Nifty 50 Daily Chart Analysis – May 10, 2025Nifty showed strong resilience in the face of initial geopolitical tensions, with bulls managing to push the index higher despite macro uncertainties. This signaled underlying strength and suggested that the market wasn’t ready to roll over just yet.
However, looking at the current structure, the recent price action hints that bullish momentum might be losing steam. The index faced selling pressure after attempting new highs, and the price has started to retrace.
🚩 Key Level to Watch: March High
The March high now becomes a critical decision point. As long as Nifty sustains above this level, the broader bullish structure technically remains intact. But—and this is key—a decisive close below the March high followed by sustained price action beneath it could trigger a deeper correction.
📉 If that breakdown happens, we could see:
A gap fill play unfold
A possible move toward the demand zone near 23,000
And if sentiment worsens, a retest of the “election candle” low near 21,200 could be on the table
🎯 Conclusion: Bulls are clearly getting tired. Momentum is fading. March high = make-or-break level. Below that, the path of least resistance might shift downward, and the market could slip into a corrective phase—possibly until election-related clarity emerges.
Moving Averages
RSI 101: The Secret of RSI’s WMA45 Line and How to Use ItIn my trading method, I use the WMA45 line together with RSI to help spot the trend more clearly.
Today, I’ll share with you how it works and how to apply it — whether you're doing scalping or swing trading.
Why WMA45?
WMA (Weighted Moving Average) is a type of moving average where recent prices are given more importance.
WMA45 simply means it takes the average of the last 45 candles (could be 45 minutes, 45 hours, or 45 days depending on your chart).
Because it moves slower than RSI, it helps reduce the “noise” and gives you a better idea of the real trend.
This idea is not new — many traders have tested RSI strategies also use this line. I just applied and adjusted it in my own way.
👉 How to set it up on TradingView (very simple):
What WMA45 Tells You
Trending
This line shows you the overall direction of the market:
📉 If WMA45 is going down, the price is likely going down.
📈 If WMA45 is going up, the price is likely going up.
Also, the steeper the line, the stronger the trend is:
Looking at the example above, the WMA45 line starts from the same level in two different phases, but the slope is different. The steeper line shows a larger price range.
This happens because the price was more volatile, which caused the RSI to move more sharply, and that, in turn, made the WMA45 slope steeper.
In multi-timeframe analysis, when the trend on the higher timeframe is strong (shown by a steep WMA45 line), the RSI on the lower timeframe will usually move within a tighter range and react more accurately to key levels.
If you’re not sure what these key RSI levels are, check out my previous post here:
For example, in a strong downtrend on H1, RSI on M5 might not even reach 50:
✅ What does this mean for trading?
Use WMA45 on higher timeframes to define trend bias.
On lower timeframes, watch RSI responses at key zones for optimal entries.
When holding positions, WMA45 helps determine whether to stay in the trade.
Moving Sideways
Here’s something important to note: when WMA45 is flat, RSI will keep crossing back and forth over it.
Depending on where WMA45 is flat, RSI tends to move within that range and creates different sideways price patterns. Here are the main types:
Around 50 → price moves in a box: According to RSI theory, the 50 level is the balance between buyers and sellers. RSI fluctuating around this causes price to move sideways in a rectangular box range.
Above 50 → price goes up in a rising channel: Above 50 is where buyers dominate sellers. RSI operating in this zone will continually create bullish candles pushing the price upward.
Below 50 → price goes down in a falling channel: Below 50 is where sellers dominate buyers. RSI in this zone will consistently form lower highs and lower lows, pushing the price downward.
Trend Reversal of WMA45
WMA45 is calculated from the average of 45 candles, so it's almost impossible for it to reverse direction suddenly. When it's sloping (trending), it takes time for RSI to fluctuate enough to "flatten" it before it can reverse.
As shown in the example, after WMA45 slopes up, before it turns downward, RSI must cross back and forth through it to reduce the steepness => flatten it => then reverse.
Does this align with Dow Theory? It represents the phases: Trend > Sideway > Trend. Sideway is when the WMA45 line is flattened.
✅ What does this mean for trading?
After a trend forms, if you want to enter a counter-trend trade, patiently wait for WMA45 to flatten to confirm the previous trend has ended.
Dynamic Support and Resistance
In addition to being a trend indicator for RSI, WMA45 also serves as a dynamic support/resistance level for RSI.
You will often observe RSI reacting when it encounters the WMA45 line.
In an uptrend, WMA45 acts as support for RSI.
In a downtrend, WMA45 acts as resistance for RSI.
Notably, if the reactions occur at higher RSI values, the resulting price support is stronger. Conversely, if reactions happen at lower RSI values, the price is pushed down further.
