$MSTR appears to have broken the downtrendStill not 100% confirmed yet.
Price action dipped into the gap, although i would have liked to of seen a bit more time ~$275 to confirm
That would have shown a strong bounce off the .618 Fib as well, so I’m still bit skeptical.
It is very good that MSTR had a full 50% retracement tho from this move up.
I’m expecting it to range sideways at least for a few more days to confirm.
Volume has flipped bullish to suggest a trend reversal.
RSI fully reset to beginning of move.
Price closed above the EMA 9 & 21.
EMA 9 still has not crossed 21, so more hesitation.
Bulls need to step up BIG here for the Weekly Close.
Moving Averages
Dogecoin's Potential Resurgence: A Technical and Market AnalysisDogecoin, the meme-inspired cryptocurrency that has captured the attention of investors and enthusiasts alike, has recently shown signs of a potential resurgence. With its weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) approaching the Moving Average (MA) line and recent price action suggesting fresh highs, the question on everyone's mind is: can Dogecoin resume its uptrend and break its all-time high (ATH) of $0.74? This article delves into the technical analysis, market trends, and underlying factors that could influence Dogecoin's price trajectory.
Technical Analysis: RSI and Price Action
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis that measures the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions in the price of a stock or other asset. When the RSI approaches the MA line, it often signals a potential shift in momentum. In Dogecoin's case, the weekly RSI approaching the MA line suggests that the cryptocurrency may be transitioning from a period of consolidation or correction to a renewed uptrend.
Furthermore, recent price action has been encouraging for Dogecoin enthusiasts. The cryptocurrency has shown signs of strength, with price movements suggesting the possibility of breaking through resistance levels and establishing fresh highs above $0.75. This positive price action, coupled with the RSI approaching the MA line, paints a bullish picture for Dogecoin's near-term future.
Market Trends and Influencing Factors
Several factors could be contributing to Dogecoin's recent surge and potential for further growth:
1. Increased Adoption and Utility: Dogecoin has seen increased adoption as a form of payment by various merchants and businesses. This growing utility adds real-world value to the cryptocurrency and could drive demand.
2. Social Media and Community Support: Dogecoin's strong community and social media presence play a significant role in its price movements. Positive sentiment and viral trends can lead to increased buying pressure and price appreciation.
3. Broader Cryptocurrency Market Trends: The overall health of the cryptocurrency market can also impact Dogecoin's price. A bullish trend in the broader market often lifts the prices of various cryptocurrencies, including Dogecoin.
4. Celebrity Endorsements and Influencer Marketing: Dogecoin has benefited from endorsements by celebrities and influencers, which can generate significant buzz and attract new investors.
Can Dogecoin Break its ATH?
While technical indicators and market trends suggest a positive outlook for Dogecoin, breaking its ATH of $0.74 will require sustained momentum and overcoming key resistance levels. The cryptocurrency has faced significant volatility in the past, and it is essential to consider the risks involved.
However, if Dogecoin can maintain its current trajectory, capitalize on positive market sentiment, and continue to grow its adoption and utility, breaking its ATH is a realistic possibility.
Conclusion
Dogecoin's recent price action and technical indicators suggest a potential resurgence for the meme-inspired cryptocurrency. With its weekly RSI approaching the MA line and price movements indicating fresh highs, Dogecoin could be poised for a renewed uptrend.
While breaking its ATH of $0.74 will be a significant challenge, the cryptocurrency's strong community, growing adoption, and positive market trends could provide the necessary impetus. As always, it is crucial to conduct thorough research and exercise caution when investing in cryptocurrencies, considering the inherent risks and volatility of the market.
An additional argument for the alt season.Hi. I'll duplicate someone else's observation that a ‘bad cross’
of EMA 200 and EMA 50 has formed on the weekly chart of
the total dominance of USDT and USDC. And it was back in December.
This is a very good argument for TOTAL3 to start getting its share
of capitalisation in 2025.
Gosh, how many conditions are required. Market, political, sentiment, etc.
