AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Bearish Signals Ahead? 📉📊In my analysis of AUD/USD on TradingView, I have identified several bearish signals that suggest the pair may be headed for a downward trend. The pair has been trading within a descending channel, with lower highs and lower lows. Additionally, the 50-day moving average has crossed below the 200-day moving average, indicating a possible long-term bearish trend. The RSI is also hovering around the oversold territory, adding to the bearish outlook. 📉📊📉
#AUDUSD #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishOutlook #DescendingChannel #MovingAverages #Oversold #ForexTrading
Movingaveragestrategy
My three favourite Moving Averages on any chartI have three Moving Averages that I plot on any market.
7 MA
21 MA
200 MA
Here is the JSE ALSI 40 with the three moving averages.
In the above daily chart of the JSE you can see I’ve plotted the 7MA (Red), 21MA (Blue) and 200MA (Black).
Now I have two simple rules for when the market is in an uptrend or a downtrend.
Downtrend with the three Moving Averages
You know the market is in a downtrend when the price is below the 200 MA.
Also, 200MA is above the 21 Moving Average.
And the 21 MA is above the 7MA.
In other words.
7MA < 21MA < 200MA.
You can see on the left part of the chart where the trend is down (Red arrow).
This tells me that the momentum is bearish and the market is more likely to fall than rise.
I will then avoid buying the market and instead will only look to short (sell) and profit from a falling market.
Then we have the
Uptrend with the three Moving Averages
What tells me the market is in an uptrend is when the price is above the 200 MA.
Also the 7MA is above the 21MA.
And the 21MA is above the 200MA.
You can see on the right part of the chart where the trend turns up (Green arrow).
This tells me that the momentum is bullish and the market is more likely to continue to rise.
I will then only look for longs (buy) the market and avoid shorting or selling the market.
Now you have my favourite 3 Moving Averages in a bag for you to plot on your chart and master the trends.
Trade well, live free.
Timon
MATI Trader
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Bulls to project first targets.Recent confirmation of leaving the bottom of 40W cycle behind has started fast pace of raise for BTC and other important altcoins.
As drawn on the chart we have got first estimation of local target, mid way of the bull run that has started just now.
By extending moving averages of recently confirmed cycles, we estimated the point where bitcoin should top off and have some retrace before next stage of this 40W.
We estimate the top at 33k by 26th of December along with the top of first 10W cycle.
Of course adding some standard deviation is essential for managing the risk level.
Bitcoin is getting more and more stable along with the influx of huge institutional funds.
It is getting out of being just a speculative asset but a serious instrument so we would not expect some 10k moves but rather a steady up trend.
Then we should see some trace back in January, that would lead us to the proper high of the major 40W cycle somewhere between February and March 23. Precise numbers we can estimate after we top off this first 10W cycle that we are riding now.
MOVING AVERAGE TRADING | ADVANCED LESSONHello traders 👋
Today im sharing my trading strategy with moving average.
What Is an Exponential Moving Average (EMA)?
An exponential moving average (EMA) is a type of moving average, but it's better than MA(Only my opinion. It is one of the most important things in forex trade. Because this gives you the best direction of the trend.
How to trade And Use moving average. 🧑🏫
When most traders use it moving average crossing. I don't think it's a good strategy. For me, when using it, looks at a trading setup.
1. Looking daily timeframe 👀
This is because you want to find the price action for a longer period and not just some light movement.
2. Draw ✏️
To draw a trend line ( if you don't know how to draw trendline watch my last lesson)
3. Add 50 EMA 📉
4. The Basics of Support and Resistance + key levels ✔️
the concept is applied in order to maximise the chances of winning trades.
5. Looking for entry + risk management 💰
Always wait for confirm example; trend line break + price making lower low + pullback + add indicators.
In this lesson, we expect EURJPY to fall below 134.50. Let's see what happens in the future.
🤲 If you are enjoying the lesson, please hit the like show your support. 🤲
Bullish BTC 05 May 2022We can estimate with a 90% confidence that the volatility for today is going to be below 3.82% based on the last 4267 Daily candles.
Having said that, lets take a look at the support and resistence points from this current position
BOT = 41000
TOP = 38000
From the fundamental point of view, yesterday we had the release of the interest rates, so I believe currently we are in a short relief moment, where we can have for some days/weeks a small bull trend
For today we have no big volatility news, so we cant expect big surprises.
From volume point, we can see that the point of concentration is around 39000-39500.
From technical analysis point, we can see that yesterday on 15min, we had a long entry alert around 38200
At the same time, on 30 min it happened the same around 38700
Lastly on 1h we had as well an entry around 39000.
So overall there is a very confidence that we are going to have a small bull moment period(days, weeks? )