In the above example, in the first reaction around RSI 60s, RSI dropped by 9.6 points and price dropped by 12 points. In the second reaction at RSI 40s, RSI dropped similarly, but the price dropped by 25 points.
✅ What does this mean for trading?
You can use WMA45 as an entry zone for your trade: Wait for reactions with WMA45 on the higher timeframe, then switch to a lower timeframe to find a trade entry.
Use WMA45 as a take-profit or stop-loss level: For a short trade near WMA45, you can stop out if RSI crosses above it.
When monitoring these reactions, pay attention to the number of reactions—more reactions require more caution in trading.
Some Trade Setups Using WMA45 and RSI
1. Intraday trading
Trend: Follow the trend on the H1 chart.
Entry zone: At WMA45 of H1.
Entry confirmation: 2 methods:
On M5: when WMA45 of RSI is already flattened, and RSI has crossed above WMA45.
On M5: when a divergence appears in RSI.
2. Scalping
With the RSI’s reaction to WMA45, even on smaller timeframes (M1, M5), you can scalp when RSI touches WMA45.
When WMA45 has a slope and RSI returns to touch it, you can enter a trade with SL behind the candle close (10–20 pips to avoid stop hunts and spread), and TP to the nearest peak.
As mentioned, the first touch gives the best reaction.
My trading system is entirely based on RSI, feel free to follow me for technical analysis and discussions using RSI.
ONDOUSDT – Short-Term Technical OutlookONDOUSDT – Short-Term Technical Outlook
ONDO is currently bouncing from its key support level, indicating a possible short-term upside move of 3.67%, targeting the $0.8854 resistance.
If the price breaks above this resistance with strength, the bullish outlook could extend further, and the analysis will be updated accordingly.
The nearest support zone lies at $0.8213, which is approximately 3.84% below the current price and could act as a secondary entry level in case of a pullback.
🟢 Support: $0.8213
🔴 Resistance: $0.8854
Flight wish for TRX currencyTRXUSDT – 4H Technical Analysis
TRON is showing signs of a potential bullish move on the 4-hour chart, with upside potential of around 2%, targeting the $0.25 resistance level.
Once this key resistance is tested, the analysis should be updated to reflect the next possible direction.
The main support level lies at $0.2428, which aligns with the bottom of the ascending channel and also acts as a static support zone in this timeframe.
🟢 Support: $0.2428 (channel support + static support)
🔴 Resistance: $0.25 (short-term target)
WEX Inc | WEX | Long at $180.00NYSE:WEX Inc has a 40.8M float and recently initiated a $300 million share buyback. The stock has been in consolidation mode for some time and is playing "nicely" along my selected historical simple moving average (SMA). Recently, it may have double-bottomed off this SMA and, given the buyback, may move progressively up toward the $230's where there is a large price gap on the daily chart. It is currently in a personal buy zone at $180.00.
Target #1 = $209.00
Target #2 = $231.00
WM Technology | MAPS | Long at $1.00WM Technology NASDAQ:MAPS provides ecommerce and compliance software solutions to retailers and brands in cannabis market in the United States and internationally. After it's de-SPAC in 2020, it soared to $29.50 and now can be found for around $1.00. It's been consolidating at these lows for almost two years, and it may be gaining algorithmic traction for a move soon based on my selected simple moving average (SMA). Often (but not always), when this SMA gets close to the price, there is a pop to the historical SMA. Currently, it is in a personal buy zone at $1.00.
Target #1 = $1.50
Target #2 = $2.00
Charter Communications | CHTR | Long at $353.00Charter Communications NASDAQ:CHTR has hit the bottom of my historical simple moving average band. It may consolidate for a while around the current price or dip in the near-term (potentially in the $270's), but dropping interest rates will be extremely beneficial for telecommunication companies in the long-term. There are two open price gaps on the daily chart ($700's) that will inevitably close - just a matter of when. With a 90M float and 12% short interest, it's a stock that could get interesting if upward momentum takes over. Earnings and cash flow growth are anticipated through 2027, so at $353.00, NASDAQ:CHTR is in a personal buy zone.
Target #1 = $400.00
Target #2 = $500.00
Target #3 = $600.00
Target #4 = $700.00
Target #5 = $740.00
$TOTAL Crypto Market Cap - Banana Zone or Bull Trap!?Massive day for CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL Crypto Market Cap with 9% move UP, breaking above the 200DMA and last cycle’s ATH.
Got rejected at the .618 Fib ~$3.19T, so work still needs to be done to confirm this region.
Expect a retest at $3T to decide if the market goes to $3.2T or back down to $2.85T
As I've been saying this past month, this is either the biggest bull trap all cycle, or it's the start of the PARABOLA 🍌
$BTC Trump Pump $100k Target HitTRUMP PUMP IS BACK 🔥
$100k target hit ✅
Another massive rip for CRYPTOCAP:BTC closing within the golden zone 🏆
Need some consistent PA in here or a rip and close above the .786 fib.
