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Microsoft (MSFT)

Microsoft - Time to Buy the Dip? Still the undefeated software giant Microsoft , top 3 company of the world has corrected for 25%, nearly as much as we have seen in March 2020. Is it time to buy? Fundamental indicators: Revenue and Profits - consistent strong growth for the past 10 years Profit margin - impressive 35% in 2021 P/E - although still above the norms with 27x ratio it can be considered by many very much acceptable for this highly effective company Liabilities - no problems with debt Technical Analysis (Elliott Waves): The rapid drop in March 2020 has completed correction that has been observed for nearly year and a half and formed by a Running Flat Since then Microsoft has enjoyed an explosive growth with over 150% increase in an impulse movement And having peaked at $350 there is another correction developing now Given the rank of this highly sought after stock it is possible to assume that this correction is going to be similar to the previous one and the depth is not going to exceed 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of wave 3, i.e. not lower than $230, and it will also be shaped as a Running Flat Duration of this running correction is likely to be longer than the previous one lasting at least till end of 2023 followed by another rocket-like movement to the moon What do you think about the prospects for Microsoft ? Please share your thoughts in the comments and like this idea if you would like to see more stocks analysed using Elliott Waves. Thanks
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by vitalalyt
1
Will Microsoft let itself be affected by negative events? ⚔️We tend to see triangles everywhere, we realize that this may be redundant for some, but all modes of chartist analysis are good to go. We also realize that the triangle Microsoft is forming is not the prettiest, but if it is truly a compression triangle, then we could be looking at an upside breakout. Only time will tell, I must admit that taking positions in these complicated times for everyone is a risky bet, which may or may not be taken for a good performance. Only two paths are possible, but which one will Microsoft choose?
NASDAQ:MSFT
by Absconse
M2 Adjusted FAAMNG Tutorial/AnalysisThe current FAANG symbol does not have a very long history. Depending on the symbol, you get a chart that either starts from mid-2019 or 2016. We get couple more years of data in this chart, back to early 2014. I weighted each stock equally according to its 60 month average, and adjusted for M2 expansion, which gives us a very consistent support line. There's also a horizontal resistance line that extends from 2018 onward that is currently being tested as support, which raises the questions: Is historical support now resistance? Is the resistance line now support? Or will we drop below the resistance line once again? It wouldn't surprise me if we got a bounce here to once again test that the Support line is *actually* now resistance and the drop in price wasn't a fluke. Which, maybe it was. But on the other hand, smaller caps have gotten completely crushed, look at the M2 Adjusted Russell 2000 for example: We're getting close to the "value" zone, but we're still at the bottom range of wholesale prices. I wouldn't be surprised if there's even more stop-loss style liquidations at these prices. There are many many unprofitable companies, roughly 50%?!, that are feeling the pain in the Russell. It's not crazy to think that once the smaller caps fall, the rest of the larger dominoes fall. First, there were drops in sort of intangibly valued companies like Netflix/Peloton. Market shrugged it off. Then we saw a single day -0.25 trillion$ valuation drop in Facebook. Market shrugged it off. Now in the past few weeks, Amazon is finally looking terrible, and this is the first time in YEARS that the market seems to be taking it seriously. How long until Apple/Tesla bite the bullet? The market can only shrug off so much localized losses before it becomes systemic. It's only a matter of weeks or months, in my opinion, until we see the remaining FAANMG and others reflect the state of rest of the market. So how did i manage to get the symbol on the chart? This method is not perfect. There's lots of ways to do this. I decided to equally weight each stock by their 60 month SMA, given that mean