Microsoft (MSFT)
𝗡𝗮𝘀𝗱𝗮𝗾 𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲: $QQQ Daily. First real pullbackFirst real pullback in progress flagged by bearish divergence with RSI in July/August. Where does this end? Even the “crash callers” are looking for a bounce so maybe a little more to go before a B wave starts 🌊
$NQ_F TVC:NDQ NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:SOX $ES_F AMEX:SPY SP:SPX TVC:DXY NASDAQ:TLT TVC:TNX CBOE:VIX #Stocks 📉
Microsoft -> A Long Term Double Top?Hello Traders and Investors ,
my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Microsoft💪
On the monthly timeframe you can see that Microsoft stock once again retested the previous all time high at the $340 level and once again rejected it towards the downside.
You can also see that after the recent retracement on Microsoft, MSFT stock is approaching previous structure at the $320 level from which we could see a short term bullish bounce.
And last but not least I am just waiting for the daily timeframe to shift back to a bullish market before I then do expect a short term rejection away from the daily and weekly support area.
Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint📈
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
My previous analysis of this asset:
The Illuminated Ascension of the Market.Since I presented my bearish prophecy, I've traversed the vast expanse of financial data in search of the Achilles' heel to counter my own narrative. The cosmos itself has conspired this evening to bestow upon me the final pieces of this intricate puzzle.
On the ominous date of 8-18, a staggering 70% of market contracts bow to the bearish sentiment. This, I postulate, is the very reason for a tight squeeze leading up into this date – a sly play to ensure the bears' demise, leaving their positions reduced to mere ephemeral memories. (Forgive my wickedness, for in the end, it's merely the cutthroat dance of commerce).
As the sands of time flow and we bid adieu to 8-18, expect a swift downturn; a mere blip, a hiccup if you will. But fear not, for the hungry wolves shall quickly gather to devour this dip, leading us into the waning days of August and the dawn of September.
Post the ritualistic dance of the wondrous blue moon, brace for a cosmic parabolic squeeze ascending towards the 9-15 expiration - ensuring the bears are banished into the void eternally.
Upon the ethereal touch of 17.2k, my machinations will recalibrate.
Godspeed on your cosmic journey, astral adventurers.
💜✨🌙✨🌌✨🌙✨💜
#MSFT Straddle/trade plan Less expensive than previous but still is considerable. Exp date is 15-Sep-23.
We placed both for clarity.
Based on our team's research of the options market, we expect buy activity at the support level or sell activity at the resistance.
We primarily consider levels to be activity zones, but not to be a super-fine level for establishing a limit order. Use them in combination with our own strategy, not in alone.
We do the best research as we can to find new opportunities in the massive amount of information every day to help you make data-driven trading decision.
Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all!
MSFT approaching supportMicrosoft Corp. (MSFT) approaching channel support, able to absorb weekly selling pressures. From here, (MSFT) can regain upward momentum and trade back to recent resistance, eliciting gains of 15-20% over the following 1-2 months. A settlement above this resistance would lead to a longer-term buy signal into 2024. Inversely, if a settlement below channel support occurs, (MSFT) becomes susceptible to losses of 20% over the following 3-5 months.
AAPL Buy Long on Pullback?AAPL has been rock solid this year as illustrated by the daily chart. It is no
surprise that AAPL is Warren Buffets's biggest holding. The earnings were a
top line beat with revenue flat. New iPhone sales are off. The TSLA idea
of dropping price to boost demand and trying to maintain margins will
come into effect. The dip this week is remarkable given the range of those
red candles. Based on VWAP bands, AAPL is overbought and overvalued but
not badly so. Price has dropped under the longest moving average (HMA140)/
This is a small pullback I will use the opportunity to purchase a call option
striking over the money at $205 for mid-November as an intermediate
term veto that AAPL will march consistently higher. Because of this pullback
the options contract will be a bit cheaper and easier from which to achieve
a realized profit.
MSFT NO CHANGE IN TARGET381/383The chart posted is MSFT and I had stated that the peak would be 361 area we saw a 366 print this is 1.147 x the drop from 2021 peak to the low nov 2022 212 area . I see this has an abc flat to end a wave 4 from which we should rally to 381/383 in wave 5 of wave B 1.236 =target 381 1.27 is 383.9 so now you have the targets for the last part of the puzzle . I am long calls from 327.9 and 329
Microsoft Challenges Fib 3.618 levelMicrosoft - NASDAQ:MSFT
Expectations were beat across the board today but what does the long term monthly chart tell us? All is revealed in the chart. This is a key moment for NASDAQ:MSFT and a pull back or break through to established new highs wouldn't surprise. I'm happy to wait for the confirmations outlined in the chart. That MACD cross though looks appealing.
