BTC 18.11.24#BTC - I’m expecting a pullback to test the EMA 20. BTC has had an incredible push, with a nearly 40% pump in under a month, so a pullback would be healthy after such a move. For now, I’m staying patient and waiting to see how the price reacts to the EMA 20.
Lower volume and a bearish MACD cross are also forming. I don’t think this will matter much for the overall trend, but it does suggest a higher chance of retesting the EMA 20
Moving Averages
Is Solana (SOL) Poised to Reach $400 with Upcoming Breakout?
Solana, the high-performance blockchain platform, has been making significant strides in the cryptocurrency market. Recent data and technical analysis suggest that SOL is poised for a significant price surge, with the potential to reach $400.
Key Factors Driving Solana's Potential Breakout:
1. Network Upgrades and Scalability:
o Solana has been actively working on network upgrades and scalability solutions to address the challenges faced by other blockchain platforms.
o Recent improvements have significantly enhanced the network's capacity and transaction speed, making it more efficient and user-friendly.
o These advancements are likely to attract more developers and users to the Solana ecosystem, driving increased demand for SOL tokens.
2. Growing DeFi Ecosystem:
o Solana's DeFi ecosystem has witnessed rapid growth, with a diverse range of decentralized applications (dApps) being built on the platform.
o These dApps span various sectors, including finance, gaming, and NFTs, attracting a growing user base.
o As the DeFi ecosystem continues to expand, the demand for SOL tokens is likely to increase, as they are used for fees and staking.
3. Strong Community Support:
o Solana has a dedicated and passionate community of developers, investors, and users.
o This strong community support plays a crucial role in driving the adoption and growth of the Solana ecosystem.
o Community-driven initiatives and projects contribute to the overall development and success of the platform.
4. Positive Market Sentiment:
o The broader cryptocurrency market has been experiencing a positive sentiment, with Bitcoin and Ethereum leading the charge.
o This positive market sentiment can spill over to other cryptocurrencies, including Solana.
o As investor confidence in the cryptocurrency market grows, more capital may flow into Solana, driving up the price of SOL tokens.
Technical Analysis: A Bullish Outlook
Technical analysis of SOL's price chart reveals a bullish outlook. The token has formed a solid support level and is showing signs of breaking out of a consolidation phase. Key technical indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), are also indicating bullish momentum.
If Solana successfully breaks through the current resistance level, it could trigger a significant price surge. The next major price target for SOL is $400, which could be achieved in the near future.
Potential Risks and Challenges:
While Solana's future looks promising, it is important to acknowledge potential risks and challenges:
• Network Congestion: As the network grows, it may face scalability issues, leading to increased transaction fees and slower processing times.
• Regulatory Uncertainty: Changes in regulatory policies can impact the cryptocurrency market, including Solana.
• Market Volatility: The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and sudden price swings can occur.
Conclusion:
Solana's strong fundamentals, coupled with positive market sentiment and technical analysis, suggest a bullish outlook for the token. The potential for significant price appreciation, coupled with the growing adoption of the Solana ecosystem, makes it an attractive investment opportunity for both short-term traders and long-term investors. However, as with any investment, it is crucial to conduct thorough research and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Will XRP Price Surpass All-Time Highs Amidst SEC Legal Troubles
The cryptocurrency market has recently been on a rollercoaster ride, with Bitcoin and Ethereum leading the charge. However, another cryptocurrency, Ripple (XRP), has recently stolen the spotlight with its remarkable price surge. The digital asset has seen a significant uptick in value, surpassing the $1 mark, fueled by a combination of factors, including legal victories for Ripple against the SEC and positive developments in the regulatory landscape.
The Ripple vs. SEC Battle and Its Impact on XRP Price
One of the primary catalysts for XRP's price surge is the ongoing legal battle between Ripple Labs and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The SEC has accused Ripple of conducting an unregistered securities offering by selling XRP tokens. However, recent court rulings have favored Ripple, increasing investors' optimism.
A favorable outcome in the Ripple vs. SEC case could have a profound impact on the cryptocurrency industry as a whole. It could set a precedent for future regulatory clarity and potentially pave the way for wider adoption of cryptocurrencies. As a result, investors have been flocking to XRP, driving its price higher.
