An example of a new way to interpret the OBV indicator
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I think the reason why there are difficulties in using auxiliary indicators and why they say not to use indicators is because they do not properly reflect the price flow.
Therefore, I think many people use indicators added to the price part because they reflect the price flow.
However, I think auxiliary indicators are not used that much.
Among them, indicators related to trading volume are ambiguous to use and interpret.
To compensate for this, the OBV indicator has been modified and added.
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The ambiguous part in interpreting the OBV indicator is that the price flow is not reflected.
Therefore, even if it performs its role well as an auxiliary indicator, it can be difficult to interpret.
To compensate for this, the High Line and Low Line of the OBV auxiliary indicator have been made to be displayed in the price section.
That is, High Line = OBV High, Low Line = OBV Low
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Then, let's interpret the OBV at the current price position.
The OBV of the auxiliary indicator is currently located near the OBV EMA.
That is, the current OBV is located within the Low Line ~ High Line section.
However, if you look at the OBV High and OBV Low indicators displayed in the price section, you can see that it has fallen below the OBV Low indicator.
In other words, you can see that the price has fallen below the Low Line of the OBV indicator.
You can see that the OBV position of the auxiliary indicator and the OBV position displayed in the price section are different.
Therefore, in order to normally interpret the OBV of the auxiliary indicator, the price must have risen above the OBV Low indicator in the price section.
If not, you should consider that the interpretation of the OBV of the auxiliary indicator may be incorrect information.
In other words, if it fails to rise above the OBV Low indicator, you should interpret it as a high possibility of eventually falling and think about a countermeasure for that.
Since time frame charts below the 1D chart show too fast volatility, it is recommended to use it on a 1D chart or larger if possible.
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It is not good to analyze a chart with just one indicator.
Therefore, you should comprehensively evaluate by adding different indicators or indicators that you understand.
The indicators that I use are mainly StochRSI indicator, OBV indicator, and MACD indicator.
I use these indicators to create and use M-Signal indicator, StochRSI(20, 50, 80) indicator, and OBV(High, Low) indicator.
DOM(60, -60) indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates DMI, OBV, and Momentum indicators to display high and low points.
And, there are HA-Low, HA-High indicators, which are my basic trading strategy indicators that I created for trading on Heikin-Ashi charts.
Among these indicators, the most important indicators are HA-Low, HA-High indicators.
The remaining indicators are auxiliary indicators that are necessary when creating trading strategies or detailed response strategies from HA-Low, HA-High indicators.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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MS
The key is whether it can find support near 0.2705 and rise
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(TRXUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether it can find support near 0.2705 and rise to 0.3183
If it goes down, the support range is expected to be around 0.1712-1967.
If it shows a downtrend, if the HA-Low indicator is generated, you can create a trading strategy depending on whether there is support around that area.
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(30m chart)
Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is rising, if it goes down, it is expected that support around 0.2705 will be important.
If it is supported around 0.2734,
1st: 0.2772
2nd: 0.2811
You should respond depending on whether there is support around the 1st and 2nd areas above.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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Important Support and Resistance Area: 2572.5-2783.5
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(MET1! 1D chart)
The current price range of 2572.5-2783.5 is an important support and resistance area.
If it falls in this section, it is likely to fall to the support section of 1693.5-1933.0.
If it rises,
1st: 3293.0-3448.0
2nd: 3902.0-4141.5
You need to respond depending on whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
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I think that in order to rise above 2783.5, OBV needs to rise above the High Line and remain there.
Therefore, you need to have a relaxed mind and check whether there is support.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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Check support near 106775
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(MBT1! 1D chart)
The prerequisite for the previous ATH to rise above is that the OBV must rise above the High Line and remain there.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can be supported and rise near 106775.
If it fails to rise, it is likely to fall to the 96600-101495 area.
The 96600-101495 area is an important support and resistance area for continuing the uptrend.
Therefore, if it falls in the 96600-101495 area, it is likely to fall sharply.
If it falls,
1st: Around 89745
2nd: M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart or 74105-79025
You should check for support near the 1st and 2nd areas above.
Therefore, the 96600-101495 area can be seen as an important support and resistance area.
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(30m chart)
It played the role of support and resistance by touching the area around 105385 several times.
