Microsoft (MSFT)–Watching for Pullback Entry After $4T MilestoneMicrosoft Corp. NASDAQ:MSFT has become the second company after Nvidia to cross the $4 trillion market cap, powered by strong AI and cloud demand.
Azure revenue grew 34% to $75B in 2024, with a $30B AI infrastructure investment fueling future growth. Q4 EPS came in at $3.65 on $76.4B revenue, showing strong fundamentals.
We are looking for a pullback to key support for a long entry:
Trade Plan:
Entry Zone: $515 – $518
Take Profit: $536, $555
Stop Loss: $502
#Microsoft #MSFT #Stocks #Trading #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #AI #Cloud #BigTech #NASDAQ
Microsoft (MSFT)
Microsoft Soars to Record High Following Strong Earnings ReportMicrosoft Stock (MSFT) Soars to Record High Following Strong Earnings Report
As the chart illustrates, Microsoft (MSFT) shares surged sharply after the close of the regular trading session – an immediate market reaction to the company’s strong quarterly results.
According to available data, MSFT's post-market price jumped to $555 per share, exceeding its previous all-time high by more than 8%.
Why Did MSFT Share Price Rise?
The quarterly report provided several reasons for optimism, including:
→ Earnings per share (EPS) came in at $3.65, beating analysts’ expectations of $3.37 by over 8%. Revenue also exceeded forecasts, totalling $76.4 billion versus the projected $73.9 billion.
→ Microsoft’s cloud revenue rose by 27% to $46.7 billion, while Azure’s annualised revenue exceeded $75 billion, driven by growing demand for AI-related services.
In response to these results, Barclays analysts quickly raised their price target for Microsoft shares from $550 to $625.
Technical Analysis of MSFT Chart
It is worth noting that the previous quarterly report was also strong, resulting in the formation of a large bullish gap on 1 May, followed by a sustained upward trend (highlighted by the purple trendline S). Importantly, the gap in the $395–425 range remains unfilled.
Yesterday’s report is also likely to result in a large bullish gap at the market open today, though this time, the market context could lead to a different scenario.
The key factor here is the long-term ascending channel (shown in blue), which reflects MSFT’s price movements throughout 2024–2025. After the previous strong report, the share price moved from the median to the upper boundary of the channel without setting a new record high. However, following the most recent report, the price has surged deep into overbought territory, potentially setting a multi-month high on the RSI and achieving a significant breakout to a new record.
As a result, once the initial excitement around the earnings subsides – and the desire of investors to close long positions intensifies – MSFT could undergo a correction from the upper boundary of the channel. In this scenario, the following support levels could come into play:
→ The psychological level of $550 in the short term;
→ The S trendline, as a possible support during a deeper correction.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Microsoft’s Big Moves This Quarter | From Activision to AI AgentMicrosoft’s Revenue Surge: The Power of AI, Gaming, and Strategic Investments
Microsoft has released its Q1 FY25 earnings for the quarter ending in September
The stock saw a 6% drop, indicating the results fell short of investors' high hopes. Trading at over 30 times projected earnings for next year, expectations for Microsoft were significant.
CEO Satya Nadella stated
“Our AI business is set to exceed an annual revenue run rate of $10 billion next quarter, making it the fastest business in our history to reach this milestone.”
This means that AI will soon account for about 4% of Microsoft's total revenue in under three years a remarkable feat for a global giant.
If you need a quick summary, here are three main points:
1. ☁️ Azure’s growth is slowing. As Microsoft’s key player in the AI competition, Azure grew 34%, down slightly from 35% in the prior quarter (after adjustments). This comes as Google Cloud raised the bar, with its growth accelerating from 29% to 35% during the same period.
2. 🤖 AI growth is limited by hardware supply, as capacity struggles to meet demand. Data center expansion is a long-term process, and Microsoft is investing heavily in infrastructure, aiming for a growth boost by 2025.
3. 👨👩👧👦 Consumer-focused products like Gaming and Devices are underperforming. Although not essential to Microsoft's core business, their poor performance has impacted overall results.