Will Gold Slide to $2,578 Amid Bearish Pressure?Gold (XAU/USD) shows strong bearish momentum across multiple timeframes, with the price consistently trading below key SMAs, reinforcing downward pressure. The rejection from the $2,640 resistance zone and the descending trendline aligns with the bearish continuation pattern within the ascending channel. A confirmed breakout below the channel’s lower boundary could drive the price to the $2,578 target, a critical support level.
Key Levels to Watch:
• Resistance: $2,640
• Support: $2,578
$TSLA - Long entry after earningsI think NASDAQ:TSLA will shock many in the coming months. People who are too focused on short term performance are overlooking the long term price potential, I think weak hands will be shaken out tomorrow on the somewhat-likely earnings miss.
With that, I expect smart buyers might be able to get an excellent long entry in the $19X.XX price-range tomorrow following a bad print.
I like NASDAQ:TSLL as well, and I think that that will be where I allocate a significant position to.
In an exponential age, prices will go much higher than people realize. This thesis is invalidated with a significant break lower than $190. Plan accordingly!
Possibly the best system I have ever come up with for BitcoinThis is for my wealth accumulation and it is not in any way financial advice. If you follow this and lose your shirt that's on you!
There is a cycle embedded into the Bitcoin space. We all know it and we all witness it.
The halving cycle is real and it is a feature not a bug.
For my sanity, I am sick of seeing people I know buying the FOMO tops and then selling on the way down to the bottom or holding through massive periods of drawdown. So I am not going to do that.
The system is simple.
Setup, wait for the next most likely top in the market before the next most likely drawdown period.
QT4 2013
QT4 2017
QT4 2021
QT4 2025 <-- Next possible top in the market
From October 2025 monitor the daily price action looking for a close below the 50-period SMA
When triggered Sell Everything.
QT1 2015
QT1 2019
QT1 2023
QT1 2027 <-- Next possible bottom in the market
From January 2027 monitor the daily price action looking for a close above the 50-period SMA
When triggered Buy Everything back.
Significance of the 100-Day SMA for CardanoCardano (ADA) has recently demonstrated a strong bullish trend, surging past its 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and fueling optimism among investors. This move signals a potential shift in momentum, with bulls now setting their sights on the $1.26 price target. This article delves into the significance of this breakout, the factors driving Cardano's resurgence, and the potential challenges that lie ahead.
Understanding the Significance of the 100-Day SMA
The 100-day SMA is a widely used technical indicator in financial markets, representing the average price of an asset over the past 100 days. It serves as a crucial trend indicator, helping traders and investors identify the overall direction of an asset's price movement.
When an asset's price crosses above its 100-day SMA, it is often seen as a bullish signal, suggesting that the asset is gaining positive momentum and may continue to rise in value. Conversely, a drop below the 100-day SMA is typically considered a bearish signal.
Cardano's recent breach of this key indicator is, therefore, a significant development, indicating a potential shift from a bearish or sideways trend to a more bullish outlook.
Factors Driving Cardano's Resurgence
Several factors appear to be contributing to Cardano's recent price surge:
1. Increased Network Activity: Cardano has seen a significant increase in network activity in recent months, with a growing number of projects building on its blockchain and a rise in transaction volume. This increased adoption and usage is a positive sign for the long-term health of the Cardano ecosystem.
2. Positive Developments and Upgrades: The Cardano development team has been actively working on improving the network, with several successful upgrades and developments implemented recently. These improvements enhance the network's scalability, security, and functionality, making it more attractive to developers and users.
3. Growing Institutional Interest: Cardano has also been attracting growing interest from institutional investors, with several major players expressing support for the project. This institutional backing provides further validation for Cardano's potential and can contribute to increased investment and adoption.
4. Overall Market Sentiment: The broader cryptocurrency market has also been experiencing a period of positive momentum, with Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies showing strong gains. This positive market sentiment can spill over on altcoins like Cardano, contributing to their price appreciation.
