BTC/USD (4H): Classic FRL short setup unfoldingTrading = capital management under uncertainty.
Bitcoin is trading inside a clear descending channel on H4.
Price recently tested the upper boundary of this channel while forming a bearish divergence on MACD. This divergence hints at a weakening upward phase, signaling a possible phase shift according to Fractal Reversal Law (FRL).
Why is this a classic FRL setup?
✅ Phase Identification:
The prior local upward phase within the descending channel is weakening.
✅ Reversal Pattern:
A double top / wedge has formed at the upper boundary with a bearish divergence.
✅ Neckline:
The neckline aligns with the MA100 cluster on H4, now acting as a horizontal rubicon.
✅ Confirmation:
We wait for a full candle close below the neckline on H4 to confirm the phase shift.
✅ Targets:
– TP1: Mid-channel grey zone.
– TP2: Lower boundary of the channel.
✅ Stop:
Above the recent highs or channel top, depending on your risk management.
Plan:
Wait for H4 close below neckline → enter short.
Use the channel structure for target planning.
Manage risk with a tight, structure-based stop.
This is a clean FRL textbook scenario:
Phase → Pattern → Neckline → Confirmation → Target.
It aligns with the larger market structure, using the combination of price action, divergence, and structure clarity to guide your trade decisions.
Moving Averages
VTI 1D: breakout on the daily within a long-term weekly uptrend On the daily chart, VTI (Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF) has broken through the key $303.5 resistance level with strong volume. This breakout occurs within a larger weekly uptrend channel, highlighting a continuation of the long-term bullish structure.
Volume profile shows a clear path ahead: $321.7 (1.272 Fibo) and $345 (1.618 Fibo). The golden cross (MA50 crossing MA200 from below) further supports the bullish case.
Fundamentally, VTI represents the entire U.S. equity market - large to small caps - and benefits from economic resilience, declining inflation, and passive inflows. It’s a logical macro play for trend continuation.
Tactical plan:
— Entry by market or after retest $303.5
— TP1: $321.7
— TP2: $345
— Invalidation below $300
The whole market breaking out? That’s not noise — it’s the signal.
Gold Short Term OutlookIn yesterday’s analysis, we highlighted that the $3,327–$3,328 support zone needed to hold for bulls to maintain momentum. Price respected that level, bouncing off intraday support and is now attempting a recovery.
Currently, the 50MA is acting as dynamic resistance, and we need to see a clean break above the $3,352–$3,356 resistance zone for bulls to challenge higher levels.
However, if price fails to break above this resistance cluster, we may see a pullback toward the $3,327 support once again. A break below that would likely expose price to a deeper retracement toward $3,298.
📌 Key Resistance:
‣ $3,352
‣ $3,356
‣ $3,364
‣ $3,383
📌 Key Support:
‣ $3,328
‣ $3,298
‣ $3,270
🧠 Fundamental Focus:
With U.S. markets partially closed today, expect low liquidity and increased volatility.
Aeroflex looking good to go Up direction There is a good signal moving average exponential shows that its treand changing down to up and the pole and flag pattern where when its berak the flag and retest we got a big move . Where we can enter at the point of 209 with the stop loss 196 our targets are 215 , 230 260, 280
Sofina SA Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set Up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Sofina SA Quote
- Double Formation
* (1st Entry Area)) | Completed Survey
* (Reversal Argument)) | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* (P1)) / (P2)) & (P3)) | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) = a / Long Consecutive Range
* (TP2) = b / Short Consecutive Pullback | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Indexed To 100
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 106.00 EUR
* Entry At 113.00 EUR
* Take Profit At 124.00 EUR
* (Uptrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
Crypto Tide Rising: Will TOTAL Market Cap surf past $5T?In November 2024 the crypto ocean was calm, hovering near $2.25T . Then, in a short time, fresh capital poured in, daily volume spiked, and the tide lifted us to $3.65T by mid-December .
Two bullish buoys popped up:
▶️ The daily down-trend snapped on Nov 4th, triggering a 51 % climb;
▶️ The 50-day MA (orange) crossed above the 200-day MA (white) on Nov 7th, after a 64 % rally.
Fast-forward to June 4th 2025 . Another Golden Cross has just flashed, and price is again nudging that descending trend-line. If History rhymes: the line breaks and momentum matches 2024’s move, the TOTAL MC could vault toward $5T .
Keeping today’s dominance ratios, that target implies roughly $162 k BTC and $3.8 k ETH . Add rising Global M2 and stablecoin liquidity, a supportive macro backdrop, and we may be staring at the next great crypto swell.
Will the market catch this wave or will macro headwinds keep the tide in check?
Not financial advice. DYOR, Arrr!
Two Wedges on USD/CAD: Waiting for the FRL ConfirmationWe have two descending wedges on USD/CAD across different timeframes:
H1: Clean falling wedge structure since March, price near the lower boundary.
H4: Same wedge structure, aligning with the larger phase.
FRL Entry Confirmation:
Following the Fractal Reversal Law (FRL), we do not enter immediately.