It is expected to determine the trend again when it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain the details again when the bear market starts.
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Support and Resistance Areas: 5879.75-5972.75
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(ES1! 1D chart)
There are two important support and resistance areas.
5879.75-5972.75 and 5664.75-5720.50 sections.
If it rises after receiving support near the 5879.75-5972.75 section, it is expected that the 6031.75-6051.50 section will act as resistance.
If it falls in the 5879.75-5972.75 section,
1st: 5664.75-5720.50
2nd: M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart
You should check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd sections above.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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Support and resistance zone: 42278-42321
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(YM1! Chart)
OBV High indicator point: 42321
OBV Low indicator point: 42278
Accordingly, if it falls below 42278, it is highly likely to fall again around 42211.
If it receives support at 42321, it is likely to show an upward trend.
At this time, the resistance zone is 43263-43628.
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If you look at the 30m chart, the HA-High indicator is located near the OBV High indicator point.
Therefore, if there is resistance near the HA-High indicator, there is a high possibility that it will fall to the HA-Low indicator.
The HA-Low indicator point is currently formed at the 42211 point.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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Explanation of indicators indicating high points
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
If it falls below the finger point indicated by the OBV indicator, it can be interpreted that the channel consisting of the High Line ~ Low Line is likely to turn into a downward channel.
And, if it falls to the point indicated by the arrow, it is expected that the channel consisting of the High Line ~ Low Line will turn into a downward channel.
Therefore, if it is maintained above the point indicated by the finger, I think it is likely to show a movement to rise above the High Line.
In this situation, the price is located near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, so its importance increases.
To say that it has turned into a short-term uptrend, the price must be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
In that sense, the 106133.74 point is an important support and resistance point.
(1W chart)
The HA-High indicator is showing signs of being created at the 99705.62 point.
The fact that the HA-High indicator has been created means that it has fallen from the high point range.
However, since the HA-High indicator receives the value of the Heikin-Ashi chart, it indicates the middle point.
In other words, the value of Heikin-Ashi's Close = (Open + High + Low + Close) / 4 is received.
Since the HA-High indicator has not been created yet, we will be able to know for sure whether it has been created next week.
In any case, it seems to be about to be created, and if it maintains the downward candle, the HA-High indicator will eventually be created anew.
Therefore, I think it is important to be able to maintain the price by rising above the right Fibonacci ratio 2 (106178.85).
Indicators that indicate high points include DOM (60), StochRSI 80, OBV High, and HA-High indicators.
Indicators that indicate these high points are likely to eventually play the role of resistance points.
Therefore,
1st high point range: 104463.99-104984.57
2nd high point range: 99705.62-100732.01
You should consider a response plan depending on whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
The basic trading strategy is to buy at the HA-Low indicator and sell at the HA-High indicator.
However, if it is supported and rises in the HA-High indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise rise, and if it is resisted and falls in the HA-Low indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise decline.
Therefore, the basic trading method should utilize the split trading method.
Other indicators besides the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are auxiliary indicators.
Therefore, the trading strategy in the big picture should be created around the HA-Low and HA-High indicators, and the detailed response strategy can be carried out by referring to other indicators according to the price movement.
In that sense, if we interpret the current chart, it should be interpreted that it is likely to show a stepwise rise since it has risen above the HA-High indicator.
However, you can choose whether to respond depending on whether there is support from other indicators that indicate the high point.
On the other hand, indicators that indicate the low point include the DOM (-60), StochRSI 20, OBV Low, and HA-Low indicators.
These indicators pointing to lows are likely to eventually serve as support points.
I will explain this again when the point pointing to the lows has fallen.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain the details again when the bear market starts.
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Correlation between USDT.D and BTC.D
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(USDT.D 1M chart)
If USDT dominance is maintained below 4.97 or continues to decline, the coin market is likely to be on the rise.
The maximum decline is expected to be around 2.84-3.42.
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(BTC.D 1M chart)
However, in order for the altcoin bull market to begin, BTC dominance is expected to fall below 55.01 and remain there or show a downward trend.
Therefore, we need to see if it falls below the 55.01-62.47 range.
The maximum rise range is expected to be around 73.63-77.07.
