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Microsoft (MSFT)

Microsoft (MSFT) Shares Drop Over 3% This MonthMicrosoft (MSFT) Shares Drop Over 3% This Month An overview of stock market charts since the beginning of the month reveals that while the Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) is in positive territory, Microsoft (MSFT) shares have underperformed significantly. The opening price on 1st October was $427.47, but by yesterday's close, it had fallen over 3%. One of the key drivers behind this bearish sentiment is analysis from Oppenheimer, suggesting that Microsoft's financial performance may be negatively impacted by losses related to OpenAI. Additionally, Oppenheimer downgraded Microsoft's stock rating, a concerning sign ahead of the upcoming third-quarter earnings season. Technical analysis of Microsoft's (MSFT) stock chart shows that the price is hovering around a critical support zone, which is formed by: → the lower boundary of an upward channel that has been in place since early 2024 (marked in blue); → the psychological level of $400 per share. What could happen next? Bullish outlook: Microsoft's (MSFT) share price may reverse upwards from this support zone. Yesterday’s bullish candle indicates a potential increase in demand. Bearish outlook: The median line of the blue channel has acted as resistance (shown by the arrow). It’s possible that the next level where bears could confirm control is the former support at $425. Which scenario plays out largely depends on Microsoft's upcoming earnings report, scheduled for 22nd October. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by FXOpen
Microsoft - Its Decision Time Hi Guys, This chart could be a leading indicator for overall market direction, alongside NASDAQ:NVDA - NVIDIA and $AAPL. So this chart and the other two largest companies in the world Nvidia and Apple are worth paying close attention to, for overall market direction. ▫️ Similar to a the 2019 - 2022 period, the price held the mid term parallel channel with the 200 day SMA acted as underside support. When the 200SMA and the parallel channel was lost in Q1 2023, it led to significant 28%+ decline from these levels (38% from the prior highs of the period). ▫️ We can use the DSS Bressert and the On Balance Volume to help here in distinguishing a likely trend direction. ▫️ This is a very strong chart as it stands. Many traders could step in at the 200 day SMA and bottom of the channel. If the channel is lost, and we have serious reason for concern and could exit on a revisit or test of the underside of the channel (as illustrated with the arrow). Unless the channel is lost which sync's up with a loss of the 200 day moving average (approx. $410), intermediate trend looks intact for continued upwards trajectory. Remember, you can check in on this chart and press play to get updated data at any time by clicking the link in the comments below or by following me on TradingView. PUKA
NASDAQ:MSFT
by PukaCharts
Microsoft. There is still potential for the price to decline.Hello traders and investors! Let's take a look at the situation with Microsoft stocks. I believe there is still potential for the price to decline. Weekly Timeframe On the weekly TF, there is an attempt to reverse the long trend. The first seller's impulse has been formed. The level of the last buyer’s impulse start is 445.66, and the level of the last seller’s impulse start is 468.35. The end of the last seller's impulse is at 385.58. Key candle in the seller's impulse is from July 24 (largest volume in the impulse, marked as "KC" on the chart). It was tested by the buyer on August 19. The test level is 426.70. The buyer missed the 50% level of the seller's impulse (426.97) by 27 cents. Then, the buyer attacked the test level with two candles on increased volume, bringing the price above the 50% level, but the seller pushed the price back below the test level (426.70), forming a seller's zone above (red rectangle on the chart). Further price decline is likely, with the first target at 400.8, which is the start of the last buyer's sub-impulse on the weekly TF. Daily Timeframe On the daily TF, there’s a sideways range (formed on August 22, with point 4). The upper boundary is 432.15, and the lower boundary is 385.58. The relevant seller's vector is 6-7, with the first potential target being 400.8 (then 385.58). The buyer's vector 5-6 broke above the upper boundary of the range, gathered volume, and the seller returned the price to the range, forming a seller's zone at the upper boundary. This zone was tested on September 26, after which the seller's continuation began. The buyer attempted a recovery on September 30 with increased volume but failed to deliver results. Yesterday, the seller engulfed the buyer's candle. Highlights On both the weekly and daily TFs, the priority is to look for selling opportunities. The last daily candle has increased volume, making it a good point to start looking for sell opportunities. On the daily TF, possible threats to short positions include the 50% level of the last buyer's impulse at 413.72 and the buyer's zone with an upper boundary at 410.65 (green rectangle on the chart). It makes sense to consider buying opportunities when the buyer shows strength, for example, when interacting with the levels of 400 or 385 and defending them. How to decode candle volumes is explained here Good luck with your trading and investments!
