Pay attention to gold's rise and fall, go short!Gold has currently traded as high as around 2910, and gold’s highs are constantly being refreshed. Are the bulls about to return?
The surge in gold this time is mainly due to the continued fermentation of the news of the breakdown of the US-Ukraine negotiations and the impact of Trump's speech in the early morning. Today, Trump will also deliver his first speech in Congress, which will undoubtedly add more uncertainty to the market. From the hourly chart, the current short-term resistance above gold is suppressed in the 2910-2920 area. In the short term, the bullish trend is relatively strong, but gold has not fallen after rising, so it is necessary to pay attention to the high and fall of gold. We can short in the 2920-2930 area.
Brothers, profit is the ultimate goal of trading, and accumulating profits is what changes your life and destiny. Wise choices are far more important than hard work. If you want to copy trading signals, make stable profits, or want to learn the correct trading logic and skills in depth, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article.
Moving Averages
How to develop a simple Buy&Sell strategy using Pine ScriptIn this article, will explain how to develop a simple backtesting for a Buy&Sell trading strategy using Pine Script language and simple moving average (SMA).
Strategy description
The strategy illustrated works on price movements around the 200-period simple moving average (SMA). Open long positions when the price crossing-down and moves below the average. Close position when the price crossing-up and moves above the average. A single trade is opened at a time, using 5% of the total capital.
Behind the code
Now let's try to break down the logic behind the strategy to provide a method for properly organizing the source code. In this specific example, we can identify three main actions:
1) Data extrapolation
2) Researching condition and data filtering
3) Trading execution
1. GENERAL PARAMETERS OF THE STRATEGY
First define the general parameters of the script.
Let's define the name.
"Buy&Sell Strategy Template "
Select whether to show the output on the chart or within a dashboard. In this example will show the output on the chart.
overlay = true
Specify that a percentage of the equity will be used for each trade.
default_qty_type = strategy.percent_of_equity
Specify percentage quantity to be used for each trade. Will be 5%.
default_qty_value = 5
Choose the backtesting currency.
currency = currency.EUR
Choose the capital portfolio amount.
initial_capital = 10000
Let's define percentage commissions.
commission_type = strategy.commission.percent
Let's set the commission at 0.07%.
commission_value = 0.07
Let's define a slippage of 3.
slippage = 3
Calculate data only when the price is closed, for more accurate output.
process_orders_on_close = true
2. DATA EXTRAPOLATION
In this second step we extrapolate data from the historical series. Call the calculation of the simple moving average using close price and 200 period bars.
sma = ta.sma(close, 200)
3. DEFINITION OF TRADING CONDITIONS
Now define the trading conditions.
entry_condition = ta.crossunder(close, sma)
The close condition involves a bullish crossing of the closing price with the average.
exit_condition = ta.crossover(close, sma)
4. TRADING EXECUTION
At this step, our script will execute trades using the conditions described above.
if (entry_condition==true and strategy.opentrades==0)
strategy.entry(id = "Buy", direction = strategy.long, limit = close)
if (exit_condition==true)
strategy.exit(id = "Sell", from_entry = "Buy", limit = close)
5. DESIGN
In this last step will draw the SMA indicator, representing it with a red line.
plot(sma, title = "SMA", color = color.red)
Complete code below.
//@version=6
strategy(
"Buy&Sell Strategy Template ",
overlay = true,
default_qty_type = strategy.percent_of_equity,
default_qty_value = 5,
currency = currency.EUR,
initial_capital = 10000,
commission_type = strategy.commission.percent,
commission_value = 0.07,
slippage = 3,
process_orders_on_close = true
)
sma = ta.sma(close, 200)
entry_condition = ta.crossunder(close, sma)
exit_condition = ta.crossover(close, sma)
if (entry_condition==true and strategy.opentrades==0)
strategy.entry(id = "Buy", direction = strategy.long, limit = close)
if (exit_condition==true)
strategy.exit(id = "Sell", from_entry = "Buy", limit = close)
plot(sma, title = "SMA", color = color.red)
The completed script will display the moving average with open and close trading signals.
IMPORTANT! Remember, this strategy was created for educational purposes only. Not use it in real trading.
Nasdaq 100: 200DMA Showdown—Bounce or Breakdown?Nasdaq 100 futures haven’t closed below the 200-day moving average for nearly two years. However, after delivering a key bearish reversal candle on the daily timeframe—and with RSI (14) and MACD still flashing bearish momentum signals—that streak may soon come to an end.