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In summary of the above, since funds are currently concentrated in BTC, it is likely that BTC will show an upward trend, and altcoins are likely to show a sideways or downward trend as they fail to follow the rise of BTC.
The major bear market in the coin market is expected to begin in 2026.
For the basis, please refer to the explanation of the big picture below.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
The key is whether it can find support at 0.18951 and go up
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(DOGEUSDT 1D chart)
It touched the A section, which was the previous breakout trading section, again.
That is, if it is supported and rises near 0.18951, it is a time to buy.
If not, it will fall below the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart, so caution is required when trading.
This is because in order to continue the upward trend in the medium to long term, the price must be maintained above the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart.
Therefore, a short and quick response is required when trading below the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart.
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The channel of the High Line ~ Low Line of the OBV indicator is showing signs of turning into a downward channel.
Therefore, you should check whether the OBV shows signs of rising above the High Line.
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The basic trading strategy is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator.
It currently meets the HA-High indicator and falls to meet the HA-Low indicator.
Therefore, this wave should be interpreted as closed.
Therefore, a new wave will start from the HA-Low indicator that we met this time.
If it falls from the HA-Low indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise downtrend, and if it rises from the HA-High indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise uptrend.
Therefore, we need to check whether the HA-Low indicator supports the new wave to see if it is a downtrend or an uptrend.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Support Zone: 2.1453-2.2582
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(XRPUSDT 1D chart)
The most important thing on the current chart is whether the price can hold above the previous ATH zone.
That is, can the price be maintained above the 1.5000-1.9669 range?
In order for an uptrend to begin, it is expected that the price will have to rise above the important support and resistance range of 2.6013 to start.
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Currently, the channel of the High Line ~ Low Line of the OBV indicator is forming an uptrend channel.
We need to see if the uptrend channel can be maintained.
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The 2.1453 point is the DOM (-60) indicator point, which corresponds to the low point range.
The key is whether it can receive support at this point and rise above 2.2582.
If not, it is expected to fall to the previous ATH range.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Important Turning Point: M-Signal Indicator on 1M Chart
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(ETHUSDT 1M Chart)
The key is whether the price can rise above the M-Signal Indicator on 1M Chart and hold it.
Accordingly, we need to see if it can rise with support near 2498.60, which is the 20 point of StochRSI.
If not, and it falls, we need to see if the HA-Low indicator is generated.
If the HA-Low indicator is generated, we can create a trading strategy based on whether there is support near that area.
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(1D chart)
The key is whether it can rise with support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
In other words, we need to see if it can rise with support near 2498.60-2609.74.
If not, it is expected to fall to the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and determine the trend again.
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The current important support area is the 1647.06-1861.57 area.
The resistance zone is 3265.0-3321.30.
However, if the HA-Low indicator is newly created as the price falls, it is important to see if there is support around that area.
In any case, the price must be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart to continue the upward trend in the medium to long term.
Therefore, when it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, you should not forget that a short and quick response is required when trading.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Check support: Fibonacci ratio 1.902(101978.54) ~ 2(106178.85)
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(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
A new month begins.
The OBV indicator is currently rising again near the High Line.
We need to see if it can continue to rise by breaking above the High Line.
If not, there is a possibility of a decline near the Fibonacci ratio of 1.902 (101978.54) ~ 2 (106178.85).
If it declines with strong trading volume, there is a possibility of a decline near the StochRSI 20 point of 97209.25.
Therefore, we need to respond depending on whether there is support in the Fibonacci ratio of 1.902 (101978.54) ~ 2 (106178.85).
The most important support and resistance area on the current 1M chart is 69000-73499.86.
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(1D chart)
It is showing a downward trend below the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart.
Accordingly, the possibility of a short-term downtrend is increasing.
However, as mentioned earlier, the key is whether it can rise with support in the right Fibonacci ratio 1.902 (101978.54) ~ 2 (106178.85) section.
If not, it is likely to fall to around 97226.92.
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The next volatility period is expected to be around June 6.
Accordingly, the current trend is likely to be maintained until the next volatility period.
In order to turn into an upward trend, the price must rise above the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart and maintain it.
However, since the HA-High indicator is formed at the point of 108316.90, it is highly likely that the uptrend will begin only when it rises above this point.
Therefore, we need to check if it rises above 108316.90 and receives support.
