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Moving Averages

MY SPX500USD LONG IDEA 04/11/2024Direction: Long SL: 5,619.1 Checklist: - MA 20 going Upward - Break of Trendline - Fib level - Bounce from a Support/Resistance - Penetrate a Support/Resistance - Edgefinder Score - Correlation Confluence - Trading Central Preference Technical: 1. MA 20 Yellow is above MA 100 and 200 (Purple and Red). 2. No strong trendline reading but if it breaks my bullish purple line then price will go up. 3. Price bounced off from a Resistance zone. 4. FIB level 0.38 @ 5701.3 . 5. Tradingcentral tool signaling Rise on Time frames 15m,1h,4h and daily at the moment. 6. Q4 seasonality is bullish. Fundamental and economic: 1. I use Edgefinder tool which shows me a score of 2 "Neutral Bullish". 2. We have US elections coming up and regardless of which president wins it’s going to be bullish for USD and stocks. 3. US NFP came out horrible 12k but market wants a revision and is in a speculative state. 5. USD is on the rise after a recovery. 6. VIX spiked a little and is calming down.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by stingotho
MY EURUSD SHORT IDEA 01/11/2024Direction: Short SL: 1.0849 Checklist: - MA 20 going downward - Break of Trendline - Fib level - Bounce from a Support/Resistance - Penetrate a Support/Resistance - Edgefinder Score - Correlation Confluence - Trading Central Preference Technical: 1. MA 20 Yellow is falling to MA 100 and 200 (Purple and Red). 2. Red Trendline was broken recently. 3. Price bounced off from a Resistance zone. 4. No FIB level found. 5. Tradingcentral tool signaling DECLINE on Time frames 15m,1h,and 4h but it is bullish and signaling RISE on daily time frame at the moment. 6. Q4 seasonality is bullish actually but with a short term bearish. Fundamental and economic: 1. I use Edgefinder tool which shows me a score of -1 "Neutral Bearish". 2. We have US elections coming up and regardless of which president wins it’s going to be bullish for USD. 3. US NFP came out horrible 12k but market wants a revision and is in a speculative state. 4. EUR / DE10Y is falling. 5. USD is on the rise after a recovery. 6. VIX spiked a little.
Short
by stingotho
MY NAS100 LONG IDEA 31/10/2024Direction: Long SL: 1950-1966 Indicators: 1. MA (20,50,100,200) 2. Trendline - Algo 3. Support and Resistance 4. Fib Level 5. I also use MT5 - Tradingcentral tools Technical: 1. MA 20 still above 100 and 200 so I believe we still have room for bull run. 2. Red trendline was broken so we have a price drop but I also see a possibility for the price to and breakthrough the green trendline. 3. Price is dropping to a Support zone and I have a confirmation on Tradingcentral tool on MT5. 4. FIB level at golden zone. 5. Tradingcentral tool signaling DECLINE but price is bouncing off of the support area at the moment. Fundamental and economic: 1. US economic data is looking good we had a bunch of data that negatively impacted the prices but I think these are good retracement opportunities. 2. I use Edgefinder tool which shows me a score of 5 "bullish" on Nasdaq. 3. We are in Q4 and usually this is where we find good setups for long run.
VANTAGE:NAS100Long
by stingotho
2
MY COCOA LONG IDEA 01/11/2024*Did not enter this trade yet* Direction: Long SL: 7425.4 Indicators: 1. MA (20,50,100,200) 2. Trendline - Algo 3. Support and Resistance 4. I also use MT5 - Tradingcentral tools 5. Fib Time Frame: 4h (I also use other time frames mainly 1D because I like to trade for long period of time) Technical: 1. MA 20 (Yellow) is very bearish and below the MA 100 and 200 (Purple and Red) but I expect a reversal in this pattern. 2. Red trendline was broken previously so I'm looking for a breakthrough the green trendline. 3. Price respected the Support zone and is rising towards the fib level at 8216.2. 5. Tradingcentral tool signaling RISE on all time frames signifying a very bullish Price action. Fundamental and economic: 1. COCOA is a very tricky commodity but we can simplify this by looking at the COT data where they were short about 1-2 weeks ago making a short-term bearish setups and I think we are past that phase because in the long run COT is bullish on COCOA. 2. Q4 historically is bullish for this pair according to the seasonal indicator by Tradingview. 3. US Elections, Halloween, Winter season, and Christmas is an influence in the Demand of Cocoa.