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by AlexeyWolf
Is Microsoft's Quantum Leap a Calculated Investment?In the dynamic landscape of tech investment, Microsoft's quantum computing advancements have sparked significant interest. However, as with any emerging technology, the question remains: is the potential return on investment justified by the inherent risks? Microsoft's strides in quantum computing are undeniable. From creating record-breaking logical qubits to demonstrating practical applications, the company has established itself as a frontrunner in this field. Yet, the path to commercialization is fraught with challenges, including technological hurdles and intense competition. Investors must carefully evaluate the potential rewards against the risks. While the long-term prospects of quantum computing are promising, the short-term challenges and market uncertainties cannot be overlooked. Is Microsoft's strategic positioning and technological prowess sufficient to navigate these obstacles and capitalize on the potential benefits of quantum computing? A Deeper Dive: To make an informed investment decision, investors should consider the following factors: Technological Progress: The rate of advancement in quantum computing technology will significantly impact the timeline for commercialization and potential returns. While Microsoft has made significant strides, the field is still evolving rapidly. Competitive Landscape: The competitive landscape in quantum computing is dynamic and includes other tech giants like Google, IBM, and Amazon. The ability of Microsoft to maintain a competitive edge will be crucial for long-term success. Market Demand: The potential market for quantum computing applications is still emerging. The development of practical use cases will be essential to drive demand and justify investment. Regulatory Environment: Government policies and regulations can impact the development and commercialization of quantum computing technologies. Investors should be aware of any potential regulatory hurdles. Economic Factors: Macroeconomic conditions, such as interest rates and market volatility, can influence investment decisions. Investors should consider how broader economic trends may affect the quantum computing market. Conclusion: Investing in Microsoft's quantum computing endeavors presents both opportunities and risks. While the long-term potential is significant, investors must carefully assess the factors outlined above to make an informed decision. As the field continues to evolve, it will be essential to stay updated on the latest developments and market trends.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by signalmastermind
Analyzing Microsoft: Patterns and Profit-Taking Opportunities Microsoft is in a profit-taking zone based on the Parallel Channels and Equal Weight method. The round number of $500 could act as a psychological level, affecting future price movements. This is not a shorting zone, but a chance to manage your position and consider taking profits if it fits your strategy. The second time in my analysis, I want to highlight the idea of Parallel Channels and Equal Waves, which is a helpful method for deciding when to take profits. One of its main benefits is that it helps find profit-taking areas, especially when there’s no major resistance or "traffic" on the left side of the chart. Right now, Microsoft has reached important levels that look similar to patterns we’ve seen in gold. Also, the price is approaching a third key point, the round number of $500, which could play an important role in the near future. It’s important to point out again that this is not a shorting area, but rather a potential profit-taking zone. If you’re managing your position as a mid-term investor and you might need your invested money soon, this could be a good place to take some profits. Make sure to align this analysis with your overall investment plan. If you're ready to act, now could be a good time to lock in some profits. Regards, Vaido
NASDAQ:MSFT
by VaidoVeek
msft h and shouldersmicrosoft with an head and shoulders, possibly going down, with a huge sell in insiders. abpout 70 million on insiders sell on the last month, so even indexes must go down with this sellibg msft, by beeing one of the most capitelised companies in the world after 3 trillion market cap, if you will see the inside sellers, its a huge difference by the last months inside trades, so its a double shoulder head and shoulders and both shoulders already done in the daily time frame, so we must see an downgrade in the price for the next weeks and even quarters, this, ofcourse in my point of view, do never trade in anothers person opinion, do your own research and trade by it, this is only my poin of view, i will sell msft and north american indexes, by beeing one of the most market capital company going down, so the indexes must go too, as far as i think, thrieaving all market down side, but other stocks are not head and shoulders, even got some upper grade but in my POV, they will go down with the second or thirdth most capitallised stock going down,so keep reaserching, and go for the profits, the sp500 is in an extreme point of going down as well, it must go up a lot by passing this point of thecnhical analysis pushing down the index, for now, sp 500 will have a huge down fall and almost freefall to 2300 points, but if goes a lot up can pass the thecnhical indicators by now and go even up by even more points, only the next days will tell us wht is the best investment, for now im in a sell possitoion in sp500 and msft but lets see the progress of the next days and weeks, on sp 500 and msft, hope you the best profits in this trade, but do your own research before trading, as far as i am consern , ill wait some days long in sp 500 until i put a short sell in sp500 and msft, im just loooking for work, if you got an investment company and want me to work for you, just contact me , im in willing to work in the investment finnnace field, as a headge funder os something that i can get good profits, like 20 to 30 per cent profits on my trades, and i will do everything to have them, keep your investment safe, and do not invest anything that you cannot loose, this is only my pov, is not any investment idea, you only do whatever you want, and do with intel, so research about the topic and creat your own investment ideas LOOKING FOR JOB
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by Carlosdrcunha
1
Microsoft Parallel Channel and 200 DSMA worth watching Microsoft - NASDAQ:MSFT Long Term Chart ▫️ An incredible long term trending channel. ▫️ Lets zoom in on Channel 1 and Channel 2 I have compared the 2019 - 2022 period(Channel 1) to the current 2022 - 2024 period (Channel 2) . Channel 1 2019 -2022 Channel 2 2022 -2024 ▫️ Both of these periods have had parallel channels with the 200 day SMA acting as underside support. ▫️ When these were both lost in Q1 2022, it led to an approx. 38% decline from the highs, or a c. 28% decline from losing the channel or 200 DSMA level. ▫️ This is a very strong chart. Unless the channel is lost which sync's up with a loss of the 200 day moving average (approx. $410), intermediate trend looks intact for continued upwards trajectory. PUKA
NASDAQ:MSFT
by PukaCharts
20% to 40% Dip Coming for Microsoft?DISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational & entertainment purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to be involved with this market. Trading involves significant risk, do your own due diligence. A concerning sign for Microsoft bulls triggered a few weeks ago. We saw the DPO divergence confirmed. Price targets to the downside of this confirmation imply a 20% to 40% dip is coming for Microsoft. Do you think Microsoft is heading for a dump? I do. See you down there.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by Tradius_Trades
Microsoft seem to have made intermittent top. Look for reversalNASDAQ:MSFT has fallen in 5 waved from the top made in July and in process of retracing that down-move in ABC. The fall from top could be either a larger degree wave 1 or wave A. In both cases, soon wave 3 or C down should start since the wave 2/B has completed 61.8% retracement which is at 436.73. Stock closed below that level yesterday which makes me wonder if the down-move in wave 3/C has begun already. Assuming down-move has started, we should head towards 364 as per wave equality (3=1 or A=C), though if economic macros stay recessionary then the move could stretch to 1.6 or 2.6 times the size of wave 1/A (in log).