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In my chart, the basic trading strategy is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator.
However, if it receives support from the HA-High indicator and rises, it is likely to show a stepwise uptrend, and if it receives resistance from the HA-Low indicator and falls, it is likely to show a stepwise downtrend.
The end of the stepwise uptrend is a downtrend, and the end of the stepwise downtrend is an uptrend.
Therefore, in order to establish a buying strategy, we need to meet the HA-Low indicator.
In other words, if the HA-Low indicator is newly created as the price falls, it is important to see whether there is support near it.
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If it falls below the dotted line indicated on the OBV indicator, it will fall below the previous High Line, so there is a possibility that it will lead to an additional decline.
In particular, if it falls below the Low Line, the price is likely to fall.
However, since the channel of High Line ~ Low Line is still showing an upward trend, I think the overall movement is still maintaining an upward trend.
In order for the channel of High Line ~ Low Line to turn downward, it must fall to the area indicated by the arrow.
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To summarize the above,
- Check for support in the right Fibonacci ratio 1.902(101978.54) ~ 2(106178.85) section
- The start of the uptrend is when the price rises above 108316.90 and maintains it
- Check for support near 97226.92 in the event of a further decline
- If the HA-Low indicator is newly generated in the event of a further decline, focus on finding the time to buy based on whether there is support near that area
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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Important Support and Resistance Areas: 16.72-19.52
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(LINKUSDT 1D chart)
The important support and resistance range is 16.72-19.52.
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin only when it rises above this range.
To do so, we need to see if the price can be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
In other words, the key is whether it can receive support and rise around 15.14.
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If it fails to rise,
1st: 12.49
2nd: 6.70
We need to check whether there is support around the 1st and 2nd ranges above.
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If it rises above the important support and resistance range, the first resistance range is expected to be around 23.98.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here is a description of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Check if it can hold the price above 26.37
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Hyperliquid token is a decentralized exchange token.
It forms the Hyperliquid Ecosystem.
To see if Hyperliquid can survive in the coin market in the future, we will have to see if the ecosystem expands.
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(HYPEUSDT 1D chart)
We need to see if the price can be maintained by rising above the Fibonacci ratio 1 (35.51).
If so, the next target range is expected to be around the Fibonacci ratio 1.618 (51.70).
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The HA-High indicator on the 1D chart is formed at the 26.37 point.
Therefore, if it falls, we need to check if it is supported near the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart.
The current volume profile section is formed over the 19.59-23.19 section.
Therefore, if it falls to the maximum, it is expected that the 19.59-23.19 section will act as a strong support.
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(30m chart)
Since the chart was created not long ago, it is difficult to analyze the chart over a long period of time.
Therefore, when trading these coins (tokens), it is recommended to trade mainly in short-term trading (day trading) or increase the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit by increasing the number of coins (tokens).
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The basic trading strategy is to buy when it receives support near the HA-Low indicator and sell when it meets the HA-High indicator.
However, if it is supported and rises near the HA-High indicator, there is a possibility of a stepwise upward trend, so you should think about how to proceed with a split transaction.
If it is resisted and falls near the HA-Low indicator, there is a possibility of a stepwise downward trend, so you should also think about a response plan for this.
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In any case, you can see that it must rise above 33.89 to continue the upward trend.
Therefore, the key is whether it can rise with support near 33.17-33.89.
Currently, OBV > OBV EMA, so when it rises above the High Line, you should check whether it can maintain the price by rising above the 33.17-33.89 range.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
The key is whether it can rise above 691.77
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(BNBUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether it can rise above the previous ATH point of 691.77 and maintain the price.
Currently, I think the OBV indicator is showing an increase with trading volume as it rises above the High Line.
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If it fails to rise, we should check whether the price can be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
If it falls below the HA-High indicator point of 654.90, it will eventually fall below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, so it is likely to turn into a short-term decline, so caution is required when trading.
If it continues to fall further, it is expected to determine the trend again when it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
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If it rises above 691.77 and maintains the price, it seems likely to renew the ATH.
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The basic trading strategy is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator.
However, if it is supported and rises on the HA-High indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise rise, and if it is resisted and falls on the HA-Low indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise fall.
Therefore, the basic trading method should be a split trading method.
