Share price hangs at previous lows and could continue south.
Microsoft(MSFT) dropped below the 240 support zone and wiped out the entire week's gains. Share price closed at 234 at the end of Friday's trades, down 5.09%. Critical support zone at 233. Share price hangs at previous lows and could continue south if it fails at the major support zone.
Microsoft (MSFT)
Agressively buying Microsoft.Microsoft - Intraday - We look to Buy a break of 251.11 (stop at 241.98)
We are trading at oversold extremes.
A break of yesterdays high would confirm bullish momentum.
Bullish divergence can be seen on the daily (the chart makes a lower low while the oscillator makes a higher low), often a signal of exhausted bearish momentum, or at least a correction higher.
Bullish divergence is expected to support prices.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
Our profit targets will be 274.98 and 279.98
Resistance: 250.00 / 260.00 / 267.00
Support: 235.00 / 220.00 / 210.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
MSFT: A bullish reaction in a support area!• MSFT is reacting just above a clear support level at $235.10 (dividend adjusted chart);
• Although we see a strong bullish reaction, we don’t see reversal signs yet;
• Would be good if MSFT close the weekly chart like this, or if we see a clear bullish reversal pattern in the daily chart before assuming it’ll reverse;
• Either way, there are two open gaps (yellow squares, daily chart), and they would be our next targets if MSFT confirms a reversal;
• On the other hand, by losing the $235 level, it will just resume the bear trend and seek the $200 area;
• This could be the beginning of a strong reversal, so it is important to keep an eye on MSFT for now, as the Risk/Reward ratio looks very good.
I’ll keep you guys updated on this. Remember to follow me for more analysis like this! Keep in touch.
MSFT Potential for Bullish Continuation | 4th Oct 2022On H4, with the RSI bouncing from the support level, and the price is reaching the key support level, we have a bullish bias that the price may rise from the buy entry at 232.11, where the overlap support and 61.8% fibonacci projection are to the take profit at 239.38, where the 61.8% fibonacci retracement is. Alternatively, the price may drop to the stop loss at 211.98, where the 61.8% fibonacci retracement and 78.6% fibonacci projection are.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Longing Microsoft. MSFTIn conjunction with the uptrend on the major indices (locally), we are seeing a recovery in this major stock. It remains to be seen what exactly we are to paint out - a zigzag, triangle and its many varieties. Momentum is upgoing on SPX, which gives us confidence to see more growth in the tech sector.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe.
MSFT Microsoft Corporation Technical ReboundIf you haven`t sold MSFT after they Issued the Warning to Investors:
Then you should know that the chart reached our price target perfectly and is now ready for a technical rebound.
A technical rebound refers to a recovery from a prior period of losses when technical signals indicate that the move was oversold.
In this case, the Relative Strength Index momentum indicator of MSFT Microsoft Corporation is at 24.30.
Even though i am overall bearish on the economy, buying a strong financial instrument when the RSI is below 30, would make a case for a potential short term reversal.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Apple in Historically Bullish Pattern for Bullish EOY RallyApple has been getting killed in recent trading days. Thursday going -5% and Friday -3%. In total, just this week Apple has declined roughly ten percent and evaporated roughly $200billion in value. Luckily, the selling is seemingly at its relative lowest as can be seen with the RSI divergence from its 50 day RSI to its 200 day. Shorter Duration RSI moving far ahead of the longer duration implies a very heavy move from the relative averages in recent trading days and suggests that sellers can be over-extended. This also leads us to the VIX which has greatly increased in value this week. Historically when the RSI divergence is to such a great depth with the VIX above thirty, this has led to significant gains in the following months (on average +40% in the following 6months.)
From a fundemental perspective: Iphone 14 is sold out everywhere. I can't get my hands on one. BOFA citing weaker consumer demand doesn't respect the cult like nature of apple users.
This is a buying opportunity in my book.
Microsoft's local reboundMicrosoft Corporation
Ticker: MSFT
Idea: Long
Horizon: 1-2 months
Target 1: $264
Target 2: $281
Stop order: $233
Entry range: 238-241 USD
Technical analysis
The price is in the support zone around $241, where a local bounce up can be formed.
