Microsoft (MSFT)
Microsoft. There is still potential for the price to decline.Hello traders and investors!
Let's take a look at the situation with Microsoft stocks. I believe there is still potential for the price to decline.
Weekly Timeframe
On the weekly TF, there is an attempt to reverse the long trend. The first seller's impulse has been formed. The level of the last buyer’s impulse start is 445.66, and the level of the last seller’s impulse start is 468.35. The end of the last seller's impulse is at 385.58.
Key candle in the seller's impulse is from July 24 (largest volume in the impulse, marked as "KC" on the chart). It was tested by the buyer on August 19. The test level is 426.70. The buyer missed the 50% level of the seller's impulse (426.97) by 27 cents. Then, the buyer attacked the test level with two candles on increased volume, bringing the price above the 50% level, but the seller pushed the price back below the test level (426.70), forming a seller's zone above (red rectangle on the chart). Further price decline is likely, with the first target at 400.8, which is the start of the last buyer's sub-impulse on the weekly TF.
Daily Timeframe
On the daily TF, there’s a sideways range (formed on August 22, with point 4). The upper boundary is 432.15, and the lower boundary is 385.58. The relevant seller's vector is 6-7, with the first potential target being 400.8 (then 385.58).
The buyer's vector 5-6 broke above the upper boundary of the range, gathered volume, and the seller returned the price to the range, forming a seller's zone at the upper boundary. This zone was tested on September 26, after which the seller's continuation began. The buyer attempted a recovery on September 30 with increased volume but failed to deliver results. Yesterday, the seller engulfed the buyer's candle.
Highlights
On both the weekly and daily TFs, the priority is to look for selling opportunities. The last daily candle has increased volume, making it a good point to start looking for sell opportunities. On the daily TF, possible threats to short positions include the 50% level of the last buyer's impulse at 413.72 and the buyer's zone with an upper boundary at 410.65 (green rectangle on the chart).
It makes sense to consider buying opportunities when the buyer shows strength, for example, when interacting with the levels of 400 or 385 and defending them.
How to decode candle volumes is explained here
Good luck with your trading and investments!
Is Microsoft's Quantum Leap a Calculated Investment?In the dynamic landscape of tech investment, Microsoft's quantum computing advancements have sparked significant interest. However, as with any emerging technology, the question remains: is the potential return on investment justified by the inherent risks?
Microsoft's strides in quantum computing are undeniable. From creating record-breaking logical qubits to demonstrating practical applications, the company has established itself as a frontrunner in this field. Yet, the path to commercialization is fraught with challenges, including technological hurdles and intense competition.
Investors must carefully evaluate the potential rewards against the risks. While the long-term prospects of quantum computing are promising, the short-term challenges and market uncertainties cannot be overlooked. Is Microsoft's strategic positioning and technological prowess sufficient to navigate these obstacles and capitalize on the potential benefits of quantum computing?
A Deeper Dive:
To make an informed investment decision, investors should consider the following factors:
Technological Progress: The rate of advancement in quantum computing technology will significantly impact the timeline for commercialization and potential returns. While Microsoft has made significant strides, the field is still evolving rapidly.
Competitive Landscape: The competitive landscape in quantum computing is dynamic and includes other tech giants like Google, IBM, and Amazon. The ability of Microsoft to maintain a competitive edge will be crucial for long-term success.
Market Demand: The potential market for quantum computing applications is still emerging. The development of practical use cases will be essential to drive demand and justify investment.
Regulatory Environment: Government policies and regulations can impact the development and commercialization of quantum computing technologies. Investors should be aware of any potential regulatory hurdles.
Economic Factors: Macroeconomic conditions, such as interest rates and market volatility, can influence investment decisions. Investors should consider how broader economic trends may affect the quantum computing market.
Conclusion:
Investing in Microsoft's quantum computing endeavors presents both opportunities and risks. While the long-term potential is significant, investors must carefully assess the factors outlined above to make an informed decision. As the field continues to evolve, it will be essential to stay updated on the latest developments and market trends.
Analyzing Microsoft: Patterns and Profit-Taking Opportunities
Microsoft is in a profit-taking zone based on the Parallel Channels and Equal Weight method.
The round number of $500 could act as a psychological level, affecting future price movements.
This is not a shorting zone, but a chance to manage your position and consider taking profits if it fits your strategy.
The second time in my analysis, I want to highlight the idea of Parallel Channels and Equal Waves, which is a helpful method for deciding when to take profits. One of its main benefits is that it helps find profit-taking areas, especially when there’s no major resistance or "traffic" on the left side of the chart.
Right now, Microsoft has reached important levels that look similar to patterns we’ve seen in gold. Also, the price is approaching a third key point, the round number of $500, which could play an important role in the near future.