You should establish a basic trading strategy that suits your investment style.
Otherwise, you may trade in the wrong direction due to subjective thoughts caused by price volatility.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Next Volatility Period: Around June 6
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This is the last day of this volatility period.
To continue the uptrend, the price needs to rise above at least 109403.63 and hold.
If it fails to rise, we need to check if it is supported near 106843.58.
And we need to see if it can touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart and rise.
If the price is maintained above the HA-High indicator, it is also important to see if the price can be maintained above 106843.58, as there is a possibility of a stepwise rise.
The next volatility period is expected to be around June 6.
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(30m chart)
It seems that the basic trading strategy is being followed faithfully.
That is, it is showing a pattern of buying near the HA-Low indicator and selling near the HA-High indicator.
Therefore, we need to focus on finding a trading point when the HA-Low or HA-High indicator is touched.
However, if it is supported by the HA-High indicator and rises, it is likely to show a stepwise upward trend, and if it is resisted by the HA-Low indicator and falls, it is likely to show a stepwise downward trend.
Even so, we must not forget that the end of a stepwise upward trend is a decline, and the end of a stepwise downward trend is an increase.
At the current price position, the important points on the 1D chart are 111696.21, 109403.63, and 106843.58.
Therefore, when looking at the 30m chart, if the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are generated near the important points above, it is necessary to interpret that point as forming a more important section.
In other words, the HA-Low indicator was generated at the 107096.41 point near the current 106843.58 point, and it eventually showed an upward trend.
Therefore, if the HA-Low indicator is newly generated as the price falls, you should check if there is an important point near it.
Otherwise, if it touches the existing HA-Low indicator point of 107094.41 again, it is more likely to fall because it touches the second time, so you need to be careful when trading.
This means that the HA-Low indicator is likely to rise when it is first generated, and is likely to fall when it touches the second time.
Conversely, the HA-High indicator is likely to fall when it is first generated, and is likely to rise when it touches the second time.
Since the interpretation of the indicator is not 100% applicable, you should check the support and find the trading point.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
The key is whether it can find support near 0.846 and rise
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(FETUSDT 1D chart)
The M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is abnormal, so the key is whether it can hold the price.
If the price is maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, it is highly likely that the upward trend will continue in the medium to long term.
Accordingly, we should check whether it can be supported and rise around 0.846.
If it fails to rise, the support range is expected to be around 0.424-0.534.
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When the rise begins,
1st: 1.194
2nd: 1.556
Responses are required depending on whether there is support around the 1st and 2nd above.
The 1.194 point corresponds to the support and resistance range in the candle arrangement.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Volatility Period: Up to May 29
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
It is showing a downward trend below the previous ATH range.
Accordingly, we need to see if it can rise to around 109588.0 and receive support.
However, since it is currently going through a period of volatility, we need to be careful about trading until May 28th.
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If it falls further, we need to check if it can receive support near the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101784.54) ~ 2 (106178.85).
In particular, whether it can receive support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is key.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, there is a possibility that it will touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, so we need to think about a response plan for this.
Therefore, if it shows support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, there is a possibility that it will show a pull back pattern.
The HA-High indicator of the 1D chart is formed at 102302.08, so it is important to see if there is support around this point.
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The OBV indicator shows that OBV is falling below the High Line, and the StochRSI indicator is also showing that it has switched to a state of K < D.
Therefore, it is necessary to check whether OBV can touch the previous High Line or OBV EMA and rise.
If it falls below that, it is highly likely to lead to further decline.
I compared the previous OBV movements, that is, A, B, C, and the current movement, and the difference can be distinguished by whether it fell below the previous candle or not.
You can see that there is a difference from the previous movement because it is highly likely to close below the previous candle.
Therefore, the point to watch is whether it falls below 102302.08 after the volatility period or rises above 109588.0-110787.38.
If it falls below 102302.08 and receives resistance, it will turn into a short-term downtrend, and if it rises above 109588.0-110797.38, it is likely that the uptrend will resume, so it is a meaningful section.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
See if it can find support near 2521.05 and go up
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow" me, you can always get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
The two charts above are charts that use the HA-MS indicator to mark support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
The chart below is just a chart with the HA-MS indicator hidden.