Given the market’s history of aggressively bouncing from the 200DMA, near-term price action around this key level could offer clues on longer-term directional risks. That view is reinforced by rising volumes accompanying the latest pullback, along with the proximity of minor horizontal support at 20,400—there are willing buyers around with a platform for a bullish reversal already in place.
If the 200DMA holds firm throughout Tuesday, bulls could look to enter longs above with a stop beneath for protection. Potential upside targets include 21,000 and 21,420.
Alternatively, if the price were to close beneath the 200DMA, the setup could be flipped with shorts initiated below with a stop above for protection. Buyers were lurking beneath 20000 in the runup to the U.S. Presidential election, making that a downside level of note. A tougher technical test awaits around 200 points lower where major uptrend support dating back to early 2023—essentially the start of the AI rally—comes into play.
Good luck!
DS
Monolithic Power | MPWR | Long at $580.00Monolithic Power $NASDAQ:MPWR. If the semiconductor market continues to get attention in connection with AI, there may be a bounce here near $580.00 as NASDAQ:MPWR enters my historical simple moving average area. However, a further dip into the high $400s wouldn't surprise me (tax harvesting season is in session) and doesn't change the thesis as long as the overall trend continues to stay positive. While NASDAQ:MPWR is a strong company with growth predictions on the horizon, it has a 65x P/E, 46x price-to-cash flow, lots of insider selling, and some near-term concern if the economy shows weakness. From a technical analysis perspective, though, it's in an area of opportunity as long as semis stay a "hot" investment. Thus, at $580.00, NASDAQ:MPWR is in a personal buy zone.
Target #1 = $690.00
Target #2 = $745.00
Target #3 = $825.00
Target #4 = $908.00
Abbott Laboratories | ABT | Long at $110.00Abbott Laboratories NYSE:ABT has been making higher highs and lower lows over the last year, potentially signaling a reversal in its downward trend. Monkeypox and the return of cold/flu/COVID season may spark another run to close the price gap on the daily chart around $140. It is currently in a personal buy zone at $110.00.
Target #1 = $118.00
Target #2 = $140.00
Be bold and follow me to short gold!!!Brothers, my last article showed that when the price touches the 2880-2895 area, we can short gold. When gold has reached the target area for the first time, I have started to short gold according to my trading ideas, and locked in a wave of profits in time when the price is close to the 2875 area. I believe that friends who follow my trading strategy must have made good profits!
At present, gold is still on an upward trend. Brothers, the current price is close to the 2888 area. You must seize the opportunity to start shorting gold. Our target below is still focusing on the 2865-6855 area. I will publish specific trading ideas and trading signals in my channel. If you want to receive detailed trading signals, you can move your fingers and join my channel to make making money a pleasure. If you want to make money happily, you can join my channel!
Major Levels – Is Sonic Ready to Pump?After reaching the daily resistance level ($0.7818), price faced strong rejection. The anchored VWAP, acting as dynamic resistance just below the daily level, provided additional confluence for a low-risk short opportunity.
Additionally, a key high at $0.7891 further reinforced this resistance zone. Following the rejection, price sharply declined -13%, retracing back into the previous trading range.
Support Confluence
Price is now approaching a well-defined support zone:
Bullish Order Block: $0.6816
Key Level Near Order Block: $0.6803
Golden Pocket (Fib 0.618 - 0.65): 0.618 at $0.6793 & 0.65 at $0.6739
Monthly Open: $0.6732
Point of Control (POC): $0.6732 (aligning with Monthly Open)
Daily 21 EMA/SMA: 21 EMA at $0.6835 & 21 SMA at $0.6790
Fib Speed Fan 0.7 (from $0.615 to $0.7818): Providing additional support in this zone
Long Trade Setup
Entry Zone: $0.6816 – $0.6732
Stop Loss: Below the Monthly Open ($0.6732)
Take Profit Zone: $0.7111 – $0.7201
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 3:1 R:R setup, offering a high-probability trade
Take Profit Targets & Resistance Zones
Previous Swing Low: $0.7111 (untested)
Value Area Low (VAL): $0.7152
Anchored VWAP (from $0.615 low): $0.7137
Fib Retracement 0.382 (from $0.7818 high to current low): $0.7201
Healthcare Is Leading the Market This YearBelieve it or not, healthcare is the top performing sector so far in 2025. (It’s up about 9 percent, according to TradeStation data. That puts it fractionally ahead of financials.)
Today’s chart of the SPDR Select Sector Health Care ETF highlights some potentially interesting patterns.
