Buy targets for TRUMPFor those who missed last night's pump looks like there's opportunity for a dip if you want in.
Moving Averages
Lockheed Martin NYSE:LMT
Lockheed Martin has had multiple large consolidations it has bounced back from. This consolidation seems to be getting a bit overplayed here as they continue to keep getting more contracts. The uncertain news with the defense spending is not all that bad and actually if the company continues to increase its net margin each quarter/year, the future looks good for Lockheed Martin. Making advanced technology while improving net income and net margin can prove to make Lockheed Martin a consistent winner of defense contracts. If budget cuts to defense spending do happen, it is not wise to assume Lockheed Martin is going to be negatively impacted as with talented engineers there is always room for innovation to make new high net income and net margins.
As for the Chart, It has had a fantastic run in 2024 and dollar cost averaging when a stock has the 50 day moving average significantly below its 100 day moving average and 200 day moving average is usually a good thing to do.
Consolidation period. There is a Fib level below it could bounce off of. Good thing to look for is when the stock goes above its 50 day moving average. The 100 day may cross below 200 day moving average, so that is something to watch for as well. Not a bad idea adding here and dollar cost averaging. Good company and I like the future of this stock on a longer timeframe.
BATMAN Formation Gold has appread to be down to 2788 USDThis chart provides a 4-hour timeframe analysis of the Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) pair, indicating several technical aspects and current market conditions.
Price Action and Trend Analysis:
Current Trend: The chart shows a recent bearish movement as indicated by the sharp red candle that breaks below the previous consolidation area and moving average lines. This could suggest a potential reversal or pullback in an otherwise bullish context.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance is potentially around $2,907 and $2,900, highlighted by the MA Ribbon lines.
Immediate support is near the $2,850 mark, as shown by the lower green zones and moving averages.
Technical Indicators:
Moving Average (MA) Ribbon:
The price has fallen below the MA Ribbon, suggesting a potential shift in momentum from bullish to bearish in the short term. Watch for these averages as dynamic resistance levels on potential pullbacks.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
The MACD line is below the signal line and moving into negative territory, indicating increased bearish momentum. The expanding histogram in the negative region further supports this view.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
The RSI is near 41, which is below the midpoint of 50, suggesting bearish momentum. It is not yet in the oversold region (below 30), which indicates that there may still be room for further downside.
Volume:
There appears to be a notable volume spike associated with the recent price drop, which can be seen as validating the bearish move.
Market Sentiment and Potential Strategy:
Short-Term Bearish Signal: The break below key moving averages and the recent bearish candle supported by increased volume suggest that bears are currently in control. Traders might consider looking for short opportunities on pullbacks to resistance levels.
Watch for Potential Reversal: Keep an eye on the RSI and MACD for any signs of divergence or flattening that may suggest weakening bearish momentum. If the price stabilizes or rebounds at the $2,850 support, it could indicate a possible reversal or retracement back towards the moving averages.
Risk Management:
Ensure proper risk management strategies are in place, considering stop-loss orders above the recent swing high or around the MA Ribbon resistance levels. Adjust positions according to real-time market feedback and changes in technical indicators.
$INDEX:BTCUSD Death Cross Potential - 200 EMA test imminent INDEX:BTCUSD
BTC has been stagnant since the initial excitement over the political landscape got brought back to earth through the talk of steep tariffs by the US on imports from its main suppliers and trading partners. The DEEPSEEK bomb went off around the same time sending the big buyers to put a pause on accumulating crypto and we have seen the this translate into a very weary market.
And Now because of investor insecurity smart money is waiting for the price to fall to take advantage of the fear that we are witnessing the end of the cycle and 20k btc is around the corner. No Such luck, however we do get a nice DEATH CROSS on the daily looking like weekend price movement is bound to see selling pressure that will drive the 20 EMA below the 50 EMA which will see bearish results in price and pressure to trend downwards
Anyone reading my Posts knows that I've been eyeing the 200 EMA on the daily as a zone that we are bound to visit before the market can continue to increase and set higher highs. I've previously given my reasons why in previous posts ie. convergence, fvg, support. I believe this could be the pressure that will drive is into those mid to low 80k areas that seemed so far away a few weeks ago, low 70's are also in play if we can't hold the 200 EMA or the psychological 80k support . I believe that enough buyers are waiting down there for those fire sale prices that once we do hit the 200 EMA it will be paramount to assess market conditions before going full in on the bounce likely to take place around 84,500k the 200 EMA's relative area that ties into the liquidity in the FVG.