Potential Challenges and Resistance Levels
While the recent breakout above the 100-day SMA is a positive sign for Cardano, it is important to acknowledge that challenges and resistance levels may still lie ahead.
The $1.26 price target represents a key resistance level, and Cardano may face some resistance at this point. If the bulls can successfully push through this level, it could pave the way for further gains.
Additionally, the cryptocurrency market is known for its volatility, and sudden price swings are always possible. Investors must remain cautious and not get carried away by short-term price movements.
Conclusion
Cardano's recent rally above its 100-day SMA is a significant development, signaling a potential shift in momentum and fueling bullish optimism. The factors driving this resurgence include increased network activity, positive developments and upgrades, growing institutional interest, and overall market sentiment.
While challenges and resistance levels may still exist, the current trend suggests that Cardano is well-positioned for further growth. Investors and enthusiasts will be closely watching to see if the bulls can maintain this momentum and push Cardano towards the $1.26 target and beyond.
LONG: Mahindra & Mahindra on the Rise: Targeting New Highs!🔍 Technical Analysis Report: NSE:M_M
Current Overview: 📈 NSE:M_M have shown a strong reversal from its recent low of ₹2,665.55. This recovery is significant as it has crossed the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, with the highest reference point being the level 1 Fibonacci at ₹3,214.95.
Key Observations:
Volume Analysis: Over the past 3-5 trading days, the stock has displayed consistent positive volume, indicating sustainable upward movement. 📊🔼
Critical Resistance: Since mid-June, the stock has been approaching a key resistance level. It briefly breached the 0.5 Fibonacci level yesterday but closed near the 0.382 Fibonacci level. 🚧
Price Movement: Today, the stock opened around the 0.382 Fibonacci level at ₹2,827.10 and is inching upwards. 📈
Technical Indicators:
MACD Analysis: The current MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) shows an impending buying crossover. If market conditions stay favorable, we anticipate the MACD histogram turning green tomorrow, reinforcing the bullish trend. 🔄🟢
Target Levels:
🎯 First Target: ₹2,942.15
🎯 Second Target: ₹3,005.10
🚀 Extended Target (if resistance is broken): Around ₹3,100.00
Risk Management:
Primary Stop-Loss: ₹2,800.00 to protect against downside risk. ⚠️
Extended Stop-Loss: ₹2,720.85 for those accommodating broader market volatility. 📉
Conclusion: 🟢 If M&M opens in the green tomorrow, this will confirm the buying trend, potentially reaching the target levels mentioned above. However, cautious trading is advised, particularly around the set stop-loss thresholds, to manage inherent market risks effectively. ⚖️
#Hashtags: #MahindraAndMahindra #StockAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #FibonacciLevels #MACD #TradingInsights #StockMarketIndia #BullishTrend #InvestmentStrategy #RiskManagement #FinogentSolutions
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
RIOT Gann Fan Moving Averages CrossNASDAQ:RIOT
Impressive chart history. Made this Gann Fan which is worth zooming in on to see the different lines it touches when at a high and zones it enters of consolidations. In addition made some trend lines to help point toward direction I see this stock moving. Moving averages look good. Going to go through what I see there as we are going to see the cross of 50 day moving average and 200 day moving average.
First trend line goes back to 2011 when we see the stock was 160. Looking at this line you can see the consolidation around this area before going down to new lows. This trend marks an important part of chart history as you can really make new high ranges beyond the point of 160 area. I use this important line to mark the potential to touch this line on a high.
Next Trend is great. 2015 is when you have 50 day moving average cross the 200 day moving average on a downward trend to go to new lows, which is a great starting point of the trend line. Connected this trend line to the top of each high at 2017 and 2021. This showed some improvement in what you can expect from this stock, to go and touch that trend line.
"Star" shows the area I am looking for in this stock. The trend lines show great connection and really points to what to look at when reaching this area. "Star" works so good as you can see the touch points on each line as well, which really just worked in our favor to show us what can happen. Watch for the "Star"
50 day moving average is black.
