MSFTHELLO GUYS THIS MY IDEA 💡ABOUT MSFT is nice to see strong volume area....
Where is lot of contract accumulated..
I thing that the buyers from this area will be defend this long position..
and when the price come back to this area, strong buyers will be push up the market again..
UPTREND + Support from the past + Strong volume area is my mainly reason for this long trade..
IF you like my work please like share and follow thanks
TURTLE TRADER 🐢
Microsoft (MSFT)
MSFT Potential for Bearish Continuation| 15th September 2022On H4, with the price moving below the ichimoku cloud and MACD is showing a death cross, as well as the MA 30 is above MA10, we have a bearish bias that the price may drop from the sell entry at 251.26, which is in line with the swing lows and 78.6% fibonacci retracement to the take profit at 241.39, where the previous swing low is. Alternatively, the price may rise to the stop loss at 260.36, where the 23.6% fibonacci retracement is.
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MSFT Potential for Bearish Drop | 9th Sept 2022On H4, with the price moving below the ichimoku cloud and descending trend line, we have a bearish bias that the price may drop from the sell entry at 255.76, where the previous swing low is to the take profit at 249.68, which is in line with the significant swing lows. Alternatively, the price may rise to the stop loss at 261.73, where the 23.6% fibonacci retracement is.
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MSFT - Short position When looking at MSFT current underlying value and most recent price behaviour when using a 2-hour range, investors can see that on the 02/09/22 a three-bar pattern formed making up a shooting star. In this instance, this was a bareish indication, a failed attempt to correct the underlying stock value´s bearish momentum with bullish momentum.
When observing 50 and 100 day ranged EMA averages investors can see that on the 26/08/22 shorter 50-day EMA moving average crossed beneath the longer 100-day EMA moving average. This dead cross was followed by a strong down trend, underlying prices falling 7%. This was after bullish rallies that were witnessed since mid-July. On 27/07/22 shorter 50-day EMA moving average crossed above longer 100-day EMA moving average. This fresh bullish crossover was followed by a rally that saw the underlying share value continue to increase over 10%. Currently EMA moving average lines are not moving back towards one another, instead they are moving parallel in a different trajectory. Therefore, the down trend is more likely to strengthen before corrections occur.
When observing MACD and signal lines, investors can see that 06/09/22 the MACD line crossed beneath the signal line. This further supports our bearish sentiment.
Based on EMA moving averages, candlestick patterns and behaviour as well as MACD and signal lines, we are bareish in sentiment. We anticipate that the stock will fall further and have taken a short position as a result.
MSFT Potential for Bearish Continuation| 6th September 2022On H4, with the price crossing the ichimoku cloud , within the descending channel and DIF line is below zero axis, we have a bearish bias that the price may drop from the sell entry at 251.96, which is in line with the 78.6% fibonacci retracement to the take profit at 240.90, where the swing low is. Alternatively, the price may rise to the stop loss at 265.50, which is in line with the 23.6% fibonacci retracement .
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
MSFT Potential for Bearish Continuation| 6th September 2022On H4, with the price crossing the ichimoku cloud, within the descending channel and DIF line is below zero axis, we have a bearish bias that the price may drop from the sell entry at 251.96, which is in line with the 78.6% fibonacci retracement to the take profit at 240.90, where the swing low is. Alternatively, the price may rise to the stop loss at 265.50, which is in line with the 23.6% fibonacci retracement.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
$MSFT - potential support in phase 4 $MSFT has been in selloff and it's been frequently discussed these days. If we break current level, there is not much demand down to $220 and $208, which would be about 36-40% down from ATH, respectively.
I can see MSFT getting there if overall market is wacky. Chaikin Oscillator with Bollinger bands also generated sell signal on August 8th and since then it's been in an ugly downtrend. This also looks like a phase 4 - downtrend.
I'll wait patiently and might start adding to my position around 220. Good old MSFT.
ATVI Spike (Merger Arbitrage Continued)This morning I received a Spike Alert for price volatility at the open on Activision Blizzard NASDAQ:ATVI . Perhaps people are excited about Wrath of the Lich King classic being released? :D
This swing trade occurs within the context of the Merger Arbitrage trade which has been going on for many months since Microsoft announced an offer of $95/share to purchase ATVI. There has been much rumor and speculation as always on if this deal would go through which manifests itself in a present 20.6% risk premium from the current trading price of ATVI to the buyout price. Nothing has fundamentally changed since the board approved the deal. Warren Buffett is also in the merger arbitrage trade with a 9.5% stake in ATVI.
I am already long the merger arbitrage trade from earlier in the year. Note: Getting into it now would be less than 12 months til the expected buyout which would mean a successful trade would incurr short term capital gains rather than long term. GLHF!
MSFT - Long PositionDivergence indication signals suggest bullish change in momentum.
Candlestick momentum shows a potential bullish hammer. The underlying stock price presented in the form of candlesticks seems to be reversing in line with its moderate 0.38 weekly support level. A bullish hammer can be identified within the down trend, a bullish hammer suggests that there will be a change in momentum.
When applying a weekly and monthly ranged Fibonacci, investors can see that this potential bullish hammer is occurring in line with its moderate 0.38 support level. However, when looking at the 1-month ranged Fibonacci investors are wary given that the stock is trading close to its central 0.00 pivot level.
EMA indicators suggest the stock is undervalued given that the underlying stock value is currently trading below all 20-, 50-, 100- and 200-day EMA averages. Furthermore, the crossover of 20- and 50-day EMA lines is a buy signal.
Based on these undervalued signals, we anticipate the stock to correct towards a stronger resistance.
