Bitcoin Cash golden cross and January 20thBitcoin Cash golden cross is a buy signal before January 20th. When a 100-day moving average crosses above a 200-day moving average, it's commonly referred to as a "golden cross". Indicating a potential bullish signal, suggesting a possible shift from a bearish trend to a bullish trend in the market. In 2023 BCH went from a low on January 20th to a high of + 214%. In 2024 BCH went from a low on January 20th to a high of + 207%. Is the 3rd time a charm? If BCH can go +200% from January 20th 2025 the high would be around 1300 per Bitcoin Cash!
Trade idea:
Long = sma100
stop = sma200
profit = 1300
Moving Averages
Long term $180-$190 target. More downside likely short term.I think short term we can see a final push down. Company has way to much in OP EX and once it can figure out how to remove/cut the amount in half, this stock will show to investors that it has a plan for long term profitable growth.
Question is, which earnings report will it be and/or will they release news on lay offs once unemployment really spikes.
BUY THIS STOCK IN MY PINK ZONE AND HOLD 2-5 YEARS.
my main concern right now is AI hype flushing down and/or there cash on hand and free cash flow continues on its down trend...
CCL LongWeekly SMA200 as support
Long 17.36
Stop 12.5
Target 30
Risk management is much more important than a good entry point.
I am not a PRO trader.
In my trading plan, the Max Risk of each short term trade should be less than 1% of an account.
BuyToOpen 2025 Jan Call spread C20/30
Limit 2.02
SellToOpen 2025 Jan Put P12.5 x2 (Delta -0.16)
Limit 1.02 x2
Cost "0", if price stays between 12.5 and 20, no loss.
Stop below 12.5, max loss about $2.0 x 200.
ETHENA - Identifying a trend shift using RSI, MACD, EMA and DivFirst post of 2025 to start the new year Journaling and using Basic tools Offered by Tradingview. The most Common Used by traders are RSI MACD and EMA's.
I am going use these indicators with descriptors of what I came to understand after reading the "About script" and applying them to my trade Ideas to see If I can correctly Identify Strength and Weakness in markets.
I have plotted out on the charts what the use cases are for these tools.
RSI, MACD and EMA's are momentum Indicators, They are not used to identify where a reversal will happen but over a period of time where you can see trend start to shift or continue trending based on the Information they provide.
HSI breakout: 21377 price targetHSI has broken out of the descending daily trend line, and also found support at the 200. day EMA.
With a potential bottom having formed, the first price target for the coming move up would be 21377 which price previously rejected twice from.
Beyond that, price can target 22686, then 25048 which is the top of the golden pocket, being the 0.65 retracement of the entire move down from ATHs.
Outbreak ConfirmedWith a second big candle we have exceeded the trading range which had lasted since the beginning of November. At the same time we have crossed both the exponential and the simple moving averages. This week has opened higher what can be seen as a confirmation of the outbreak.
Here we are struggling but the long way down in mind we may have hope that there will be another corrective wave up.
AMC Entertainment Holdings | AMC | Long at $3.66First, I'm not an " NYSE:AMC APE" and have zero interest in becoming one. Second, don't trade NYSE:AMC unless you are fully aware the investment could go to zero or the company may devalue your trade via share dilution or other means (i.e., don't simply do as I do or blindly follow anyone else's moves, for the matter).
With that aside, I started a position/gambling play today in NYSE:AMC at $3.66. The reason is 80% technical analysis and 20% fundamentals.
Technical Analysis:
The blue line on the chart represents an average true range (ATR) from a historical simple moving average (SMA) that I use for trading. For simplicity, the historical SMA is not show on the chart - just the ATR. This blue ATR line has historically been a major line of resistance and support. When it breaks through and holds, the stock goes bull - but history may not repeat. The price recently broke the blue ATR line, fell below, and the broke out again today. This may be a sign that the downward trend (overall) is changing - perhaps furthering the accumulation phase in the $3s or a gradual rise from here. And with today's breakout, I grabbed shares at $3.66.
