Oil Futures Moving into Bear Market?Oil futures recently broke down from a long-term wedge, following a failed breakout at the start of the year, and a recent death cross of its 50/200 weekly EMAs and MAs.
It looks to flip long-term bearish here unless we see a rapid recovery of the wedge, the EMAS/MAs and a subsequent breakout.
It could lose half its value or even 2/3rds if it hits TP 1 and then TP 2 over the next weeks and months to come.
Moving Averages
Is DOGE About to Crash Hard From This Trap Zone? Read Before LONYello Paradisers — could this be the perfect bull trap setting up before a bigger drop? Our previous analyses warned about these kinds of setups, and once again, DOGEUSDT is flashing multiple signals that suggest a high-probability reversal could be just around the corner.
💎Currently, DOGEUSDT is trading right inside the golden Fibonacci retracement zone, a level that often acts as a powerful area of rejection. What makes this zone even more significant is the confluence of additional bearish indicators aligning at the same point. Both the 100 and 200 EMAs are present, reinforcing dynamic resistance, and there are clear Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) visible on both the 4H and Daily timeframes. On top of that, a bearish divergence has now formed, signaling early exhaustion in bullish momentum and further reinforcing the potential for a downside move.
💎When these elements align, the probability of a rejection increases substantially. However, we’re not jumping in blindly. If DOGEUSDT starts to bounce from here and shows weakness—such as stalling below resistance—then we’ll be closely watching for confirmation patterns like a double top or a head and shoulders. These would not only validate the bearish narrative but also offer significantly better risk-to-reward ratios for short setups.
💎That said, every setup has its invalidation. If price breaks and closes candle above our invalidation level, then the entire bearish scenario must be considered void. In that case, the best approach would be to stand aside and wait for a cleaner structure to form before taking any action. There’s no reason to force a position in uncertain conditions.
If you want to be consistently profitable, you need to be extremely patient and always wait only for the best, highest probability trading opportunities.
MyCryptoParadise
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Gold is Bullish, Target 3030-3060At the market open today, we signaled a buy opportunity near the 2980 level for gold. Since then, the price has surged over $30, and those who followed the strategy have already secured solid profits.
Gold is now approaching a short-term resistance, so a minor pullback may occur. However, the overall uptrend for the day remains intact, and our strategy continues to favor buying on dips.
Based on the current chart pattern, there's potential for the price to rise toward the 3030–3060 zone later today.
Stay alert for retracement opportunities, manage your position size wisely, and trade with discipline.
If you missed this entry, don’t worry — the next opportunity is just around the corner!
Iluka Resources Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Iluka Resources Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* EMA Settings | Completed Survey
* 012345 Wave Feature | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* 0.5 Area Retracement | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) + Wave (5)) | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Indexed To 100
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 53.00 AUD
* Entry At 48.00 AUD
* Take Profit At 35.00 AUD
* (Downtrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Sell
$SPX Flirting With a Bear Market alongside $QQQ NASDAQ fell another 4% touching down 26%
S&P 500 walking a tight rope falling 21% to play with the idea of a Bear Market, but has rebounded a bit.
NASDAQ:QQQ did have a stronger response from buyers than SP:SPX
Nonetheless, we would need several WEEKLY closes sub 20% losses to enter a textbook Bear Market.
Chewy Inc Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Chewy Inc Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* (Cup & Handle Structure)) | Completed Survey
* Wave (4)) Ongoing Entry | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* 0.786 Area Retracement | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Indexed To 100
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 148.00 USD
* Entry At 135.00 USD
* Take Profit At 116.00 USD
* (Uptrend Argument)) & Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Neutral
Hang Seng Bull Market ImplodesHong Kong’s Hang Seng is imploding with the price cascading lower after breaking support at 22,570 earlier today. The subsequent unwind saw 21,728 and 21,377 melt like a hot knife through butter before the price eventually bounced at 20,535 — another minor level that acted as both support and resistance earlier this year. That makes it an initial level of interest for those contemplating setups involving Hang Seng futures.
A clean break of 20,535 would put a retest of minor levels such as 19,718 and 19,430 on the table. The 200-day moving average is also found at 19,891, although one glance at how price has interacted with it previously suggests it may be entirely ignored in this environment. Beyond that, the uptrend dating back to the early 2024 low is another level to watch, although it hasn’t been tested enough to declare it meaningful downside support. It’s located around 18,550 today, just beneath the January 2025 swing low of 18,694.
While they provided no support earlier today, 21,377 and 21,728 may still be of interest if bears choose to set up shop above either. Watch the price interaction at these levels if the Hang Seng gets back there.