Favorable Regulatory Shift and Its Implications for XRP
In addition to the legal developments, many countries worldwide are adopting a more favorable stance towards cryptocurrencies. This regulatory shift is creating a more conducive environment for the growth of the cryptocurrency industry, including XRP.
As more countries implement clear and supportive regulations, it could lead to increased institutional adoption of cryptocurrencies. This, in turn, could drive significant demand for XRP, further boosting its price.
Technical Analysis: A Bullish Outlook for XRP
From a technical analysis perspective, XRP's price chart is displaying a strong bullish trend. The cryptocurrency has broken through key resistance levels and is now trading above its 200-day moving average. This suggests that the bullish momentum is likely to continue in the short to medium term.
However, it is important to note that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and prices can fluctuate rapidly. Therefore, investors should exercise caution and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.
How High Can XRP Price Go?
Predicting the exact price target for XRP is challenging, as it depends on a variety of factors, including the outcome of the Ripple vs. SEC case, broader market sentiment, and future regulatory developments.
However, given the current bullish momentum and positive market sentiment, it is not unreasonable to expect XRP to reach new all-time highs in the coming months or years. Some analysts have even speculated that XRP could potentially reach $10 or even higher in the long term.
Conclusion
The recent surge in XRP's price is a testament to the growing interest in the cryptocurrency and the positive developments surrounding Ripple. As the legal battle with the SEC unfolds and regulatory clarity emerges, XRP could continue to outperform other cryptocurrencies. However, investors should approach XRP with a long-term perspective and be prepared for potential price fluctuations.
It is crucial to conduct thorough research and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Potential Topping Pattern in MicrosoftMicrosoft doubled between late 2022 and mid-2024, and now some traders may think the tech giant is done going up.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of higher highs between February and July, followed by successively lower highs. That rounded top could signal its longer-term momentum has stalled.
Second, the 50-, 100- and 200-day simple moving average (SMAs) have come together after being spread apart. That could also reflect a weakening of the longer-term uptrend.
Third, MSFT gapped downward on October 31 after forecasting slower growth in its Azure division. It rebounded feebly without recouping its losses. Did a bear-flag breakdown just take place?
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
$FLOKI Update - Up over 66% from last postWhat a nice 66% gain from last post and it's still showing bullish. It pushed up past 5 major resistance zones. If CB listing soon could push past the next few resistance zones to the next fib level above $3.10. Remember to have a plan before entering and stick with it.
WORLD CURRENCY UNIT / U.S. DOLLARThe World Currency Unit (WCU) is an indexed unit of account that stands for a unit of real global purchasing power. Since each unit by design represents a stable unit of purchasing power, the stipulated interest rate on WCU-denominated bonds represents a real interest rate.
WCUUSD is another way to track the strength of the dollar index. With the setting of various MAs on the WCUUSD chart and in relation to the dollar index, we will notice that the trend and support of the moving averages are better positioned in relation to the same setting on the chart on the dollar index.
WCUUSD is best followed on a daily time frame, while the dollar index can be followed on a smaller time frame.
You might initially wonder why you are tracking WCUUSD when you are already tracking the dollar index chart. But you will very quickly realize how this chart is a very important indicator of the dollar's strength that can be useful for our trading with all USD pairs.
50 SMA Rising - Swing TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
50 SMA Rising strategy. Suitable for Swing Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 30 days SMA if price close below 30 SMA then Exit or be in the trade for 2 to 4 weeks.
Target & Stop loss shown on Chart. Do not Forget to Exit if Stop loss Hit.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
50 SMA Rising - Swing TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
50 SMA Rising strategy. Suitable for Swing Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 30 days SMA if price close below 30 SMA then Exit or be in the trade for 2 to 4 weeks.
Target & Stop loss shown on Chart. Do not Forget to Exit if Stop loss Hit.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
50 SMA Rising - Swing TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
50 SMA Rising strategy. Suitable for Swing Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 30 days SMA if price close below 30 SMA then Exit or be in the trade for 2 to 4 weeks.
Target & Stop loss shown on Chart. Do not Forget to Exit if Stop loss Hit.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market .
50 SMA Rising - Swing Tradeisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
50 SMA Rising strategy. Suitable for Swing Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 30 days SMA if price close below 30 SMA then Exit or be in the trade for 2 to 4 weeks.