VANTAGE:COCOALong
by stingotho
2
50 SMA Rising- Positional TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser. This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser. Its 50 SMA Rising Strategy. Suitable for Positional Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 50 days SMA if price close below 50 SMA then Exit or be in the trade some time trade can go for several months. Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market. Trade What you see not what you Think
NSE:MAHASTEEL
by AnsariTV
S&P biblical top? island top - falls back to 200 EMA weekly 22%S&P has made an island reversal It will at some point fall back to the 200 EMA on the daily or weekly 22% Bearish opportunity I think that a multi year top is now in place for this index, this first 22% down may trigger the topping process for this index as sentiment indicators are at record levels and retail participation is at an all time high. Plus money mngt firms are fully long with next to no spare money to invest in a dip. So like in the 1929 who is left to buy ? As per Jesse Livermore book 'Even the shoe shine lad said to the banker that he had bought stocks' and the banker went and sold out his entire holding and made himself rich as he realised there were no new buyers left everyone was all in just like now! May be Trump stops the Fed continually printing debt to use it to buy up the market? If debt is issued maybe they use it to buy stable coins now not the traditional markets which would lead to a huge multi year bear market for equities Good luck to all and stay safe! Luck is when opportunity meets a prepared mind!
SP:SPXShort
by William_Playfair
$SPY November 16, 2024AMEX:SPY November 16, 2024 For a change target came without much of drama. Could not short the previous day. So had no trade. For the week: 5 Minutes: We had multiple LL and managed to close HL HH pattern. Oscillator divergence can be seen. 9,21, 50 averages converged. So, expecting a bounce to 589 - 592 levels being 100 and 200 averages. 200 averages in 5 minutes could be a good level to short. SL 592.75 being 23.6% retracement for the rise 567.86 to 600.17. 15 Minutes: We can see a consolidation going on last 15 bars or so. Downtrend intact as below 50,100 and 20 averages. Again 590 to 593 represents 50 to 200 average range in 15 minutes too. 60 Minutes. Took support at 200 averages. For the fall 600.17 to 583.86 593-594 is a good level to short. it represents 61.8% of retracement for the fall. Daily: Took support of 21 average in daily. Holding 580 is important to continue uptrend taking the last rise into consideration from 567.89 to 600.17. If 580 is broke next support is 575-576 levels. It also represents 23.6% retracement for the rise 539.44 to 600.17. So next week range is Go long with SL 583.5 for 590-592 as target. or go short below 580 for 576+ as target SL 581.5
AMEX:SPY
by RiderTrader
Analyzing the Long Link: 200-Day Moving Average and Bullish MomeChainlink (LINK) has been making waves in the cryptocurrency market, particularly after its recent price action. The token, which facilitates secure and reliable data exchange between smart contracts and real-world data sources, has shown promising signs of a bullish trend. LINK's interaction with the 200-day Moving Average (MA) is a key indicator of this bullish momentum. This long-term moving average often is a significant support or resistance level for cryptocurrencies. When a cryptocurrency bounces back from this level after a correction, it can signal a strong bullish reversal. In the case of LINK, the token experienced a notable correction earlier this year. However, it has since rebounded and successfully reclaimed the 200-day MA. This bullish signal has ignited optimism among traders and analysts alike. Several factors contribute to the bullish sentiment surrounding LINK: 1. Strong Fundamentals: Chainlink's underlying technology and growing adoption within the DeFi ecosystem continue to drive its value. The platform's ability to provide reliable and tamper-proof data is essential for developing decentralized applications. 2. Institutional Interest: Institutional investors are increasingly recognizing the potential of blockchain technology, and Chainlink is emerging as a key player in this space. This growing institutional interest can lead to increased demand for LINK tokens. 