Fundamentals
Since 2020, NYSE:AMC has shown major gains in revenue and net income (loss reduction, that is). Revenu: $1.24 billion (2020); $2.53 billion (2021); $3.91 billion (2022); 4.81 billion (2023); $4.4 billion (2024, Q1-3 only). Net Income: -$4.5 billion (2020); -$1.27 billion (2021); -$973 million (2022); -$396 million (2023); -$399 million (2024, Q1-3 only). The company is not expected to become profitable until Q4 of 2026 , but the improvements are what one would like to see.
Counter-arguments and statements the stock is junk are totally valid. But the chart is quite interesting as the company moves toward profitability (maybe...).
Targets:
$4.30
$6.00
Squeeze/mass hysteria: $18.00, $40.00, and ridiculousness: $85.00
ACHR VOLATILITY CAPTUREShould everything fall to plan I was able to spot an EMA convergence with injunction of timing via the day of the week in market anticipation of the return of the previous Admin.
Entry Point
• Entry Price: $9.14
I initiated deployment at $9.14, identifying this level as an entry point right before the inauguration of the next admin. This is Driven my 3hr Volatility contraction, at a support level on the green 100 EMA.
Take Profit Level
• Take Profit: $9.41
On this long I am anticipating the swipe of $9.41. Take profit level is in aim to secure calculated gain of $0.27 per share, approximately a 2.95% profit on your position.
Stop Loss
• Stop Loss: $8.53
In an effort to cover capital, stop loss is at $8.53. This level ensures that your maximum loss is capped at $0.61 per share, equating to about a 6.67% aggressive downside risk.
Risk-Reward Ratio
Risk-reward ratio of this trade is approximately 1:0.45. This implies I am risking $0.61 to potentially gain $0.27 per share. While the reward is lower than the risk, the trade aligns with broader portfolio strategies and short-term technical signals supporting a high-probability outcome.
Litecoin Joins ETF Race, Boosting Market OptimismLitecoin (LTC), one of the earliest and most established cryptocurrencies, has recently entered the burgeoning race for a spot Bitcoin ETF, mirroring similar efforts in other cryptocurrencies like XRP. This development, coupled with growing community support for Lightchain AI following the rollout of ETF trading features, has ignited renewed interest and bullish sentiment in the Litecoin market. Canary Capital's recent Litecoin ETF filing has sparked a market rally, coinciding with a period of anticipated leadership change at the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).1 This article explores these developments, analyzing their potential impact on Litecoin's price and its position within the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem.
Litecoin Joins the ETF Race: A Sign of Maturing Market
The filing for a Litecoin ETF marks a significant step in the cryptocurrency's evolution. Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) offer investors a regulated and accessible way to gain exposure to an asset without directly holding it.2 The potential approval of a Litecoin ETF could open the door to a wider range of institutional and retail investors, driving increased demand and liquidity for LTC.
This move mirrors the ongoing efforts to establish a spot Bitcoin ETF and recent developments surrounding XRP. The pursuit of ETFs for various cryptocurrencies reflects a growing acceptance of digital assets within traditional financial markets. It also signals a maturing market, with increasing regulatory scrutiny and the development of more sophisticated investment vehicles.
Canary Capital's Filing and Market Reaction
Canary Capital's filing for a Litecoin ETF has been a catalyst for positive market movement.3 The announcement triggered a noticeable price rally for LTC, demonstrating the market's anticipation of potential ETF approval. This reaction highlights the significant impact that regulatory developments and institutional adoption can have on cryptocurrency valuations.
The timing of Canary Capital's filing is also noteworthy, coinciding with anticipated leadership changes at the SEC. This transition could potentially lead to a shift in regulatory approach towards cryptocurrencies, potentially creating a more favorable environment for ETF approvals.
