I'm not that techno-optimistic. I tend to share the view that the tech sector at SPX is pulling the whole S&P company's along with it in many ways.
Consideration of the whole SPX for a while loses its meaning, separation is necessary.
Let's group a few big horses together and see what's out there.
Okay:
NASDAQ:AAPL*NASDAQ:NVDA*NASDAQ:GOOGL*NASDAQ:MSFT*NASDAQ:META
could be more, but I think that would be quite telling.
Oh my God, Carl...
99.2%
The last time this overbought was in 2019.
And you think these guys will go even higher without a correction?
Microsoft (MSFT)
Microsoft Technologies CorporationIt's important to note that Elliott Wave Theory can be subjective, and interpretations can vary among analysts. It's also worth mentioning that Elliott Wave analysis should be used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and factors such as fundamental analysis and market conditions to make well-informed investment decisions.
Regards
Sp500 QQQ|TSLA NVDA AAPL AMZN GOOGL MSFT Price level Trend Guide- PPI and FOMC meeting tomorrow
- SPY & QQQ hourly time tightening range, will break tomorrow
-TSLA still full bull control 4h 12 EMA
- NVDA falling wedge bull break
- AAPL likely testing ATH again, 2D ema 12 full bull control
- AMZN daily bull break lacking some follow through
- GOOGL weakest of the big techs still only retrace 50% of last weeks pull back
- MSFT likely re-test of 52 high double top
Google vs BingIf you haven`t sold GOOGL here:
Or bought it here:
Then you should know that the investment by Microsoft in OpenAI signifies a significant boost to their artificial intelligence capabilities. OpenAI's advanced technologies and expertise in AI research and development could potentially enhance the capabilities of Microsoft's Bing search engine. With access to powerful AI algorithms and resources, Bing may be able to offer more personalized and accurate search results, thereby attracting users who seek a more refined search experience.
Furthermore, Microsoft has been making strategic moves to expand its presence in various sectors, including cloud computing and enterprise services. By integrating Bing into its ecosystem of products and services, Microsoft can leverage its existing user base and partnerships to promote Bing as a viable alternative to Google.
In recent years, Google has faced scrutiny over data privacy concerns and antitrust issues, which could create an opportunity for Bing to gain traction among users seeking more privacy-focused alternatives. Additionally, Microsoft has been actively investing in marketing and advertising efforts to raise awareness about Bing and improve its market positioning.
While Google currently holds a dominant position in the search engine market, the landscape is dynamic and subject to change. If Microsoft successfully leverages its partnership with OpenAI to enhance Bing's capabilities, coupled with strategic marketing initiatives, it could potentially chip away at Google's market share over time.
If I had to buy some options, that would be the following puts:
2024-1-19 expiration date
$105 strike price
$3.25 premium
Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
Preserving Your Capital Like A ChampIn the world of trading, effective trading capital management can mean the difference between success and failure. We cannot stress enough how critical this aspect is to long-term success. Today we will delve into the importance of managing your trading capital, the various strategies employed by many successful traders, and how you can implement these techniques to safeguard your investment and maximize profits.
Understanding the Importance of Trading Capital Management
Trading capital refers to the amount of money allotted for the purpose of trading your desired market. Proper management of trading capital is crucial for traders, as it helps them minimize losses and in turn, maximize profits. In essence, trading capital management is all about striking the right balance between taking risks and preserving your hard-earned money.
One key aspect that differentiates successful traders from gamblers is their mindset. Gamblers tend to chase big wins, hoping for a life-changing payout, while traders focus on consistently generating small, predictable returns over the long term. Don’t get us wrong, big wins can and do happen, and they feel great when they do. Think of trading as a really long boxing match. It's rare and impractical for a boxer to believe they can knock out their opponent by flying out of a corner with no defense and going straight for a haymaker each time. The foundation for success takes many consistent jabs, and an unwavering defense, much like trading. Traders who want to be long-term successful will prioritize risk management and capital preservation, ensuring that they can continue trading even after incurring losses so they can pursue consistent profits.
The Struggle is Real For New Traders
New traders often find difficulty in managing their trading capital effectively. This is primarily due to their focus on making profits rather than minimizing risks. The desire to make money can lead to taking unnecessary risks, which can result in significant losses. It is crucial to remember that every loss must be recovered through a profitable trade to regain lost ground. So why not implement strategies that mitigate that lost ground in the first place?