OM's Meteoric Rise: Time to Buy the Dip or Short the Top?OM has been on an astronomical journey, soaring from $0.0173 on 12 October 2023 to an all-time high of $6.485 on 7 February 2025 – a jaw-dropping +37,494% increase in just 484 days. Currently ranked 26 with a market cap of $5.5B, OM’s meteoric rise has everyone asking: Is OM topping out, or is there still more upside? Could a significant correction be on the horizon? Let’s dive into the technicals and explore our trade setups with high conviction, backed by a wealth of confluence.
Market Structure & Historical Context
Between mid-November 2024 and the end of January 2025, OM traded within a 70-day range, oscillating between $4.4 and $3.3. The Point of Control (POC) for this range is around $3.87, marking a critical level where price action has repeatedly converged. This trading range provides the backdrop for our analysis, highlighting both key support and potential resistance zones that may dictate OM's next move.
Key Support Zones & Confluence
A multitude of technical indicators converge around the $3.87 level, making it a crucial support area:
1.) Fibonacci Retracement Confluence:
Taking the Fibonacci retracement from the low at $3.173 (25 January 2025) to the recent high, the 0.786 retracement level lands at $3.8818—just a hair above our POC.
2.) Channel Median Line:
The median line drawn through the highs and lows of the 70-day trading range reinforces the significance of this area.
3.) Moving Averages:
The weekly 21 EMA/SMA currently sits between $3.63 and $3.31, and as they trend higher, we can expect them to approach $3.9 in the coming week, offering additional support.
4.) Trend Indicator (Beta):
On the 4-hour timeframe, my new upcoming Trend Indicator highlights bullish momentum edging around $3.75, further consolidating support.
5.) Fibonacci Extension:
The 1.271 Fibonacci extension from the previous low at $4.4 places a key level at $3.8329, adding yet another layer of confluence.
Collectively, these factors create a robust support zone, suggesting that any retracement towards this level might serve as an attractive entry point for long positions.
Resistance Levels & Trade Setups
Resistance Analysis
OM has repeatedly faced strong resistance near the $6 mark:
Rejection Patterns:
The chart reveals multiple rejections around $6, with a notable Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) at $6.295 that confirmed bearish pressure.
Short Trade Opportunity:
Previously, the rejection at $6.295 offered a low-risk short trade: risking about 3% for a potential gain of 17% to the Fibonacci retracement level of 0.618 (approximately $5.1965), which was nearly reached.
Potential Trade Setups
Short Trade Setup
With OM encountering strong resistance around $6 and historical rejections at key levels, a breakdown could spark further downward movement.
Entry & Stop Loss:
Entry: Initiate a short position if price fails to break decisively above $6.
Stop Loss: Set a 5% stop loss above the previous SFP.
Targets & Risk/Reward:
Targets: Consider targets at $4.7 (yielding approximately +22%) or $4.0 (around +34%).
Risk/Reward: This setup offers an impressive risk/reward ratio of 4:1 to 6:1.
Long Trade Setup
The multiple layers of support around $3.87 present an attractive opportunity for long entries should the price retrace, despite the overall bullish structure. Historically, OM has bounced off its 21 daily EMA/SMA, as marked by previous green box zones on the chart.
Entry Strategy & Laddering:
Entry: Look for long entries if price pulls back to the support zone.
Laddered Positions: Consider scaling in with positions between $4 and $3.75. This dollar-cost averaging (DCA) approach will help optimise your entry over the pullback.
Stop Loss & Target:
Stop Loss (SL): Set your stop loss below $3.58 to account for volatility while protecting against a breakdown.
Take Profit: Target the $4.5 level as your primary take profit.
Risk/Reward:
With laddered entries between $4 and $3.75, this setup provides an approximate risk/reward ratio of 2:1, though the exact ratio will depend on your specific DCA entry points.
Final Thoughts
Only execute shorts with clear confirmation from order flow analysis.
Conversely, a pullback towards the support zone presents an appealing long opportunity for those confident in OM’s enduring momentum.
As always, it’s essential to monitor price action closely and adjust your strategy as new data unfolds.
Okay. Wrapping up this analysis. Wishing you all profitable and successful trades! =)
GoodRX | GDRX | Long at $5.00GoodRX NASDAQ:GDRX . Going long at $5.00.
Pros:
Revenue is growing and is expected to reach almost $1 billion by 2027
Debt-to-equity = 0.71x (low)
Monthly active users continue to increase (+7% during Q3 of 2024)
From a technical analysis perspective, the downward trend is starting to reverse, and the price has connected with my historical simple moving average (likely leading to a price increase)
Cons:
Not yet profitable
A lot of market competition
Insiders exercising of options outweighs awarding of options
No dividend
Targets:
$6.00
$7.00
$8.00
Substantially higher if partnerships emerge and profitability begins
Papa Johns Pizza | PZZA | Long at $37.00Warren Buffett goes for Dominos ( NASDAQ:DPZ ), but I'm here for Pappa Johns $NASDAQ:PZZA.