3. Technical Analysis: Technical indicators suggest that LINK is poised for further upside. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently in oversold territory, indicating potential buying opportunities. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is crossing above its signal line, which is a bullish signal. 4. Market Sentiment: The overall market sentiment for cryptocurrencies has been positive recently, with Bitcoin and Ethereum leading the charge. This positive sentiment can spill over into other altcoins, including LINK. While the bullish outlook for LINK is promising, it's important to remember that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile. Traders should exercise caution and consider risk management strategies when investing in LINK or any other cryptocurrency. Potential Upward Targets: If LINK continues its bullish momentum and breaks above key resistance levels, it could potentially target the following price levels: • Short-term target: $10 • Medium-term target: $15 • Long-term target: $20 Key Support Levels: Traders should keep an eye on the following support levels: • Immediate support: $7 • Strong support: $5 Conclusion: LINK's recent bounce back from the 200-day MA, coupled with strong fundamentals and positive technical indicators, suggests a strong bullish trend. While the cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, LINK's potential for growth makes it an attractive investment for both short-term traders and long-term investors. Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. It's essential to conduct thorough research and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
COINBASE:LINKUSD
by bryandowningqln
1
Walt Disney Co | DIS | Long at $84.00The Walt Disney Co NYSE:DIS is wrapped up in bad press and is predicting a future decline in theme park revenue (recession red flag...). However, the company has historically had tricks up its sleeve to return to prominence in an ever-changing entertainment environment (last was streaming). The potential of AI and robotic technology benefiting Disney is huge. The recent dip to $84.00 is a personal buy zone. A word of caution: there may be an amazing opportunity near $50.00 if the "recession" is announced and the company, like other entertainment industries, take a massive hit. That's where the true opportunity lies for this American staple. At $84.00, though, a "starter position" is my mindset until the stock rotates to an upward trend. Target #1 = $110 Target #2 = $127 Target #3 = $135 Target #4 = $182 (long-term view...)
NYSE:DISLong
by WorthlessViews
2
Is Marathon Oil Getting Ready to Run?Energy stocks are outperforming this month, and some traders may think Marathon Oil is getting ready to run. The first pattern on today’s chart is the relatively tight range that’s formed since the spring. MRO has remained above the May low of $25.50 and below a gently falling trendline. Prices have pushed against resistance for more than a week. That could make some traders watch for a potential breakout. Second, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) had a “golden cross” above the 200-day SMA in April and has remained there since. Is the longer-term trend getting more bullish? Finally, our 2 MA Ratio in the lower study shows the 8-day exponential moving average has crossed above the 21-day EMA. That may suggest its short-term trend is getting more bullish. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
M
by TradeStation
1
$SPY November 14, 2024AMEX:SPY November 14, 2024 15 Minutes. We are in an interesting setup. Foe the fall 600.17 to 594.37 AMEX:SPY retraced 599 levels. That is 78% retracement of the fall. Also, we have a 599 top earlier on 12th November too. And for the rise 594.99 to 599.23 AMEX:SPY has retraced 61.8% to 596 levels. Both denotes a limit of double top or double bottom being 599 or 594. So, until this range is broken, I have no trade on either direction. Today we will have a one-sided Thursdays move as usual. My downside is limited to 590 592 levels. So, I will not take any shorts yet. If 592 is broken, then I will look for 586-584 as target. That represents 38% to 50% retracement for the rise 567.89 to 600.17. 585 at the moment is also 100 averages in 60 minutes time frame.