Strategies To Adopt for Long-Term Success
So, what are some of the techniques that successful traders use to optimize their chances of consistent profits in the markets? Here are a few suggestions to improve your trading capital management:
Implementing Stop-Loss Orders
Always trade with a stop-loss. There are countless ways to implement a stop-loss, and we covered this in great detail in a previous article that is linked below. A stop-loss order allows you to specify a price at which your trade will be automatically closed if the market moves against you. This is the most practical and easily enactable capital management technique you can use. Some would consider trading without a stop-loss to be one of the cardinal sins of trading, as it prevents you from managing risk effectively.
Utilizing Reward Risk Ratios (RRR)
Every trade carries the risk of making a loss. Successful traders assess their potential trade risk and potential reward before entering a position. Utilizing reward-to-risk ratios may seem complicated, but it doesn't have to be. Many traders will often aim for a reward that is twice their risk or a ratio of 2 to 1. So in theory for every $1 you risk you aim to make $2 in profit. Your RRR can also help you understand what your theoretical minimum win rate would need to be a profitable trader.
Utilizing this information is very handy when backtesting and forward-testing your strategy. In the early stages of a trader's journey, we highly recommend to keep a trading journal to keep track of these metrics. Keeping track of your wins and losses and keeping your RRR consistent offers deep insight into whether you are on the right path to consistency.
Managing Your Money
How much capital are you risking per trade? It's difficult to predict which trades will be profitable, but it's essential to risk a consistent amount on every trade. Coupled with an appropriate risk-to-reward ratio, this approach can help protect your trading account. For example, consider risking only 1-2% of your total trading portfolio on each individual trade with a maximum overall of 10% among your trades. This may not seem like much, but if you can remain disciplined with your stop losses and RRR you greatly increase the odds of success. If you have a small account don’t sweat it. It will help you grow that account size and compound those gains in a stable fashion that would outlast the method of throwing your entire account into each trade.
Hedging
Holding long and short positions on various assets in different sectors can help protect against any aggressive moves that affect the market as a whole. For instance, if there was a sudden 'flash crash,' the traders who solely went long would experience a loss or a potentially significant loss without proper risk mitigation. However, if you held both long and short positions, you could have made profits to offset the losses. Obviously, market events are hard to account for, but hedging can be a useful capital preservation strategy.
Focusing on a Single Asset to Limit Risk Exposure
Some traders prefer to concentrate on trading one asset to minimize risk exposure. This can be effective, especially when the trader has in-depth knowledge of the specific asset being traded. The potential downside is that this can limit your trading opportunities, but we highly advise this approach for new traders. Focusing on one asset can help you grow your experience and hone your strategy through a rigorously disciplined approach.
Consistency in Risk and Money Management
There is no one-size-fits-all approach to trading, and that's part of the beauty of it all. A strategy that works for one trader may not work for another. The key to improving your trading strategy is to adopt a disciplined approach to risk and money management. While this approach may not be as flashy as some in the trading community portray, consistently minimizing risk is an essential aspect of enhancing overall profitability and is a massive attribute to long-term success.
Final Thoughts on Trading Capital Management
Effective trading capital management is crucial for success in the world of trading. By adopting a disciplined approach to risk and money management, traders can minimize losses, maximize profits, and safeguard their investments. The techniques discussed – implementing stop-loss orders, utilizing reward-to-risk ratios, managing money, and diversifying trades – are all essential components of a successful trading capital management strategy.
Remember, the key to success in trading lies not in chasing the knockouts but rather by consistently landing the jabs while maintaining a stout defense. By following these strategies adopted by long-term, successful traders and focusing on preserving capital, you can improve your chances of obtaining that same long-term success in the markets.
