Microsoft (MSFT) Q2 2023 EarningsMicrosoft (MSFT) reported the second fiscal quarter 2023 financial results after the market close. EPS beat the low estimates but revenue came below expectations, Azure cloud unit showed strong growth. Here are the key points:
Earnings per share came at $2.32 a decline from $2.48 a share a year ago but topping the expectations of $2.27.
Revenue for the quarter came at $52.7 billion below the expectations of $52.94 billion. Revenue growth is 2% (YoY) which is the slowest pace since 2016.
The Intelligent cloud revenue reported at $21.51 billion below the estimates of $21.43 billion.
Server products and cloud services revenue increased 20% driven by Azure and other cloud services revenue growth of 31%.
Azure grew 38% (YoY) topping the consensus of 37%. Here are the last quarters Azure growth:
Q3 ’21: 48%
Q4 ’21: 46%
Q1 ’22: 49%
Q2 ’22: 46%
Q3 ’22: 42%
Q4 ’22: 38%
Revenue in Productivity and Business Processes was $17.0 billion.
Revenue in More Personal Computing was $14.2 billion and decreased 19%.
Operating income was $20.4 billion GAAP and $21.6 billion non-GAAP
Diluted earnings per share were $2.20 GAAP and $2.32 non-GAAP
Here is Microsoft’s $MSFT December Quarter Revenue since 2006
2006: $12.5B
2007: $16.4B
2008: $16.6B
2009: $19B
2010: $20B
2011: $20.9B
2012: $21.5B
2013: $24.5B
2014: $26.5B
2015: $23.8B
2016: $25.8B
2017: $28.9B
2018: $32.5B
2019: $36.9B
2020: $43.1B
2021: $51.7B
2022: $52.7B
Microsoft Analyst’s Expectations and latest Price Target
Analysts expected Microsoft to report earnings per share of $2.27 and revenue of $52.94. Revenue growth for the Azzure segment is expected to grow by 37%.
On January 20, Mizuho reiterated Microsoft at Buy and reduced the price target from $305 to $290. Guggenheim on January 17, downgraded MSFT from Neutral to Sell and set a price target of $212.
Microsoft (MSFT)
MICROSOFT - EARNINGSMSFT is trading under key resistance as seen by the white trendline. The price action and trend still favors downside bias however there is a key gap fill around $257 that would be a perfect short level if it popped off of earnings.
Based off of the rally in the indexes, MSFT has been a lagger in tech which could be displaying relative weakness.
MSFT Potential for Bearish Continuation| 20th January 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for MSFT is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market.
Looking for a pullback sell entry at 244.79, where the overlap resistance and 50% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 263.91, where the recent swing high is. Take profit will be at 213.47, where the previous swing low is.
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MSFT Potential for Bearish Continuation| 20th January 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for MSFT is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market.
Looking for a pullback sell entry at 244.79, where the overlap resistance and 50% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 263.91, where the recent swing high is. Take profit will be at 213.47, where the previous swing low is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
MSFT Big Short side possibleWe have a very small inverted hammer on the weekly. This is a bullish reversal. We need to see confirmation over the next couple days. The weekly 200ema is feeling the pressure of MSFT trying to push lower.
On the daily we see multiple attempts at the 9 EMA. We also see strong resistance and selling pressure in the 228.40-232.20 area. We also see similar behavior on the weekly chart. Right now the area holding up MSFT from lower lows is the 225-228 area.
Long trigger is 230 - 231
Short trigger is 222 - 224
Watching this one closely.
This one based on the weekly is a 50/50
based on the daily I think we will see some lower consolidation before a direction is decided on the weekly.