AMEX:SPYShort
by RiderTrader
3
Potential Downtrend in UPSUnited Parcel Service has been falling since the middle of last year, and some traders may see risk of another acceleration to the downside. The first pattern on today’s chart is the arrangement of the 50-, 100- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs). The faster SMAs have mostly remained below the slower ones, which is potentially consistent with a long-term downtrend. Second, the series of higher highs and higher lows since August may be viewed as a potential bearish flag. Further declines from here may suggest a breakdown is occurring. Third, UPS spiked toward $145 after the last quarterly report in October but quickly faded. That potentially confirmed resistance near the July 22 close, one day before a bearish earnings gap. Next, MACD is falling. The 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has also crossed below the 21-day EMA. Both of those patterns may suggest the short-term direction is growing bearish. We end with the weekly chart. The October 2023 low around $134 offered support in June. Prices tried to reclaim it last month but are now back below it. Is that longer-term level breaking? TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:UPS
by TradeStation
ASHOKLEY NSE BULLISH FLAG&POLE DTF/WTF SWING/POSITIONAL ASHOKLEY NSE Stock Analysis Trade Plan: Entry: 50% of the total quantity at 216 DTF Close, with an additional 50% added at 242 DTF Close Price. Stop Loss: 201 Target SWING: 264 ATH , Target 1: 275 Target 2: 310 Hold for a period of SIX months to TWO year or until the target 2 is reached. Chart Pattern: The stock had a nearly Four Month Bullish Run and now Retraced to 50% FIOBR in about a month Forming a Bullish Flag and Pole Pattern ,during the bull run it touched an all-time high (ATH) of 264. The Flag structure has been broken on the upside with a strong bullish candle a couple of days ago and a fair retracement yesterday. Technical Indicators: The stock’s daily timeframe (DTF) shows that the price is currently trading above the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) and below the 50-day EMA. The EMAs are in Transition stage of alignment. A potential bullish trend in formation on the DTF/WTF timeframe. Volume Analysis: There has been a surge up of volumes on the buy side for a few weeks now. There Decline in the sell volume indicating a potential reversal shortly. Prioritize Watch List: Keep this stock in your watch list for further analysis and potential trading opportunities. Disclaimer: This information is solely for educational and reference purposes. Trading inherently carries risks, and it’s crucial to exercise caution and conduct comprehensive research before making any investment decisions. Make sure you have a well-defined risk appetite, proper position sizing, and a stop-loss order based on your risk tolerance. Review your Portfolio periodically. Exit positions when the price closes 7-8% below your entry point or Earlier basis your Risk profile. Consider re-entering the market when the trend reverses.Before engaging in any trading activities, it is paramount to thoroughly comprehend these technical analysis concepts and conduct extensive research on the stocks you are interested in. Furthermore, consulting a certified financial advisor can offer valuable insights and guidance before making investment decisions. Technical Analysis Concepts: Multiple Time Frame Analysis (MTFA): Daily Time Frame (DTF): Used for short-term analysis and identifying trends. Weekly Time Frame (WTF): Provides a broader perspective and helps in trend confirmation. Monthly Time Frame (MTF): Ideal for long-term analysis and trend analysis. All-Time High (ATH): The highest price reached on a specific chart. Lifetime High (LTH): The highest price reached over the entire chart’s history. Stop Loss (SL): A predetermined price level at which an investment is automatically exited to limit potential losses. Swing Trade: A trading strategy that involves holding positions for a significant period, typically few weeks to months. Positional Trade: A trading strategy that aims to capitalize on long-term trends and position oneself accordingly. CHART PATTERNS Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle (RBC&H): A pattern that signals a potential reversal from a downtrend. Breakout (BO): A price move closure above a resistance or below a support level. Flag & Pole BO: (F&P BO) Bullish Continuation Pattern Consolidation : Price Typically Swings between a Range for a period of Time Long or Short basis the MTFA. Breaking out of this range UPWARDS is an opportunity to BUY and DOWNWARDS is SELL opportunity. Moving Averages: Exponential Moving Average (EMA): A popular moving average that places more weight on recent price data. Volume-Weighted Moving Average (VWMA): A moving average that gives more weight to high-volume stocks. Fibonacci Retracement/Extension: Trend-based Fibonacci Retracement: Used to identify potential support and resistance levels during re-tracements. Trend-based Fibonacci Extension: Used to identify potential breakout levels during extensions.
NSE:ASHOKLEYLong
by billpramod