TSLA NVDA AAPL AMZN GOOGL MSFT|Sp500 QQQ Price Level Trend Guide- CPI Data 830am EST tomorrow
- FOMC & PPI Wednesday
- TSLA side ways tightening range will break tomorrow, 4h 12 EMA full bull control guide
- NVDA bull break from falling wedge
- AAPL likely testing all time high again soon
- AMZN retracing almost all of its drop likely testing its recent high
- GOOGL weakest of the big tech still potential forming a daily downtrend
- MSFT in the middle still has potential to form that daily downtrend but QQQ needs to start its weekly consolidation
- SPY testing 0.65 golden pocket resistance
- QQQ gap filled looking for weekly consolidation soon
TSLA NVDA AAPL GOOGL AMZN MSFT | Detail Price Levels Trend Guide- TSLA bulls 4 hour time frame 12 EMA full bull control, Bears need to form a hourly downtrend as first step
- NVDA bull break lacking follow through, bears still need to confirm that hourly downtrend as well
- AAPL holding 2 day time frame EMA 12 full bull control
- GOOGL MSFT AMZN - potentially shaping up a daily downtrend
TSLA GOOGL AMZN NVDA AAPL MSFT |Sp500 QQQ Detail Market Analysis- TSLA extended to resistance, but still full bull control on 4h 12 EMA
- GOOGL MSFT AMZN potentially shaping up a daily downtrend
- AAPL strongest of big techs holding up still 2Day EMA 12 bull control guide
- Sp500 held support that was prior resistance
- QQQ 5th reject from golden pocket zone if big techs confirm daily downtrend QQQ wont be able to hold
TSLA NVDA GOOGL AMZN AAPL MSFT | QQQ SPY Price Levels Analysis- TSLA still relative strength compare to QQQ once we lose that strenth daily consolidation might be on its way.
- NVDA likely testing 366 soon, will be interesting to see the price action when we come to the gap territory
- GOOGL back to low of its chop zone support range- bull break lacking follow through
- AAPL still in daily uptrend holding better than its peers
- MSFT also weak losing its daily uptrend now neutral trend.
- QQQ still have daily uptrend intact
- SPY no red flags today held very well despite QQQ weakness money rotate into SPY sectors and IWM.
- VIX barely moved much due to money rotating around need every sector to drop for VIX to spike fast
S & P: Macro Bull Flag Consolidation?If you zoom out on the S & P 500, the measured moves and fibs line up fairly perfectly and in my opinion
paints a more realistic picture as far as expectations for the market moving forward. It is hard for me to see
this market going market going all that much higher at all. With blow off top type price action in names like NVDA
and the recent price action in AAPL, this type of price action makes the most sense to me.
Microsoft is undervaluedMicrosoft is undervalued, high quality, financially healthy and with AI and Cloud under their belt, it has a huge growth potential. Expected ER end of July. Several indicators and machine learning scripts suggest, that NASDAQ:MSFT could get to $342 soon.
*Disclaimer*
The information is purely for *entertainment* purposes, and is not meant to be, and does not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations. Do Your Own Due Diligence (DYODD)
TSLA NVDA AAPL MSFT GOOGL AMZN Detail Trading Guide with Levels- most of all these big tech stocks and market itself are due for weekly consolidation so the most likely scenario for me in the next coming weeks is more so a sideways or slight dip action.
- the size of this consolidation pull back will determine our next move
- Tesla about to form its first monthly uptrend since ATH
- Nvidia potential 4h head and shoulders pattern
- AAPL & MSFT potentially testing ATH
MSFT - Breakout Rising Trend Channel🔹MSFT has broken the rising trend up in the medium long term, which indicates an even stronger rising rate.
🔹Positive volume balance, with high volume on days of rising prices and low volume on days of falling prices, strengthens the stock in the short term.
🔹RSI is above 70 after a good price increase the past weeks.
🔹High RSI may be a sign that the stock is overbought and that there is a chance of a reaction downwards.
🔹Overall assessed as technically positive for the medium long term.
Chart Pattern;
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
MSFT Share Nears All-time HighSince the beginning of the year, the price of MSFT shares has risen by more than 35%, about 5% remaining to a historic high. Perhaps the most important reason for MSFT's stock price to be bullish is the artificial intelligence (AI) hype.
According to the head of Microsoft, AI is a fundamental discovery that can help humanity do better research, learn more, and better select data.
According to an AI Writer survey, ChatGPT has become the most productive AI tool used by enterprises, increasing their productivity by at least 50%.
According to Business Insider, the bubble in AI stocks is not yet inflated at the moment. The current growth has been provided by "institutions" and this leaves the potential for further growth as retail investors become more active in this direction.