First is the rally from January 3 (first Friday of the year) through February 5. XLV pulled back to retrace almost exactly half the advance, which may suggest direction is pointing upward.
It has also been fighting potential resistance at its 200-day simple moving average (SMA), but closed above it on Friday.
Speaking of Friday, the fund initially fell below Thursday’s low. It then bounced and cleared the previous session’s high. Is that bullish outside candle a sign of animal spirits?
XLV also had its highest weekly close since early November.
Finally, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has stayed above the 21-day EMA. Such price action may be consistent with a short-term uptrend.
Standardized Performances for the ETF mentioned above:
SPDR Select Sector Health Care ETF (XLV)
1-year: +4.62%
5-years: +48.15%
10-year: +114.50%
(As of January 31, 2025)
Exchange Traded Funds ("ETFs") are subject to management fees and other expenses. Before making investment decisions, investors should carefully read information found in the prospectus or summary prospectus, if available, including investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Click here to find the prospectus.
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Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
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Goldman Pulls BackGoldman Sachs hit a new high two weeks ago, and some traders may see opportunities in its latest pullback.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the November high around $613. The Wall Street giant is apparently stabilizing at that level. Has old resistance become new support?
Second, stochastics have dipped to an oversold condition.
Third, GS gapped higher after its last earnings report on January 15. That may reflect strong fundamentals.
Finally, GS is trying to hold its 50-day simple moving average (SMA). The 100-day is also rising from below. Both of those patterns may be consistent with a bullish uptrend.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
Gold is expected to go down, short goldBrothers, in my previous article, I clearly expressed the trading strategy of shorting gold when it rebounds to the 2875-2880 area. Now that gold has reached the target area as expected, I have started to short gold in batches according to my strategy.
As far as the current trend of gold is concerned, gold still failed to break through 2880 during the rebound. Gold's performance is not strong, and gold's short-term rebound can be regarded as a technical repair for this round of decline. If gold fails to break through 2880 during the rebound, then gold will continue to fall, so next we will mainly focus on the intensity of gold's retracement. According to the current gold structure, I expect gold to at least retreat to the 2860-2850 area.
Brothers, have you followed me to short gold? At present, gold has retreated slightly relative to the target area of our short selling. Our short position has begun to make money. We look forward to the continued decline of gold to bring us better profits.
Brothers, profit is the ultimate goal of trading, and accumulating profits is what changes your life and destiny. Wise choices are far more important than hard work. If you want to copy trading signals, make stable profits, or want to learn the correct trading logic and skills in depth, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article.
3.3 Gold has not broken 2800, shorting goldThe main idea of short-term gold trading this week is to follow the trend and go short. In the next trading rhythm, the upper short-term pressure will focus on the area around 2880-2890. As long as this pressure point is not broken, there will be room for continued decline. However, there is a possibility of divergence in the current indicators. In the short term, as long as the rebound exceeds 2880, it will drive the Bollinger Bands to close and there will be room for growth. Therefore, the current strong trend point is 2880. At the beginning of this week, you can rely on this position to see a rebound. If it does not break 2880, you should go short first.
Brothers, profit is the ultimate goal of trading, and accumulating profits is what changes your life and destiny. Wise choices are far more important than hard work. If you want to copy trading signals, earn stable profits, or want to learn in depth about the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article.
Gold short selling hits the target accuratelyRegarding the current market situation, first of all, the downward momentum in the golden hour chart is still intact, and the upper pressure level focuses on the 2880 line. In the 4H cycle, although the K-line ran below the Bollinger mid-track, the Bollinger closed, stopped falling and stabilized in the short term, and you cannot blindly chase shorts. The intraday operations will be handled according to shocks. The top will focus on the pressure of 2875-2885, relying on the pressure to rebound and go short. The bottom will gradually look to 2846 and 2832! However, we should also pay attention to gold today. If gold falls for the first time and touches 2845-2835, we can try to go long in small batches.
Brothers, profit is the ultimate goal of trading, and accumulating profits is to change life and destiny. Wise choices are far more important than hard work. If you want to copy trading signals, earn stable profits, or want to learn the correct trading logic and skills in depth, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article.
XAUUSD Refocus Trendback📌Gold price extends the rebound early Monday and re-focuses on the $2,900 level.
📌US Dollar falls as EUR/USD rallies hard on potential Ukraine truce; market mood improves.
📌Gold price recovers but remains below 21-day SMA at $2,895 amid the bullish daily RSI.