Pros:
Earnings are forecast to grow 10.92% per year
Revenue grew from $1.8 billion in 2020 to $2.1 billion through Q3 of 2024 - expected to continue to rise through 2027
Free cash flow expected to improve
5.1% dividend
A lot of options awarded to insiders in 2024 and limited selling
Technological advancements in AI/ordering/processing may reduce long-term costs
Technical analysis shows stock may be coming out of a downtrend in low $30's (but exercise caution - very early)
Cons:
Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow
Dividend is not well covered by free cash flows
May have some near-term struggles due to weakening economy
Technical analysis shows possible drop to the $20's if bad earnings/outlook are revealed (another personal buying opportunity)
While there may be some near-term economic headwinds, I like the stock and the future of companies like NASDAQ:DPZ and NASDAQ:PZZA as AI is integrated to reduce costs. Thus, at $37.00, NASDAQ:PZZA is in a personal buy zone.
Targets
$45.00
$50.00
$60.00
$100.00+ (very long-term outlook to close the existing price gaps on the daily chart)
Potential Bear Flag in Energy ETFThe SPDR Energy Select Sector ETF has wavered for almost a year, and some traders may expect a push to the downside.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of lower highs since mid-November. December also saw a lower low versus September. That may reflect a bearish longer-term trend.
Next, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) had a “death cross” below the 200-day SMA in late 2024. Those two SMAs, plus the 100-day SMA, are close to each other on the chart. Could that long neutral period create potential for prices to start moving?
Third, MACD is falling and the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is below the 21-day EMA. Those patterns may reflect bearishness in the short term.
Finally, the recent series of higher lows may be viewed as a bearish flag. If it resolves to the downside, December’s 52-week low of $82.75 could be viewed as the next logical support.
Standardized Performances for the ETF mentioned above:
SPDR Select Sector Energy ETF (XLE)
1-year: +5.07%
5-years: +64%
10-year: +18.82%
(As of January 31, 2025)
Exchange Traded Funds ("ETFs") are subject to management fees and other expenses. Before making investment decisions, investors should carefully read information found in the prospectus or summary prospectus, if available, including investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Click here to find the prospectus.
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Vertex Pharmaceuticals Pulls Back After RallyVertex Pharmaceuticals ended January with a big rally. Now, after a pullback, some traders may see an opportunity.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the price gap on January 31 after the FDA approved its Journavx painkiller. (It’s the first of its kind to treat pain in a unique way without addiction risks.) The stock has retraced the surge, which may appeal to dip buyers.
Second is the October 7 close of $448.60. VRTX held that level in late November and again on December 18 before gapping down. The stock is now trying to stabilize in the same location, suggesting support may remain in effect.
Next, the MACD surge in January could reflect bullish short-term momentum. Prices are also trying to hold the rising 21-day exponential moving average.
Finally, VRTX is near its 50-, 100- and 200-day simple moving averages. That may create potential for the longer-term trend to accelerate if the short-term strength continues.
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$SPY February 13, 2025AMEX:SPY February 13, 2025
Yesterday also gap analysis. But took support at daily averages 598 levels as mentioned in the previous day analysis.
For the rise 598.52 to 604.55 holding 602 levels is important today.
At the moment AMEX:SPY weak below 600 levels for a possible target 597.5 598 levels for the day.
YENThis Is A Trend Test Copy My Chart
Passed 2 $50k TopStep Challenges During London Session Now I Have 3 Live $50k Accounts. (You Can Have Up To 5 Accounts) I Have A Futures Trading Bot That Will Help You Get Funded. If Want More Info Just HMU!
Salesforce May Be OversoldSalesforce broke out in November. Now, after a period of consolidation, some traders may see potential for more upside in the software giant.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the March 2024 high of $318.71. CRM probed that level after the election and again in January. Prices have returned to it this week. Will old resistance become new support?
Second, the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) crossed above the 200-day SMA in late November and has approached the stock from below. Those signals may be consistent with a new uptrend that has potential for continuation.
Third, stochastics have dipped to an oversold condition. Investors may now watch for a crossover to signal a potential turn.
Finally, earnings are due after the closing bell on February 26.
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WORM. Long. Live. Worm.$WORM is fully bottomed as I suggested earlier. Now bifurcation point is coming... V-rebound/bottomed and I am more than sure that if price reaches channel top - a wild fomo will begin and $WORM just began his billion run with V2, sirs.
Long. Live. $WORM.
$SPY February 12, 2025AMEX:SPY February 12, 2025
15 Minutes
Yesterday Gap down not held.