Here’s a breakdown of the insights from the quarter.
Overview of today’s insights:
- New segmentation.
- Microsoft’s Q1 FY25 overview.
- Key earnings call highlights.
- Future areas to monitor.
1. New Segmentation
Revised Business Segments
In August, Microsoft announced a reorganization of its business segments, effective this quarter. The purpose? To better align financial reporting with the current business structure and strategic management.
Summary of the main changes
- Microsoft 365 Commercial revenue consolidation: All M365 commercial revenue, including mobility and security services, now falls under the Productivity and Business Processes segment.
-Copilot Pro revenue shift: Revenue from the Copilot Pro tool was moved from Productivity and Business Processes to the More Personal Computing segment under Search and news advertising.
-Nuance Enterprise reallocation: Revenue from Nuance, previously part of Intelligent Cloud, is now included in Productivity and Business Processes.
-Windows and Devices reporting combination: Microsoft now reports Windows and Devices revenue together.
Impact of These Changes:
Core Segments Overview:
In summary:
- The Productivity and Business Processes segment has grown significantly.
- The Intelligent Cloud segment has decreased due to the reallocation of Nuance and other revenue.
Products and Services Overview:
- M365 Commercial now includes Nuance, shifted from the Server products category, along with integrated mobility and security services.
- Windows & Devices have been merged into a single, slower-growth category.
Additional Insights:
- Azure, Microsoft's cloud platform, is reported within 'Server products and cloud services.' Although its growth rate is shared by management, exact revenue figures remain undisclosed.
Azure’s past growth figures have been adjusted for consistency, with the last quarter’s constant currency growth recast from 30% to 35%, setting a higher benchmark. Tracking these metrics is challenging due to limited revenue disclosure, but this recast indicates Azure's raised growth expectations.
2. Microsoft’s Q1 FY25 Performance
Financial Summary:
-Revenue: Up 16% year-over-year, reaching $65.6 billion (exceeding estimates by $1 billion). Post-Activision Blizzard acquisition in October 2023, the growth was 13% excluding the merger.
New Product and Services Segmentation Results
- Server products & cloud services: $22.2 billion (+23% Y/Y).
- M365 Commercial: $20.4 billion (+13% Y/Y).
- Gaming: $5.6 billion (+43% Y/Y), influenced by Activision.
- Windows & Devices: $4.3 billion (flat Y/Y).
- LinkedIn: $4.3 billion (+10% Y/Y).
- Search & news advertising: $3.2 billion (+7% Y/Y).
- Enterprise & partner services: $1.9 billion (flat Y/Y).
- Dynamics: $1.8 billion (+14% Y/Y).
- M365 Consumer products: $1.7 billion (+5% Y/Y).
Core Business Segments Breakdown:
- Productivity and Business Processes: Increased 12% Y/Y to $28.3 billion, supported by M365 Commercial, especially Copilot adoption.
- Intelligent Cloud: Grew 20% Y/Y to $24.1 billion, with Azure AI driving growth.
- More Personal Computing: Grew 17% Y/Y to $13.2 billion, including a 15-point boost from Activision. Devices fell, but search and ad performance improved under new segmentation.
Key Observations:
- Microsoft Cloud revenue climbed 22% Y/Y to $39 billion, making up 59% of total revenue (+3 percentage points Y/Y).
- Azure continues to drive cloud services and server products' growth.
- Xbox growth has surged due to the Activision acquisition since Q2 FY24, expected to stabilize by Q2 FY25.
- Windows OEM and devices combined, showing a 2% decline in Q1 FY25.
- Office rebranded to Microsoft 365; updated naming will be used starting next quarter.
- Margins: Gross margin at 69% (down 2pp Y/Y, 1pp Q/Q); operating margin at 47% (down 1pp Y/Y, up 4pp Q/Q).
- EPS: Increased 10% to $3.30, beating by $0.19.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- Operating cash flow: $34 billion (52% margin, down 2pp Y/Y).
- Cash**: $78 billion; Long-term debt**: $43 billion.