Lightchain AI and ETF Trading Features: Enhancing Litecoin's Ecosystem
The development and growing community support for Lightchain AI, particularly following the rollout of ETF trading features, further strengthens Litecoin's position. Lightchain AI aims to enhance Litecoin's functionality and scalability, potentially addressing some of the network's limitations.
The integration of ETF trading features within the Litecoin ecosystem provides users with more convenient access to ETF-related products and services. This integration can further drive adoption and usage of Litecoin, particularly among investors interested in participating in the ETF market.
Technical Analysis: Trading Above the 20-Day MA
From a technical analysis perspective, Litecoin trading above its 20-day moving average (MA) is generally considered a positive signal. The 20-day MA is a widely used indicator that tracks the average price of an asset over the past 20 trading days.4 When the price crosses above this average, it can suggest a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish.
This technical indicator, combined with the fundamental developments surrounding ETFs and Lightchain AI, paints a more comprehensive picture of Litecoin's current market position.
Challenges and Considerations
Despite the positive developments, Litecoin still faces challenges. The SEC's stance on cryptocurrency ETFs remains a significant hurdle. The regulatory landscape for digital assets is still evolving, and there is no guarantee that a Litecoin ETF will be approved.
Competition from other cryptocurrencies also poses a challenge. While Litecoin has the advantage of being one of the earliest cryptocurrencies, it faces competition from newer and more innovative projects.5
Long LTC: A Bullish Perspective
The phrase "Long LTC" expresses a bullish sentiment towards Litecoin, suggesting a belief that the cryptocurrency's price will rise in the future. This sentiment is supported by several factors, including the potential for ETF approval, the development of Lightchain AI, and positive technical indicators.
However, it's crucial to remember that investing in cryptocurrencies is inherently risky. Market volatility, regulatory uncertainty, and technological developments can all impact the price of digital assets.
Conclusion
Litecoin's entry into the ETF race, coupled with community support for Lightchain AI and positive technical indicators, has generated significant excitement within the market. Canary Capital's ETF filing and the anticipated SEC leadership change have further fueled this momentum. While challenges remain, the combination of these factors suggests a positive outlook for Litecoin. The potential approval of a Litecoin ETF could mark a turning point for the cryptocurrency, opening it up to a wider audience and solidifying its place within the evolving financial landscape. As always, investors should conduct thorough research and exercise caution when investing in cryptocurrencies.
[Swing Trade] AJANTPHARM breakout above 3,115 is expected.AJANTPHARM
Analysis
A triple bottom pattern is clearly visible here.. with the price bouncing off the 2,800 thrice,I think 2800 is acting as strong support.. from my view, it is signalling a reversal in a downtrend, may be bullish trend potentially
If I happen to enter, I may wait for a breakout above 3,115 with price above all the MAs and also I will wait for strong volume around this price.
On 13th jan price has taken support on 200dma. It is also confirming the reversal.
DYOR before you invest. This is purely for education purpose.
Nvidia Holds a Key LevelNvidia has done little since the summer, but some traders may see potential for the chip giant to extend its multiyear run.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the price area around $131.26. It was the high in August and has more or less represented the bottom of NVDA’s range since mid-October. Has new support been established above old resistance?
Next, stochastics are near an oversold condition. Similar readings have preceded bounces, as the white arrows in the lower study indicate.
Third, our Price Streak custom script in the lowest study shows the stock declined for five straight sessions. It’s the longest NVDA has been able to keep falling in the last two years. (Streaks of similar length have occurred a few other times in that period.) That may suggest selling pressure has peaked.
Finally, NVDA has tested and held its rising 100-day simple moving average.
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$SPY January 16, 2025AMEX:SPY January 16, 2025
15 minutes.
Yesterday gap open was held.
For the last rise from 578.97 to 592.96 AMEX:SPY retraced to 589.5 before achieving the target 594 for yesterday's move.
598.5 represents 23.6% fall for the last rise and took support at 61.8% retracement for the fall 597.74 to 575.35.
Hence it is important that AMEX:SPY holds 589 levels for upward movement.