It’s important to point out again that this is not a shorting area, but rather a potential profit-taking zone. If you’re managing your position as a mid-term investor and you might need your invested money soon, this could be a good place to take some profits.
Make sure to align this analysis with your overall investment plan. If you're ready to act, now could be a good time to lock in some profits.
Regards,
Vaido
Watchlist week ending 10/4/2024Lets get into it! I got a hand full of stocks to keep your eyes on for the week ending 10/4/24. The airlines like #AAL continue to show us that our TA was spot on. Get yourself a warm cup of coffee and soak up this knowledge as we breakdown #SPY #DIS #QQQ #google #intc #MSFT and many more hot #stocks!
msft h and shouldersmicrosoft with an head and shoulders, possibly going down, with a huge sell in insiders. abpout 70 million on insiders sell on the last month,
so even indexes must go down with this sellibg msft, by beeing one of the most capitelised companies in the world after 3 trillion market cap, if you will see the inside sellers, its a huge difference by the last months inside trades, so its a double shoulder head and shoulders and both shoulders already done in the daily time frame, so we must see an downgrade in the price for the next weeks and even quarters, this, ofcourse in my point of view,
do never trade in anothers person opinion, do your own research and trade by it, this is only my poin of view, i will sell msft and north american indexes, by beeing one of the most market capital company going down, so the indexes must go too, as far as i think, thrieaving all market down side, but other stocks are not head and shoulders, even got some upper grade but in my POV, they will go down with the second or thirdth most capitallised stock going down,so keep reaserching, and go for the profits,
the sp500 is in an extreme point of going down as well, it must go up a lot by passing this point of thecnhical analysis pushing down the index, for now, sp 500 will have a huge down fall and almost freefall to 2300 points, but if goes a lot up can pass the thecnhical indicators by now and go even up by even more points,
only the next days will tell us wht is the best investment,
for now im in a sell possitoion in sp500 and msft
but lets see the progress of the next days and weeks, on sp 500 and msft,
hope you the best profits in this trade, but do your own research before trading,
as far as i am consern , ill wait some days long in sp 500 until i put a short sell in sp500 and msft,
im just loooking for work, if you got an investment company and want me to work for you, just contact me , im in willing to work in the investment finnnace field, as a headge funder os something that i can get good profits, like 20 to 30 per cent profits on my trades, and i will do everything to have them,
keep your investment safe, and do not invest anything that you cannot loose,
this is only my pov, is not any investment idea, you only do whatever you want, and do with intel, so research about the topic and creat your own investment ideas
LOOKING FOR JOB
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msft going down in valueas my prediction of spx500 and the major american indexes going down in another 'crisis' gold as a safe haven msft one of the most capitalises if not the most, not sure yet, giving a idead
of reversal trend as havin an double shoulder head and shoulder, daily basis, sgnifying that a reversal in the indexes can be coming in the next weeks or quarters,
trade safe, this is only my pov.
Microsoft Parallel Channel and 200 DSMA worth watching Microsoft - NASDAQ:MSFT
Long Term Chart
▫️ An incredible long term trending channel.
▫️ Lets zoom in on Channel 1 and Channel 2
I have compared the 2019 - 2022 period(Channel 1) to the current 2022 - 2024 period (Channel 2) .
Channel 1
2019 -2022
Channel 2
2022 -2024
▫️ Both of these periods have had parallel channels with the 200 day SMA acting as underside support.
▫️ When these were both lost in Q1 2022, it led to an approx. 38% decline from the highs, or a c. 28% decline from losing the channel or 200 DSMA level.
▫️ This is a very strong chart. Unless the channel is lost which sync's up with a loss of the 200 day moving average (approx. $410), intermediate trend looks intact for continued upwards trajectory.
PUKA
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20% to 40% Dip Coming for Microsoft?DISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational & entertainment purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to be involved with this market. Trading involves significant risk, do your own due diligence.
A concerning sign for Microsoft bulls triggered a few weeks ago. We saw the DPO divergence confirmed. Price targets to the downside of this confirmation imply a 20% to 40% dip is coming for Microsoft.
Do you think Microsoft is heading for a dump?
I do.
See you down there.
Looking for a MSFT support bounce! 🔉Sound on!🔉
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
Microsoft seem to have made intermittent top. Look for reversalNASDAQ:MSFT has fallen in 5 waved from the top made in July and in process of retracing that down-move in ABC. The fall from top could be either a larger degree wave 1 or wave A. In both cases, soon wave 3 or C down should start since the wave 2/B has completed 61.8% retracement which is at 436.73. Stock closed below that level yesterday which makes me wonder if the down-move in wave 3/C has begun already.
Assuming down-move has started, we should head towards 364 as per wave equality (3=1 or A=C), though if economic macros stay recessionary then the move could stretch to 1.6 or 2.6 times the size of wave 1/A (in log).