Q2 FY25 Outlook:
- Productivity and Business Processes: Anticipated 10%-11% Y/Y growth, steady due to M365, Copilot inclusion, and expected LinkedIn growth of ~10%. Dynamics set to grow mid-to-high teens.
- Intelligent Cloud: Projected 18%-20% Y/Y growth, slightly slowing, with Azure growth expected between 28%-29%.
- More Personal Computing: Forecasted ~$14 billion revenue, declines in Windows, Devices, and Gaming anticipated, with some offset from Copilot Pro.
Main Takeaways:
- Azure's growth slowed to 34% Y/Y in constant currency, with AI services contributing 12pp, up from 11pp last quarter. This marks a dip from the recast 35% prior and included an accounting boost.
- Capacity limitations in AI persist; more infrastructure investments are planned, with reacceleration expected in H2 FY25.
- Commercial performance obligations grew 21% to $259 billion, up from 20% in Q4.
- Margins were pressured by AI infrastructure investments; Activision reduced the operating margin by 2 points.
- Capital expenditures increased by 50% to $15 billion, half dedicated to infrastructure, with further Capex growth expected.
- Shareholder returns included $9.0 billion through buybacks and dividends, matching Q4 repurchases.
Earnings Call Highlights:
Azure AI saw a doubling of usage over six months, positioning it as a foundation for services like Cosmos DB and SQL DB. Microsoft Fabric adoption grew 14% sequentially, signaling rapid uptake.
AI Expansion: GitHub Copilot enterprise use surged 55% Q/Q, with AI-powered capabilities used by nearly 600,000 organizations, a 4x increase Y/Y.
M365 Copilot has achieved a 70% adoption rate among Fortune 500 companies and continues to grow rapidly.
LinkedIn saw accelerated growth in markets like India and Brazil and a 6x quarterly increase in video views, aligning with broader social media trends.
Search and Gaming: Bing’s revenue growth surpassed the market, while Game Pass hit a new revenue record, propelled by Black Ops 6
Capital Expenditures: CFO Amy Hood highlighted that half of cloud and AI investments are for long-term infrastructure, positioning the company for sustained growth.
4. Future Outlook
Energy Needs: Microsoft, facing higher power demands, plans to revive a reactor at Three Mile Island with Constellation Energy by 2028 to power its AI data centers sustainably.
Autonomous AI Agents: Coming in November, these agents will perform tasks with minimal human input, enhancing efficiency. Copilot Studio will allow businesses to customize these agents, with 10 pre-built options to start.
Industry Impact: Salesforce has launched Agentforce, signaling increased competition. CEO Mark Benioff recently compared Microsoft’s Copilot to the nostalgic Clippy, stoking rivalry.
For further analysis stay tuned
MSFT Earnings Play (2025-07-31) — STRONG BULLISH SETUP
**🚨 MSFT Earnings Play (2025-07-31) — STRONG BULLISH SETUP 🚨**
**Microsoft \ NASDAQ:MSFT Pre-Earnings Trade Idea — 545C (Aug 1)**
---
### 🧠 **Earnings Thesis (🔥 80% Conviction)**
MSFT is set to report **BMO July 31**, and all signs point *bullish*:
📈 **Revenue Growth**: +13.3% YoY, driven by **AI + Cloud** momentum
💰 **Margins**: Profit 35.8%, Op 45.7%, Gross 69.1% — textbook pricing power
📊 **Guidance**: 100% beat history, avg. +5.8% surprise
📌 **Analyst Consensus**: 💪 Strong Buy | Target: \$549.90
📊 **Sector Tailwinds**: Tech favored in current macro with Fed on hold
➡️ **Score: 9/10 Fundamentals | Bullish Momentum Across the Board**
---
### 🔍 **Options Flow & Technicals**
🔥 **Implied Move**: \~6.3% by Aug 1
📉 **IV Rank**: 0.75 (Room to expand post-earnings)
💸 **Call Flow**: Strong OI in 540–550 zone, gamma buildup may fuel squeeze
📊 **RSI**: 70.14 → Bullish, close to overbought
📈 **Support**: \$505 | **Resistance**: \$518.29
➡️ **Score: 8/10 Options | 8/10 Technicals**
---
### 🧨 Trade Setup: 545 CALL (Aug 1 Exp)
🎯 **Entry Price**: \$0.90
📅 **Expiry**: 2025-08-01
📈 **Profit Target**: \$1.80 (⚡️+100%)
🛑 **Stop Loss**: \$0.45
📐 **Size**: 2 contracts (2% portfolio risk)
💡 **Timing**: Enter **EOD July 30 (Pre-earnings)**