Elliott Wave View: Microsoft (MSFT) Looking to Extend the Next LCycle from 12.13.2022 high is in progress as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Down from 12.13.2022 high, wave 1 ended at 233.87 and rally in wave 2 ended at 245.77. Internal subdivision of wave 2 unfolded as a zigzag structure. Up from wave 1, wave ((a)) ended at 240.87 and pullback in wave ((b)) ended at 233.94. Final leg higher wave ((c)) ended at 245.77 which also completed wave 2. Wave ((c)) unfolded as a 5 waves diagonal where wave (i) ended at 240.8 and wave (ii) ended at 233.94. Wave (iii) higher ended at 241.92, pullback in wave (iv) ended at 236.66 and final leg higher wave (v) ended at 245.77.
The stock has resumed lower in wave 3. Down from wave 2, wave (i) ended at 237.40 and rally in wave (ii) ended at 241. The stock resumed lower in wave (iii) towards 225.96 and rally in wave (iv) ended at 229.89. Wave (v) lower is expected to end soon which should end wave ((i)) in higher degree. Afterwards, expect wave ((ii)) rally to correct cycle from 1.3.2023 high before the decline resumes. Near term, as far as pivot at 245.77 high stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further downside. Potential target lower is 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension from 1.3.2023 high which comes at 195.9 – 215.
Gap fill down completed, back to 240sI posted an idea back in October where I predicted MSFT would hit an initial target of 265 (bottom of yellow box). It reached low 260s and fell just shy of that, leaving a gap open. It pulled back to fill that gap today.
Market is setup for a bounce in the coming weeks, and MSFT will follow. For MSFT I see the pop post Oct earnings as a sign of strength (SoS) after accumulating - this pullback is the backup/retest of support. From here it will run to fill gap at min (237) and likely continue into the 240s by Jan 20. Will re-eval there.
The play on this discount today is the Jan 20 235 calls.
MSFT: Crashing? Yes. Scary? Nope.• MSFT just hit our target at $228, as it did exactly what we expected since our previous public analysis on it, almost a month ago (the link is below this post, as usual);
• Despite the high volatility, this movement is very technical and not surprising at all, but in order to bounce again, MSFT has to react as soon as possible;
• The problem is that any bounce will face at least two resistance levels in the daily chart: First the $238, second the 21 ema;
• Only if MSFT breaks these key resistances it might do a clear reversal structure;
• If not, we can expect a continuation of this bearish sentiment all the way down to $212, the next technical support level;
• Therefore, let’s pay attention to the $228 support, as now would be the best time for a reaction.
Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
SPY - kung fu chop the chopIn review. I see a lot of people complaining about "chop" lately. These are not the people to be following in my honest opinion. There is opportunity in all markets it is just a matter of risk management and being able to navigate the choppy waters. Circled some of the opportunity I took in this "Chop"
A week in review these are some of the best trading days I have had.
Sometimes the easiest trading is done in chop but you have to be patient and let it come to you.
Don't let the chop push you off course. Stick to your trade criteria and navigate accordingly. You just need to be patient, post your lookouts, and be ready to sound the alarm to enter the right trade.
Set alerts off of great areas of value so you don't have to spend the entire day staring at the screen.
Trade safe have fun!
MSFT, 10d+/-21.27%falling cycle -21.27% more than 10 days.
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This data is analyzed by robots. Analyze historical trends based on The Adam Theory of Markets (20 moving averages/60 moving averages/120 moving averages/240 moving averages) and estimate the trend in the next 10 days. The white line is the robot's expected price, and the upper and lower horizontal line stop loss and stop profit prices have no financial basis. The results are for reference only.
🚘 Tesla Is Leading The Stock MarketJust as we believe that bitcoin will bottom before the S&P 500 Index, in the same way we believe that Tesla will bottom before the other major tech giants.
At present time going down fast and strong would seen like something really bad.
A stock dropping is surely bad for the investors but these markets move in cycle, they go up and down, up and down...
At a later point in 2023, things will turn around.
You will see the Tesla (TSLA) stock growing while other tech giants such as Apple, Microsoft and Google will still have a long way down to go.
This will be a positive for Tesla investors, as they will be seeing their stock growing while everything else is still searching for a market low.