If you look closely at the drawn support and resistance points, you can see that the points drawn with the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are important support and resistance points.
The HA-Low indicator is marked in orange (#ff9800), and the HA-High indicator is marked in blue (#0000ff).
It is impossible to explain all the thoughts of a chart analyst in writing.
That is why it is necessary to provide objective information to the readers.
Then, it will be very helpful for you to look at the chart.
If you think that my idea has too many indicators, you can disable the indicators by clicking "Grab this chart" in the idea article.
If you look at the chart with the indicators disabled, you may think that something looks better, but since you don't know why these support and resistance points were drawn, you may not be able to properly utilize the support and resistance points drawn on the chart when actually trading.
Even the support and resistance points you drew yourself often become unreliable due to the movement of the chart over time, and you will be even less reliable when it comes to support and resistance points drawn by others.
In order to reduce this phenomenon, objective information is necessary.
For that objective information, I use the HA-MS indicator.
For the trend perspective, there is the M-Signal indicator, and for the trading perspective, there are the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
To understand the detailed movement, we use the DOM(60), DOM(-60), StochRSI 50, StochRSI 80, and StochRSI 20 indicators.
Therefore, you can basically interpret the chart by activating only the HA-Low, HA-High, and M-Signal indicators.
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Therefore, if we interpret the chart, if it rises from the current price position, the resistance zone is around 3265.0-3321.30, and if it falls, the support zone is around 1647.06-1861.57.
You can see that the HA-High indicator is newly created at the current price position, and the M-Signal indicator on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts is passing, so we can see that it is at an important turning point.
Therefore, the key question is whether the price can be maintained above 2609.74 or whether it will fall below 2359.35.
However, since the HA-High indicator is newly created, it is more likely to fall.
Since the OBV indicator showed that the OBV fell below the High Line, we need to check whether it can touch the OBV EMA again and rise above the High Line.
If the StochRSI indicator falls below 50, we need to focus on finding a time to buy, and if it rises above 50, we need to focus on finding a time to sell.
Since the OBV is currently on an upward trend, if this trend continues, the price is expected to eventually rise.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
The key is whether it can rise above 3.211
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(TIAUSDT 1D chart)
The basic trading strategy is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator.
However, if the HA-Low indicator falls, there is a possibility of a stepwise downtrend, and if the HA-High indicator rises, there is a possibility of a stepwise uptrend.
Therefore, when the HA-Low indicator is first created, the probability of rising is higher than the probability of falling, and when the HA-High indicator is first created, the probability of falling is higher than the probability of rising.
If the HA-Low indicator rises and then meets the previously formed HA-Low indicator again, the probability of falling is higher.
On the contrary, the HA-High indicator has a higher probability of rising.
You should check the movement of the chart with these characteristics in mind.
However, you should comprehensively judge the correlation between the OBV indicator and the StochRSI indicator.
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From a trend perspective, since the M-Signal of the current 1D chart is < M-Signal of the 1W chart, you can see that it is in a reverse arrangement.
Therefore, when trading in a reverse arrangement, it is recommended to trade for a short period of time using day trading.
Therefore, if it shows a price that rises above the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart and maintains the price, it is highly likely that a trend will be formed that can be traded.
In other words, when looking at the current price position, it can be seen that it can be traded for a short period of time or longer only when it rises above 3.211 and shows support.
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Since the HA-Low indicator is formed at the 2.490 point, the price must be maintained above this point.
If not, there is a possibility of an additional stepwise downtrend, so you should think about a countermeasure for this.
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If the average purchase price is significantly higher than the current price, you should not buy too much and increase your investment ratio.
In this case, it is better to trade with a relaxed mind and faithfully follow the basic trading strategy.
However, it is better to trade by increasing the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit realization method and increasing the number of coins (tokens).
In other words, trade by purchase price.
If you bought 100 USDT at the current price of 2.840, you should sell 100 USDT when the price rises and shows resistance at 3.211.
In this case, only the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit will remain.
At this time, you should be careful about the transaction fee.
Since you have to sell the purchase amount including the transaction fee, the actual selling amount when you place an order is not 100 USDT.
The transaction fee rate varies depending on the exchange.