⚠️ **IV Crush Alert** → Exit within 2 hours *post-earnings*
---
### ✅ RISK PLAN
* Position: Max 2–3% of portfolio
* IV crush & gap protection: Tight stop and quick post-earnings exit
* Exit Plan: \$1.80 or Stop \$0.45, OR close manually after earnings move
---
📊 **Trade JSON Snapshot**
```json
{
"ticker": "MSFT",
"direction": "CALL",
"strike": 545,
"entry": 0.90,
"target": 1.80,
"stop": 0.45,
"expiry": "2025-08-01",
"entry_time": "EOD Jul 30",
"earnings_date": "2025-07-31 BMO",
"confidence": "80%",
"expected_move": "6.3%",
"iv_rank": "0.75"
}
```
---
🧠 **Summary**
MSFT is poised for a **clean earnings beat** with bullish fundamentals, strong options flow, and upside momentum. This is a **high-conviction, short-dated trade** with defined risk.
🎯 **Watchlist it. Size smart. Exit fast.**
MSFT Microsoft Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought MSFT when they announced the 49% stake in OpenAI:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MSFT Microsoft Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 550usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-12-19,
for a premium of approximately $14.75.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Indicator Decoded: RSI Mega Zones: Signals from the EdgeMost traders are familiar with the textbook RSI levels—70 indicating overbought and 30 indicating oversold. But markets, especially in strong momentum phases, do not always obey these boundaries. That is where the concept of Mega Overbought and Mega Oversold zones becomes vital. These are not fixed thresholds, but adaptive zones often beyond 80 and below 20, where the RSI reflects extreme strength or weakness. Rather than acting as reversal points, these levels often signal trend continuation.
A reading above 80 is typically seen during powerful uptrends or post-breakout rallies. It indicates not just buying, but unhesitating, aggressive demand, especially after key resistance zones have been cleared. Such RSI levels have often not been seen in several months—if not more than a year—making their appearance especially significant. Rather than a signal of exhaustion, this may be the start of a major trend, suggesting that the broader structure of the stock or index has shifted decisively. Traders who misinterpret this as a reversal signal often find themselves fighting momentum. Instead, price tends to grind higher, sometimes pausing briefly before further gains. This is why the chapter suggests using Mega Overbought zones as confirmation of bullish control, not a trigger for counter-trades.
The inverse applies to the Mega Oversold zone—RSI falling below 20. This is usually not a buy-the-dip moment, especially if the broader trend and chart structure are bearish. Such readings typically accompany panic-driven breakdowns, where sellers dominate without any counterforce. These extreme values are often rare and may not have appeared for months or even over a year, marking a moment where the market’s character may be undergoing a structural change. As with Mega Overbought, context is critical. If RSI hits such depths after prolonged distribution or a topping pattern, it does not indicate value—it confirms that the tide has turned, and a strong downtrend may be setting in.
Both Mega zones are best used in conjunction with structure—trendlines, volume shifts, anchored VWAP zones, or price patterns. The RSI alone is not enough. But when it aligns with other technical signals, a Mega Overbought or Oversold status becomes a momentum amplifier, not a contrarian prompt. In fact, your RSI chapter rightly warns that entering against such zones can be fatal unless clear divergences, climax patterns, or volume exhaustion are also present. Think of these extremes not as ceilings or floors, but as accelerators when backed by structure.
A word of caution: These signals are rare and often widely spaced. The real challenge lies in managing risk–reward, as strong momentum and shallow pullbacks can make it difficult to find entries with favourable R:R ratios.