For the extension 575 to585 to 578.35, 594 was achieved being 1.618 levels for the first rise.
At the moment we have 200 averages above 50 and 100 in 15 minutes, hence I expect AMEX:SPY to consolidate between 590 to 593 levels today for a further up movement tomorrow.
Also, we have an oscillator divergence from 592.9 to 593.9 levels
No trade day for me today.
(Elliott Wave) Double zigzag correction is just half way inGlobal inspection suggests that correction (monthly timeframe) has not yet reached even the minimum targets (marked with red lines on a logarithmic scale).
Local inspection suggests that correction is emerging in a double zigzag formation:
- First zigzag (W) reached the lowest point of $0.262
- Right now ugly wave (X) is forming (retraced 0.618 of wave (W))
- Expecting one more zigzag (Y) with least the same length of wave (W) potentially reaching $0.18 (aligns with weekly 50 EMA) with an on the way pullback near $0.28 (aligns with daily 200 EMA).
Stellar (XLM) Price Breakout Fuels 30% Surge Hopes
Stellar Lumens (XLM), the cryptocurrency designed to facilitate fast and low-cost cross-border payments, has recently shown signs of a potential breakout, sparking speculation about a significant price surge. After a period of relative stagnation, XLM has demonstrated renewed momentum, capturing the attention of traders and investors alike. This article delves into the factors contributing to this potential breakout, examines technical indicators, and explores whether a 30% surge is a realistic possibility.
Stellar’s core mission is to provide an efficient and inclusive financial ecosystem, particularly for underserved populations. It aims to streamline international transactions, making them faster, cheaper, and more accessible than traditional banking systems.1 This focus on real-world utility has always been a strong foundation for XLM, and recent developments suggest this utility is beginning to translate into market action.
Factors Driving the Potential Breakout:
Several factors contribute to the current bullish sentiment surrounding XLM:
• Increased Network Activity: A key indicator of a healthy blockchain network is its level of activity. Recent data suggests a significant uptick in transactions on the Stellar network. This increased usage indicates growing adoption and demonstrates the platform’s real-world utility. This increased activity could be attributed to new partnerships, integrations with existing financial institutions, or the organic growth of its user base.
• Growing Institutional Interest: While not as prominent as Bitcoin or Ethereum, Stellar has been quietly attracting institutional interest. Its focus on regulated financial services and its compliance-friendly approach make it an attractive option for institutions seeking to explore the potential of blockchain technology. Increased institutional involvement often translates to larger trading volumes and can significantly impact price action.
• Favorable Regulatory Landscape: The regulatory landscape for cryptocurrencies is constantly evolving. Positive regulatory developments, particularly those related to cross-border payments and digital assets, can create a favorable environment for projects like Stellar. Clearer regulations can foster greater confidence among investors and encourage wider adoption.
• Technical Indicators: From a technical analysis perspective, XLM has shown promising signs. Recent price action has seen XLM break through key resistance levels, suggesting a shift in momentum.2 Trading volume has also increased, further supporting the bullish narrative. Several technical indicators, such as moving averages and relative strength index (RSI), point towards a potential upward trend.
• Focus on Decentralized Finance (DeFi): While Stellar isn't primarily known for DeFi, the network has seen increasing development in this sector. The growth of DeFi applications on Stellar could attract new users and capital to the ecosystem, further driving demand for XLM.
Technical Analysis and Price Prediction:
Analyzing XLM's price charts reveals a potential breakout pattern. The price has been consolidating within a defined range for a period, and the recent break above this range suggests a potential shift towards an upward trend. This breakout is further supported by increased trading volume, indicating strong buying pressure.
Several technical indicators suggest a bullish outlook:
• Moving Averages: The price of XLM has crossed above key moving averages, such as the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which are often interpreted as bullish signals.
• Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI, a momentum indicator, is showing increasing strength, indicating growing buying momentum.
