July, but now traders may think the chip-equipment stock is coming back to life. The first pattern on today’s chart is the weekly close of $84.74 from August 23. LRCX tried to break that level in September and October without success. But the stock closed above it yesterday as the broader Nasdaq-100 climbed. Is it finally breaking out? Interestingly, the 200-day simple moving average is in the same approximate location. The stock additionally closed above it for the first time since last summer. Next is the rounded basing pattern around an earlier peak from July 2023. That may suggest old resistance has become new support. Finally, MACD is rising. The 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is also above the 21-day EMA. Those patterns could indicate a bullish short-term trend. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NASDAQ:LRCX
by TradeStation
SLM Volatility contraction bar entry& Median Line ExitAfter a month of sideways price action over the turn of the year, we get a new price high on the on the back of poor earnings. Price held and a low volume narrow range bar shows up. I would expect there should be more selling here but minor volume day. Take a long but stopped a few days later. However price comes back in early Feb after holding the 50EMA. Try another squat bar buy stop entry. Price target the ML as Dr. Andrews says, "Price makes it to the median line 80% of the time".
NASDAQ:SLMLong
by shane93676
$INDEX:BTCUSD Action Potential? End of Day decisionINDEX:BTCUSD We see BTC continue to eat people trying to long this market based on low timeframes. BTC is currently in an uptrend on the micro but overall there is a bearish cloud that continues combatting all growth I believe this is artificial and tonight's close below the sup/res area at 95,500 will see another test 0f the support trend line. if that breaks and cannot set new highs above the flipped sup/res trend that should open the way for a crawl towards 200EMA
by dasBoot