🔥Buy Gold
$2832 -> $2834
SL $2825
TP 1->$2840 >2->$2850 >3->$2860
🔥Sell Gold
$2882 -> $2886
SL $2890
TP 1->$2875 >2->$2860 >3->$2855
CYCLE 4 | CME GAP: Bull Cycle Period First Major Pull Back?Quick post to address BTCs expected potential first major pull back into this bull run period...
BULL MARKET PULL BACKS
Historically, BTC during its bull market enjoys pull back which ranged from 15% to as much as 30%-40% in prior markets. This is essential for trader participants in the market to take profits, allow BTC to retest low levels and prove new heights are sustainable before ranging to new higher price levels.
The first pull back historically for BTC post the start of the 'Bull Run' phase of BTCs 4 year cycle is traditionally the largest pull back opportunity and historically been the best short term buying opportunity in the Bull Run (NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE).
We can expect a 30-40% correction for this pull back based on historic bull market period examples (Let me know in the comments below if you would like me to detail consistent price behaviour during BTC bull run periods in a future post).
ARE WE AT THIS POINT NOW OF THE CYCLE? WHAT ARE THE INDICATORS SAYING?
As highlighted by the RED arrow on the chart, a number of the indicators like to monitor on the weekly chat are suggesting bearish divergences and fading momentum exists with the current price action. This is calling for a cooling off period of the market.
CME GAP
Historically, BTC has had a tendency to want to 'close' open gap, created by weekend trading of BTC that does not align with equities that follow the traditional 'No Trading' over the weekend policy of Traditional Financial instruments. Hence crypto ETFs which align with these policies (such as the CME Futures chart as seen in this chart) can create 'GAP' between the open (Monday) and close (Friday) candles.
To understand CME gaps, please take the time to review the details discussion in the earlier post.
The orange BOX shows the below CME gap target that BTC price may range towards to close.
NOTE: this box has been listed as Partially Closed as the open Monday candle of the gap did go below before rising during the weekly candle but did no dip past the close of the previous weekly candle.
21W EMA & 20W SMA
Historically, a fully developed healthy bull market for BTC has required periodic retesting and holding of these moving averages. A close of the CME gap at this point of the market would also satisfy this historic trend for BTC.
ORANGE TREND LINE
Bears if eager to continue the 'close the CME gap' trend will need to convince the market by first exceeding the orange trend line. Currently this allows BTC to complete a 10 to 12% correction while also taking the price below the key psychological 100K price level, without phasing the bulls conviction to charger higher.
* Holding the Orange Trend Line Scenario: we want to see price bounce and conviction from the bulls to push BTC to higher highs. The goal for Bears would be to achieve the measured move up to 180K. This would most potentially shorted the bull run (time prospective) and potentially cap our ATH for this cycle early; creating a distribution zone similar to the 2021 cycle top.
* Breaking below the Orange Trend Line Scenario: If we break the Orange Trend Line then Bulls will concede ground to the MA levels (allowing the CME gap to also close). Bulls will write this off as a market reset and holding support at these levels will entice Traders to take positions needed to drive BTC up sustainably to the next higher level(s).
Losing the MAs would ask serious questions to the intent of BULLs and the sustainability of the market moving forward this bull run.....
Follow me to short gold and earn your first pot of gold this weeThis week, Trump's latest tariff speech overshadowed the impact of signs of economic slowdown, boosted the US dollar, and caused gold prices to continue to fall. If tariff measures trigger a full-scale trade war, the global economy may fall into recession, and gold as a safe-haven asset will also be supported in the long term. Today, Monday, gold rebounded to a high of around 2877 at the opening, and then fell to 2865 and fluctuated. Over the weekend, we gave an analysis strategy for today's opening. Over the weekend, we analyzed that the upper short-term suppression was around 2880. If you followed my trading strategy, you would short gold around 2875-2877. I believe you have now made more than 100pips in profit. Congratulations on successfully getting your first pot of gold in this week's transaction!
Regarding the next trading rhythm, short-term suppression at the top will focus on the area around 2880. If gold does not break through 2880, then we will still focus on shorting gold.
Finally, whether you are a novice entry-level trader, or you want to maintain a stable trading win rate to obtain more generous returns, or you want to create a valuable and free life through trading, or you are now deeply troubled by losses, you can find what you need at the bottom of the article, and I wish all of us all the best in trading!
AMZN Trade Plan Looking for buy opportunities on AMZN at key levels:
✅ Entry Points: 211 - 203 - 190
🎯 Profit Targets: 218 - 227 - 241
Stick to the plan, manage your risk, and let the trade play out! 📊📈
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly! 💡