According to Wall Street Journal polls, out of 51 analysts, only 1 gives a recommendation to sell MSFT shares. The target price for MSFT shares is USD 337, but given the hype, it could be raised.
The MSFT stock chart shows that the price has been rising during May along the median line of the rising channel (shown in blue). But on the last bars there is an acceleration of growth. The price powerfully broke through the USD 320 level and, if the bullish mood does not subside, in June we can see a price of USD 320 per MSFT share, which will mark a new historical peak.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NVDA TSLA MSFT GOOGL AAPL AMZN | Support & Resistance Guide- Support & Resistance guide for all 6 big tech stocks NVDA TSLA MSFT GOOGL AAPL AMZN
- psychological 1 trillion dollar level for NVDA 405
- TSLA wedge pattern still in play
- zero red flags on the chart for MSFT and AMZN need hourly downtrends to confirm for any signs of bears
AI strategy drives NVDA MSFT GOOG METAAs we navigate through the ever-evolving world of technology, it is becoming increasingly evident that artificial intelligence (AI) is the driving force behind some of the biggest players in the market. Companies such as NVIDIA (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), Google (GOOG), and Meta Platforms (META) have all implemented AI strategies that have propelled them to the forefront of their respective industries. In this email, we will explore how these companies are utilizing AI to gain a competitive edge and what it means for their future growth potential. So, buckle up and let's dive into the world of AI and its impact on the stock market.
Additionally, it's crucial to have a long-term investment strategy and to not make emotional decisions based on short-term market fluctuations. It's also wise to diversify your portfolio across different industries and sectors to minimize risk. Seeking the advice of a financial advisor can also be helpful in making informed investment decisions.
Additionally, it's important to have a long-term investment strategy and not make emotional decisions based on short-term market fluctuations. It's also wise to consider factors such as the company's financial health, industry trends, and management team before investing in individual stocks. Diversification is key to managing risk, so it's advisable to have a mix of individual stocks and diversified portfolios in your investment portfolio. Finally, seeking the advice of a financial advisor can help you make informed investment decisions and manage your risk effectively.
AMZN TSLA NVDA MSFT GOOGL AAPL Technical Analysis Guide- Most tech stocks are still in a healthy daily uptrend but most are testing its support area.
- the size of the pull back will be key for me to determine if we have more fuel for these stocks on the upside
- larger pullback size will allow bears to make moves on the next bounce
Microsoft - Fundamental Analysis: Everything you need to know.Microsoft's Stock Rises on the Back of AI Expansion, Gaming Dominance, and Positive Analyst Outlook
Over the past few months, Microsoft's stock has experienced a remarkable surge of almost 30%, driven by the company's ambitious venture into the field of artificial intelligence (AI). This cutting-edge technology has the potential to revolutionize numerous industries in the years ahead, and Wall Street has taken notice, leading to a bullish outlook on Microsoft's stock. While Microsoft already boasts established brands like Office, Windows, Azure, and Xbox, the growing influence of AI has further enhanced its potential, making it an opportune time to explore the opportunities presented by this tech giant. Here are three crucial factors that knowledgeable investors should consider.
AI Potential:
In 2019, Microsoft made a strategic investment of $1 billion in OpenAI, a move that has proven to be a significant win for the company. OpenAI's advanced chatbot, ChatGPT, has triggered an AI race among tech giants and prompted Microsoft to invest an additional $10 billion in the company. This partnership has positioned Microsoft as a frontrunner in the market, allowing the integration of OpenAI's technology into its own services such as Office, Azure, and Bing. As a result, Microsoft has solidified its position as the leading provider of AI services for both consumers and businesses.
Furthermore, Microsoft's cloud computing platform, Azure, has the potential to become a market leader with the help of AI. Richard Bernstein, an investment manager, predicts that Microsoft's cloud revenue could more than double as the company expands its AI offerings. As of the first quarter of 2023, Azure currently holds the second-largest market share in the cloud industry at 23%, with Amazon Web Services leading at 32%. However, Microsoft's leadership in artificial intelligence gives it the potential to surpass its competitors in the coming years.
Growing Dominance in Gaming:
In addition to making strides in AI and cloud computing, Microsoft has made significant progress in the gaming industry. The Xbox brand has propelled the company to become the fourth-largest games company globally, trailing only Tencent, Sony, and Apple. However, Microsoft is actively taking steps to increase its market share in this sector.