We wait for:
✅ A full candle close above the neckline of the local double bottom,
✅ Where the neckline on H1 aligns precisely with the 100 SMA.
This confirms phase reversal and removes noise, making the entry safe.
🎯 Targets:
1️⃣ 1.36676 – First take profit, retesting the neckline break.
2️⃣ 1.37914 – Mid-term target, wedge mid-level.
3️⃣ 1.38561 – 1.40155 – Full wedge top, long-term objective.
Why This Matters:
✅ Positive US unemployment data supports USD strength.
✅ The wedge is 3+ months wide, adding reliability to the breakout.
✅ Alignment with 100 SMA increases the accuracy of FRL signals.
✅ The trade offers a clear Risk/Reward above 1:2.5.
Trading is capital management under uncertainty.
The red horizontal zone is uncertainty; the neckline is the Rubicon where the market becomes clear. Don’t fear uncertainty. Wait for clarity.
ECOWLD - Heading towards 52 WEEK HIGH ?ECOWLD - CURRENT PRICE : RM2.00
ECOWLD broke out a 6 month down trendline on 01 JULY 2025 with high trading volume indicating strong bullish momentum. The stock is bullish as the price is above both 50 and 200 EMAs. Furthermore the share price is near 52 Week High. RSI is above 50 and below 70 indicating stock is bullish and not considered overbought yet. Nearest target will be RM2.16 (52 Week High resistance) and then if the trend resume, it may propel higher to hit next target at RM2.28. Support level is the low of 23 JUNE 2025 candle - RM1.77.
ENTRY PRICE : RM1.99 - RM2.02
TARGET : RM2.16 and RM2.28
SUPPORT : RM1.77
Notes : On 26 JUNE 2025 the company announced its increasing QUARTERLY EARNINGS. May visit company website or TheEdge for get more information.
XAUUSD — July 3rd, 2025: Is the Downtrend Finally Over?Gold (XAUUSD) opened today with a bullish gap, and continued the momentum from Tuesday’s breakout above the major downtrendline that had capped the market for weeks. This technical breakout was long-awaited by many traders, and it's now leading us into a potential trend reversal phase — but not without resistance.
Price has now reached a critical resistance zone at 3366, which previously acted as a strong supply area during the last leg of the downtrend. If this level is broken decisively (ideally with a 4H candle close and follow-through), it may signal a clean shift toward a mid-term uptrend, with upside targets at 3379, 3403, and even 3430.
That said, rejection at 3366 has already triggered a minor pullback. We’re now watching the 3343–3351 zone as a potential support and an optimal buy entry area. If this zone holds, it could provide the fuel needed for bulls to continue their push.
🟢 Suggested Trade Plan
BUY LIMIT 3343–3351
Stop Loss 3325
Take Profit 1 3379
Take Profit 2 3403
Take Profit 3 3430
(Alternatively, consider a BUY STOP above 3370 in case of direct breakout)
📌 Market Structure
Resistance 3 3430
Resistance 2 3403
Resistance 1 3382
Pivot 3366
Support 1 3342
Support 2 3322
Support 3 3305
⚠️ Important Macro Alert
Today’s session is highly risky due to the early release of Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data, which is scheduled today instead of Friday because of the U.S. Independence Day (July 4) holiday tomorrow.
This brings a major volatility spike risk during the New York session. Manage your position size wisely, avoid emotional trades, and wait for solid confirmations.
Discipline beats prediction. Trade what you see — not what you feel.
Keep healthy so we can keep trading and we can keep on profiting.
$10 is looking realistic... if Mr. T doesn't mess it up lolWe have a lot of $10 call options on every expiration date for the next few months, meaning this move might take a while to play out. Unsure of exact date if its earnings call or news but $10 seems to be where the focus is.
If tariffs begin or effect Brazil negatively then this stock could plunge on low growth anticipation.
Watch very very closely on how price reacts to $9 IF we even go down there.
Fox Corp Class B Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set Up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Fox Corp Class B Quote
- Double Formation
* (Diagonal Shift)) - *30.00 USD | Completed Survey
* (2nd Entry Area)) | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* (P1)) / (P2)) & (P3)) | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) = a / Long Consecutive Range
* (TP2) = b / Short Consecutive Pullback | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Regular Settings
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 45.00 USD
* Entry At 50.00 USD
* Take Profit At 58.00 USD
* (Uptrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
Pi Cycle Top Risk (PCTR) at the mid-point for Bitcoin (BTC)The PCTR indicator is only just at the midpoint for BTC. We have a significant amount of time left in this bull market according to this indicator. There will be pullbacks, but the PTCR says we have room to continue to the upside in this cycle.
Estee Lauder | EL | Long at $67.33Reentering Estee Lauder at $67.33 due to the persistence of the Director, Paul Fribourg, buying around $33,000,000 worth of shares between $63-$66 (even after the earnings debacle). While the company had a horrendous outlook for FY2025, the bad news may be already priced in (i.e. cutting 7,000 jobs, weak sales, etc.). A "profit recovery and growth plan" is underway, so buckle up for the high risk of further declines in stock price in the near-term. Personally, a buy and hold at $67.33 with the primary thesis being global expansion (recovering Chinese market) or potential buyout into 2027.