200DMA (now sitting at $90,861) is still my base case as mentioned in my original analysis several weeks ago.
IF this is the start of the PARABOLA, and you have some dry powder, a retest of ATH ~109k and then correction to .786 ~$101k would be your entry, with a SL just below the .618 ~$93k
Exciting to watch either way it goes!
This is why you always prepare for both scenarios 🤓
Spotify’s Steady UptrendSpotify Technology has climbed steadily for several quarters, and now some traders may think it’s ready to extend the uptrend.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the new high in mid-February, followed by a double bottom on March 10 and April 7. The resulting W formation may signal continuation of the longer-term advance.
Second, SPOT just closed above its previous high. Does that confirm a breakout in the streaming-media stock?
Third, MACD is rising.
Fourth, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) crossed above the 21-day EMA last month. The stock subsequently rose above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) and has stayed there since. Meanwhile, the 100-day SMA has steadily risen from below.
Those patterns may be consistent with bullishness resuming in the short and intermediate terms, while remaining intact over the longer term.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
Linc Ltd: Cash IdeaLinc Ltd – Positional Trade Setup
Technical Setup:
Strong support at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement from the previous upmove.
Weekly RSI shows positive divergence, suggesting a potential reversal.
Daily RSI is sustaining above 60; Weekly RSI above 40; Monthly RSI holding 40 support.
W-type pattern visible and forming on the weekly timeframe.
Trading above the 5 EMA on the monthly chart.
Strategy:
Go long with a strict stop-loss at ₹95.
Targets: ₹148, ₹177, and ₹200.
Maintain an average entry near the ₹95 zone for favorable risk-reward.
Staggered buying is advised—initiate partial position now and add more if the price dips towards the SL zone.
Note: Despite strong signals, no setup is fail-proof. Stick to your SL and position sizing discipline.
CME Gap Fill IdeaShort until the gap, then long.
Daily S&P E-mini futures chart, a failure to remain above the 200 EMA and failure to reach the 200 MA, now pushing on the 50 EMA and MA and a confirmed death cross.
We have a CME gap between 5332-5355 (so approx 5345ish as a target).
Scenario here is a move down to the gap to act as a springboard to get back above the 50/200 EMAs and MAs and have it cross back over.
Resistance area aligns with 200 MA.
Pattern formed looks like an inverted HS or possibly a quasimodo.
POWERGRID – Breakout Setup with Volume Spike📍 Entry Zone: ₹310.10 – ₹311.10
🎯 Target: ₹330.00
🛑 Stoploss: ₹302.00
📈 RSI has crossed above 60, volume confirms breakout momentum (🔵 arrow), and price is supported above key EMAs.
🔍 Strong bullish structure with clear higher lows and a clean breakout candle. Momentum shift confirmed with increasing volume.
For Education Purposes Only
Best Buy Bounces Toward GapBest Buy has rebounded from last month’s sharp drop, but some traders may expect another push to the downside.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the price zone between $67.16 and $73.28. That matches the bearish price gap on April 3, one day after hefty tariffs were announced.
The electronics retailer’s recent peak has also occurred at its trough last May, which was the low for all of 2024. Has old support become new resistance?
Next, the stochastic oscillator is turning down from an overbought condition.
Third, BBY is near its 21-day exponential moving average. Slipping below it could suggest the short-term direction is getting less bullish.
Finally, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) had a “death cross” below the 200-day SMA in January and has remained there since. Such an alignment may be consistent with a longer-term downtrend.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
BTC | WHY Bitcoin is BULLISH | 2021 Fractal5 reasons why I say BTC is on it's way to a new ATH (All Time High) :
✅1️⃣ Support zone reclaimed
BTC has successfully reclaimed the support zone ABOVE the neckline resistance, a topic that I've been discussing over the past two weeks. If you'll recall, I pointed out either 70k or 90k. We have our answer:
✅2️⃣ Trendlines
Trendlines are BULLISH as BTC continues to make highger lows, a key indication of bullish sentiment even when a pullback is present:
✅3️⃣ Moving Averages
BTC has reclaimed ALL moving averages in the daily, a bullish indication:
✅4️⃣ Trend Based Indicators
A bullish flash in the weekly is a strong sign:
✅5️⃣ Fractal
It's possible that BTC plays out similarly to the previous ATH fractal from 2021:
________________________
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
PEPE | BULLSH | ALT can +150%PEPE seems to have bottomed out after flashing bullish signs on the chart.
Once we close ABOVE the 50 day moving averages (green line) in the weekly timeframe, that's when we'll know the bullish action is full steam:
Make sure you don't miss the update on BTC here:
______________________
BINANCE:PEPEUSDT