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Moving Averages

Potential Reversal and Breakout Retest.Entry Zone: We recommend initiating a BUY position in AIA Engineering Ltd. around the current levels, ideally between ₹3,280 - ₹3,320. This area represents a retest of the recent trendline breakout. Target 1 (T1): ₹3,400 Target 2 (T2): ₹3,480 Target 3 (T3): ₹3,580 (If momentum sustains above T2) Stop Loss (SL): ₹3,200 (Strictly on a closing basis) Trendline Breakout & Retest: The stock recently broke out of a significant descending trendline, indicating a potential end to the corrective phase. The current price action appears to be a successful retest of this broken trendline, which often acts as new support, presenting a lower-risk entry point. Volume Confirmation: The initial breakout was accompanied by higher volumes, and while the retest phase has lower volumes (typical), sustained buying interest on subsequent upward moves would confirm strength. RSI Bounce from Support: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing a bounce from the 40-50 zone, indicating that momentum is regaining strength and potentially moving towards the bullish territory. Positive Structure: The overall chart structure suggests that the stock is attempting to reverse its short-term downtrend and potentially resume its broader upward trajectory. Favorable Risk-Reward: The current setup offers a reasonable risk-to-reward ratio for a short-term trade, with potential for upside gains outweighing the defined risk. Key Risk: A close below ₹3,200 would invalidate the bullish retest scenario and could lead to further downside, bringing the previous lows into play. Traders should adhere strictly to the stop-loss.
NSE:AIAENGLong
by rmhetre15
NATGATE - Attractive RISK REWARD RATIO ?NATGATE - CURRENT PRICE : RM1.57 On 08 MAY 2025, the stock made a small gap up and closed higher at RM1.58 - with high trading volume. From there the share price rises few days and touched intraday high at RM1.81 on 15 MAY 2025. Then the stock retrace and now it bounced from the small gap zone. The small gap zone may acts as strong support level. At the same time, there is also EMA-50 support. STOCHASTIC OSCILLATOR shows an oversold situation (which indicates rebound may happens in near term) while RSI is still above 50 (BULLISH). At current moment this trade gives an attractive RISK REWARD RATIO. My entry price will be RM1.55 - RM1.58. For target price, there are two strong resistance. 1. EMA 200 2. The high of LONG BLACK CANDLESTICK (03 MARCH 2025 candle) One of my trading technique is I would take profit one or two bids below the actual RESISTANCE LEVEL. As such, my 1st target for NATGATE will be RM1.73 (below EMA 200) and 2nd target is RM1.85 (below actual RESISTANCE RM1.87 - The high of 30 MARCH 2025 long black candlestick). ENTRY PRICE : RM1.55 - RM1.58 TARGET PRICE : RM1.73 and RM1.85 SUPPORT : RM1.50 Notes : Please be aware also that the company is going to announce its QUARTER EARNINGS approximately end of month.
MYX:NATGATELong
by IMRAN_96
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-05-23 15:30 UTC💹 BTC/USDT – Technical Analysis (5-min Chart | Binance Spot) Date: May 23, 2025 | Time: 15:30 UTC 📈 Market Structure & Outlook: Bitcoin is currently exhibiting a neutral-to-bullish intraday structure, with confirmation bias leaning toward accumulation amid short-term consolidation. The price action is positioned just above key intraday support, with a visible tightening range between major liquidity zones. MACD bullish crossover and candlestick strength indicate persistent buying interest, despite RSI flattening. 📊 Key Indicators: MACD: Positive histogram (+98.62) confirms bullish crossover; momentum remains constructive. RSI (14): Neutral at 62.0 — no overbought pressure, leaves room for upside. ATR (14): Elevated at 368.77 — indicative of high-volatility regime; adjust risk accordingly. OBV: Net-negative (-1,662) but recovering; suggests quiet accumulation underway. EMA/SMA: 200-period SMA acting as dynamic support at 109,162. Price above 50/100 EMA, showing intraday bullish posture. Bollinger Bands: Lower Band: 107,968.77 (support zone convergence). Upper Band: 110,355.26 (immediate resistance ceiling). 🔑 Key Levels: Support: 109,525–109,550 → EMA/Bollinger convergence zone. 109,162 → 200 SMA acting as institutional anchor. Resistance: 110,000 → Psychological + stacked ask liquidity zone. 110,280–110,355 → Bollinger top + structural rejection zone (last seen at 14:25 UTC). 🔑 Candlestick Confluence: Bullish Marubozu (14:30 UTC): Full-bodied candle indicating aggressive buying. Piercing Line (14:25 UTC): Reversal cue reinforcing dip-buy narrative. 🎯 Trade Setup (Institutional Playbook): Position Type: Intraday Tactical Long Entry Zone: 109,525–109,600 Stop-Loss: 109,150 (below SMA-200 + volatility buffer) Take-Profit: 110,280 Risk/Reward: ~1.8x Execution Note: Watch for bid thinning below 109,550. Size down to accommodate ATR-adjusted slippage (1.5x). 📌 Summary: Momentum favors bulls above 109,525; technical alignment supports continuation toward 110,280. However, volatility and macro headlines demand surgical execution and proactive risk control. Maintain discipline around liquidity pockets.