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by YetAnotherTA
Microsoft Announces $60 Billion Buyback and Dividend HikeMicrosoft Corp. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSFT ) recently announced two major moves designed to bolster shareholder value and solidify its position as a leading tech giant. The company unveiled a $60 billion stock buyback program along with a 10% increase in its quarterly dividend. This announcement has sent positive waves through the market, and investors are keeping a close eye on what this means for Microsoft's long-term outlook, especially amid its aggressive investments in artificial intelligence (AI). The $60 Billion Buyback: Strategic Capital Allocation On Monday, Microsoft revealed plans to repurchase up to $60 billion of its stock. While this figure may seem colossal, it represents less than 2% of the company's market cap, which currently stands at a staggering $3.2 trillion. Buybacks are a strategic way for companies like Microsoft to return capital to shareholders, reduce the number of shares outstanding, and increase earnings per share (EPS). The buyback plan can be canceled at any time, signaling flexibility in Microsoft's strategy to navigate market conditions. The announcement comes at a critical time when investors are pressuring the company to show returns on its heavy spending in AI development, particularly through its flagship product, the Copilot AI assistant, and other AI-driven tools. ### Dividend Hike: Rewarding Loyal Shareholders In addition to the stock buyback, Microsoft also announced a 10% hike in its quarterly dividend, raising it by 8 cents to 83 cents per share. This marks the 20th consecutive year the tech behemoth has increased its dividend, a testament to its commitment to rewarding long-term investors. The higher dividend will be payable on Dec. 12, 2024, to shareholders of record as of Nov. 21. The steady rise in dividend payments is indicative of Microsoft’s robust financial health. As it continues to post consistent earnings, the dividend increase signals confidence in sustained cash flow generation, even as the company allocates substantial capital toward AI infrastructure. A Focus on AI Investments The timing of the buyback and dividend announcement coincides with Microsoft's unveiling of several new AI features. During its recent "Wave 2" event, Microsoft introduced updates to its Copilot AI, including enhancements in Excel, OneDrive, and Outlook. These AI-driven tools are part of the company’s broader push to integrate advanced machine learning and AI capabilities into its suite of products, driving future growth. Jefferies analysts have described Microsoft as a "top AI beneficiary," citing strong adoption rates of its Copilot features and improvements in user experience. This aligns with the company’s focus on using AI as a growth driver, especially as demand for AI outpaces the company’s capacity to deliver. Stock Performance and Technical Outlook Microsoft stock has been on an upward trajectory, rising 15% year-to-date, and showing consistent strength over the past year. On Tuesday, NASDAQ:MSFT surged 1.66%, buoyed by the announcement, and continues to hold investor confidence. Technically, Microsoft’s stock sits at an RSI of 66, indicating bullish momentum. This level is approaching overbought territory but still suggests room for continued growth, especially as Jerome Powell’s much-anticipated speech on rate cuts approaches. The stock’s resilience is evident as it has managed to retake all its moving averages and break past a 426.79 short-term high, a level seen as critical resistance. Moreover, Microsoft has been in a steady upward trend since September 2023, maintaining consistent gains month-over-month. This steady performance is a signal of both investor confidence and the company’s ability to deliver, even amid macroeconomic uncertainty. Conclusion: Microsoft’s latest financial moves—both the $60 billion buyback and the dividend hike—demonstrate its ability to reward investors while continuing to focus on long-term growth. As it positions itself as a leader in AI, Microsoft’s ongoing investments are expected to pay off significantly in the years ahead. With a solid balance sheet, growing dividends, and continued stock buybacks, Microsoft’s outlook remains strong. While some volatility may lie ahead due to macroeconomic factors, the combination of smart capital allocation and a focus on next-gen technology like AI puts Microsoft in a prime position to continue its upward trajectory in both stock price and market influence. Investors looking for long-term stability combined with growth potential should keep Microsoft on their radar as it navigates the evolving tech landscape.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by DEXWireNews