Chart: Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) – Daily Chart with 20-DMA and RSI (as on July 25, 2025)
Microsoft continues its strong upward trajectory, with price action staying well above the rising 20-day simple moving average. The recent surge in RSI into the mega overbought zone marks a significant shift in momentum, as the indicator revisits such elevated levels after nearly a year—an occurrence that often coincides with extended bullish phases.
Wall Street takes off: 5 secret growth engines for #S&P500 Record closes for the indices on July 21 came from a powerful combo: a surge in #Google , a strong start to the earnings season, gains in #Apple (+0.6%), #Amazon (+1.4%), plus #Microsoft, #Meta Platforms, and #Nvidia . This momentum, coupled with market bets on imminent Fed rate cuts and hopes for a softening US-EU tariff conflict, pushed #S&P500 and #NQ100 to new all-time highs.
5 mega drivers that could keep #S&P500 and #NQ100 on the runway through 2025:
• AI capex and monetization: Top cloud providers are ramping up spending in computing clusters and generative AI solutions. The growing lineup of paid AI products (Google Gemini, Microsoft Copilot+ Apps, Amazon Bedrock) is starting to generate significant revenue, boosting profit estimates for the “Magnificent 7.”
• Fed policy easing: If inflation keeps drifting towards 2%, we may see the first rate cut of the cycle between July and September. Historically, every 25 bps drop in 10-year UST yields adds ~2% to the #NQ100 ’s valuation multiple.
• Record buybacks and dividends: #S&P500 companies hold $3.5 trillion in cash. After tax relief on repatriated foreign earnings earlier this year, several megacap boards approved accelerated buybacks — mechanically supporting stock prices.
• Easing tariff risks: Potential trade deals between the US and EU, and the US and Mexico, would remove the threat of 20–50% tariffs priced into valuations, unlocking CAPEX in manufacturing and semiconductors — sectors with a heavy #NQ100 weight.
• Resilient consumers and services: Unemployment remains near 4%, and household spending is growing 2–3% YoY. This supports e-commerce, streaming, and platform advertising — together making up ~40% of #NQ100 and ~28% of #S&P500 .
The current highs of #S&P500 and #NQ100 aren’t a random spike — they result from strong corporate earnings, expectations of Fed cuts, and hopes of trade détente. If even some of these five drivers materialize, the indices have a strong chance to stay elevated and set new records by year-end. FreshForex analysts believe current prices could spark a new rally, with today’s market conditions offering plenty of entry points in both indices and stock CFDs.
Microsoft Sees Declining Trading Volume Despite All Time HighsSince December of 2021, MSFT traded within a Rising Wedge structure that has gradually resulted in lower and lower highs in volume, at the same time IV on the Options Chain has begun to price down the strikes above $515 while Shorter Term Downside IV has begun to price up all the way out to $240.00. If this trend continues we will likely see the $515 area act as strong resistance as liquid interest above it begins to dry out.
This could be the beginning of a move to break down the wedge and trade down to the lower strikes first targeting the $365 price level and resolving around $240 near the 200 Period SMA.
Ethereum’s Next Fair Value Gap is $3.8K — And the Road to $26K 🚀 Ethereum’s Next Fair Value Gap is $3.8K — And the Road to $26K Remains On Track
Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) just reclaimed key structure — and despite a temporary pullback, all signals remain aligned for a parabolic breakout toward $26,000 this cycle.
Here’s why the next Fair Value Gap (FVG) sits near $3.8K, and why the Schiff Pitchfork structure still implies Ethereum is coiling for exponential upside in the coming months.
🔹 The $3.8K FVG: ETH’s Next Magnet
Looking at the daily chart:
The $3.8K zone is a clear untapped FVG (Fair Value Gap) from late 2021, created by a sharp breakdown candle that never got properly filled.
ETH is currently consolidating just below the $3.1K resistance band, and once that breaks, liquidity will naturally gravitate toward the next inefficiency — at $3,800–3,900.
This gap aligns with a previous supply zone and intersects with the upper resistance trendline from late 2021, creating a powerful magnet for price once momentum returns.