Long
by CryptoSignalsChannel
SNX About to Explode or Collapse?Yello Paradisers, are you watching SNXUSDT closely? Because if not, you might be missing one of the cleanest opportunities for bulls in this current market cycle. The setup is forming right at a critical decision point — and how price reacts here could define the next major move. 💎SNXUSDT is currently showing a bullish internal CHoCH (Change of Character) while trading directly inside a strong support zone. This zone isn’t just standing alone — it’s backed by the powerful 200 EMA and a well-respected support trendline. This confluence of support significantly increases the probability of a bullish bounce from this level, making it a high-reward setup for those paying attention. 💎Zooming out to the higher timeframe, the structure becomes even more interesting. SNXUSDT appears to be forming a bull flag pattern — a bullish continuation signal that often precedes explosive upside moves. When such a formation aligns with key support zones, it suggests that the market is simply consolidating before the next leg up. 💎However, traders must proceed with caution. If price breaks down and closes below the current support zone, this would invalidate the entire bullish scenario. In such a case, it’s best to step aside and wait for better confirmation rather than rushing into a compromised setup. Emotional decisions are the fastest way to ruin sound trading strategies. 🎖Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler. Discipline, patience, and strategic entries will always outperform emotional trades. Stay focused, Paradisers — the opportunity will always favor those who are prepared. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
5
AVAXUSDT 📊 BINANCE:AVAXUSDT Chart Analysis AVAX price, after breaking the key resistance at 22.20, is showing a strong upward move 📈 toward the next resistance at the end of the second leg at 30.00 USD. The 22.00 level could act as a pullback and provide strong support 🔄. If it consolidates above 30.00, the uptrend may continue to 37.00 🚀. Support and Resistance Levels: Supports: • 22.20 🛡️ • 20.00 🛡️ • 17.50 🛡️ Resistances : • 30.00 🚧 • 37.00 🚧
Long
by EhsanZeydabadi
Two MAs, One Ribbon: A Smarter Way to Trade TrendsSome indicators aim to simplify. Others aim to clarify. The RedK Magic Ribbon does both, offering a clean, color-coded visualization of trend strength and agreement between two custom moving averages. Built by RedKTrader , this tool is ideal for traders who want to stay aligned with the trend and avoid the noise. Let’s break down how it works, how we use it at Xuantify, and how it can enhance your trend-following setups. 🔍 What Is the RedK Magic Ribbon? This indicator combines two custom moving averages: CoRa Wave – A fast, Compound Ratio Weighted Average RSS_WMA (LazyLine) – A slow, Smooth Weighted MA When both lines agree on direction, the ribbon fills with: Green – Bullish trend Red – Bearish trend Gray – No-trade zone (disagreement or consolidation) Key Features: Visual trend confirmation No-trade zones clearly marked Customizable smoothing and length Works on any timeframe 🧠 How We Use It at Xuantify We use the Magic Ribbon as a trend filter and visual guide . 1. Trend Confirmation We only trade in the direction of the ribbon fill. Gray zones = no trades. 2. Entry Timing We enter near the RSS_WMA (LazyLine) for optimal risk-reward. It also acts as a dynamic stop-loss guide. 🎨 Visual Cues That Matter Green Fill – Trend is up, both MAs agree Red Fill – Trend is down, both MAs agree Gray Fill – No-trade zone, MAs disagree This makes it easy to: Avoid choppy markets Stay aligned with the dominant trend Spot early trend shifts ⚙️ Settings That Matter Adjust CoRa Wave length and smoothness Tune RSS_WMA to track price with minimal lag Customize colors, line widths, and visibility 🧩 Best Combinations with This Indicator We pair the Magic Ribbon with: Structure Tools – BOS/CHOCH for context MACD 4C – For momentum confirmation Volume Profile – To validate breakout strength Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) – For sniper entries ⚠️ What to Watch Out For This is a confirmation tool , not a signal generator. Use it with structure and price action. Always backtest and adjust settings to your asset and timeframe. 🚀 Final Thoughts If you want a clean, intuitive way to stay on the right side of the trend, the RedK Magic Ribbon is a powerful visual ally. It helps you avoid indecision and focus on high-probability setups. What really sets the Magic Ribbon apart is the precision of its fast line—the CoRa Wave. It reacts swiftly to price action and often aligns almost perfectly with pivot reversals. This responsiveness allows traders to spot potential turning points early, giving them a valuable edge in timing entries or exits. Its accuracy in identifying momentum shifts makes it not just a trend filter, but a powerful tool for anticipating market moves with confidence. Try it, tweak it, and let the ribbon guide your trades.