Target & Stop loss shown on Chart. Do not Forget to Exit if Stop loss Hit.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
Ethereum's Fading Dominance: A 2023 Trend That Could ContinueEthereum's relative strength against Bitcoin has been waning throughout 2023, and technical analysis suggests this trend may persist.
A Breakdown in the Making
Ethereum (ETH) has been showing signs of weakness relative to Bitcoin (BTC) throughout 2023. This trend and a recent technical breakdown suggest that ETH/BTC could continue its downward trajectory.
Key Technical Indicators
1. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI for ETH/BTC has been declining, indicating a loss of momentum in Ethereum's price action relative to Bitcoin.
2. Moving Averages: The 50-day and 200-day moving averages for ETH/BTC have crossed over, forming a bearish "death cross" pattern. This pattern often signals a potential downtrend.
3. Support Levels: ETH/BTC has struggled to hold onto key support levels, suggesting that selling pressure is increasing.
Why is Ethereum Losing Ground to Bitcoin?
Several factors may be contributing to Ethereum's relative weakness:
1. Network Congestion and High Fees: Ethereum's network has been plagued by congestion and high transaction fees, particularly during periods of peak demand. This has led to a decline in user experience and network adoption.
2. The Rise of Layer-2 Solutions: While Layer-2 solutions like Arbitrum and Optimism have helped alleviate some of the congestion issues, they have also fragmented the Ethereum ecosystem.
3. Competition from Other Smart Contract Platforms: Other smart contract platforms, such as Solana and Cardano, have been gaining traction and challenging Ethereum's dominance.
4. Bitcoin's Growing Institutional Adoption: Bitcoin has been increasingly adopted by institutional investors, who view it as a store of value and a hedge against inflation. This increased demand for Bitcoin could be driving capital away from Ethereum.
The Potential Impact of the Merge
The Merge, a significant upgrade to the Ethereum network, was expected to improve network efficiency and reduce energy consumption. However, the impact of the Merge on Ethereum's price performance has been mixed. While the Merge may have long-term benefits for the Ethereum ecosystem, it has not been enough to reverse the short-term trend of ETH's underperformance relative to Bitcoin.
Conclusion
Ethereum's relative weakness against Bitcoin is a concerning trend for ETH holders. The technical indicators suggest that ETH/BTC could continue to decline in the coming months. While the Merge was a significant milestone for Ethereum, it may not be enough to offset the challenges facing the network. Investors should closely monitor the price action of ETH/BTC and be prepared for further downside.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Please conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Moving Average Positions (50,100,200)Normally when bear moves arise the 50 and 100 are above the 200 as there is more room for a downward move than an upward one.
Right now the 50 and 100 are BELOW the 200, which suggests that they have more room to move up ABOVE the 200MA in red, which would happen during a bull move.
Observation of the MA's
Comment if you think otherwise !
Daily timeframe
MY SPX500USD LONG IDEA 04/11/2024Direction: Long
SL: 5,619.1
Checklist:
- MA 20 going Upward
- Break of Trendline
- Fib level
- Bounce from a Support/Resistance
- Penetrate a Support/Resistance
- Edgefinder Score
- Correlation Confluence
- Trading Central Preference
Technical:
1. MA 20 Yellow is above MA 100 and 200 (Purple and Red).
2. No strong trendline reading but if it breaks my bullish purple line then price will go up.
3. Price bounced off from a Resistance zone.
4. FIB level 0.38 @ 5701.3 .
5. Tradingcentral tool signaling Rise on Time frames 15m,1h,4h and daily at the moment.
6. Q4 seasonality is bullish.
Fundamental and economic:
1. I use Edgefinder tool which shows me a score of 2 "Neutral Bullish".
2. We have US elections coming up and regardless of which president wins it’s going to be bullish for USD and stocks.
3. US NFP came out horrible 12k but market wants a revision and is in a speculative state.
5. USD is on the rise after a recovery.
6. VIX spiked a little and is calming down.
MY EURUSD SHORT IDEA 01/11/2024Direction: Short
SL: 1.0849
Checklist:
- MA 20 going downward
- Break of Trendline
- Fib level
- Bounce from a Support/Resistance
- Penetrate a Support/Resistance
- Edgefinder Score
- Correlation Confluence
- Trading Central Preference
Technical:
1. MA 20 Yellow is falling to MA 100 and 200 (Purple and Red).
2. Red Trendline was broken recently.
3. Price bounced off from a Resistance zone.
4. No FIB level found.
5. Tradingcentral tool signaling DECLINE on Time frames 15m,1h,and 4h but it is bullish and signaling RISE on daily time frame at the moment.