Momentum signals remain firmly with the bears, with MACD and RSI (14) both negative and trending strongly lower. While RSI is now oversold, it was also extremely overbought earlier this year — and that didn’t stop further gains at the time. The same could easily apply on the downside. The overall momentum signal favours selling rips and downside breaks near term.
Good luck!
DS
$BTC Inverse Head and Shoulders Finally FormedAnd just like that, the Death Cross has formed the right shoulder for the Inverse H & S idea I formed on March 14th
We may sit a bit more downside to retest the 50WMA at $76k for confirmation
If we get a V-shaped recovery tomorrow, this very well could be the bottom for CRYPTOCAP:BTC
Stanley Black Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Stanley Black Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* (EMA Settings)) | Completed Survey
* (No Trade)) + Inverted Structure | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* (Flag Structure) & Short Set Up | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Indexed To 100
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 73.00 USD
* Entry At 63.00 USD
* Take Profit At 47.00 USD
* (Downtrend Argument)) & Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Sell
NASDAQ Long Term: Deep in Bear MarketAn indicator works until it does not.
The SMA256 on the DAY chart of NASDAQ (QQQ/TQQQ) )has been respected multiple times as both supports and resistances since the end of COVID bullish run starting 2022.
For long-term trend-following traders, this chart shows we are now deep in the bear market (trend reversal happened in early March), stop placing long positions until the next trend reversal is clear.
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SKFI vs SPY - At OVERSOLD LevelsThere are only 1.44% of S&P Info Tech Stocks above the 50 DMA. Looking at history dating back to 2015, we generally get bounces around these zones. Even if bounces come, you would want SKFI to get back over the 50% range and hold. Failure to get back over and hold has historically let to more downside.
Gold is Past Due for a PullbackReason #1: Gold reached $3000/oz and it has a strong tendency to pullback after reaching $1000 multiples for the first time as can be seen on the chart, specifically when it first reached $1000 and $2000. $1900 which is a whole number in the ballpark of $2000 was also stiff resistance in 2011.
Reason #2: Gold has been above the 52-week simple moving average for over 1 year. This alone is not reason enough to go short, as gold can stay above the 52-week average for 3 years like it did starting in 2008, but it is indicative of gold having rallied for an extended period of time without having any routine pullbacks. In the absence of routine pullbacks, gold can be said to be "past due" for a pullback the same way a person can be said to be "past due" for a dental appointment. A person being past due for a dental appointment isn't necessarily going to go to the dentist any time soon, but they will have to go eventually and the longer they put it off, the more cavities they'll have to have filled and possibly root canals once they do. This "number of days above moving average" metric is plotted at the bottom of the chart.
Reason #3: Gold tends to correct during stock market crashes. If the stock market keeps crashing, gold will likely follow, as it more often than not does.
Reason #4: Precious metals and industrial metals have dropped tremendously with the "Liberation Day" and retaliatory tariff announcements. Gold has been holding up like a champ in comparison. If other metals are rallying, it might not be a great time to short gold, but if they continue dumping or hold steady at or near current levels, gold may very well follow suit due to being in the same commodity family. Not a great reason, but a reason.
Reason #5: Gold is extended. Draw any trendline, look at any indicator, gold is flying high. This is similar to reason #2 but is less specific.
One might consider looking to catch downswings, particularly when price is below 3000. Gold is long-term bullish, but poised for downside price action in the near term.
Previous peak to troth moves with similar setups:
May 2006: -25.76% over 5 weeks
Mar 2008: -18.15% over 6 weeks
Sep 2011: -20.19% over 3 weeks
Aug 2020: -14.97% over 17 weeks
Current move: -4.8% over 1 week
2700 (-14.88%) before first week of August 2025 is a comparable move to the Aug 2020 move.
2530 (-20.12%) by April 25th 2025 is a comparable move to the Sep 2011 move.
Bega Cheese Ltd Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Bega Cheese Ltd Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* (EMA Settings)) | Completed Survey
* 012345 Wave Feature | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* (Consolidation Argument)) & 0.786 Area Retest | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Indexed To 100
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 71.00 AUD
* Entry At 80.00 AUD
* Take Profit At 94.00 AUD
* (Ranging Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
NZD/JPY DAILY TIMEFRAME CONTINUES TO DROP! POSITION FOR A SELLPrice dropped lower which further showed weakness In NZD against JPY .Coming week, I anticipate a retracement to 84.992 for a further sell. The OVERLALL market flow remains bearish coupled with the 200EMA showing bearish sentiment. A sell opportunity is envisaged once price retraces to 84.992