Fundamental factor
Microsoft is one of the largest multinational companies producing proprietary software for various kinds of computing equipment: personal computers, game consoles, PDAs, cell phones and others. On Sept. 20, company representatives announced that Microsoft is releasing special features updates for Windows 11. In addition, Microsoft said it would raise its quarterly dividend by 10% (to $0.68 per share). All of this is a positive backdrop for the company.
Microsoft Stock Analysis. Biggest sell-off in history happeningMicrosoft Stock Analysis. The biggest sell-off in history has been happening since the end of 2021. Long-term shorts are playing out on Microsoft stock.
New supply levels are being created on the weekly timeframe; the last one is located at $256 per share. Microsoft's stock price today is still bearish. The stock might take some time to pull back to the supply imbalance shown in the Microsoft stock video analysis and prediction.
The expectations for the IT giant are very negative, regardless of any positive news, earnings, or new products and acquisitions. MSFT stock price could drop as far down as $65 in the following months. You can use bearish stock option strategies to take advantage of the sell-off in Microsoft stock.
MSFT stock idea trade setup - 9/26/2022The next level of support is at 233 levels, I would go long at 233, with a stop at 230 level and target at 241 levels.
Based on how this stock is falling, I feel this should happen around its earnings timeframe.
P.S. The only worry is that quite a bit of revenue for Microsoft is generated from rest of the world. With this strengthening of dollar, the revenue is getting crushed. Eg. A year ago, 1 USD = 1050 KRW. Now it is 1 USD = 1450 KRW(south korean won). So, if microsoft was selling office for 100000 KRW(approximately 100 USD) a year ago, now microsoft is making only 72 USD.
Though the stock does well, because of the FX rates things are not looking good.
MSFT possible pullbackHere is a possible pullback considering possible prices of resistance including the lowest price of an old candle, the 50% of the fibonacci retracement (where retracements are more likely to happen). The price already hit the zone but it is common for the price to come back up before the day end. Furthermore, the 50% fibonacci retracement also happens with the weekly timeframe. The risk/reward ratio do not consider the current trend, therefore it is better to maybe take out the TP to see how far the price might go down.
MSFT Potential for Bearish Momentum | 26th September 2022On H4, with the price moving within the descending channel and below ichimoku cloud , we have a bearish bias that the price may drop from the sell entry at 236.25, which is in line with the 78.6% fibonacci projection to the take profit at 208.8, where the 78.6% fibonacci projection is. Alternatively, the price may rise to the stop loss at 252.14, which is in line with the 23.6% fibonacci retracement .
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
NASDAQ decision time soonusing Nasdaq futures to monitor the long term trendline from 1999 till now... we violently broke the trend in 2008, but bounced beautifully in 2018/2020 and I think we soon get a decision on how price will act this time around... it should also let us know what to expect for tech valuations in the coming months/year!
MSFT Potential for Bearish Momentum | 26th September 2022On H4, with the price moving within the descending channel and below ichimoku cloud, we have a bearish bias that the price may drop from the sell entry at 236.25, which is in line with the 78.6% fibonacci projection to the take profit at 208.8, where the 78.6% fibonacci projection is. Alternatively, the price may rise to the stop loss at 252.14, which is in line with the 23.6% fibonacci retracement.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
$MSFT: Monthly trend could reverse...1st time this happens ever since the trend turned bullish in 2012 for $MSFT. By the end of the month, we will get confirmation of a potential bear market trend starting to gain traction here.
Investors had a tremendous 10 year run ever since but it appears to be over.
Best of luck!
Ivan Labrie.
Big Tech - Head & Shoulder Pattern Galore These four big tech stocks are on thin ice.
A break of these necklines suggests more downside. These levels likely indicate around 11,900 on the Nasdaq as the line in the sand.
Question is, does this lead to capitulation or a longer duration downtrend. TBD...
Nasdaq 11,900 level = red line
MSFT: Head, shoulders, knees and toesMicrosoft has painted a head & shoulders formation, and is on track to confirm a neckline break on the daily and weekly timeframes. Expect a continuation of the downtrend on this neckline break, as well as further index weakness given MSFT's tremendous weight in the indices.
Notes:
Confirmation still required on neckline break, a wick below is insufficient.
Weekly closure above the neckline will invalidate the pattern.