Earnings Summary
- Profits jumped 20% to 20.1 b
- EPS: $2.69 / Exp $2.56
- Revenue: $56.19B / Exp $55.49B
- Azure (cloud) revenue up 26% / Exp 27%
MSFT WAVE 5 of 5 has started target 381/383The chart posted is that of MSFT we have now formed a nice ABC decline after hitting the top of the weekly BB bands . we now very over sold and I have moved back into CALLS in msft today at the open . LOOK for msft to rally to 381/383 this should now most likely bring the sp to 4631/4658 and the QQQ to 388/393 I tend to lead toward 391.3
MICROSOFT Huge MACD Bearish Cross ahead of earnings. Still buy?Microsoft (MSFT) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the March 13 Low, with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) supporting all the way, having made no contact with the price at all. You can see that on the chart on the right (1D time-frame).
On the bigger picture, the 1W time-frame (chart on the left), the stock closed last week's 1W candle on a very discouraging Bearish Pin Bar, which is a candle formed on technical trend reversals from bullish to bearish. In addition the 1W RSI remains overbought above 70.00, despite dropping from the even higher levels of May 30.
Perhaps the strongest alarming indicator at the moment showing that the market may have hit a temporary top is the emerging Bearish Cross on the 1W MACD. Since 2020, we have seen that formation another 7 times, with 6 of them delivering a Lower Low. As a result when the 1W MACD Bearish Cross is completed, it will be more probable to see a correction, not necessarily an earth shuttering one.
But back to the 1D time-frame (chart on the right) if that happens, we will wait for a candle close below the 1D MA50 and sell, targeting the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) on a projected contact at $300. Until this happens though, the Channel Up is on full effect and we are targeting the Internal Higher Highs trend-line at $380.
In the meantime, observe the 1D RSI, which is trading inside a Rectangle for the past 6 months and has offered accurate buy signals at its bottom and sell signals at its top.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
$MSFT #Microsoft Earning PlayNASDAQ:MSFT #Microsoft Earning Play if you have been long NASDAQ:MSFT like we have it is prudent to take profits or if you are in the business of shorting stocks this is an excellent shorting opportunity. Know your target before you make the trade. There is a Double Top where you can stop out if it closes above the double top on a weekly basis.
MICROSOFT'S Fiscal 2023 Q4 Results: Assessing Growth and....Microsoft's Fiscal 2023 Q4 Results: Assessing Growth and Profitability
Investors are eagerly anticipating Microsoft's fiscal 2023 fourth-quarter results, set to be unveiled on July 25. The upcoming report holds significance as it is expected to include the company's outlook for fiscal year 2024, making it a crucial event for evaluating Microsoft's growth opportunities, profitability, and cash demand trends.
When considering Microsoft as an investment, three key factors set it apart from others.
Diverse Business:
Microsoft's strength lies in its diverse business offerings. Unlike companies that focus on specific industries or technologies, Microsoft provides exposure to various growth niches, including enterprise cloud services, AI, productivity software, and more. Owning Microsoft allows investors to capitalize on multiple expansion opportunities under one brand, thereby reducing the risks associated with heavy reliance on a single sector.
High Profitability:
Despite some fluctuations in financial metrics since the peak of the pandemic in 2021 and early 2022, Microsoft remains one of the most efficient generators of cash and profits in the market. In the last quarter, the company achieved an impressive 15% year-over-year increase in operating income, resulting in $22.4 billion in profit on $53 billion in sales. This high level of profitability reinforces Microsoft's position as a robust and stable investment option.
As the report is released, investors should focus on these essential growth indicators and look beyond short-term sales volatility to assess Microsoft's long-term potential. The company's diverse business and strong profitability make it an attractive investment opportunity for those seeking stability and growth in their portfolio.
Pricey Stock:
In terms of valuation, Microsoft is considered a pricey stock, with investors having to pay a premium for its valuable assets. Presently, Microsoft stock is valued at over 12 times its annual sales, comparable to the faster-growing Palo Alto Networks. However, in comparison, Apple offers a relatively better bargain with a valuation of 8 times its sales, while Amazon is even cheaper at less than 3 times its sales.
While there is a possibility that Microsoft's valuation may decrease in the coming quarters, particularly if the company reports disappointing sales results in late July or forecasts challenges in the upcoming operational year, the more likely scenario is that the business will continue to gain market share in various significant global tech industries. Additionally, any cyclical downturn in its operating system segment or consumer tech devices division is expected to be short-lived.
Considering Microsoft's bright long-term outlook, industry-leading profit margins, ample cash flow, and rising dividend payments, it emerges as an incredibly attractive stock to consider adding to your portfolio. For tech stock investors who prefer a less risky approach in a fast-moving industry, Microsoft provides an excellent opportunity to gain exposure to major trends while investing in one of the most valuable companies in the world.