Low was not broken.
For the last rise 603.1 to 605.85 4SPY need to hold 604 levels today for uptrend to continue.
On downside we have strong support at 603 levels being 200 average and 9 day moving average in daily and 600-601 being 21 days in daily.
So, I see a range trade today between 603 to 606.5 ot 607 levels on upside.
$TOTAL Close Lackluster - What This MeansCrypto CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL Market Cap closes another day in its lower range $3.1T, failing to break the 9DEMA.
The TOTAL chart is not given enough credit because most do not understand it.
It’s best used to let us know how much money is sloshing around from narrative to narrative.
Once it definitively breaks that $3.7T range, then a rising tide raises all ships and it's ALTSEASON folks 🚀
Godrej Properties - H&S Pattern to reach 1600Godrej Properties has confirmed Head & shoulder pattern breakdown.
With this breakdown, following targets possible.
2000 / 1885/ 1750 / 1600
SL: 2470
Can Micron Undo the DeepSeek Selloff?Micron Technology plunged two weeks ago when China’s DeepSeek model disrupted Silicon Valley. But some traders may see potential for a rebound.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the gap from Monday, January 27. Does that empty space create potential for prices to fill?
Second is the September 12 low at $84.12. MU remained above the level despite the DeepSeek fears. That higher low on the weekly timeframe may be consistent with resumption of a longer-term uptrend.
Third, cautious guidance drove prices lower in December but the memory-chip maker held its September low. That could reflect optimism about business improving.
Next, the stock is below its 200-day simple moving average (SMA). Given secular growth in its business thanks to AI, some investors may see a long-term value opportunity.
Finally, MU has traded an average 215,500 options contracts per day in the last month. (It’s the 13th most active underlier in the S&P 500 in that time, according to TradeStation.) That could help traders looking to position for a rebound with vertical spreads.
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KO Earnings incomingonly a beginner trader and this is not financial advice. I am only using Trading views paper version for practice and have seen a lot of videos on social media regarding boycott of KO after the recent ICE raids. The earnings is for last year Q4 but I feel even if earnings is beat we could see a down fall before a long bullish run. I could be wrong and please share any ideas or tips if you have any.
OMNOM. Bullish Pin Bar/Hammer.If CRYPTOCAP:BTC don't highly dumping, $OMNOM could return to trading range within a few weeks breaking a three-month downtrend which is about 70% . Return to the previous local high is 1,100% . Also, we can interpret this candle as a Bullish Pin Bar with some consolidation or a Hammer. Here, sellers could lose control over the price and there is a high probability that we will see a trend change.
$SPY February 11, 2025AMEX:SPY February 11, 2025
15 Minutes.
AMEX:SPY faced resistance around 604-605 levels being 61.8% retracement number.
We have 3 values.
The rise from 600.05 to 605.5
The last rise from 603.21 to 605.5
And the fib extension 600.05 to 605.36 to 603.21
For the first rise important to hold 602 levels to continue uptrend.
For the second number being the latest rise must hold today 604 levels.
A close below 604 will be supported by 602 levels. So not a day to short.
If we take the extension move, we have targets between 606 to 608 today.
Once 608 is broken and held at least 15 minutes the target will be 611-612 levels.
Figs Inc | FIGS | Long at $5.24Figs Inc $NYSE:FIGS. Technical analysis play first, fundamentals second.
My selected historical simple moving average lines have converged with the stock price, which often leads to sideways trading and a reversal in the downward trend (i.e. future price increase). The downward trend is flattening, but that doesn't mean post-earnings drop to $1.50-$2.00 isn't out of the question...
The FIGS brand is growing within the healthcare world with significant opportunities overseas. While economic headwinds may impede near/medium-term growth, revenue is anticipated to grow into 2027. EPS is expected to rise from 0.01 in 2024 to 0.20 by 2027. While this is not a "value" play and there is high risk for rug pulls, something may be brewing within the chart for a move up. Tread lightly, however...
Targets
$6.00
$6.40
$7.00
$8.00
Estee Lauder | EL | Long at $67.33Reentering Estee Lauder at $67.33 due to the persistence of the Director, Paul Fribourg, buying around $33,000,000 worth of shares between $63-$66 (even after the earnings debacle). While the company had a horrendous outlook for FY2025, the bad news may be already priced in (i.e. cutting 7,000 jobs, weak sales, etc.). A "profit recovery and growth plan" is underway, so buckle up for the high risk of further declines in stock price in the near-term. Personally, a buy and hold at $67.33 with the primary thesis being global expansion (recovering Chinese market) or potential buyout into 2027.
Targets
$80.00
$86.00