100 day moving average is purple.
200 day moving average is blue.
Moving averages on this stock show recently that the 50 day moving average recently crosses the 100 day moving average, which is bullish direction. Next looking for 50 day moving average to cross 200 moving average, which is very bullish. The momentum and volatility can pick up and start really moving like we have seen before. Zoom in to get a better look.
The range in the Gann Fan where the "Star" is, can be good to look at. This range is an important range which has seen consolidation before and I see this stock getting back there.
NASDAQ:RIOT COINBASE:BTCUSD
TSLA - Key Support/Bounce ZonesTSLA made a 'M' pattern which is typically seen when an asset has made a top (e.g. SPY, QQQ and BTC). Stock price has declined sharply since.
Key support zones in the short term are is between 354 and 345. This is because there is a fib retracement level of 38.2% and gap fill between 354 and 345. This is a high probability zone because this is coincides with the upper trendline of the parallel channel that started at the start of 2023 and price broke through the channel in Nov 2024 before reaching new highs. Furthermore, SMA 50 is also at 345.
Should the price pierce through 345 then there is also a secondary support zone between 320 and 312. This is because there is a fib retracement level of 50% (golden ratio) and gap fill between 320 and 312.
Remember technicals are all probabilities, price reverse and test all time highs.
SPY Key Support Zone and Trendline AnalysisThe chart represents SPY (S&P 500 ETF) price action on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting critical support and trendline levels:
Descending Trendline:
A downward sloping trendline (blue) illustrates the persistent bearish momentum.
Price tested and respected this trendline multiple times, confirming it as a resistance level.
Key Support Zone:
A rectangular orange zone marks a significant support level where buyers previously stepped in.
Price is approaching this area, indicating a potential bounce or breakdown.
Volume Analysis:
Increasing volume towards the support zone suggests heightened activity, likely due to a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers.
Market Outlook:
A bounce off the support zone could trigger a short-term recovery, targeting the trendline as resistance.
A breakdown below the support zone would signal further bearish momentum, with potential downside continuation.
Trading Tip:
Monitor price action near the support zone and volume for confirmation of a bounce or breakdown before taking any positions.
EUR/AUD Change of structure, time for correction.Hi guys today we are analysing the EUR/AUD currently it has broken out of an ascending channel formulating a correction / consololidation on the previous support level at 1.65500.
Additionally we can se that the RSI at least on 4H has already entered a descending channel indicating that the price is going to drop down.
Entry 1.66500
Target 1.65500
We are chasing 100 pips here, then if it continues we will revisit this analysis and look into a further drop.
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
MARA Moving Averages Cross Gann Box NASDAQ:MARA
This chart uses the Gann Box method of accuracy. I can see why some people I follow like to use the Gann Box. I included the moving averages.
50 day moving average is the black line.
100 day moving average is the purple line.
200 day moving average is the blue line.
Blue cross indicating the 50 day moving average is crossing the 200 day moving average.
Purple cross indicating the 50 day moving average is crossing the 100 day moving average.
Looking at the 50 day moving average you can see it is ready to make the upward move to cross the 200 day moving average which is very bullish.
Comment what you think about the chart.
Comment any tips or suggestions.
NASDAQ:MARA COINBASE:BTCUSD
Sleepless Ai InsightSleepless Ai Insight
1d timeframe, as you can see on the chart, we had 2 bearish patterns that ultimately led to a downtrend move. 1st is the Head 'n Shoulder pattern then followed by a bearish continuation pattern which is the Bearish Flag. We take and mark the OBs on both of this area to classify as potential Supply Zones. Price continue downward making an ATL around $0.26 then move sideways. Lined-up all flip zones made along the way and we can see reactions on this levels. If price will be able to breakout from the 0.80 level, next target will be the Bearish Flag Supply Zone. There is also a Golden Crossover of the MA100/200 following the up candle.