One of Microsoft's notable achievements in gaming is the introduction of the Xbox Game Pass, a game subscription service that has transformed how millions of gamers consume games since its launch in 2017. By offering users access to an extensive collection of games for a low monthly fee, Game Pass eliminates the need to purchase games individually. Moreover, Microsoft adds its own game titles to the platform on their launch day, which is a significant selling point. With the acquisition of more game studios, Game Pass has become increasingly attractive to gamers, offering hit titles and value-added features that make the Xbox console more appealing than competitors like Sony's PlayStation 5.
Despite facing macroeconomic challenges, Microsoft's games business has continued to grow, thanks to the success of Xbox Game Pass. In the third quarter of 2023 (ending March 2023), revenue from the service increased by 3% year-on-year, and the number of Game Pass members grew by an impressive 150% from 2020 to 2022.
Analysts' Optimism:
Investors have been drawn to Microsoft this year due to the company's expansion into AI, resulting in the stock price rising nearly 30% since the beginning of 2023. Microsoft's strong brands, such as Office, Windows, Azure, and Xbox, have already made it an appealing investment. However, the company's foray into AI has further boosted its outlook. Savvy investors recognize that Microsoft possesses significant potential in AI and is leveraging its partnership with OpenAI to integrate the startup's technology across various services, including Office, Azure, and Bing. Additionally, Microsoft has made notable progress in gaming, with the rapid growth of its subscription service, Xbox Game Pass, which adds value to the Xbox console.
Analysts have expressed optimism about Microsoft's prospects, giving the company a buy/strong buy rating. They recognize the significant potential of Microsoft's expanding role in AI, the cloud market, and gaming. The average 12-month price target reflects a projected 7% growth in the stock. With its strong foothold in established industries and its investments in emerging technologies, Microsoft is seen as a long-term buy with substantial growth potential.
In summary, Microsoft's stock has experienced a substantial rise driven by its expanding ventures into AI, its dominance in the gaming industry through Xbox Game Pass, and the positive outlook from analysts. The company's strategic partnership with OpenAI and its integration of AI technology into various services position it as a leading provider in the AI market. Furthermore, Microsoft's cloud computing platform, Azure, has the potential to become a market leader. As Microsoft continues to innovate and expand its offerings, investors recognize the long-term growth opportunities it presents.
Overvalued Tech: Time for Tangible Assets & Fair ValuationsThe tech sector, specifically the 'Big Tech' companies have seen massive gains since the massive accumulation in 2010-2014. However, these increases seem disconnected from the companies' actual value or tangible contributions to the real-world economy. Their high price-to-earnings ratios suggest overvaluation and potential for a market correction.
Invest in sectors with real-world utility and reasonable valuations - Allocate capital to sectors like industrials, materials, consumer staples, or healthcare. These sectors provide tangible products and services and often have more reasonable valuations.
1. High Valuations: Tech stocks, in particular, often trade at high multiples of their earnings or revenues. These high valuations can make them more vulnerable to market downturns, as they can fall more dramatically if investors reassess their growth prospects or risk tolerance.
2. (GOOGL, APPL, AMZN, MSFT, META, NVDA, ADBE, and TSLA) all represent a significant portion of the SNP-500 index due to their large market capitalizations.
3. So, in a S&P-500 meltdown , these tech companies could potentially see significant declines in their stock prices due to these factors. However, it's important to remember that the specifics would depend on a wide range of factors, including the reasons for the market downturn, the companies' financial health and growth prospects, and overall investor sentiment.
4. I would choose Tesla as the only pick out of all 8 as this company has shown lots of potential compared to our tech giants of the now. Even with the upbringing of AI it is not enough to save google or meta, but Apple and Microsoft might hold up strong as they are largest caps.
5.
Google (Alphabet) : ~$1.5 trillion
Apple Inc. (AAPL): ~$2.5 trillion
Amazon (AMZN): ~$1.7 trillion
Microsoft (MSFT): ~$2.2 trillion
Meta Platforms : ~$1 trillion
NVIDIA (NVDA): ~$500 billion
Adobe (ADBE): ~$300 billion
Tesla (TSLA): ~$800 billion
TOTAL = 10 Trillion roughly