Education
by Xuantify
ETH (ethereum) – Massive Flag Pattern After 100% RunCRYPTOCAP:ETH – Bullish Flag After Monster Run Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) has nearly doubled since April, and now it’s cooling off — but in the best way possible: a bullish flag consolidation. 🔹 After a nearly 100% move, ETH has been consolidating tightly for two weeks — textbook flag behavior. 🔹 The trend remains strong, and this type of structure often leads to another leg higher. 🔹 Volume has tapered off during the flag — exactly what you want to see before a breakout. Setup Overview: Pattern: Large bull flag Support/Risk: Defined risk to the $2500 zone Measured Move Target: Breakout could push to $3100–$3500 based on the prior leg Why I like this setup: Healthy consolidation after a parabolic run Risk/reward is favorable with structure and measured target Potential breakout fuel from the ETH ETF narrative + BTC dominance rotation
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by kunal00
2
CME Gap Aligns with 4h 200 EMAThe CME Gap around 5710-5730 is beginning to align with the 4h 200 EMA. 4h RSI has been diverging bearish 3 times with each leg up within the channel above. Also, a breakdown of that channel has measured moves down that align with both the 4h 50 and 200 EMA: - 50 EMA an 0.5x measured move down - 200 EMA a 2.5x measured move down Pre-req on targeting the gap is a breakdown of the parallel channel shown above, and then loss of the 4h 50 EMA. Good luck!
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by dudebruhwhoa
#SUIUSDT #1D (Bitget Futures) Rising wedge near breakdownSui got drained from Cetus LP and is about to print a spinning top candle on daily. A retracement down towards 100EMA / descending trendline support seems likely. ⚡️⚡️ #SUI/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: Bitget Futures Signal Type: Regular (Short) Leverage: Isolated (4.0X) Amount: 4.8% Current Price: 3.9642 Entry Zone: 3.9947 - 4.2035 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 3.5901 1) 3.2068 1) 2.8235 Stop Targets: 1) 4.5250 Published By: @Zblaba CRYPTOCAP:SUI BITGET:SUIUSDT.P #1D #SuiNetwork #L2 sui.io Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.1 | 1:3.0 Expected Profit= +49.7% | +87.1% | +124.5% Possible Loss= -41.6% Estimated Gaintime= 1-2 months
Short
by TradingOn
5
NEAR’s Pullback Zone Found — Is $4 Next?NEAR just pulled off a +50% rally from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $2.224 — a strong show of force from the bulls. After that explosive move, price is now cooling off in a consolidation phase, preparing for the next leg higher. 🟢 Long Setup — Dip Before Lift? The next high-probability long zone lies between: $3.026 – $2.94 Possible but less likely of a deeper dip to $2.78 (0.5 Fib of the recent move) Long entries can be laddered between $3.00 and $2.90 (even $2.80 if volatility kicks in). Stop-Loss: Below the daily 21 EMA ($2.7344) and 21 SMA ($2.6739) Target: $4.00 R:R: ~4:1 — clean and structured This setup aligns with standard continuation behaviour after strong impulses — consolidation, retrace, and resume. 🔴 Short Setup (on Rejection at $4.00) Entry: ~$4.00 Stop-Loss: Above $4.25 Target: Yearly open (~$3.65) R:R: ~1.5:1 — not ideal, but valid on confirmation 🎯 Summary NEAR is consolidating after a strong move — either ready to continue higher or retest deeper into Fib support Long zone: $3.00–$2.90 (poss. $2.80) Short zone: $4.00 (on rejection only) Simple structure, clean risk, and nothing forced — exactly how it should be. Sometimes, less is more. Let price show the next move. Stay ready. 📈 ___________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Long
by SiDec
10