Short term Bitcoin warning: multiple bearish signalsShort term #bitcoin CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITSTAMP:BTCUSD warning:
- price is retesting the 50-day moving average, which is now resistance since we broke it to the downside
- price is bumping into the average volume levels of this top
- there is no volume behind this push (there is a price/volume divergence)
- we formed a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern
- we didnt liquidate enough leveraged LONGs
Bitcoin cán ignore all this and just PUMP through but just keep it in mind. Happy trading! 🥸
Understanding Bollinger Bands: A Comprehensive GuideBollinger Bands are a versatile and widely used technical analysis tool that helps traders assess market volatility and identify potential price levels. Developed by John Bollinger in the 1980s, this indicator consists of three lines plotted on a price chart: the middle band, the upper band, and the lower band.
What Are Bollinger Bands?
Bollinger Bands are constructed using a simple moving average (SMA) and standard deviations of price data. The bands expand and contract based on market volatility.
1. Middle Band:
- A simple moving average, typically set to a 20-period SMA.
2. Upper Band:
- Plotted at a distance of two standard deviations above the middle band.
3. Lower Band:
- Plotted at a distance of two standard deviations below the middle band.
How Bollinger Bands Work
The distance between the upper and lower bands reflects market volatility:
- Wide Bands: Indicate high volatility.
- Narrow Bands: Suggest low volatility, often preceding significant price movement.
Key Concepts and Applications
1-Squeeze:
- A "squeeze" occurs when the bands narrow significantly, indicating low volatility and the potential for a breakout in either direction. Traders often look for confirmation from other indicators to predict the breakout direction.
2. Price Touches and Reversions:
- When the price touches the upper band, it may signal overbought conditions.
- When the price touches the lower band, it may indicate oversold conditions.
- However, these are not standalone signals and should be used in conjunction with other analysis.
3. Trend Following:
- In strong trends, prices can "ride" the upper or lower band without immediate reversals.
4. Double Bottoms and Tops:
- A double bottom near the lower band or a double top near the upper band can signal a potential trend reversal.
How to Use Bollinger Bands in Trading
1. Identify Entry and Exit Points:
- Use the bands to spot potential entry and exit levels. For instance, consider buying near the lower band during an uptrend or selling near the upper band during a downtrend.
2. Combine with Other Indicators:
- Pair Bollinger Bands with RSI or MACD to confirm signals.
- Use candlestick patterns near the bands for additional validation.
3. Set Custom Parameters:
- While the default setting is a 20-period SMA with bands set at two standard deviations, adjust these parameters to suit your trading style and market conditions.
Strengths of Bollinger Bands
- Adaptable to All Markets: Applicable across different asset classes and timeframes.
-Dynamic Nature: Automatically adjusts to market volatility.
- Visual Representation: Easy to interpret and use in combination with other tools.
Limitations of Bollinger Bands
- Lagging Indicator: Based on historical data, Bollinger Bands may not always predict future movements.
- False Signals:In sideways markets, Bollinger Bands may generate misleading signals.
- Dependency on Context:The effectiveness of Bollinger Bands depends on the trader’s understanding of market trends and conditions.
Example of Bollinger Bands in Action
Imagine Bitcoin (BTC) is trading in a range between $90,000 and $105,000. During a period of low volatility, the bands contract, signaling a potential breakout. Shortly after, the price breaks above the upper band, supported by rising volume and a bullish RSI. This could indicate a strong upward move, presenting a buying opportunity. Conversely, if the price breaks below the lower band, it might signal a downward move, suggesting a selling opportunity.
Conclusion
Bollinger Bands are a valuable tool for analyzing market conditions, identifying potential trading opportunities, and managing risk. While they are easy to use, their effectiveness improves when combined with other indicators and sound risk management practices. Always test your strategies with historical data and adapt them to your specific trading goals and market conditions.
50 SMA Rising- Positional TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
Its 50 SMA Rising Strategy. Suitable for Positional Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 50 days SMA if price close below 50 SMA then Exit or be in the trade some time trade can go for several months.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
Trade What you see not what you Think