For example, if the trading fee is 0.1%, you can trade 100USDT - (100USDT x 0.2%) = 99.8USDT.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain the details again when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
The key is whether it can find support at 24.59 and rise
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(AVAXUSDT 1M chart)
The key is whether the price can be maintained by rising above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Accordingly, we need to see whether the price can be maintained by rising above 27.47.
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(1W chart)
The important support and resistance range is the 38.93-51.54 range.
Therefore, even if the price is maintained by rising above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, the uptrend can begin only if it rises above the 38.93-51.54 range.
If it falls, we need to see whether it can be supported near the volume profile range of 6.54-13.47.
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(1D chart)
When it breaks upward around 28.67, it is expected that a breakout trade will be possible.
However, since an important support and resistance section is formed over the 38.93-51.54 section, a response is needed depending on whether there is support in this section.
Therefore, the key is whether it can be supported and rise around 24.59.
If not, it is necessary to check whether it is supported around 17.54-19.79.
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The basic trading strategy is to buy when supported by the HA-Low indicator and sell when it meets the HA-High indicator.
However, if it is supported and rises near the HA-High indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise upward trend.
On the other hand, if it is resisted and falls near the HA-Low indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise downward trend.
Therefore, since it is currently located near the HA-High indicator, it can be seen that trading is possible depending on whether there is support.
However, since the probability of falling is higher than the probability of rising in the HA-High indicator, you should be careful about the investment ratio.
Otherwise, you may end up buying at the high point.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain the details again when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Next Breakout Trading Zone: 0.26850
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(DOGEUSDT 1D chart)
It is expected that a breakout trade will be possible when the B zone breaks upward.
Conditions for a breakout trade:
1. OBV must show an upward trend. If possible, it is good to see an upward breakout of the High Line.
2. It should show that the StochRSI indicator maintains the K > D status. If possible, it is good if K does not enter the overbought zone.
If it rises above 0.24651, you should check if the OBV and StochRSI indicators meet the breakout trading conditions.
If it fails to rise, you should check if it is supported around 0.21409-0.22958.
If the price maintains above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, it is likely to continue the upward trend.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Next Target: Right Fibonacci Ratio 2.24 (116940.43)
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow" me, you will always get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
It was supported near the Fibonacci ratio 2 (106178.85) and rose to renew the new high (ATH).
If this upward trend continues, it is expected to rise near the Fibonacci ratio 2.24 (116940.43).
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If it falls,
1st: 102302.08
2nd: 97226.92
3rd: 89294.25
You need to check which of the 1st and 3rd areas above is supported.
Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is passing near the 1st area, if it falls below this, there is a possibility that it will turn into a short-term downtrend.
The M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is still rising around 94K, but since the 97226.92 point is the HA-High indicator point on the 1W chart, I think it is likely to continue the upward trend if it receives support around this area.
The 89294.25 point is the HA-Low indicator point on the 1D chart, so if it receives support around this area, it is a good time to buy.
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(30M chart)
If the price continues to rise by renewing the ATH, it is difficult to set support and resistance points.
Therefore, you need to be careful when trading coins (tokens) that are renewing the ATH.
Therefore, I think it is better to trade in a short-term trading (day trading) method, but to leave the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit for the profit realization method.
In other words, when the price rises and then falls by the purchase price, the method is to sell only the purchase amount (+ transaction fee) to leave the coin (token) corresponding to the profit.
When selling, you should not sell the number of coins (tokens), but you should sell only the purchase amount.
You do not necessarily have to sell all of the purchase amount, but if possible, it is better to sell close to the purchase amount.
The reason is that when the price plummets or turns downward, there is a possibility of psychological pressure.
In my chart, the trading strategy is when the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are touched.
If it is supported near the HA-Low indicator, it is the time to buy, and when it meets the HA-High indicator, it is the time to sell.
However, if it is supported near the HA-High indicator, there is a possibility that a stepwise upward trend will continue, so a split selling strategy is necessary.
On the other hand, if it falls after receiving resistance from the HA-Low indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise downtrend, so a split buying strategy is needed.
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When you meet the HA-Low and HA-High indicators, if you check the movement of the OBV indicator, it can help you create a trading strategy.
That is, when the OBV indicator breaks upwards through the Low Line, High Line, and OBV EMA, the price is likely to rise, and if the opposite happens, the price is likely to fall.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------