• Volume: The increased trading volume accompanying the price breakout provides further confirmation of the bullish trend.
Based on these technical indicators and the current market momentum, a 30% surge is a plausible scenario. However, it’s crucial to remember that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and price predictions are not guaranteed.3 Several factors could influence XLM’s price action, including overall market sentiment, regulatory developments, and competition from other cryptocurrencies.
Is a 30% Surge Realistic?
While the technical indicators and fundamental factors suggest a potential for significant price appreciation, a 30% surge should be considered a potential target rather than a certainty. The cryptocurrency market is known for its volatility, and unforeseen events can quickly change market sentiment.4
Conclusion:
Stellar’s XLM is showing promising signs of a potential breakout. Increased network activity, growing institutional interest, favorable regulatory developments, and positive technical indicators all contribute to the bullish sentiment. While a 30% surge is a realistic possibility based on current trends, investors should exercise caution and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile,5 and it’s essential to manage risk effectively.6 However, the current momentum surrounding XLM suggests that the project is well-positioned for future growth and could offer significant potential for investors. The focus on real-world utility and the development of the Stellar ecosystem continue to be key factors to watch in the coming months.
BTC/USDT : 200 day MA is key support to a massive $160,000 jump.Hello Traders,
A compelling pattern is forming for CRYPTOCAP:BTC .
Considering how BTC interacted with the 50 day MA from November 2023 to March 2024, with BTC retesting at $40,000 in January and then surging to $73,000 in March, if history repeats, the 2025 bull run could potentially send BTC to $160,000 within three months.
Technically, BTC broke through the 50-day MA resistance from above and from $48,000 it declined by 20% towards the 100-day MA trendline to have rest at $38,000. From the 100-day MA trendline, BTC then rallied by 90% all the way up to $73,000.
If this historical move were to repeat, BTC would likely encounter the 100-day MA trendline to fall 20% at $85,000 before another 90% surge towards $160,000 🚀🚀🚀.
Play safe, #DisciplineWithStopLoss before you invest and keep close eyes on 50 & 100 day MA trendlines 🤞
#ChartPatterns
#SwingTrading
#BTCUSD
#PatienceIsKey
#RektProofTrade
#ProtectYourCapital
Traeger | COOK | Long at $2.50Traeger NYSE:COOK is in an accumulation zone and approaching a change in the downward trend based on my selected simple moving average. Insiders have shown confidence in future price improvement by buying shares and being awarded options in the low $2s. With a 58M float and anticipated earnings improvement through 2027, this ticker may be poised for a run soon. There is a tiny gap in the daily chart between $2.19 and $2.20 that may get filled before then, but Traeger has a strong brand name and can be found in multiple big box stores. A slowing economy may dampen this move in the near-term, but NYSE:COOK is in a personal buy zone at $2.50.
Target #1 - $4.15
Target #2 - $5.00
Target #3 - $8.50
Target #4 - $19.00 (very long-term...)
American Airlines | AAL | Long at $14.00Similar to my cruise line picks, I anticipate airlines to quite literally "take off" in the coming years as interest rates are lowered and people travel more. These two industries never quite recovered from the pandemic, but their time to do so is "likely" fast approaching.
American Airlines NASDAQ:AAL has been consolidating near my selected long-term simple moving average (SMA) for several years. Many retail investors have been beaten up by the sudden up and (especially) down price movements, but this is where larger investors gather their shares. The fact NASDAQ:AAL did not make a new low in August 2024 is a hopeful sign from a technical analysis perspective. While the price may dip to close out the new lower price gaps, I think we are nearing the "take off" zone which will be a massive break through the long-term SMA. A confirmation that something bigger is brewing would be a price move into the $15s, dip down to the $12s, and the larger move up. Regardless of trying to predict bottoms, NASDAQ:AAL is in a personal buy zone at $14.00.
Target #1 = $15.25
Target #2 = $16.55
Target #3 = $18.40
Target #4 = $27.00 (very long-term outlook...)