6. Q4 seasonality is bullish actually but with a short term bearish.
Fundamental and economic:
1. I use Edgefinder tool which shows me a score of -1 "Neutral Bearish".
2. We have US elections coming up and regardless of which president wins it’s going to be bullish for USD.
3. US NFP came out horrible 12k but market wants a revision and is in a speculative state.
4. EUR / DE10Y is falling.
5. USD is on the rise after a recovery.
6. VIX spiked a little.
MY NAS100 LONG IDEA 31/10/2024Direction: Long
SL: 1950-1966
Indicators:
1. MA (20,50,100,200)
2. Trendline - Algo
3. Support and Resistance
4. Fib Level
5. I also use MT5 - Tradingcentral tools
Technical:
1. MA 20 still above 100 and 200 so I believe we still have room for bull run.
2. Red trendline was broken so we have a price drop but I also see a possibility for the price to and breakthrough the green trendline.
3. Price is dropping to a Support zone and I have a confirmation on Tradingcentral tool on MT5.
4. FIB level at golden zone.
5. Tradingcentral tool signaling DECLINE but price is bouncing off of the support area at the moment.
Fundamental and economic:
1. US economic data is looking good we had a bunch of data that negatively impacted the prices but I think these are good retracement opportunities.
2. I use Edgefinder tool which shows me a score of 5 "bullish" on Nasdaq.
3. We are in Q4 and usually this is where we find good setups for long run.
MY COCOA LONG IDEA 01/11/2024*Did not enter this trade yet*
Direction: Long
SL: 7425.4
Indicators:
1. MA (20,50,100,200)
2. Trendline - Algo
3. Support and Resistance
4. I also use MT5 - Tradingcentral tools
5. Fib
Time Frame: 4h (I also use other time frames mainly 1D because I like to trade for long period of time)
Technical:
1. MA 20 (Yellow) is very bearish and below the MA 100 and 200 (Purple and Red) but I expect a reversal in this pattern.
2. Red trendline was broken previously so I'm looking for a breakthrough the green trendline.
3. Price respected the Support zone and is rising towards the fib level at 8216.2.
5. Tradingcentral tool signaling RISE on all time frames signifying a very bullish Price action.
Fundamental and economic:
1. COCOA is a very tricky commodity but we can simplify this by looking at the COT data where they were short about 1-2 weeks ago making a short-term bearish setups and I think we are past that phase because in the long run COT is bullish on COCOA.
2. Q4 historically is bullish for this pair according to the seasonal indicator by Tradingview.
3. US Elections, Halloween, Winter season, and Christmas is an influence in the Demand of Cocoa.
50 SMA Rising- Positional TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
Its 50 SMA Rising Strategy. Suitable for Positional Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 50 days SMA if price close below 50 SMA then Exit or be in the trade some time trade can go for several months.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
Trade What you see not what you Think
S&P biblical top? island top - falls back to 200 EMA weekly 22%S&P has made an island reversal
It will at some point fall back to the 200 EMA on the daily or weekly 22%
Bearish opportunity
I think that a multi year top is now in place for this index, this first 22% down may trigger the topping process for this index as sentiment indicators are at record levels and retail participation is at an all time high. Plus money mngt firms are fully long with next to no spare money to invest in a dip.
So like in the 1929 who is left to buy ? As per Jesse Livermore book 'Even the shoe shine lad said to the banker that he had bought stocks' and the banker went and sold out his entire holding and made himself rich as he realised there were no new buyers left everyone was all in just like now!
May be Trump stops the Fed continually printing debt to use it to buy up the market?
If debt is issued maybe they use it to buy stable coins now not the traditional markets which would lead to a huge multi year bear market for equities
Good luck to all and stay safe! Luck is when opportunity meets a prepared mind!