MSFT Potential for Bullish Rise| 26th August 2022 Microsoft CorpOn H4, with the price moving within the ascending channel and above ichimoku cloud , we have a bullish bias that the price may rise form the buy entry at 278.84, where the overlap resistance and 23.6% fibonacci retracement are to the take profit at 294.02, where the swing high is. Alternatively, the price may drop to the stop loss at 268.06, where the pullback support and 50% fibonacci retracement are.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
MSFT Potential for Bullish Rise| 26th August 2022On H4, with the price moving within the ascending channel and above ichimoku cloud, we have a bullish bias that the price may rise form the buy entry at 278.84, where the overlap resistance and 23.6% fibonacci retracement are to the take profit at 294.02, where the swing high is. Alternatively, the price may drop to the stop loss at 268.06, where the pullback support and 50% fibonacci retracement are.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
MSFT Don't Miss This Move!🔸️Ticker Symbol: MSFT 🔸️Timeframe: 4 Hour 🔸️Investment Strategy: Long
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: MSFT is currently sitting on a strong level support at $276. We are in a bull regression trend which is why I want to be focusing on long position in the market at the moment. We do have our bottom dashboard indicator suggesting that we are in a buying or accumulating stage in the market since we are testing this bottom green section. Historically this area in a bull trend has acted as a good indication that MSTF could see a push higher in value. If we do continue in this trend, I do believe a retest of $290 is not out of the question come next week. Thanks for following.
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MSFT - Long PositionDivergence indication signals suggest bullish change in momentum.
Candlestick momentum shows an inverted hammer signal. The underlying stock price presented in the form of candlesticks seems to be stabilizing in line with its strong weekly support level. This suggests that the bareish sentiment is changing and loosing momentum. Inverted hammer, whist not as reliable as a Hammers, still certainly suggest that bullish momentum is likely.
When applying a weekly and monthly ranged Fibonacci, investors can see that this inverted hammer is occurring in line with its strong 1.00 support level. However, when looking at the 1-month ranged Fibonacci investors are wary given that the stock is trading in line with it’s weaker 0.22 resistance level.
It´s important to consider that the end of July and August has seen bullish rallies. The underlying stock value of MSFT has risen above 10%. This was after bearish momentum that began on 16/08/22. Before this underlying stock prices had risen as much as 20% between 26/07/22 and 15/08/22.
All things considered, we are bullish in sentiment. We anticipate the price of MSFT to reach it´s weekly central 0.00 Fibonacci pivot.
Elliott Wave View: Microsoft (MSFT) Shows 5 Waves DownShort Term Elliott Wave View in Microsoft (MSFT) suggests rally to 294.22 ended wave ((W)). Wave ((X)) pullback is in progress to correct cycle from 14 June 2022 low before it resumes higher again. Internal subdivision of wave ((X)) is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave ((W)), wave 1 ended at 290.41 and rally in wave 2 ended at 294.07. The stock then continues lower in an extended wave 3 towards 276.20.
Internal structure of wave 3 shows that the decline from 294.07 to 289.04 ended wave ((i)) and rally in wave ((ii)) finished at 293.30. Further downside continues ending wave ((iii)) at 277.21 and shallow bounce ended wave ((iv)) at 278.78. Final leg lower wave ((v)) ended at 276.20 completing wave 3. Wave 4 took the form of a triangle structure completing at 276.69 and last drop ended at 274.38 which ended wave 5 and wave (A).Wave (B) pullback is in progress to correct cycle from August 15, 2022 high in 3, 7, or 11 swing before the next leg lower. As far as pivot at 294.22 high stays intact, expect rally to fail for further downside and break the low of wave (A).
Microsoft pulling back?Microsoft
Short Term
We look to Buy at 273.34 (stop at 266.24)
Previous resistance at 275.00 now becomes support. Choppy price action seen. We can see no technical reason for a change of trend. We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher.
Our profit targets will be 292.57 and 303.00
Resistance: 293.00 / 315.00 / 320.00
Support: 275.00 / 250.00 / 200.00
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UVXY and ETF ShortIt's high time we accept the new reality of the inverted reality. The week of July 25th was perhaps one of the most volatile in a long time. Why? We had CPI report, earnings, and Fed Rate Hike.
What did volatility indecies like UVXY do? They sold off. It doesn't take too much logic and common sense to see something egregiously fraudulent is taking place when companies miss earnings, and their stock price rally. Or, in the grander scheme of things, horrible economic data sends markets rallying.
At this point, the market has become a literal casino gambling machine with luck, not technical analysis, economic data, geopolitical issues, trends, patterns having ANY influence. It's simply a yes or no by someone or some people at the top who dictates the move of the market.
I believe now that retail investors are at their smallest ownership of equities, the volatility index and ETFs like UVXY no longer really apply. Why? Institutions, computers, and algorithms can not panic or feel fear, only retail investors aka human aspect can. This is why you no longer see significant sell offs when there is bad news like a possible Taiwan invasion or conflict with the US.
So in conclusion, at this point, its best to get calls on pretty much anything. AMC, BBBY, Apple and others go up without reason. BestBuy stated they would see losses in Q3, and that rallied their stock. Nothing can bring this market down, so I wouldn't even be scared about getting calls, investing and waiting as your portfolio grows even in the worst of it. Perhaps actual WWIII would send markets to new record highs.
Short the volatility ETFs, UVXY, SQQQ, SDOW, SPXS, misc.. because they're destined to collapsed even if the world was on fire and there were 50% unemployment. I think the stock market is everyone's financial safety with no risks of losing money at this point.