🔹 All-Time Schiff Pitchfork Still Intact
The Schiff Pitchfork structure drawn from Ethereum’s 2018 low through its COVID crash low and 2021 all-time high paints a highly disciplined range:
ETH is respecting the midline of the lower channel and recently bounced off the support of the median zone, with price now grinding higher within the ascending structure.
The upper band of the pitchfork intersects with price in late 2025 near the $26,000–28,000 zone, forming a natural cycle top target.
Historically, Ethereum has respected this long-term structure remarkably well — and this current move is no different.
🔹 Moving Averages & Bullish Market Structure
ETH recently flashed a Golden Cross — the 50-day SMA crossing above the 200-day SMA — which historically front-runs explosive upside in post-halving years.
All major SMAs (20/50/100/200) are now curling upward, creating a supportive launchpad.
Price is breaking out of the consolidation wedge that defined Q2 2025 — and has room to run toward $3.8K before meeting major overhead resistance.
🔹 Post-Halving Explosiveness
Let’s not forget: we’re in a post-halving year — and ETH has a consistent pattern of multiplying 5x–10x in the 9–12 months following Bitcoin halving events:
In 2017 (after 2016 halving): ETH went from ~$8 to $1,400 — nearly 175x.
In 2021 (after 2020 halving): ETH went from ~$120 to $4,800 — roughly 40x.
A move from the current ~$3K level to $26,000 is just an 8.5x — well within historical precedent.
🔹 Macro Tailwinds: ETH ETFs & Institutional Flows
BlackRock, Fidelity, and other asset managers are positioning Ethereum ETFs for approval, which would unlock billions in institutional inflows.
A staking ETF would dramatically compress supply — Ethereum already has over 27% of its supply locked — amplifying upside through supply-demand squeeze.
Meanwhile, stablecoin settlement volume is growing faster than Visa — all powered by Ethereum infrastructure.
🔹 Timing the Move: August to December Explosion?
The verticals on your chart highlight key windows:
A breakout window between early August and mid-September coincides with both macro liquidity injections and historical altseason patterns.
If ETH hits $3.8K by August, the runway to $8K–$14K opens by October, with $26K still well within reach by December 2025, in line with your pitchfork’s top boundary.
🟣 Summary: Ethereum’s Next Stop Is $3.8K — Then Moon
✅ Untapped FVG magnet at $3.8K
✅ Schiff Pitchfork upper boundary intersects near $26K
✅ Post-halving year + Golden Cross = Explosive setup
✅ ETH ETF narrative just beginning
✅ Structural breakout from consolidation wedge
Ethereum is no longer just the base layer of DeFi — it’s becoming the base layer of global financial infrastructure. And price hasn’t yet priced that in.
"If the internet had a price, it would be Ethereum."
Don’t fade this breakout. We’re still early.
$MSFT: A Teflon stock turning hot, will it catch fire? Before you wonder why we call it a Teflon stock please check my blog on 27 April 2025.
NASDAQ:MSFT : A 'Teflon' stock refusing to budge under pressure for NASDAQ:MSFT by RabishankarBiswal
I pointed out the reason why this stock refused to go down below critical levels and held onto some impressive gains. And since then, we have rallied 33% from the lows of 360 and reached an ATH of 480 $. The buying pressure on the stock has pushed it above our upward sloping parallel channel which we have been following for more than 2 quarters. We always argued that the stock has support around 350 $ and is unlikely to break the support. We bounced back exactly 350 $ with 25 RSI indicating oversold conditions.
Currently with stock price above 480 $ the RSI looks over bought at 73. But in my opinion the bull run can continue for some more time unless we see a double top in the RSI just like in 2022 and 2024. Double tops usually result in breakdown. But until then there is a lot of runway ahead of us. If we plot the Fib extension levels from the top before Liberation Day to the bottom after the liberation day, then we see that the next level on the chart is 1.612 Fib level with a price of 542 $. NASDAQ:MSFT is a Teflon stock which is hot but might not catch fire and go to the moon. 😊
Verdict: More potential upside in $MSFT. Near term target 542 $.