reversion is a well known phenomenon. But you can use any anything you wish, as long as it normalizes the price in a way that you like. Literally anything. First, I wrote down the SMAs like this: 60 month SMA: FB = 221.34 AMZN = 2250.99 AAPL = 85.60 MSFT = 173.64 NFLX = 380.58 GOOG = 1585.70 Notice that AAPL has the lowest average, 85.6. We can use AAPL as our "benchmark". Divide every SMA by 85.6: FB = 2.5857 AMZN = 26.296 AAPL = 1 MSFT = 2.0285 NFLX = 4.4460 GOOG = 18.524 Now we can add each price together, and divide by our adjuster that we just calculated, to get a fairly crude, but accurate enough, equally average-weighted basket: AAPL+ FB/2.5857+ AMZN/26.296+ MSFT/2.0285+ NFLX/4.4460+ GOOG/18.524 Mash it all together, you get: NASDAQ:AAPL+NASDAQ:FB/2.5857+NASDAQ:AMZN/26.296+NASDAQ:MSFT/2.0285+NASDAQ:NFLX/4.4460+NASDAQ:GOOG/18.524 And adjust for M2 if you want: (NASDAQ:AAPL+NASDAQ:FB/2.5857+NASDAQ:AMZN/26.296+NASDAQ:MSFT/2.0285+NASDAQ:NFLX/4.4460+NASDAQ:GOOG/18.524)/FRED:WM2NS This looks ugly though. The value is so small, there's no horizontal bars on the chart because of a display bug in TV or some other problem. So we can simply multiply the entire series by a value. in this case 15, until we get something that looks good. (NASDAQ:AAPL+NASDAQ:FB/2.5857+NASDAQ:AMZN/26.296+NASDAQ:MSFT/2.0285+NASDAQ:NFLX/4.4460+NASDAQ:GOOG/18.524)/FRED:WM2NS*15 There's a lot of ideas fairly similar to this out there, but I hope this helps someone who might be curious how people came up with these crazy long symbols. Try it with your favorite sectors! Make your own sector benchmarks. You can combine up to 10 symbols at once! Here we only used 6 symbols (7 if you include WM2NS). Good luck and don't forget to hedge your bets :)
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by fringe_chartist
5
IS MSFT OVERVALUED?Microsoft Corporation develops, licenses, and supports software, services, devices, and solutions worldwide. Its Productivity and Business Processes segment offers Office, Exchange, SharePoint, Microsoft Teams, Office 365 Security and Compliance, and Skype for Business, as well as related Client Access Licenses (CAL); Skype, Outlook.com, OneDrive, and LinkedIn; and Dynamics 365, a set of cloud-based and on-premises business solutions for organizations and enterprise divisions. Its Intelligent Cloud segment licenses SQL, Windows Servers, Visual Studio, System Center, and related CALs; GitHub that provides a collaboration platform and code hosting service for developers; and Azure, a cloud platform. It also offers support services and Microsoft consulting services to assist customers in developing, deploying, and managing Microsoft server and desktop solutions. Microsoft is a rock. No doubt. But i feel like that the stock is priced for perfection and if earnings do not constantly surprise investors, then we could see a strong move downward. Especially when we think FED will increase rates and decrease money supply. MSFT p/e is only 29 which is pretty low for a tech company but its market cap 2.1 trillion dollars. It is %10 of US GDP and around %2,5 of worlds GDP. How much more can it grow? Where is the line for a company to be too big? Right now FED is increasing rates and decreasing money supply which is not good for stock market. This year we can experience that big techs, such as Google, MSFT, Apple is overvalued for this kind of economic policies. Lets take a look at important price levels. Support levels 280 266 241 If we cant keep 280 levels as support, fast downward movement to 266 and 241 is possible. Resistance leves 299 On the upside if we can breakout of 299 level, it is possible for more increase. Price targets are 310 320 350 Thanks Follow for more charts and ideas.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by thegreatwall38
Microsoft Struggling?Microsoft Short Term - We look to Sell at 306.08 (stop at 317.41) We look to sell rallies. We look to set shorts in early trade for a further test of the fragile looking support. Levels close to the 50% pullback level of 309.47 found sellers. The trend of lower highs is located at 315.00. Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile. Our profit targets will be 272.25 and 254.00 Resistance: 300.00 / 310.00 / 320.00 Support: 270.00 / 260.00 / 240.00 Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features. Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by Saxo