Targets
$80.00
$86.00
Centene Corp | CNC | Long at $35.00Centene Corp NYSE:CNC is a healthcare enterprise providing programs and services to under-insured and uninsured families, commercial organizations, and military families in the U.S. through Medicaid, Medicare, Commercial, and other segments. The stock dropped almost 40% this morning due to recent challenges, such as a $1.8B reduction in 2025 risk adjustment revenue and rising Medicaid costs (leading to withdrawal of 2025 earnings guidance). However, the company has a book value near $56, debt-to-equity of 0.7x (healthy), a current P/E of 5x, and a forward P/E of 9x.
It may be a few years before this stock recovers. But the price has entered my "crash" simple moving average area (currently between $32 and $36) and there is a price gap on the daily chart between $32 and $33 that will likely be closed before a move higher. Long-term, and potentially a new political administration, new life may enter this stock once again as the baby boom generation requires more healthcare services. But holding is not for the faint of heart...
Thus, at $35.00, NYSE:CNC is in a personal buy zone with a likely continued dip into the low $30s or high $20s before a slow move higher (where I will be accumulating more shares). Full disclosure: I am also a position holder in the $60s and cost averaging down.
Targets into 2028:
$45.00 (+28.6%)
$54.00 (+54.3%)
DXY Long-Term Technical Outlook: Channel Structure, Pullbacks & ## **DXY (Dollar Index) Technical Analysis – 2W Chart**
### **1. Uptrend Since 2008**
The Dollar Index (DXY) has been in a **long-term uptrend** since the 2008 bottom (around 70.70). The chart shows a clear pattern of **higher highs and higher lows**, establishing a bullish market structure over the past 15+ years.
---
### **2. Ascending Channel**
The price has been moving consistently within a well-defined **ascending channel**. Several reactions from the channel boundaries are visible:
- **Support (lower trendline):** 2008, 2011, 2018, 2021, 2024
- **Resistance (upper trendline):** 2009, 2017, 2022
This suggests that the market is respecting the technical boundaries of the channel remarkably well.
---
### **3. Historical Pullbacks Within the Channel (13.5% – 15%)**
The chart highlights major **pullbacks** from local tops, all falling within the **-12.6% to -16.9%** range, showing high consistency:
| Year | Drop | % Decline |
|-------------|----------|----------------|
| 2009 | -14.76 | -16.47% |
| 2010 | -14.97 | -16.90% |
| 2017 | -15.17 | -14.61% |
| 2020 | -13.65 | -13.25% |
| 2022 | -14.90 | -12.98% |
| 2024/2025 | -13.90 | -12.61% |
This implies that **a retracement of 13–15%** from a local high is a historically "normal" correction within the ongoing uptrend.
---
### **4. EMA Analysis – 24, 120, 240** (2Y,5Y,10Y)
The chart includes three Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), reflecting short-, medium-, and long-term trends:
- **EMA 24 (white line):** Reacts to short-term price action. Price is currently breaking below it, suggesting weakness in short-term momentum.
- **EMA 120 (red line):** Reflects the mid-term trend. Price is **right at the edge**, often acting as a **support level** in bullish markets.
- **EMA 240 (blue line):** Represents the long-term outlook. **Price has never stayed below this level for long** over the past 15 years, making this EMA a **critical support** for the long-term trend.
---
### **Conclusion & Potential Scenarios**
📉 **Bearish Scenario:**
If DXY breaks below the **EMA 240** and the **lower channel boundary**, it could indicate a **reversal of the long-term uptrend**, which hasn’t happened since 2008.
📈 **Bullish Scenario:**
If DXY holds above the **EMA 120** or bounces from the **EMA 240** and the **channel support**, we could expect a rally toward the **Fibonacci levels** (0.5 at 102.04 or 0.382 at 105.04), or even a retest of the highs around **114.78**.
Trading The 3 Step Rocket Booster StrategyTrading within a certain time frame has shown me that its better to set a time stop limit.
This time stop limit tells you when to stop trading your entry.
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Now does this work? am not sure but i will try anything
that will produce results.
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Right now am focusing on short term trading strategies.The main aim is to enter on 4 hour time frames.
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Am hoping that this will increase my trading skills.Either way my focuss is on learning how to trade better setups.
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Key Point:Dont stop journal-ling your trades on trading-view community.
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Now on this entry am looking at a rising volume from the bottom of the market.
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Also we are looking at the rocket booster strategy:
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It has the following steps:
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-The price has to be above the 50 EMA
-The price has to be above the 200 EMA
-The price has to gap up.
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This strategy has become so popular its shocking.Because when i began teaching...
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it it was not as popular.
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I call it the 3-Step Rocket Booster Strategy
If you want to learn more about how to find
stocks such as NYSE:KO
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Rocket boost this content to learn more.
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Disclaimer:Trading is risky please learn risk management and profit taking strategies.Also do not use margin trading.And use a simulation trading account before you trade with real money.