Buying Reploy AI (RAI) Today Is Like Buying Bitcoin at $345Buying Reploy AI (RAI) Today Is Like Buying Bitcoin at $345—Or Even $3.45
Imagine going back in time to 2016 and buying Bitcoin at $345. Most people didn’t believe in it. They thought it was too risky, too early, or just plain irrelevant. Today, Bitcoin is trading in the six figures. The opportunity was historic.
Now, there’s another chance brewing—and it’s quietly sitting in front of us.
That opportunity is Reploy AI ($RAI).
🚀 What is Reploy AI?
Reploy AI is a micro-cap artificial intelligence (AI) project focused on decentralizing the compute layer that powers AI training and inference. It’s building a distributed AI network that connects GPU resources with developers and businesses in need of scalable AI infrastructure. Think of it as the decentralized AWS + OpenAI — built from the ground up for speed, accessibility, and equity.
It’s early. But the fundamentals, vision, and market positioning are explosive.
💰 Let’s Talk Numbers: The Bitcoin Comparison
Right now, Reploy AI ($RAI) trades at a tiny market cap—roughly $3 million at the time of writing.
If $RAI hits a $1 billion market cap, that’s a 31,000% return.
Yes, 31,000% — not a typo. That’s a 310x gain.
That would be like buying Bitcoin at $345, before it ran to over $100,000.
If $RAI grows into a $10 billion AI ecosystem, it would be like snagging Bitcoin at just $3.45.
Let that sink in.
🌐 Why This Could Actually Happen
AI Is the Next Internet
The world is undergoing an AI revolution. But centralized giants (like OpenAI and Google) dominate access. Reploy offers a decentralized, censorship-resistant alternative — and the market desperately needs it.
Micro Cap = Maximum Asymmetry
Unlike hyped-up billion-dollar AI tokens, Reploy is still undiscovered. Small caps like this can explode with just one partnership, listing, or viral catalyst.
Strong Tokenomics & Ecosystem Design
RAI has a deflationary supply structure, utility-driven demand, and real infrastructure use cases tied to decentralized compute, developer tooling, and enterprise deployment.
It’s Not Just Hype. It’s Being Built.
Reploy isn’t vaporware. The team is shipping code. The platform is live. And the network of compute contributors is growing.
⚠️ Of Course, This Is Risky
Yes, it’s still early. Yes, micro-cap tokens carry real risk. But so did Bitcoin when it was $345. So did Ethereum when it was $7.
The difference is this: most people only see opportunity when it’s already gone.
This isn’t financial advice. But if you’ve ever wished for a second shot at catching a generational trend early—this might be it.
🧠 Final Thought
In crypto, the biggest returns come from spotting the future before it’s obvious.
Buying $RAI at today’s price could be your version of buying CRYPTOCAP:BTC at $345—or even $3.45. The only question is: will you see it in time?
📈 DYOR. Stay sharp. Think long-term. And don’t miss what might be the next breakout in AI + crypto.
MICROSOFT: 1D Golden Cross to slingshot it to $590MSFT turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 73.199, MACD = 13.580, ADX = 52.584), extending the rise to a new ATH today, having formed a 1D Golden Cross on June 9th. That was the first 1D Golden Cross since March 20th 2023, which validated a bullish extenstion to +71.50% from the bottom. Since the long term Channel Up has already started its new bullish wave, we are expecting the uptrend to continue up to +71.50% at least. Go long, TP = $590.
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SPY & MegaCap strengthSPY saw a very strong gap up, negating most of the selling from last week.
despite rising tensions in the middle east - investors have shrugged off volatility and bought the initial dip.
This may be proving that "war" is good for stocks.
we observed a very close correlation between the indices and oil today.
As oil reversed higher - markets saw a bit of weakness. As oil fell markets rallied.
TSLA trying to break a 4 hour bullish pattern
META new Smart Glasses release causing a surge.
MSFT new all time high tap
NVDA firm with ripping semiconductors
GOOGL looking strong for continuation
AMZN moving nicely off support
AAPL lagging the mega's but positive