Microsoft Announces $60 Billion Buyback and Dividend HikeMicrosoft Corp. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSFT ) recently announced two major moves designed to bolster shareholder value and solidify its position as a leading tech giant. The company unveiled a $60 billion stock buyback program along with a 10% increase in its quarterly dividend. This announcement has sent positive waves through the market, and investors are keeping a close eye on what this means for Microsoft's long-term outlook, especially amid its aggressive investments in artificial intelligence (AI).
The $60 Billion Buyback: Strategic Capital Allocation
On Monday, Microsoft revealed plans to repurchase up to $60 billion of its stock. While this figure may seem colossal, it represents less than 2% of the company's market cap, which currently stands at a staggering $3.2 trillion. Buybacks are a strategic way for companies like Microsoft to return capital to shareholders, reduce the number of shares outstanding, and increase earnings per share (EPS).
The buyback plan can be canceled at any time, signaling flexibility in Microsoft's strategy to navigate market conditions. The announcement comes at a critical time when investors are pressuring the company to show returns on its heavy spending in AI development, particularly through its flagship product, the Copilot AI assistant, and other AI-driven tools.
### Dividend Hike: Rewarding Loyal Shareholders
In addition to the stock buyback, Microsoft also announced a 10% hike in its quarterly dividend, raising it by 8 cents to 83 cents per share. This marks the 20th consecutive year the tech behemoth has increased its dividend, a testament to its commitment to rewarding long-term investors. The higher dividend will be payable on Dec. 12, 2024, to shareholders of record as of Nov. 21.
The steady rise in dividend payments is indicative of Microsoft’s robust financial health. As it continues to post consistent earnings, the dividend increase signals confidence in sustained cash flow generation, even as the company allocates substantial capital toward AI infrastructure.
A Focus on AI Investments
The timing of the buyback and dividend announcement coincides with Microsoft's unveiling of several new AI features. During its recent "Wave 2" event, Microsoft introduced updates to its Copilot AI, including enhancements in Excel, OneDrive, and Outlook. These AI-driven tools are part of the company’s broader push to integrate advanced machine learning and AI capabilities into its suite of products, driving future growth.
Jefferies analysts have described Microsoft as a "top AI beneficiary," citing strong adoption rates of its Copilot features and improvements in user experience. This aligns with the company’s focus on using AI as a growth driver, especially as demand for AI outpaces the company’s capacity to deliver.
Stock Performance and Technical Outlook
Microsoft stock has been on an upward trajectory, rising 15% year-to-date, and showing consistent strength over the past year. On Tuesday, NASDAQ:MSFT surged 1.66%, buoyed by the announcement, and continues to hold investor confidence.
Technically, Microsoft’s stock sits at an RSI of 66, indicating bullish momentum. This level is approaching overbought territory but still suggests room for continued growth, especially as Jerome Powell’s much-anticipated speech on rate cuts approaches. The stock’s resilience is evident as it has managed to retake all its moving averages and break past a 426.79 short-term high, a level seen as critical resistance.
Moreover, Microsoft has been in a steady upward trend since September 2023, maintaining consistent gains month-over-month. This steady performance is a signal of both investor confidence and the company’s ability to deliver, even amid macroeconomic uncertainty.
Conclusion:
Microsoft’s latest financial moves—both the $60 billion buyback and the dividend hike—demonstrate its ability to reward investors while continuing to focus on long-term growth. As it positions itself as a leader in AI, Microsoft’s ongoing investments are expected to pay off significantly in the years ahead.
With a solid balance sheet, growing dividends, and continued stock buybacks, Microsoft’s outlook remains strong. While some volatility may lie ahead due to macroeconomic factors, the combination of smart capital allocation and a focus on next-gen technology like AI puts Microsoft in a prime position to continue its upward trajectory in both stock price and market influence.
Investors looking for long-term stability combined with growth potential should keep Microsoft on their radar as it navigates the evolving tech landscape.
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MSFT Daily OverviewMICROSOFT remains one of my favourite instruments in STOCK TRADING.
I've always enjoyed watching it's price movements, I believe it has remained a solid investment consistently.
Right now I believe Microsoft is about to start recovering from it's recent drawdown and start to move bullish after it hit a major RESISTANCE zone.
We will do further analysis on this instrument once more bars are printed!
Microsoft - Correction Is Not Over Yet!Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) can still drop a little lower:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
It seems like the correction on Microsoft is not over yet and following previous price action and market structure, a move back to the previous triangle breakout level seems to be quite likely. However Microsoft still remains in an overall bullish market so looking for long setups is best.
Levels to watch: $350
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Major Head And Shoulders BEARISH pattern on MSFT!🔉Sound on!🔉
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
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