ADA Correction Nearing Completion — Trade It Like a ProADA is respecting structure beautifully and currently consolidating after completing a 5-wave impulse move. The key question now is: where are the next high-probability trade setups? Let’s break it down step by step. Market Structure & Elliott Context ADA has completed a full 5-wave bullish sequence, and—as expected—is now in a correction phase. This appears to be forming a classic ABC correction. Using the Fibonacci retracement tool: 0.5 retracement of the entire move sits at → $0.7534 This aligns perfectly with the previous swing high at $0.746 — a level that has yet to be retested The 1:1 trend-based Fib extension of a potential ABC correction puts Wave C at → $0.7492 Confluence Check: This entire support zone (~$0.75) is stacked with technical alignment: ✅ Previous swing high: $0.746 ✅ 0.5 Fib retracement: $0.7534 ✅ 1:1 extension: $0.7492 ✅ Daily 21 EMA: $0.7455 ✅ Daily 21 SMA: $0.7347 ✅ Point of Control (POC): ~$0.7318 ✅ Anchored VWAP: Also sitting in this zone ✅ Pitchfork golden pocket: Aligns as dynamic support All of these support indicators point to one thing: this ~$0.75 zone is a high-probability long entry area. 🟢 Long Setup Entry zone: Ladder between $0.77 – $0.75 Average entry: ~$0.76 Stop-loss: Below $0.7318 (under POC) Target: $0.9212 (0.618 retracement of the recent down wave) R:R: ~5:1 Potential upside: +22% 🔴 Short Setup (on Rejection Only) Entry: $0.9212 (0.618 Fib retracement of downtrend) Stop-loss: Above 0.666 Fib → ~$0.958 Target: previous swing high or yearly open R:R: ~1.4:1 (it can be adjusted tighter upon confirmation) This short setup isn’t ideal in terms of R:R unless we see clear rejection. But with confirmation — like an SFP, bearish engulfing, or divergence — the stop can be tightened, making the risk-to-reward much more favourable. 📘 Educational Insight: Why Structure Beats Emotion In trading, the strongest setups occur where multiple tools converge—Fib levels, EMAs, VWAP, volume zones, and past price action. When these align, it’s not about guessing—it’s about preparing. The key is to wait for structure to come to you, not the other way around. Patience allows clarity. Clarity allows precision. And precision pays. 💡 Final Thoughts The plan is clear. Levels are set. Now it’s just observation and discipline. Good trades don’t chase attention — they present themselves to those who wait. ___________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Long
by SiDec
14
XLM Short Trade (Second Attempt) - Initiated on May 15, 2025 On May 12, 2025, our initial Stellar Lumens (XLM) short position was closed after a stop-loss trigger two days into the trade. Despite bullish market sentiment, primarily driven by the anticipated year-end launch of the Valour Stellar ETP, which is expected to attract significant institutional interest , we are confidently pursuing a contrarian, short-term bearish strategy by initiating a second short position on XLM. While Bitcoin’s rise to $104,018 as of May 16, 2025, reflects market strength CoinMarketCap - Bitcoin, we believe it is approaching cycle highs, potentially leading to a market pullback that could pressure altcoins like XLM. We anticipate a 28% price drop in XLM to $0.2128 from its current level of $0.2964, capturing liquidity at lower levels to fill orders. This decline is expected to set the stage for a subsequent upward move to absorb liquidity above and meet year-end demand at higher price levels, fueled by the Valour ETP launch and an anticipated bull run peak. Our bearish outlook is supported by an expected increase in USDT dominance (USDT.D), currently stable at 4.55% but poised for a potential rise, and a bearish technical signal from the four-day moving average crossing below the five-day moving average at 8:58 PM PDT on May 15, 2025, as observed on TradingView charts TradingView - XLMUSD.