Out of crisis, opportunity comes.
Once we hit bottom, the only place left to go is up.
This major downturn we will see in 2023, we will turn into a positive once it is over and done.
We learn from mistakes.
Out of tough situations innovation and evolution is the result.
Look at Bitcoin/cryptocurrency as an example, it is the result of the 2008/09 fiasco.
Namaste.
MSFT continuation wedge (bearish)This is a Continuation Wedge Pattern, Medium-term Bearish. The inbound duration took about 64 days.
the expected pattern duration *from the break of the wedge*, is roughly 22 days. with a target price anywhere around that 200 area. say 199 - 207
i dont want to keep boring you soo, i hoped you enjoyed this, and if you did could you kindly smash like!
Happy Christmas and hope have a wonderful new year. thanks for reading. thats all from me, Happy Trading my friends.
$TSLA $AMZN $GOOGL $MSFT $AAPL $DOGEUSD $NFLX $SNAP $META #NIFTYNASDAQ:TSLA
Fair Priced.
> 70% down from the ATH
Now opportunity to double the money.
CMP 125$
Target 250$
Duration < 12M
SL 60
RR > 2 time
Return > 100%
Bet is worth taking the risk!
TSLA AAPL AMZN GOOGL MSFT NFLX SNAP META NIFTY BANKNIFTY V JPM GS ADBE
Factors:
BULLISH WEDGE BREAKOUT
Trend Following
Rising Volume with rising Prices.
Flag pattern breakout.
Pennant Pattern Breakout with Bullish Candle.
Retest Successful.
Higher Highs & Higher Lows.
Broken above RESISTANCE levels
Trading at SUPPORT levels
Earnings are strong.
Bullish Wedge Breakout
Risk Return Ratio is healthy.
And
Rising from Double Bottom Pattern to Flag Pattern forming.
If you like my work KINDLY LIKE SHARE & FOLLOW this page for free Stock Recommendations.
With 💚 from Rachit Sethia
Microsoft - 2016 Trendline is breaking down! 43% CRASH.
First Netflix, then META, TSLA, and now MSFT!
The major trendline from 2016 is breaking down with a successful retest. This is not looking good.
MSFT is still pretty strong compared to others, but the question is how long it can last.
The next support is the base trendline from 2009. In this case, a 43% crash is possible. I don't see any good, strong support above the trendline.
If we take a look at the MACD indicator, we can see that the histogram is very negative for the first time in a long time. It clearly broke the major uptrend.
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, this whole uptrend is done. MSFT's uptrend was brutal, as it always is, but the impulse wave has been completed. Now we are looking for a retracement.
The previous all-time high from 2000 is pretty much the worst-case scenario, just in case it starts to free fall like META. Buying Microsoft on this support is a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity.
We are experiencing a historical crash in stocks and crypto. A lot of investors get rekt and it will be even worse. Great to be alive or not? :D
I am not here to spread negativity, but I cannot pretend that everything is bullish. I don't want anyone to lose money with bad investments, but when the big players decide to crash the market, no problem for them.
Thank you.
Buying MSFT break of recent high.Microsoft - 30d expiry - We look to Buy a break of 253.11 (stop at 243.98)
Prices have reacted from 213.43.
Posted a Double Top formation. 250.58 has been pivotal.
The previous swing high is located at 253.00.
A break of the recent high at 253.00 should result in a further move higher.
Short term momentum is bullish.
The bias is to break to the upside.
Our profit targets will be 274.98 and 279.98
Resistance: 250.00 / 260.00 / 267.00
Support: 235.00 / 220.00 / 210.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
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MSFT is in a trading range has been in a bearish channel since it peaked last November.
It still has some room to test on the upside, but the price action I see (monthly chart) shows it already tested last month's high, failed, and is coming back down through the range.
I'm neutral until I see more downward momentum ... then I'm short. I have NO conviction that it'll re-test November 2022's high.