Short
by JarlView
2
Engineering the Hull‑style Exponential Moving Average (HEMA)▶️ Introduction Hull’s Moving Average (HMA) is beloved because it offers near–zero‑lag turns while staying remarkably smooth. It achieves this by chaining *weighted* moving averages (WMAs), which are finite‑impulse‑response (FIR) filters. Unfortunately, FIR filters demand O(N) storage and expensive rolling calculations. The goal of the Hull‑style Exponential Moving Average (HEMA) is therefore straightforward: reproduce HMA’s responsiveness with the constant‑time efficiency of an EMA, an infinite‑impulse‑response (IIR) filter that keeps only two state variables regardless of length. ▶️ From FIR to IIR – What Changes? When we swap a WMA for an EMA we trade a hard‑edged window for an exponential decay. This swap creates two immediate engineering challenges. First, the EMA’s centre of mass (CoM) lies closer to the present than the WMA of the same “period,” so we must tune its alpha to match the WMA’s effective lag. Second, the exponential tail never truly dies; left unchecked it can restore some of the lag we just removed. The remedy is to shorten the EMA’s time‑constant and apply a lighter finishing smoother. If done well, the exponential tail becomes imperceptible while the update cost collapses from O(N) to O(1). ▶️ Dissecting the Original HMA HMA(N) is constructed in three steps: Compute a *slow* WMA of length N. Compute a *fast* WMA of length N/2, double it, then subtract the slow WMA. This “2 × fast − slow” operation annihilates the first‑order lag term in the transfer function. Pass the result through a short WMA of length √N, whose only job is to tame the mid‑band ripple introduced by step 2. Because the WMA window hard‑cuts, everything after bar N carries zero weight, yielding a razor‑sharp response. ▶️ Re‑building Each Block with EMAs 1. Slow leg . We choose αₛ = 3 / (2N − 1) . This places the EMA’s CoM exactly one bar ahead of the WMA(N) CoM, preserving the causal structure while compensating for the EMA’s lingering tail. 2. Fast leg . John Ehlers showed that two single‑pole filters can cancel first‑order phase error if they keep the ratio τ𝑓 = ln2 / (1 + ln2) ≈ 0.409 τₛ . We therefore compute α𝑓 = 1 − e^(−λₛ / 0.409) , where λₛ = −ln(1 − αₛ). 3. Zero‑lag blend . Instead of Hull’s integer 2/−1 pair we adopt Ehlers’ fractional weights: (1 + ln 2) · EMA𝑓 − ln 2 · EMAₛ . This pair retains unity DC gain and maintains the zero‑slope condition while drastically flattening the pass‑band bump. 4. Finishing smoother . The WMA(√N) in HMA adds roughly one and a half bars of consequential delay. Because EMAs already smear slightly, we can meet the same lag budget with an EMA whose span is only √N / 2. The lighter pole removes residual high‑frequency noise without re‑introducing noticeable lag. ▶️ Error Budget vs. Classical HMA Quantitatively, HEMA tracks HMA to within 0.1–0.2 bars on the first visible turn for N between 10 and 50. Overshoot at extreme V‑turns is 25–35 % smaller because the ln 2 weighting damps the 0.2 fs gain peak. Root‑mean‑square ripple inside long swings falls by roughly 15–20 %. The penalty is a microscopic exponential tail: in a 300‑bar uninterrupted trend HEMA trails HMA by about two bars—visually negligible for most chart horizons but easily fixed by clipping if one insists on absolute truncation. ▶️ Practical Evaluation Side‑by‑side plots confirm the math. On N = 20 the yellow HEMA line flips direction in the same candle—or half a candle earlier—than the blue HMA, while drawing a visibly calmer trace through the mid‑section of each swing. On tiny windows (N ≤ 8) you may notice a hair more shimmer because the smoother’s span approaches one bar, but beyond N = 10 the difference disappears. More importantly, HEMA updates with six scalar variables; HMA drags two or three rolling arrays for every WMA it uses. On a portfolio of 500 instruments that distinction is the difference between comfortable real‑time and compute starvation. ▶️ Conclusion HEMA is not a casual “replace W with E” hack. It is a deliberate reconstruction: match the EMA’s centre of mass to the WMA it replaces, preserve zero‑lag geometry with the ln 2 coefficient pair, and shorten the smoothing pole to offset the EMA tail. The reward is an indicator that delivers Hull‑grade responsiveness and even cleaner mid‑band behaviour while collapsing memory and CPU cost to O(1). For discretionary traders wedded to the razor‑sharp V‑tips of the original Hull, HMA remains attractive. For algorith­mic desks, embedded systems, or anyone streaming thousands of symbols, HEMA is the pragmatic successor—almost indistinguishable on the chart, orders of magnitude lighter under the hood.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by mihakralj
Advanced Auto Parts | AAP | Long at $64Advanced Auto Parts NYSE:AAP has gone through an exquisite shakeout of shareholders. Currently trading near $64, the stock is currently testing my "stock crash" simple moving average (seen green SMA lines). From a technical analysist standpoint, it's in a personal buy zone. This stock has tested this simple moving average level a few times in the past and recovered very well. Will history repeat? Target #1 = $88.00 Target #2 = $110.00
NYSE:AAPLong
by WorthlessViews
1